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Market Outlook: Global Events, GST Reforms, FII Trends To Drive Dalal Street This week

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Market Outlook: Global Events, GST Reforms, FII Trends To Drive Dalal Street This week


The Indian stock market will take cues from a mix of global and domestic triggers when it reopens for trading this week after the Independence Day holiday. Experts say factors such as the outcome of the Donald Trump-Vladimir Putin meeting, Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s announcement on GST reforms, movements in US markets, and the ongoing buying and selling trends of foreign and domestic investors will play a major role in deciding the direction of Dalal Street.

Last week, the Nifty and Sensex finally broke a six-week losing streak, closing with gains of around 1 per cent. However, foreign institutional investors (FIIs) continued heavy selling, offloading shares worth nearly Rs 10,000 crore in the cash market.

Domestic institutional investors (DIIs) cushioned the fall with strong purchases of about Rs 19,000 crore. Sector-wise, pharma and auto stocks led the recovery while FMCG shares lagged behind. One of the biggest triggers for the coming week is the understanding reached between US President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin on the Ukraine conflict.

Their meeting in Alaska on Friday did not produce a ceasefire but both leaders signaled progress, which could boost market sentiment globally. Back home, Prime Minister Modi’s Independence Day announcement of GST 2.0 reforms is being seen as a positive sign for investors.

The PM said the government would roll out major rate cuts by Diwali, especially on everyday-use goods, to make the tax regime more business- and consumer-friendly. Analysts believe this could improve market confidence.

Global cues from Wall Street will also have an impact. US markets ended mixed last week, with the Dow closing in the green while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq slipped on weak industrial output data despite stronger retail sales numbers.

In addition, corporate actions such as dividends, rights issues, stock splits and bonus shares lined up for more than 100 companies this week are likely to add stock-specific movements. Meanwhile, the trend of FIIs and DIIs will remain crucial. Crude oil prices, which cooled off after the Trump-Putin talks, may also provide some relief, said analysts.



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OGRA Announces LPG Price Increase for December – SUCH TV

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OGRA Announces LPG Price Increase for December – SUCH TV



The Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (OGRA) has approved a fresh increase in the price of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), raising the cost for both domestic consumers and commercial users.

According to the notification issued, the LPG price has been increased by Rs7.39 per kilogram, setting the new rate at Rs209 per kg for December. As a result, the price of a domestic LPG cylinder has risen by Rs87.21, bringing the new price to Rs2,466.10.

In November, the price of LPG stood at Rs201 per kg, while the domestic cylinder was priced at Rs2,378.89.

The latest price hike is expected to put additional pressure on households already grappling with rising living costs nationwide.



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Taxable Value Of Goods Surges 15% In Sep-Oct As GST Cuts Boost Consumption

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Taxable Value Of Goods Surges 15% In Sep-Oct As GST Cuts Boost Consumption


New Delhi: The taxable value of all supplies under GST surged by a robust 15 per cent during September-October this year, compared to the same period in 2024 due to sharp increase in consumption triggered by the tax rate cuts on goods across sectors that kicked in from September 22, according to official sources.

The growth in the same two-month period last year was 8.6 per cent. “This surge in taxable value during ‘Bachat Utsav’ demonstrates strong consumption uplift, stimulated by reduced rates and improved compliance behaviour,” a senior official said.

He pointed out that the growth has especially been strong in sectors where rate rationalisation was implemented, such as FMCG, pharma goods, food products, automobiles, medical devices and textiles. In these sectors, the taxable value of supplies has seen significantly higher growth, confirming that lower GST rates translated directly into higher consumer spending.

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“It vindicates our strategy that reducing rates on essentials and mass-use sectors would create demand-side buoyancy — a Laffer Curve–type demand uplift,” he explained.These trends confirm that GST next-gen reforms have not disrupted revenue stability, and that consumption-side buoyancy has begun to translate into higher taxable value in key sectors.

This growth is in value terms which means that since GST rates were lower, the growth in volume terms will be even higher. It is clearly visible that while the Next Gen Reforms resulted in significant Bachat — increased consumption, industry has been very proactive in passing on the GST savings to the final consumers and ensuring that there is no supply side deficiency.

As GDP private consumption data will be released much later, GST taxable value serves as the most reliable real-time proxy for consumption, and the current numbers clearly indicate sustained demand expansion, the official added. 



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Private sector data: Over 2 lakh private companies closed in 5 years; govt flags monitoring for suspicious cases – The Times of India

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Private sector data: Over 2 lakh private companies closed in 5 years; govt flags monitoring for suspicious cases – The Times of India


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NEW DELHI: The government on Monday said that over the past five years, more than two lakh private companies have been closed in India.According to data provided by Minister of State for Corporate Affairs Harsh Malhotra in a written reply to the Lok Sabha, a total of 2,04,268 private companies were shut down between 2020-21 and 2024-25 due to amalgamation, conversion, dissolution or being struck off from official records under the Companies Act, 2013.Regarding the rehabilitation of employees from these closed companies, the minister said there is currently no proposal before the government, as reported by PTI. In the same period, 1,85,350 companies were officially removed from government records, including 8,648 entities struck off till July 16 this fiscal year. Companies can be removed from records if they are inactive for long periods or voluntarily after fulfilling regulatory requirements.On queries about shell companies and their potential use in money laundering, Malhotra highlighted that the term “shell company” is not defined under the Companies Act, 2013. However, he added that whenever suspicious instances are reported, they are shared with other government agencies such as the Enforcement Directorate and the Income Tax Department for monitoring.A major push to remove inactive companies took place in 2022-23, when 82,125 companies were struck off during a strike-off drive by the corporate affairs ministry.The minister also highlighted the government’s broader policy to simplify and rationalize the tax system. “It is the stated policy of the government to gradually phase out exemptions and deductions while rationalising tax rates to create a simple, transparent, and equitable tax regime,” he said. He added that several reforms have been undertaken to promote investment and ease of doing business, including substantial reductions in corporate tax rates for existing and new domestic companies.





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