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Low costs, tech focused & more: How can Indian exports stay competitive? Explained – The Times of India

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Low costs, tech focused & more: How can Indian exports stay competitive? Explained – The Times of India


The global economy is slowing down and trade dynamics are undergoing a change.At a time like this, India needs to evaluate its export strategies, with focus on long-term competitiveness through technology, cost efficiency, and domestic production, Ajay Srivastava, founder of the Global Trade Research Initiative (GTRI) explainedSpeaking to ANI, Srivastava said, “The focus should be on lowering production costs, simplifying regulations, and accelerating ease of doing business especially in logistics, compliance, and taxation.He also highlighted the need for a dual approach, which combines foreign technology partnerships with investment in reverse engineering and product localisation.Referring to the electronics, machinery and digital technology sector, the GTRI chief said, “What India consumes, it must also be able to make and export.” Meanwhile, on the international trade front, negotiations with the US are advancing well, even though no official announcement has been made.India is also quietly reviewing sectoral risks and preparing to mitigate potential disruptions by diversifying trade away from the US and boosting domestic capabilities.Regarding Europe, Srivastava confirmed that the India-UK free trade agreement has been signed and is pending ratification in the British Parliament. “(The EU deal) is in an advanced stage of negotiation, with most chapters close to closure,” he said, adding that both agreements are expected to open new markets, strengthen investor confidence, and integrate supply chains with Europe.Global financial trends are another key factor for India. “When the Fed raises rates, money tends to flow back to the US, putting pressure on the rupee, widening the current account deficit, and tightening liquidity,” Srivastava warned. He stressed that careful macroeconomic management and strong domestic growth drivers will be critical to managing currency volatility while sustaining exports.On the question of India staying out of trade blocs like RCEP and CPTPP, Srivastava said the country is not at a disadvantage. “Nearly 80% of global trade still takes place at non-preferential tariff rates. Rather than rushing to join every bloc, India should focus on improving export competitiveness, logistics efficiency, and ease of doing business.”“India, rather than waiting for global stability, should use this ‘no-rules’ phase to rebuild the foundations of competitiveness across industry, agriculture, and services,” he said. Investments in green and digital technologies, large-scale manufacturing, and secure supply chains are key, he added.On addressing the trade deficit with China, he said India needs “large-scale reverse engineering, technology adaptation, and supply chain localisation” in sectors like electronics, machinery, and chemicals. “Over time, such capability-building will not only narrow the trade gap but also make India a credible global supplier,” he said.He concluded by urging coordinated action from both government and industry. “The government must provide a stable trade policy, faster clearances, and targeted incentives,” he said. “The private sector, in turn, should invest in R&D, design, branding, and technology partnerships to create globally competitive products.”“In a slower, more fragmented global economy, the winners will be those who build resilience at home while shaping trade on their own terms,” Srivastava said.





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Gold and silver sell-off gathers steam in correction after record highs

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Gold and silver sell-off gathers steam in correction after record highs



Gold and silver prices have continued to drop sharply in a “brutal” sell-off after hitting record highs in recent weeks.

The precious metals began falling on Friday in response to US President Donald Trump’s nomination for the incoming chairman of the Federal Reserve.

His choice for former Fed governor Kevin Warsh to replace current chairman Jerome Powell when his term ends in May soothed some investor nerves, which boosted the US dollar but saw appetite for safe-haven investments gold and silver slump in response.

Gold and silver suffered their worst trading days for decades on Friday and were down heavily again on Monday, with spot prices off by another 7% and 11% respectively at one stage.

Silver had plunged by nearly 30% on Friday and gold dropped over 9% in its worst one-day drop since 1983.

Gold and silver had been enjoying a record breaking rally as investors sought refuge amid global geopolitical uncertainty, conflict and tariff woes.

Ipek Ozkardeskaya, senior analyst at Swissquote, said: “The sell-off has been far more brutal than I, and many, expected.”

He added: “For silver, the rally on the way up was faster than gold’s, so the correction on the way down is faster too.”

Kathleen Brooks, research director at XTB, added: “If the sell off continues, then gold and silver are at risk of eroding their losses for the year so far.

“The historic move lower in silver prices has not stemmed a fall at the start of this week.

“Traders have not yet found a level that they are happy to buy the dips, and the timing of Chinese Lunar New Year in mid-February could accelerate the sell off, as Chinese traders reduce risk ahead of the holiday.”

UK and US stock markets are expected to open in the red on Monday, as the gold and silver rout has a knock on effect on mining giants, while Brent oil was also 5% lower.

Derren Nathan, head of equity research at Hargreaves Lansdown, said: “Mining stocks are likely to feel the heat as metal prices scramble to find a floor.

“Oil prices are also trending the wrong way for investors in commodity-focused companies.”



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Budget’s mild fiscal consolidation to be positive for GDP growth: Report

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Budget’s mild fiscal consolidation to be positive for GDP growth: Report


Mumbai: Lower revenue as a share of GDP has been more than offset by cuts to subsidies and spending on current schemes, leading to the smallest fiscal consolidation in six years, likely positive for growth, a new report has said. 

The fiscal consolidation for FY27 is the slowest in six years. And the budgeted disinvestment, which is a below-the-line funding item, is likely to see the highest rise in six years, the report from HSBC Global Investment Research said.

“The central government continues with fiscal consolidation, though signing up for a gentler path for FY27; the fiscal impulse will likely turn neutral after several years in the negative, and this should be good news for GDP growth,” the research firm added.

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The report said that the services sector was the focus of the Budget, “with ambitious plans and increased outlays for medical institutions, universities, tourism, sports facilities, and the creative economy.”

Urban infrastructure saw a renewed push with each City Economic Region (CER) set to receive get Rs 50 billion over 5 years.

Seven new high-speed rail corridors will connect major cities, the report noted, adding large cities will also get an incentive of Rs 1 billion if they issue municipal bonds worth more than Rs 10 billion.

The report highlighted policy priorities, saying, “new manufacturing sectors were given incentives, namely biopharma, semiconductors, electronic components, rare earth corridors, chemical parks, container manufacturing, and high-tech tool rooms.”

Direct taxes are expected to grow faster than nominal GDP while indirect taxes will expand more slowly, with gross tax revenues budgeted to rise about 8 per cent year‑on‑year, the report said.

Central government set a fiscal deficit target of 4.3 per cent of GDP for FY27 after a 4.4 per cent estimate for FY26, and nominal GDP growth was pegged at 10 per cent.



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India’s $5 trillion economy push: How ‘C+1’ strategy could turn country into world’s factory

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India’s  trillion economy push: How ‘C+1’ strategy could turn country into world’s factory


New Delhi: India is preparing for a major economic transformation. The Union Budget 2026-27 lays out measures that could make the country the top choice for global manufacturing using the popular ‘China +1’ (C+1) strategy. This comes as international companies rethink supply chains after COVID-19 disruptions, rising trade tariffs and geopolitical tensions.

India has positioned itself as the backup factory for the world that is ready to absorb international demand in case of any crisis in China or Taiwan.

The government has offered tax breaks for cell phone, laptop, and semiconductor makers, making India more attractive to foreign investors. Reducing bureaucratic hurdles for global firms, the budget also strengthens the National Single Window System to simplify business procedures. The message is clear: India is ready to step in as a global manufacturing hub, ensuring supply continuity for the world.

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The expressway to a $5 trillion economy

China presently dominates about 40% of global manufacturing. Its factories supply critical products worldwide, but 2026 is expected to be a turning point. Expanding influence and economic opacity have made global companies seek alternatives.

India has leveraged this moment, offering a comprehensive incentive package for foreign manufacturers. Analysts call it more than policy; it is a blueprint to become a $5 trillion economy and reclaim India’s historic position as a global industrial leader.

Why the world needs India now

The COVID-19 pandemic exposed the dangers of over-reliance on a single supplier. When China halted medical exports, nations realised the need for diversified supply chains. Major companies such as Apple and Samsung now see India as a dependable alternative.

China’s aging workforce and rising labour costs further enhance India’s appeal. With 65% of its population under 35, India offers a vast, skilled and affordable workforce for decades. The geopolitical uncertainty surrounding Taiwan, which produces 90% of advanced chips, has also created demand for a secure manufacturing backup. India is stepping in to fill that gap.

How India stands to gain from China’s challenges

India’s budget, 2026-27, slashes import duties on cell phone and laptop components, turning the country into a hub for component manufacturing, not just assembly. Electronics exports are projected to cross $120 billion by 2025.

The government has also launched a Rs 1.5 lakh crore semiconductor mission, attracting companies like Tata and Micron to establish advanced chip plants in India. In the chemical sector, stricter environmental regulations in China have shut down several plants, benefiting Indian companies such as Privi Specialty and Aarti Industries, which are now filling gaps in global supply chains.

Incentives for companies

The Production Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme promises cash rewards for output, covering over 14 sectors. This is India’s answer to Chinese subsidies. From land acquisition to electricity connections, the National Single Window System now enables businesses to clear all approvals through a single portal.

Infrastructure investment has also received a massive boost, with Rs 11.11 lakh crore allocated under PM GatiShakti. New ports and dedicated freight corridors are being built to ensure that exports from India reach the world faster and cheaper than ever before.

India’s moves points to a strategic shift in global manufacturing. By rolling out the red carpet for foreign companies and investing heavily in infrastructure, technology and policy reforms, the country is poised to become the go-to destination for global supply chains. The C+1 formula is not only a concept; it is a roadmap to turn India into the next industrial superpower and a $5 trillion economy.

 

 



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