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Monterey classic car auctions kick off, and sales expectations are tepid

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Monterey classic car auctions kick off, and sales expectations are tepid


A general view at Pebble Beach Concours d’Elegance on August 18, 2024 in Monterey, California. Since 1950, the annual Pebble Beach Concours d’Elegance has hosted the world’s most beautiful and expensive collectable cars on the Competition Field along Carmel Bay.

Matt Jelonek | Getty Images News | Getty Images

A version of this article appeared in CNBC’s Inside Wealth newsletter with Robert Frank, a weekly guide to the high-net-worth investor and consumer. Sign up to receive future editions, straight to your inbox.

Up to $400 million worth of classic cars will roll across the auction block in Monterey and Pebble Beach this week, marking the biggest test of the year for the collectible car market and wealthy owners.

An estimated 1,140 classic cars will come up for sale at Monterey Car Week, the annual gathering of classic car collectors from around the world. The sales total is estimated to come in between $367 million and $409 million, according to Hagerty. The midpoint of that range, at $388 million, would mark the third year of declines in sales, and an 18% drop from the recent peak of $471 million in 2022.

The high end of the market is the weakest. The Monterey auctions – held by RM Sotheby’s, Gooding & Co., Mecum, Bonhams and others – have traditionally featured at least a half-dozen cars priced at $10 million or more. This year there’s only one – the fewest in over a decade. The average sale price has dropped to $473,000 this year from $477,000 last year.

“Pebble Beach is the annual health check on the market,” said Simon Kidston, a classic car advisor and dealer. “Everybody waits to see what happens at Pebble Beach before committing to a major decision the rest of the year.”

Like the art market and other types of collectibles, classic cars have been in slow decline since the pandemic rally in 2021 and 2022. Collectibles prices are down 2.7% over the past 12 months, according to the Knight Frank Luxury Investment Index. Classic car prices are down 0.2% overall – better than the 20% drop in the art market but not as strong as jewelry (up 2.5%) or coins (up 13%).

Classic car dealers and auctioneers blame global uncertainty, with wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, along with weakness in China. Higher interest rates are also a factor, raising the opportunity cost of buying a classic car, since risk-free cash still earns over 4% or more. Some also point to a surging stock market for the past three years, which makes collectibles relatively less attractive.  

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Yet experts say the biggest reason for the classic car slowdown is a generational shift. Baby boomers, who have powered the classic car market for decades, are aging out or downsizing. The new generation of millennials and Gen Zers, who are coming into wealth and collecting, want newer and fewer collectible cars. The shift is expected to accelerate as an estimated $100 trillion is passed from older to younger generations, giving fuel to the new breed of collector.

“It’s a big rotation,” said McKeel Hagerty, CEO of Hagerty, the classic car insurance, auction and events company. “Some of the older-guard collectors are framing it, ‘The market is soft at the top end.’ But here’s a lot of depth in this market. It’s just rotating to younger buyers and newer cars.”

That rotation has left the market for 1950s and 1960s cars with oversupply and falling prices. Many baby boomers are trying to clear their garages and sell, while others are passing their cars on to their kids, who often don’t share the same passion.

Gooding & Co. is selling three Ferrari 250 GT California Spiders this week, including the most expensive lot of the week, a 1961 250 GT SWB California Spider with an alloy body and original hardtop estimated at over $20 million. “Cal Spiders,” as they’re known, were made famous in the movie “Ferris Bueller’s Day Off,” have long been a rare and special sighting at auctions. Seeing three at the same auction series is highly unusual.

Kidston said the alloy body Cal Spider would have likely fetched $25 million to $30 million a few years ago.

“It’s one of the great road cars of all time,” he said. “It has intrinsic value, with provenance, sophistication, beauty and usability.”

Prices and demand for many cars that are over 50 years old are down as much as 20% to 30% from the peaks, dealers and brokers say.

“It’s just the question of what clears the market, and can their egos handle it,” Hagerty said. “If it’s an $18 million car, and it becomes a $13 million car, it’s still a multimillion-dollar car, which is pretty amazing.”

Hagerty said that falling prices have driven more sales to the private market, directly between buyer and seller, rather than to the auctions. Sellers with prominent cars don’t want their discounted sales prices to be public, so they opt to sell privately.

“That way nobody has to feel embarrassed,” Hagerty said. “We’re seeing a surprisingly large amount of private sales. Sometimes a car will hit the market and sell in a couple of hours and close by the end of the day.”

At the same time, auctions of newer super cars are skyrocketing. Millennials and Gen Zers are bidding up prices for rare cars from the 1980s, 1990s and 2000s. They also prefer cars that are more affordable and practical. Rather than keeping a $10 million 1962 Ferrari 250 GT SWB Berlinetta locked up in a private Garage Mahal, the new breed wants post-1980s Porsches, BMWs and later-model Ferraris they can enjoy every day and not have to constantly repair.

Along with affordable exotics, young collectors are also paying up for supercars, especially rare and highly specific Paganis, Bugattis and Rufs, the boutique German builder. A 1989 Ruf CTR “Yellowbird” sold in March for a record $6 million at Gooding & Co. at the Amelia Island sales.

Two years ago, the average model year of the cars being sold at Pebble was 1964. This year it’s 1974, which still underestimates the bar-bell distribution of cars from the 1950s at one end and the 1980s and 1990s cars at the other.

Sales of modern supercars — defined as those from 1975 or later – will likely overtake sales of so-called “Enzo-era” Ferraris (made before 1988) at Monterey for the first time, according to Hagerty.

Some experts even worry that the modern supercar segment has become over-inflated and speculative. Like momentum trades in the stock market, which retail investors buy on the basic premise that someone else will buy it for more, modern supercars seem to be rising indiscriminately.

“If it’s all solely reduced to what is more saleable, then collecting becomes very superficial,” Kidston said. “I don’t believe collecting should be ruled by investing. You should keep an eye on the financial implications of what you buy. But it should not be the be-all and end-all. Otherwise it just becomes like bitcoin.”

Here are the top lots from Monterey Car Week, compiled by Hagerty:

1. 1961 Ferrari 250 GT SWB California Spider Competizione

Sold by Gooding & Co., estimated at more than $20 million

A 1961 Ferrari 250 GT SWB California Spider Competizione
up for auction at Monterey Car Week.

Mathieu Heurtault | Courtesy of Gooding & Co.

2. 1993 Ferrari F40 LM

Sold by RM Sotheby’s, estimated at $8.5 million to $9.5 million

A 1993 Ferrari F40 LM up for auction at Monterey Car Week.

Courtesy of RM Sotheby’s

3. (tied) 1973 Ferrari 365 GTB/4 Daytona Competizione

Sold by Gooding & Co., estimated at $8 million to $10 million

A 1973 Ferrari 365 GTB/4 Daytona Competizione up for auction at Monterey Car Week.

Mathieu Heurtault | Courtesy of Gooding & Co.

3. (tied) 1961 Ferrari 250 GT SWB California Spider

Sold by Gooding & Co., estimated at $8 million to $10 million

A 1961 Ferrari 250 GT SWB California Spider up for auction at Monterey Car Week.

Mathieu Heurtault | Courtesy of Gooding & Co.

4. 1957 Ferrari 250 GT LWB California Spider Prototipo

Sold by Gooding & Co., estimated at $7.5 million to $9 million

A 1957 Ferrari 250 GT LWB California Spider Prototipo up for auction at Monterey Car Week.

Mathieu Heurtault | Courtesy of Gooding & Co.

5. 2020 Bugatti Divo

Sold by Bonhams, estimated at $7 million to $9 million

A 2020 Bugatti Divo up for auction at Monterey Car Week.

Courtesy of Bonhams



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EY and Microsoft launch AI skills passport: Free program to train youth in AI; focus on career growth – The Times of India

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EY and Microsoft launch AI skills passport: Free program to train youth in AI; focus on career growth – The Times of India


EY and Microsoft on Saturday launched the AI Skills Passport, a free online learning initiative aimed at equipping Indian students and early-career professionals with essential artificial intelligence (AI) skills. The program targets individuals aged 16 and above and is designed to bridge the country’s growing AI skills gap, according to an EY statement, ANI reported.Part of a global effort that has already engaged over 40,000 participants worldwide, the AI Skills Passport offers self-paced learning modules spanning around 10 hours, available in both English and Hindi. The curriculum covers AI fundamentals, responsible AI, and practical applications across sectors including healthcare, finance, and technology. Participants also receive guidance on job readiness, including resume tips, interview support, and networking insights.Learners who complete the program are awarded a verifiable digital badge, enhancing their professional profiles. The initiative is part of EY Ripples, EY’s global corporate responsibility programme, and will partner with not-for-profit organisations to ensure students from economically weaker backgrounds have access to mentorship, learning, and career guidance.Monesh Dange, Partner and Leader, Alliances and Ecosystems, EY India, said, “In an era where AI is revolutionising work, the AI Skills Passport addresses India’s urgent need for skilled talent. Together with Microsoft, we aim to ensure the program is accessible and impactful at scale.”Bhaskar Basu, Enterprise Partnerships Leader, Microsoft India & South Asia, added, “AI is transforming India’s digital economy, and youth are at its core. The AI Skills Passport brings high-quality AI learning to everyone, accelerating Microsoft’s goal to equip 10 million Indians with AI skills by 2030.”





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Environment minister Bhupender Yadav heads to Brazil: India engages in pre-talks ahead of COP30; climate finance and adaptation on agenda – The Times of India

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Environment minister Bhupender Yadav heads to Brazil: India engages in pre-talks ahead of COP30; climate finance and adaptation on agenda – The Times of India


Union Environment Minister Bhupender Yadav is set to travel to Brasília on October 13-14 for a pre-COP meeting as India steps up preparations for the UN climate summit COP30, scheduled in Belém, Brazil, in November. The meeting aims to streamline negotiations on key issues and build consensus among ministers before the main conference. He confirmed his visit on his X account. The two-day pre-COP will bring together environment and climate ministers, senior negotiators, and observers to narrow differences on politically sensitive issues and build ministerial consensus ahead of the COP30 negotiations, PTI reported. The COP30 presidency expects 30-50 delegations and around 800 participants at the event.Pre-COPs, while not formal UNFCCC events, have become a routine instrument for host countries to focus ministerial attention on a limited set of political questions that otherwise take negotiators weeks to resolve. Ministers use these meetings to test negotiating texts, identify common ground, and prepare positions to expedite negotiations at the main COP.COP30 is unfolding against a complex geopolitical backdrop, with some developed countries reassessing climate strategies amid economic and energy security pressures. The United States’ withdrawal from the Paris Agreement has further heightened tensions. Disagreements over climate finance, the pace and responsibility of the energy transition, and burdens on developing countries remain sharp.Trust between developed and developing countries is fragile following COP29 in Baku, Azerbaijan, where many Global South delegates said finance outcomes fell short of expectations. Central issues include the scale and nature of climate finance, grant versus loan structures, and predictability of funds for adaptation and loss and damage. These topics are expected to dominate discussions in Brasília and later in Belém.Logistical concerns are adding further pressure. Reports indicate shortages of hotel rooms and high costs in Belém, potentially limiting participation of smaller delegations and vulnerable countries. Observers warn that unequal attendance could affect negotiating dynamics and the legitimacy of outcomes.Key discussion points include climate finance, the post-2025 collective finance goal, rules and integrity for international carbon trading under Article 6, adaptation and national adaptation plans, and translating the Global Stocktake into actionable timelines. Loss and damage finance will also be a priority, with ministers aiming to make it predictable and accessible.India has emphasised equity and differentiated responsibilities in climate action, urging developed countries to meet Article 9 obligations on finance. It has pressed for predictable and concessional support for adaptation and loss and damage, while highlighting the need for technology transfer and capacity building aligned with national circumstances. India has also underscored a just energy transition that allows space for development.Ahead of COP30, India plans to submit two key documents: an updated Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC), extending commitments to 2035, and the country’s first national adaptation plan (NAP). The updated NDC is expected to raise ambition on emissions intensity of GDP, non-fossil electricity capacity, and carbon sinks through forest and tree cover, without introducing new pledges. India has already exceeded its target for non-fossil installed capacity ahead of the 2030 deadline.Officials told PTI that India will closely monitor outcomes on carbon markets and accounting, ensuring that poorly designed rules do not shift burdens or create perverse incentives.





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Foreign Investors Turn Buyers In Indian Markets This Month Amid Positive Cues

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Foreign Investors Turn Buyers In Indian Markets This Month Amid Positive Cues


New Delhi: The intensity of foreign portfolio investor (FPI) selling in the Indian markets slowed down significantly in October, analysts said on Sunday.

The shift in the FPI trading strategy is significant and it stems from two factors.

One, the valuation differentials between India and other markets, which were high earlier, had come down significantly in recent weeks following the rally in other markets and consolidation in the Indian market.

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“Two, the growth and earnings prospects for India have been revised upward by market experts. The GST cuts and the low interest regime are expected to boost India Inc’s earnings in FY27, which the market will soon start discounting,” said Dr VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist, Geojit Investments Ltd.

Foreign investors turned buyers in the cash market on the last four trading sessions of the week ended on October 10.

The cash market buy figure during the last four trading sessions stands at Rs 3,289 crore.

The global market sentiment has again turned negative with the reignite of the US-China trade war, following US President Donald Trump’s threat to impose 100 per cent tariff on imports from China and restricting many critical US exports to China.

The FPI flows, going forward, will depend on how this renewed trade war pans out in the coming days, said analysts.

Siddhartha Khemka, Head of Research, Wealth Management, Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd, said Nifty50 edged higher by 104 points to close at 25,285 last Friday, amid improving global sentiment, supported by easing geopolitical tensions as Israel and Hamas agreed on the first stage of a ceasefire plan, along with signs of progress in a potential India–US trade deal.

“Renewed FPI buying also boosted sentiment. Additionally, India and the UK announced multiple collaborations across sectors including education, critical minerals, climate change, and defence,” he mentioned.

With the valuation differential coming down and Indian earnings likely to improve in FY27, foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) are likely to slow down selling going forward.

Sustained FPI selling continued in September with the sell figure through exchanges touching Rs 27,163 crore. However, in keeping with the long-term trend of buying through the primary market, they bought equity for Rs 3,278 crore in September.

On the macro front, investors will closely track India’s retail inflation print for September, to be released on Monday.

 



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