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Indian Stock Markets Dip 2.2% Amid Tariff Concerns; Q1 GDP Growth To Provide Buffer

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Indian Stock Markets Dip 2.2% Amid Tariff Concerns; Q1 GDP Growth To Provide Buffer


Mumbai: The Indian equities closed sharply lower this week, as initial optimism in markets faded due to ongoing selling pressure from FII outflows amid US tariff concerns. 

Benchmark indices Nifty and Sensex ended the week with a loss of over 2.2 per cent. Profit-booking was evident in metals, IT, realty, and auto, which shed between 0.5 per cent and 1.5 per cent.

In contrast, Capital Goods, Consumer Durables, Media, and FMCG, posted gains between 0.4 per cent and 1 per cent. Broader markets underperformed, with the Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Small cap 100 indices declining by 0.57 per cent and 0.39 per cent, respectively.

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(Also Read: Key Financial Rules Changing From September 2025)

Markets opened positively this week, driven by a proposed GST rationalisation, a favourable monsoon outlook, and global factors like easing US bond yields and potential Fed rate cuts in September.

However, caution set in ahead of the US penalty tariff deadline, sparking broad-based selling which led to three consecutive sessions in red zone. Analysts said that subsequent imposition of tariffs on Indian goods further dented confidence, driving profit booking across sectors.

“Large caps declined, while mid- and small caps saw sharper losses on stretched valuations and heightened uncertainty,” said Vinod Nair, Head of Research, Geojit Investments Limited.

(Also Read: What Is GST Compensation Cess? GST Council May End It By October 31)

Looking ahead, India’s strong Q1 GDP print driven by government spending and policy measures, may provide a buffer against external headwinds, though fiscal concerns remain. A resolution of tariff disputes may boost market sentiment, but the reciprocal 25 per cent tariff is likely to stay in effect in the near to medium term, he added.

Sectors likely to be affected include textiles, equipment manufacturers, metals, auto, and seafood. IT and Pharma may experience sentiment pressure, although they are not directly impacted by the tariffs.

India’s economy shattered expectations in the April-June 2025 quarter, racing ahead with a remarkable 7.8 per cent real GDP growth.

“Investors should keep a close watch on upcoming domestic and US macro data, including PMI prints, jobless claims, payrolls, and unemployment figures, for further insights,” Nair added.

“Nifty has an immediate support base placed at 24,400-24,350 levels, being the confluence of the recent lows and the key retracement area. Index holding above this level will lead to a consolidation in the range of 24,400-24,900,” Bajaj Broking research said in a release.

Markets are epected to show a mixed trend in near term. Analysts said that sectors focused on consumption and domestic growth, including FMCG, Durables, Discretionary, Cement, and Infrastructure, are likely to benefit from GST cuts, strong demand, and increased government spending.



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India charts strategy to soften 50% US tariff on exports, govt working overtime with stakeholders: CEA Anantha Nageswaran – The Times of India

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India charts strategy to soften 50% US tariff on exports, govt working overtime with stakeholders: CEA Anantha Nageswaran – The Times of India


Chief Economic Advisor (CEA) Anantha Nageswaran on Saturday said the government, along with various stakeholders, is working overtime to cushion India’s export sector from the impact of the 25% additional tariff imposed by the United States, which has raised the overall duty to 50%.Speaking virtually at an event organised by the Indian Chamber of Commerce, he said crises, whether minor or major, often act as catalysts for action by the government, private sector and households, PTI reported. Since the US tariffs took effect on August 27, “conversations have been happening in the last three to four days” involving exporting bodies, promotion agencies and ministries, he added.The Ministry of Finance and other ministries are “working overtime” to frame a strategy that would provide both a “time cushion” and a “financial cushion” so affected sectors can “weather the present storm and also emerge stronger,” Nageswaran said. He also noted that a proposed agreement with the US, negotiated “in good faith” and nearly concluded, had been delayed due to “unexpected developments,” though not denied.The CEA also referred to India facing a penal tariff for buying Russian crude oil, which the Ministry of External Affairs has described as unreasonable. He expressed hope that the tariffs would be “short-lived” and that “an understanding of the importance of the larger dimensions of the India-US relationship will eventually prevail.”Highlighting “silver linings,” Nageswaran pointed out that India’s real GDP grew 7.8% year-on-year in Q1, while nominal GDP rose 8.8%, above private economists’ estimates. He attributed the lower nominal growth compared to earlier quarters to “good deflation,” driven by easing input costs such as crude oil and industrial metals, even as enterprises retained pricing power.The manufacturing sector’s Gross Value Added rose 10.1% in nominal terms and 7.7% in real terms, reflecting resilience. He said this underpins optimism that full-year nominal GDP growth will stay near the 10.1% assumed in the Union Budget.Nageswaran flagged that the “huge tax cut” for households with annual income up to Rs 26.7 lakh, announced in February, is already showing in higher advance tax payments. Further relief is expected through GST rationalisation and simplification.He also pointed to the new employment-linked incentive scheme, which rewards both employers and employees, calling it crucial to balance job creation with competitiveness in the AI era.On the global front, the CEA underlined India’s credit rating upgrade by Standard & Poor’s — the first in 30 years — and expressed confidence that Fitch may follow. He stressed that fiscal prudence, with the deficit brought down to 4.4% this year from 9.2% in 2021, has reduced borrowing costs and the private sector’s cost of capital by three percentage points over the last decade.Nageswaran said India is actively diversifying trade ties through FTAs with the UAE and UK, and ongoing talks with Oman and Bahrain, some of which could materialise before year-end. Calling the current situation an opportunity, he urged industry to diversify export markets, invest in R&D and product innovation, and improve practices to stay competitive.“Each one of us has an obligation to ourselves, society, our employees and our customers to use this opportunity to improve the way we do business and strive for innovation and excellence,” he said.He added that the government will double down on deregulation, ease of doing business and job creation while engaging with the US to resolve the tariff issue.





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CDC asks all staff to return to office Sept. 15, five weeks after shooting at headquarters

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CDC asks all staff to return to office Sept. 15, five weeks after shooting at headquarters


A sign for the CDC sits outside of their facility at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Roybal campus in Atlanta, Georgia, U.S., May 30, 2025.

Megan Varner | Reuters

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention told staff it expects them to return to offices by Sept. 15, roughly five weeks after a gunman’s deadly attack on the agency’s headquarters in Atlanta, CNBC has learned. 

“Your safety remains our top priority. We are taking necessary steps to restore our workplace and will return to regular on-site operations no later than Monday, September 15,” Lynda Chapman, the agency’s new chief operating officer, said in an email sent Thursday that was viewed by CNBC.

Chapman said all staff will be expected to return to their offices by that date, according to the email. For employees whose workspaces remain impacted by the shooting — including physical damage from the gunman’s attack — the CDC will provide alternative spaces on its campus, Chapman wrote in the email. 

She said the agency has made “significant progress” on repairs at the CDC Roybal Campus in Atlanta. CDC leadership and a “Response and Recovery Management” team are working to address staff concerns and ensure a safe environment as the agency transitions back to in-office work, Chapman added. 

CDC staff had been instructed to work remotely following the Aug. 8 shooting, with options to return to the office in the weeks that followed, according to two people familiar with the matter, who requested anonymity for fear of retribution for speaking to the media.

The Department of Health and Human Services did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

The internal announcement comes at a tumultuous time for the CDC and its workforce. The shooting didn’t result in injuries among CDC staff but shell-shocked a workforce that was already reeling from sweeping changes under HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr., including staff cuts and heated controversy over his efforts to change CDC immunization policies and fire the agency’s panel of vaccine advisors.

The return-to-office guidance also comes as the CDC grapples with a leadership upheaval: The White House earlier this week said President Donald Trump had fired the agency’s director, Susan Monarez. Four other top officials resigned, some of them citing the politicization of the agency and a threat to public health.  

Authorities identified the gunman behind the shooting at CDC headquarters as Patrick Joseph White and said they recovered five guns and more than 500 shell casings from the scene. During the attack, agency employees were forced to barricade themselves in offices.

White fatally shot a responding police officer, 33-year-old David Rose, and then killed himself. White had blamed the Covid-19 vaccine for making him depressed and suicidal. 

Before her firing, Monarez appeared to directly blame the role of misinformation in the shooting, according to an email sent to staff on Aug. 12 that was viewed by CNBC.

In the note, Monarez said, “the dangers of misinformation and its promulgation has now led to deadly consequences. I will work to restore trust in public health to those who have lost it- through science, evidence, and clarity of purpose. I will need your help.”



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How Costly A House Should You Buy & How Much EMI Is Best? The 5-20-3-40 Formula Will Guide You

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How Costly A House Should You Buy & How Much EMI Is Best? The 5-20-3-40 Formula Will Guide You




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