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India’s Corporate Earnings Show Broad-Based Growth In Q1 FY26, Says Motilal Oswal

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India’s Corporate Earnings Show Broad-Based Growth In Q1 FY26, Says Motilal Oswal


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‘Q1 earnings, perceived as the ‘Crossover quarter’, marked a transition from the subdued low-single-digit earnings growth of FY25 to sustainable double-digit growth,’ says MOFSL.

MOFSL expects Nifty-50 EPS growth to recover to nearly 9% in FY26 (from just 1% in FY25), aided by supportive macro conditions.

MOFSL expects Nifty-50 EPS growth to recover to nearly 9% in FY26 (from just 1% in FY25), aided by supportive macro conditions.

Corporate India entered FY26 on a stronger footing, according to a report by Motilal Oswal Financial Services (MOFSL), which called the June 2025 quarter (Q1FY26) the “Crossover Quarter”. According to the brokerage, earnings transitioned from the muted single-digit growth of FY25 to a more sustainable double-digit trajectory, driven by better sectoral breadth and resilience in financials, energy, and telecom.

“Corporate earnings for 1QFY26, perceived as the ‘Crossover quarter’, marked a transition from the subdued low-single-digit earnings growth of FY25 to a sustainable double-digit growth trajectory. A key highlight of the quarter was better sectoral breadth of earnings growth. Of the 25 sectors under our coverage, 16 delivered double-digit growth, eight reported single-digit growth, and only one sector experienced a decline in PAT,” Motilal Oswal said in the report titled ‘India Strategy’.

Broad-Based Earnings Growth

Out of 25 sectors under MOFSL’s coverage, 16 reported double-digit profit growth, eight recorded single-digit gains, and only one posted a decline. Aggregate earnings of the companies tracked by Motilal Oswal rose 11% YoY, ahead of estimates. Excluding financials, profits rose 13% YoY, while excluding global commodities (metals and oil & gas), growth stood at 9% YoY.

Oil & Gas (+27% YoY), telecom (loss-to-profit), NBFCs (+14%), PSU banks (+7%), technology (+7%), cement (+51%), and healthcare (+11%) contributed nearly 77% of incremental profit accretion. Automobiles (-3%) weighed on performance.

Nifty-50 Stretches Single-Digit Streak

Nifty-50 earnings rose 8% YoY in Q1, the fifth straight quarter of single-digit profit growth since the pandemic. Reliance Industries, Bharti Airtel, SBI, HDFC Bank, and ICICI Bank alone accounted for 77% of incremental earnings, while Coal India, Tata Motors, ONGC, HUL, Nestle, and others dragged overall growth, according to the brokerage.

Market-Cap Segment Trends

“large-caps (87 companies) posted an earnings growth of 10% YoY – similar to the overall universe. Mid-caps (92 companies) have extended their streak of the past two quarters and yet again delivered a strong earnings growth of 24% YoY (vs. our est. of 20%),” Motilal Oswal stated.

Large-caps: Earnings grew 10% YoY, in line with estimates.

Mid-caps: Continued to outperform, rising 24% YoY versus expectations of 20%, with 17 of 22 sectors delivering double-digit profit growth.

Small-caps: Lagged significantly, with earnings falling 11% YoY against expectations of flat growth. Nearly half of the small-cap coverage universe missed estimates.

Earnings Outlook

For FY26, MOFSL projects its coverage universe to clock 12% profit growth, led by financials (+8%), metals (+19%), and oil & gas (+9%). Mid-caps are expected to deliver 21% growth, compared with 10% for large-caps and 34% for small-caps.

However, the brokerage noted that earnings downgrades continued to outpace upgrades, with the Nifty FY26 EPS estimate cut by 1.2% to Rs 1,108, primarily due to weaker forecasts for ONGC, Reliance Industries, Axis Bank, Power Grid, and HDFC Bank.

Sectoral Highlights

Banks: In-line results but with margin pressure, especially at private lenders.

Autos: Mixed quarter; OEMs posted modest growth, while ancillaries outperformed.

Consumer: Demand recovery intact, revenue up 8.3% YoY.

Oil & Gas: Profits surged but missed estimates due to OMC underperformance.

Technology: Weak revenue momentum amid macro headwinds.

Metals: Robust operating performance lifted profits 59% YoY.

MOFSL expects Nifty-50 EPS growth to recover to nearly 9% in FY26 (from just 1% in FY25), aided by supportive macro conditions. While market volatility may persist due to global tariff concerns, the brokerage believes India remains well-placed for modest gains, with mid-caps offering relatively better earnings visibility.

The report maintained an overweight stance on BFSI, consumer discretionary, industrials, healthcare, and telecom, while staying underweight on oil & gas, cement, real estate, and metals.

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Mohammad Haris

Haris is Deputy News Editor (Business) at news18.com. He writes on various issues related to personal finance, markets, economy and companies. Having over a decade of experience in financial journalism, Haris h…Read More

Haris is Deputy News Editor (Business) at news18.com. He writes on various issues related to personal finance, markets, economy and companies. Having over a decade of experience in financial journalism, Haris h… Read More

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Lloyds warns car finance scandal could cost it £2bn

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Lloyds warns car finance scandal could cost it £2bn


Lloyds Banking Group is setting aside an additional £800m for car finance compensation claims, bringing the total amount allocated by the bank for redress to nearly £2bn.

The company said that the number of eligible claims is expected to be higher than previously thought.

Millions of drivers who bought cars on finance with hidden commission payments between 2007 and 2024 may be eligible for redress.

The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) published details of its proposed compensation scheme last week.

The FCA said payouts could be due on around 14 million unfair deals, averaging at about £700 each.

This could result in lenders paying out a total of £8.2bn in compensation.

The payouts are over commission arrangements between lenders and dealers, unfair contracts, and inaccurate information given to car buyers.

Lloyds said in a statement: “Based on the FCA proposals in their current form, the potential impact is at the adverse end of the range of previous expected outcomes.”

It said it was setting aside an additional £800m for redress based on “the increased likelihood of a higher number of historical cases… being eligible for redress”.

It said its “best estimate” of the total cost of redress was £1.95bn.

The proposed scheme would be free to access for consumers, although the interest they receive on redress will be much lower than that paid following the payment protection insurance (PPI) scandal.

That scandal cost Lloyds £22bn.

The FCA estimates that 44% of all motor finance agreements made since 2007 will be eligible for payouts.

But a ruling at the Supreme Court in August limited the breadth of these cases.

The FCA advises anyone who wants to make a complaint to get in touch with their lender or broker, and has this guidance on how to complain.

But the Finance and Leasing Association, the body that represents the lending industry, has said the FCA is “overcompensating”.

Lloyds said on Monday that it did not think the FCA’s calculations reflect the actual amount that customers lost out.

It believes customers could therefore get more than the full commission back under the FCA’s proposed scheme.

Under the scheme, eligible car owners would be given the average of what it estimates they overpaid – the commission paid, plus interest.

Another lender, Close Brothers, which is deeply exposed to motor finance compensation, said it was also likely to need to set aside more money for payouts.

In a statement on Thursday, it said its “initial assessment” following the FCA’s proposals was that it would need to increase its current provision of £165m.

However, the company pointed out that uncertainty remained over the final compensation requirements, with the current proposals under consultation.

Consumer campaigners have urged lenders not to fight the FCA’s compensation plans, in order to ensure drivers do not have to wait even longer for redress and to bring a swifter conclusion to the saga.

But Russ Mould, investment director for AJ Bell, said Lloyds “gives the impression it is not happy with the proposed compensation methodology, implying this is not a done and dusted situation”.



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Mortgage rates creep back up as lenders show caution

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Mortgage rates creep back up as lenders show caution


Average mortgage rates have risen for the first time month-on-month since February as lenders approach the winter with caution.

Following a series of drops in mortgage interest rates, the picture worsened slightly for new and renewing borrowers over the last month, according to financial information service Moneyfacts.

The average rate for a two, or five, year fixed rate stands at about 5%, much lower than the peak of recent years, but still a stretch for many homeowners.

Analysts suggest imminent, further base rate cuts by the Bank of England appear unlikely, and uncertainty always foreshadows a Budget.

Moneyfacts data shows that mortgage rates only climbed very slightly over the month, by 0.02 percentage points.

That took the rate on an average two-year deal to 4.98%, and to 5.02% for the average five-year mortgage.

More than eight in 10 mortgage customers have fixed-rate deals. The interest rate on this kind of mortgage does not change until the deal expires, usually after two or five years, and a new one is chosen to replace it.

Hundreds of thousands of potential first-time buyers also hope to get a place of their own with their first mortgage. All would welcome low mortgage rates.

Rachel Springall, from Moneyfacts, said that the latest situation might well “disappoint” borrowers.

“Volatile swap rates and a cautionary approach among lenders have led to an abrupt halt in consecutive monthly average rate falls,” she said.

Swap rates reflect the market’s view of which direction the Bank of England’s interest rates will go, so lenders use them to set their own rates.

“Lenders have responded cautiously, with some edging rates higher and the overall average ticking up slightly,” said Simon Gammon, managing partner at mortgage advisers Knight Frank Finance.

“This is unlikely to mark the start of a sustained rise in borrowing costs, but rather a prolonged plateau while the outlook becomes clearer.”

The rates during this October are much lower than this month two years ago, when the average rate for a two-year deal was 6.67%.

Some homeowners would have become accustomed to much lower rates during the 2010s, so will now be budgeting for bigger monthly repayments, alongside other financial pressures such as the rising cost of food.

The government has said it will support people with the cost of living. The Budget will be delivered by Chancellor Rachel Reeves in November.

Ms Springall, from Moneyfacts, said that borrowers should consider their own circumstances and seek guidance when required.

“It remains essential borrowers seek independent advice to navigate the mortgage maze and not feel pressured to secure a deal because of the Budget rumour mill,” she said.

On Monday, the Institute for Fiscal Studies, an independent economic think-tank, said that the chancellor should avoid “directionless tinkering and half-baked fixes” when trying to boost the government’s tax take in the Budget.





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Trump’s 100% tariff row: China urges US to correct ‘wrong practices’; warns of corresponding measures – The Times of India

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Trump’s 100% tariff row: China urges US to correct ‘wrong practices’; warns of corresponding measures – The Times of India


Beijing has warned that it will take “corresponding measures” to protect its interests if the US proceeds with plans to impose additional tariffs on Chinese goods.At a regular press briefing on Monday, Chinese foreign ministry spokesperson Lin Jian urged Washington to promptly correct its “wrong practices,” adding that any action should be based on equality, respect, and mutual benefit, as quoted by Reuters.The remarks came as a response to President Donald Trump’s plan to levy an extra 100% tariff on Chinese imports starting November 1, escalating tensions between the world’s two largest economies. Chinese imports to the country are now set to face a total of 130% duty.Earlier in the day, the US president had hinted that the 100% tariff remains in place, though the deadline could change.When asked by reporters whether, “100% tariffs on China on November 1st still the plan?” Trump replied, “Yeah. Right now it is. Let’s see what happens.”The US president imposed the additional tariff on Chinese imports after Beijing restricted exports of rare earth minerals. In a post on social media platform, Trump said, “Based on the fact that China has taken this unprecedented position… the United States of America will impose a Tariff of 100% on China, over and above any Tariff that they are currently paying.”In response, the Chinese commerce ministry accused Washington of fueling trade tensions and said “Wilful threats of high tariffs are not the right way to get along with China.”A spokesperson for the ministry said “China’s position on the trade war is consistent. We do not want it, but we are not afraid of it.”





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