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Industry flags risks to 2026 growth | The Express Tribune

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Industry flags risks to 2026 growth | The Express Tribune



LAHORE:

As 2025 nears its end, the country is looking towards 2026 with growing concern within industrial and commercial circles that high costs, weak competitiveness and policy uncertainty could further slow economic momentum unless decisive steps are taken to support productive sectors. Business leaders say that while macroeconomic stability has improved compared to previous years, conditions on the ground remain challenging for industry, exporters and investors.

Speaking on the state of the economy, Khawaja Mehboob ur Rehman, president of the Pakistan Business Forum (PBF), said 2025 had again proved to be a difficult year for businesses. “Despite repeated commitments, the core issues of ease of doing business and a sustainable reduction in the cost of operations have not been addressed in a meaningful way,” he said in a letter written to the Prime Minister of Pakistan, adding that this had limited the ability of firms to plan and expand.

Industry representatives also point to persistently high input costs as a major hurdle. Electricity tariffs, fuel prices, taxes and financing costs continue to place pressure on manufacturing and export-oriented sectors. According to official data, industrial electricity tariffs in Pakistan remain significantly higher than those in several regional economies, while exporters face thin margins amid intense global competition. Economists note that although Pakistan’s exports showed some recovery in FY2024-25, growth remained modest compared to regional peers that benefit from cheaper energy and targeted industrial support.

Rehman warned that high energy costs were directly undermining productivity and export competitiveness. “These pressures are eroding our ability to compete with regional economies that actively support their industries through competitive pricing and pro-growth fiscal policies,” he said. He also expressed concern over reports that electricity tariffs could rise further as part of efforts to address the country’s circular debt problem, cautioning that such a move could force many industrial units to downsize or shut down operations.

The issue of energy pricing has become particularly sensitive as industries struggle to recover from years of volatility. Data from the power sector shows that energy already accounts for a large share of production costs in textiles, engineering and chemicals – sectors that collectively employ millions of workers. Any sharp increase, analysts warn, could worsen unemployment at a time when job creation is already under strain.

Beyond costs, business leaders have also questioned the broader direction of economic policymaking. Rehman argued that current policies appear overly focused on meeting International Monetary Fund (IMF) programme conditions, with limited space for innovative and growth-oriented solutions. “Sustainable recovery cannot be achieved without empowering the business community, which remains the backbone of employment, exports and revenue generation,” he said.

At the same time, some independent voices within the private sector stress the need for balance between fiscal discipline and growth. Rameez Ahmed, a mid-scale manufacturer, said structural reforms were necessary but must be implemented in consultation with industry. “No one is denying the need for reforms or IMF engagement,” he said. “But policies designed without industry input often fail on the ground. What businesses need is predictability, competitive energy pricing and a tax system that rewards documentation and growth.”

Another concern frequently raised is the limited representation of elected business leaders in newly formed economic committees and working groups. Industry representatives argue that excluding those directly involved in production and trade weakens policy effectiveness and delays implementation. They say meaningful consultation could help bridge the gap between policy objectives and market realities.

There is also a growing narrative that Pakistan must now shift focus from short-term stabilisation to longer-term competitiveness. Rehman referred to the country’s response on the security front during the tensions of May 2025, saying the next challenge lies in “winning the economic battle”. He stressed that businesses are willing to play their role if given a level playing field and clear signals from the top.

Businesses believe that only a credible roadmap for 2026 can help restore confidence, encourage fresh investment and support long-term planning. “Inflation has eased compared to earlier peaks and interest rates are expected to gradually normalise. Many of us believe the coming period offers an opportunity to reset policies in favour of growth – but only if cost pressures and competitiveness issues are addressed in a timely and inclusive manner,” Ahmed added.



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Ryanair fined £224m in Italy over ‘abusive strategy’ with travel agencies

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Ryanair fined £224m in Italy over ‘abusive strategy’ with travel agencies



Ryanair has been fined 256 million euros (£224 million) by Italy’s competition watchdog for allegedly using an “abusive strategy” to hinder third-party travel agencies.

The regulator claimed in its ruling that the low-cost airline deliberately made it difficult for agencies to buy flights on its website, between April 2023 and at least April this year.

The Italian Competition Authority (AGCM) said: “Following a complex investigation, the authority found that Ryanair put in place an elaborate strategy affecting the ability of online and traditional travel agencies to purchase Ryanair flights on ryanair.com.

“In particular, the company’s strategy blocked, hindered or made such purchases more difficult… when combined with flights operated by other carriers and/or other tourism and insurance services.”

“These practices compromised the ability of agencies to purchase Ryanair flights and combine them with flights from other airlines and/or additional travel services, thereby reducing direct and indirect competition between agencies,” it added.

Ryanair said it would appeal the ruling and the fine, which it said was “unjustly levied”.

The Dublin-based carrier said: “Ryanair has campaigned for many years to offer consumers the lowest fares by booking directly on the ryanair.com website.

“This direct distribution model was ruled to ‘undoubtedly benefit consumers’ by the Milan Court, as recently as Jan 2024.”

Ryanair’s long-standing chief executive, Michael O’Leary, branded the ruling “legally unsound”.

He said: “This AGCM ruling is an affront to the precedent Milan court ruling, and also an affront to consumer protection and competition law.

“Ryanair has grown rapidly in Italy – and in many other markets across Europe – by always offering the lowest air fares in every single market in which we operate.

“This legally baseless AGCM Ruling, and its absurd 256 million euro fine, undermines consumer protection and competition law, and it will be overturned on appeal.”

It comes after Italy fined Ryanair 3 million euros (£2.6 million) in 2019 for its policy of charging passengers for cabin baggage, but the penalty was later overturned by an administrative court.



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IRCTC Down? Tatkal Ticket Users Complain Of Repeated ‘Error’ Messages On App; Netizens React; How to Book Train Tickets Online

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IRCTC Down? Tatkal Ticket Users Complain Of Repeated ‘Error’ Messages On App; Netizens React; How to Book Train Tickets Online


IRCTC Tatkal Train Tickets: IRCTC’s Tatkal ticket booking service came under fire from netizens on Tuesday, with several users taking to social media to report repeated ‘Error’ messages on the app and website during peak booking hours. Many users said they were unable to secure Tatkal tickets despite multiple attempts, alleging that the system failed at critical stages of the booking process. The complaints emerged even as no major outage was officially reported by IRCTC.

IRCTC Down: Downdetector Shows 68% Outage

The online platform Downdetector recorded a spike in complaints, with 68% of users reporting issues with the IRCTC website. The outage reports mainly came from major metro cities such as Delhi, Mumbai, Bengaluru and Kolkata. Meanwhile, 31% of users said they faced problems with the mobile app.

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IRCTC: OTP For Tatkal Train Tickets

Indian Railways is set to make one-time passwords (OTPs) mandatory for booking Tatkal train tickets from railway reservation counters, a move that officials said aims to curb the misuse of the last-minute ticket booking facility. Passengers will have to provide a one-time password, received on their mobile phones, to book Tatkal train tickets from railway reservation counters. 



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Gold Prices Hit All‑Time High Of Rs 1,38,381 Per 10 Grams

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Gold Prices Hit All‑Time High Of Rs 1,38,381 Per 10 Grams


New Delhi: The rates of gold and silver surged by over 1 per cent to hit fresh record highs on Tuesday, driven by safe-haven demand, notably due to escalating US-Venezuela tensions. 

MCX gold February futures rose 1.2 per cent to an all‑time high of Rs 1,38,381 per 10 grams and were up 1.01 per cent as of 10.48 am.

MCX silver surged 1.7 per cent to a record high of Rs 2,16,596 per kilogram and was up 1.30 per cent as of 10.48 am. The dollar index had declined 0.20 per cent during the session, making gold cheaper in overseas currencies.

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Heightened geopolitical uncertainty, notably escalating US‑Venezuela tensions, has underpinned the rally, analysts said.

The US Coast Guard this month seized a super tanker under sanctions carrying Venezuelan oil and tried to intercept two more Venezuela‑related ships over the weekend, heightening tensions, according to multiple reports.

“Safe haven bidding is featured to start a holiday‑shortened trading week, amid heightened geopolitical tensions,” Rahul Kalantri, VP Commodities, Mehta Equities Ltd, said.

Intensifying US-Venezuela tensions and the killing of a Russian army general in a bomb attack on Monday increased geopolitical risk and supported gold and silver, Kalantri said.

Both precious metals also gained after cooling-off US inflation and no bigger surprise from the Bank of Japan policy meetings last week, he added.

Gold has support at the Rs 1,35,550-1,34,710 zone, while resistance is at the Rs 1,37,650-1,38,470 levels.

Silver has support at Rs 2,11,150-2,10,280 zone while resistance is at Rs 2,13,810, 2,14,970 levels, the analyst said.

Aggressive central bank buying, expectations of US Fed rate cuts, concerns over the impact of US tariffs, geopolitical tensions, and robust inflows into gold and silver ETFs drove the gold and silver prices this year.

Domestic spot gold prices have surged 76 per cent year‑to‑date and international gold prices almost 70 per cent in 2025, on track for their strongest annual performance since 1979.

Both domestic and international prices of silver have gained about 140 per cent YTD.



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