Business
Interest rate cuts not on the horizon, Bank of England governor says
Reopening the Strait of Hormuz is “the best thing to do” to prevent interest rates rising, Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey has said.
In an interview on Thursday evening after the Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted unanimously to leave the rate unchanged at 3.75%, Mr Bailey said any further cuts are “not on the horizon” as he hinted at possible hikes.
It is the first time that all members have voted the same way since September 2021.
Iran effectively closed the vital oil and gas shipping route after the US and Israel attacked the country, which has pushed up global prices.
Mr Bailey said the war in the Middle East is hitting petrol pumps now, will likely increase household energy costs in summer, and put pressure on food prices.
He told LBC’s Andrew Marr: “The duration of this problem is crucial.
“I would also say very clearly that the best way to solve this situation is not through monetary policy. It is through sorting out at the source of what’s going on.
“Frankly, reopening the Strait of Hormuz is the best thing to do. Get the energy market back on its normal footing, as it were.”
Asked if he has a message for US President Donald Trump, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, and “whoever’s in charge in Tehran”, Mr Bailey said: “The best thing we can do actually for the world economy… is to sort out the problem in terms of reopening the energy supply lines, because that is in the best interest of people in the world.”
UK military planners have joined the US Central Command to help formulate proposals for opening the Strait.
The MPC now expects Consumer Prices Index inflation to be around 3% in the second quarter of 2026, up from the 2.1% that had been forecast in February, with a potential rise in inflation up to 3.5% in the third quarter.
Mr Bailey was asked if he foresees, in the final two years of his term, the ambition to reduce inflation to at or below 2% being fulfilled.
He told the programme: “If you’d asked me this question three weeks ago, I was very optimistic on this.”
The governor added: “We are fully committed to the inflation target, and our job, frankly, is to deal with the shocks as they come along.
“I have to do that. I don’t wish them. I wish they were not happening, but they are and we will have to deal with them.”
He said the impact of the war will likely feed through into a higher Ofgem energy price cap from July.
It was put to Mr Bailey that the Middle East crisis comes at a time when the UK economy has already “not been growing strongly”.
He responded: “It is a very difficult time to have this happen, but frankly, any time would be pretty difficult to have this happen.
“This is a major shock to energy prices, and we have to deal with it.”
He said the “sustainable rate of growth” in the UK needs to be raised which could come from investment from pensions and artificial intelligence.
“I’m not starry-eyed about it, but it is probably the most likely area that we’re going to raise the growth rate of the economy and that’s important”, he said of AI.
The MPC signalled that if the conflict persists and has a bigger impact on UK prices, it would need to take a “more restrictive policy stance”, which indicates higher interest rates to control inflation.
The governor added: “The longer it goes on… I’m afraid to say, but it is rather an obvious point, the effect will be larger.”
He said that is why it is “imperative” that “everything is done that can be done to alleviate this effect”, adding: “That is the critical thing.”
Business
Heineken to boost British pubs with £44 million investment before World Cup
Heineken has announced a substantial investment exceeding £44 million into hundreds of its pubs across the UK, a move expected to create approximately 850 jobs.
The Dutch brewing giant’s Star Pubs operation, which manages 2,350 sites nationwide, is undertaking this significant financial commitment despite a challenging period for the pub sector.
The industry has faced considerable pressure over the past year, grappling with escalating labour costs and increases in national insurance contributions.
Concurrently, consumer spending has been constrained by concerns over inflation and rising unemployment, further impacting pub revenues. However, pubs did receive additional business rates support from the government last month, aimed at alleviating some of these financial burdens.
Lawson Mountstevens, managing director of Star Pubs, indicated that the investment strategy is partly designed to bolster revenues and help the group navigate the recent “sustained increases in running costs”.
This year, £44.5 million will be allocated to upgrades for 647 pubs. A notable 108 of these venues are earmarked for particularly significant cash injections, with each transformation costing at least £145,000.
Heineken clarified that while the majority of its pubs are group-owned, they are independently operated by local licensees. A key focus for this investment, particularly in the lead-up to the 2026 football World Cup, will be on sports-focused venues.
The pub firm and brewer has a history of significant investment in British pubs, having pumped £328 million into the sector since 2018. Work has already commenced at 52 locations, including eight projects dedicated to reopening boarded-up pubs that have endured lengthy closures.
Mr Mountstevens also urged the government to reduce the tax burden on pubs, arguing it would ease cost pressures and foster further job creation within the industry.
He stated: “We can only do so much; the root-and-branch reform of business rates that the industry has been calling for over many years is urgently required, as well as a lowering of the burden of taxation on pubs, including VAT and beer duty.”
He concluded with a direct appeal: “We are calling on the Government to support us in bringing out the best in the Great British pub.”
Business
GameStop makes $55.5bn takeover offer for eBay
GameStop’s boss Ryan Cohen says he sees potential to make eBay a much bigger rival to Amazon.
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Business
US denies Iranian report warship was struck by missiles
It comes as the US said on Monday it will begin to help “guide” vessels out of the Strait of Hormuz.
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