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Momentum fizzles at PSX as KSE-100 slips 118 points in range-bound session | The Express Tribune
Banking, cement and E&P sectors drag market; KSE-100 closes at 161,984 amid low volumes, cautious sentiment
The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) witnessed a lacklustre and choppy session on Monday, with the benchmark KSE-100 index failing to sustain early gains and eventually closing marginally lower.
After opening on a firm note, the index climbed to an intra-day high of 162,385.33 by mid-day, adding around 282 points. However, profit-taking and mixed investor sentiment erased these advances, pushing the benchmark to an intra-day low of 161,241.47 amid persistent volatility.
By the close of trading, the KSE-100 settled at 161,984.09, down 118.84 points or 0.07%.
Market participants attributed the subdued performance to the absence of clear market-moving triggers, with investors choosing caution ahead of key macroeconomic updates. Analysts noted that while the market’s muted close reflected uncertainty, consolidation around current levels could offer stability provided volumes pick up and policy clarity improves.
In its report, KTrade Securities said the PSX opened the rollover week with low volumes, range-bound activity, and muted participation. The brokerage noted that the Oil & Gas sector led the selling pressure, with Mari Energies, Oil and Gas Development Company, Pakistan Oilfield and Pakistan Petroleum dragging the index lower. In contrast, the fertiliser sector recorded a positive session, driven by gains in Fauji Fertiliser and Engro Corporation.
Read: PSX stays range bound before futures rollover
KTrade added that market sentiment in the coming sessions would likely depend on political developments, rollover-related flows, and major macroeconomic indicators. It further highlighted that progress on the upcoming IMF tranche and evolving regional geopolitical dynamics would remain crucial in shaping near-term market direction.
Topline Securities reported that the local bourse stayed largely range-bound as investors adopted a cautious stance amid the expiry of November futures contracts. It said concerns over the law-and-order situation in Peshawar also weighed on early trade. However, selective buying later in the session helped stabilise the index at 161,984, after registering the day’s high of 162,385 and low of 161,241.
According to Topline, key heavyweights including Fauji Fertiliser, Engro Fertiliser, Pioneer Cement, Bank Al Habib, and Habib Bank collectively added 499 points to the index. Meanwhile, Mari Energies, Oil & Gas Development Company, Meezan Bank, Pakistan Oilfield, and Pakistan Petroleum were the leading decliners, subtracting a combined 347 points.
Overall market participation weakened, with trading volume falling to 490.4 million shares compared to 768 million on the previous session’s close. Traded value stood at Rs23.66 million. Out of 477 companies traded, 191 closed higher, 247 declined, and 39 remained unchanged.
PIA Holding emerged as the volume leader, with 63.3 million shares changing hands. The stock gained Rs1.5 to close at Rs34.94.
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Oil surges past 4% as Iran keeps Hormuz locked – SUCH TV
At around 8.25 am, the benchmark US oil contract, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) climbed 4.06% to US$96.73 per barrel.
International oil benchmark Brent North Sea crude rose 3.62% to US$105.63. Both eased back in the following minutes.
Oil prices have soared since Israel and the US attacked Iran on Feb 28, and they have kept inching up due to the uncertainty over whether war will resume.
As the clock ticked for a return to the war that has engulfed the region, US President Donald Trump had said Tuesday he would maintain the truce to allow more time for Pakistani-brokered peace talks.
Iran said it welcomed the efforts by Pakistan but made no other comment on Trump’s announcement.
Wall Street stocks gained ground following President Trump’s unilateral ceasefire extension in the Iran war.
All three major US stock indexes advanced, with tech shares helping to put the Nasdaq out front, while gold advanced and the dollar edged higher.
The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq reached record closing highs.
“Despite the energy shock and headlines that have inundated investors, the macroeconomy, corporate fundamentals, and consumer spending remain strong,” said Bill Merz, head of capital markets research at US Bank Wealth Management in Minneapolis.
“Investors are taking the stance that the Strait of Hormuz will open before too much damage is inflicted on the global economy.”
Iran’s Revolutionary Guards seized two vessels for maritime violations just hours after Trump agreed to extend the ceasefire until negotiations are concluded.
About a fifth of the world’s oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) supplies normally pass through the strait.
US stocks, initially battered by the war, have since made a full recovery, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq having reached all-time closing highs in recent sessions.
But geopolitical uncertainty lingers, and a prolonged period of elevated oil prices remains a threat.
About two-thirds of the S&P 500 companies that have reported quarterly earnings since the beginning of April have voiced concerns about energy prices in their analyst conference calls, according to a Reuters review of transcripts.
“Anytime there’s a global event like the conflict in the Middle East, and it grabs so many headlines and captures attention, it will crop up in earnings commentary,” Merz added. “But we’re not seeing it significantly impact behaviour yet.”
First-quarter earnings season is well underway amid lofty expectations. Analysts currently estimate year-on-year S&P 500 earnings growth of 14.4% for the January-March period, according to the most recent LSEG data.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 341.27 points, or 0.69%, to 49,490.52, the S&P 500 +gained 73.90 points, or 1.05%, to 7,137.91, and the Nasdaq Composite was up 397.60 points, or 1.64%, to 24,657.57.
European shares ended lower for the third straight session as the Middle East strife continued to weigh on markets and investors assessed a raft of corporate earnings.
Dozens of international firms have withdrawn guidance or signalled price hikes since the war began.
MSCI’s gauge of stocks across the globe rose 4.52 points, or 0.42%, to 1,070.98.
The pan-European STOXX 600 index fell 0.35%, while Europe’s broad FTSEurofirst 300 index fell 8.58 points, or 0.35%.
Emerging market stocks fell 9.41 points, or 0.58%, to 1,606.07. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan closed lower by 0.6%, to 822.27, while Japan’s Nikkei .N225 rose 236.69 points, or 0.40%, to 59,585.86.
The dollar rose amid lingering geopolitical worries.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, rose 0.26% to 98.63, with the euro down 0.32% at $1.1704.
Against the Japanese yen, the dollar strengthened 0.12% to 159.56.
In cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin gained 4.13% to $78,866.74. Ethereum rose 3.48% to $2,398.37.
US Treasury yields increased, rangebound amid choppy trading.
The yield on benchmark US 10-year notes rose 1.2 basis points to 4.304%, from 4.292% late on Tuesday.
The 30-year bond yield rose 1.1 basis points to 4.9091% from 4.898% late on Tuesday.
The 2-year note yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations for the Federal Reserve, rose 2.1 basis points to 3.8%, from 3.779% late on Tuesday.
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