Business
Nifty Prediction For December 1: Can Bulls Extend Their Grip Next Week? Check Support, Resistance
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Sensex, Nifty ended nearly flat after record highs as markets turn cautious ahead of RBI policy, US data, auto sales and key global triggers
Nifty Prediction For December 1
Nifty Prediction For Next Week: Indian equity benchmarks ended almost flat in a highly volatile session on Friday, November 29, a day after hitting fresh record highs. Breaking a two-day winning streak, the BSE Sensex slipped 13.71 points, or 0.02 per cent, to close at 85,706.67. During the session, it touched an intra-day high of 85,969.89 and a low of 85,577.82. The NSE Nifty50 also edged lower by 12.60 points, or 0.05 per cent, to settle at 26,202.95.
On Thursday, both benchmark indices had scaled fresh lifetime highs after a gap of 14 months, with the Sensex touching 86,055.86 and the Nifty hitting 26,310.45 in intraday trade. On a weekly basis, the Sensex gained 474.75 points, or 0.55 per cent, while the Nifty advanced 134.80 points, or 0.51 per cent.
Sensex Outlook: Key Levels to Watch
Technically, 86,045 remains the immediate resistance for the Sensex. A breakout above this level could pave the way for a fresh rally, while a fall below 85,500 may trigger further short-term weakness. Hitesh Tailor, Research Analyst at Choice Equity Broking, said the Sensex may consolidate in the coming week after reaching record highs. He sees immediate resistance at 86,000, with fresh buying likely on a decisive close above this level. On the downside, the 85,200–85,300 zone is expected to act as strong near-term support.
Top Five Triggers for the Indian Stock Market This Week
RBI Monetary Policy Meeting
The Reserve Bank of India’s Monetary Policy Committee, led by Governor Sanjay Malhotra, will meet from December 3 to 5, with the repo rate decision due on December 5. The RBI has kept the repo rate unchanged at 5.5 per cent since August after cutting it by a cumulative 100 basis points in the first half of the year. Market participants will closely track commentary on inflation, growth and the future rate-cut outlook.
Auto Sales Data
November automobile sales figures, scheduled for release on December 1, will be in sharp focus. Strong sales across passenger vehicles, two-wheelers and commercial vehicles could revive demand optimism, while weaker numbers may raise concerns over margins and rural consumption.
Key US Economic Data
Wall Street faces a full trading week, though data releases remain relatively light. Investors will track the delayed September reading of the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge. The ADP National Employment Report for November will be released on Wednesday, while the Bureau of Economic Analysis will publish the delayed PCE and Core PCE inflation data on Friday.
India–US Trade Deal
India is expected to finalise a trade agreement with the United States by the end of the year, as most unresolved issues have been settled, according to the country’s trade secretary. US President Donald Trump earlier said talks with Prime Minister Narendra Modi were progressing well. However, the US has imposed tariffs of up to 50 per cent on Indian imports since late August.
FII and DII Activity
On Friday, Foreign Institutional Investors sold equities worth Rs 3,795.72 crore, while Domestic Institutional Investors purchased shares worth Rs 4,148.48 crore, according to exchange data.
Gold Prices
Gold prices rose by Rs 700 on Friday to Rs 1,30,160 per 10 grams in Delhi on the back of positive global cues and strong investor demand. Gold with 99.5 per cent purity also climbed Rs 700 to Rs 1,29,560 per 10 grams. Meanwhile, spot gold gained 1 per cent to a two-week high globally on expectations of a US rate cut next month, boosting demand for the non-yielding metal. Silver also surged to a fresh all-time high.
Nifty Outlook for Monday, December 1
According to Pravesh Gour, Senior Technical Analyst at Swastika Investmart, Nifty is in a consolidation phase after hitting fresh record highs, suggesting profit booking at elevated levels. The index remains above short-term moving averages, keeping the broader bias positive. The 26,142–26,310 zone is crucial — a breakout could drive the index toward 26,405 and 26,570, while a slip below 26,150 may result in a corrective move toward 26,025 and 25,850.
Ravi Singh, Chief Research Officer at Master Capital Services, said Nifty continues to trade comfortably above its 21-day and 55-day EMAs, reinforcing a strong bullish setup. The MACD remains positive, suggesting continued momentum. He recommends a buy-on-dips strategy, with fresh longs around 26,050–26,000 and a stop-loss at 25,750. On the upside, Nifty could move toward the 26,500 level in the near term.
Bank Nifty Outlook
Bank Nifty scaled a fresh all-time high of 59,866 and extended its winning streak for the fifth straight week. The index continues to outperform, backed by strong participation from major banking stocks. A decisive move above 60,000 could push the index toward 60,300–60,400, while 59,400 and 59,000 are seen as key support levels on pullbacks.
Disclaimer: The views and investment tips by experts in this News18.com report are their own and not those of the website or its management. Users are advised to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.
Aparna Deb is a Subeditor and writes for the business vertical of News18.com. She has a nose for news that matters. She is inquisitive and curious about things. Among other things, financial markets, economy, a…Read More
Aparna Deb is a Subeditor and writes for the business vertical of News18.com. She has a nose for news that matters. She is inquisitive and curious about things. Among other things, financial markets, economy, a… Read More
November 30, 2025, 12:32 IST
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Business
India-US trade deal: Three-day talks to begin from April 20; what to expect – The Times of India
India and the United States are set to resume trade negotiations this week, with a delegation of about a dozen officials travelling from New Delhi to Washington for discussions on the first phase of the proposed bilateral trade agreement (BTA). The talks, scheduled from April 20 to 22, will be led by India’s chief negotiator Darpan Jain, additional secretary in the department of commerce, and will include officials from the customs department and the ministry of external affairs.“The meeting will happen from April 20-22 in Washington DC. India’s chief negotiator Darpan Jain (additional secretary in the department of commerce) is leading the team. Officers from customs and external affairs ministry are also part of the Indian team,” an official told PTI. This round of talks comes after major changes in the US tariff system, which have led both sides to reconsider the structure of the trade agreement finalised earlier this year and released on February 7.A key shift came after the US Supreme Court struck down reciprocal tariffs imposed under the 1977 International Emergency Economic Powers Act, prompting the US administration to introduce a temporary flat 10% tariff on all countries for 150 days from February 24. These developments resulted in postponing of a planned February meeting between the chief negotiators, with the rescheduled talks in Washington now set to take place under this updated tariff framework.With Washington now applying a uniform 10% tariff on all trading partners, the relative advantage India had under the earlier arrangement has diminished, leading to calls for revisiting the agreement. “So the agreement will have to be recalibrated, redrafted,” a government source has said, adding, “that amount of change will take place from their side”.“In our case, since the agreement has not been signed, we have got the option where we can right now change whatever needs to be changed,” the source has said.In addition to tariff issues, the discussions are expected to address two investigations initiated by the US Trade Representative under Section 301 of its trade law. India has contested the allegations in these probes and has asked for them to be withdrawn, arguing that the initiation notices do not provide adequate justification. The talks are taking place at a time when countries are reassessing their positions under the revised tariff system amid changes in global trade with the US.At the same time, trade patterns for India have also seen changes. China has become India’s largest trading partner in 2025-26, replacing the US, which had held that position for four consecutive years until 2024-25.Latest figures show India’s exports to the US rose slightly by 0.92% to $87.3 billion in the last financial year, while imports grew by 15.95% to $52.9 billion. This resulted in a narrowing of the trade surplus to $34.4 billion in 2025-26, compared with $40.89 billion in the previous year.
Business
Rs 20,000 crore gold, silver rush: What will people buy this Akshaya Tritiya? – The Times of India
This Akshaya Tritiya, India’s gold and silver markets are heading for bumper purchases, with overall trade likely to cross Rs 20,000 crore even as record-high prices reshape buying patterns. The estimate, shared by the Confederation of All India Traders (CAIT), is higher than last year’s Rs 16,000 crore, signalling growth in value despite a sharp rise in bullion rates.Prices for the yellow metal have surged sharply over the past year, going from Rs 1,00,000 per 10 grams, to Rs 1.58 lakh. Meanwhile, silver has shown a steeper rally, jumping from Rs 85,000 per kilogram to Rs 2.55 lakh per kilogram. According to CAIT, this sharp escalation has not weakened demand, but is instead prompting consumers to make more deliberate and value-oriented purchases.Praveen Khandelwal, member of parliament from Chandni Chowk and secretary general of CAIT told ANI, “Akshaya Tritiya has traditionally been one of India’s most auspicious occasions for purchasing gold… While gold continues to dominate, the nature of purchasing is evolving significantly in response to steep price escalation.”Commenting on customer preference, CAIT national president BC Bhartia highlighted, “There is a clear shift towards lightweight, wearable jewellery, alongside a stronger focus on silver and diamond products. Attractive incentives such as reduced making charges and complimentary gold coins are also helping sustain consumer interest.”Despite the increase in overall trade value, the quantity of metals being sold tells a different story. Pankaj Arora, National President of the All India Jewellers and Goldsmith Federation (AIJGF), an associate of CAIT, explained that the projected Rs 16,000 crore gold trade amounts to nearly 10,000 kilograms (10 tonnes) at current rates. The value, spread across an estimated 2 to 4 lakh jewellers, translates to average sales of only 25 to 50 grams per jeweller, “clearly indicating a sharp decline in volume”.Meanwhile for silver, the estimated Rs 4,000 crore trade corresponds to around 1,56,800 kilograms (157 tonnes), resulting in average sales of about 400 to 800 grams per jeweller during the festival period. “These figures underline a critical shift: while the value of business is expanding due to rising prices, actual consumption is contracting,” Khandelwal said.This gap between value and volume is also reshaping consumer’s buying pattern, with smaller items and lightweight jewellery gaining popularity. At the same time, jewellers are facing challenges due to fluctuating prices, especially when it comes to managing inventory.Even so, festive demand remains steady, with markets witnessing healthy footfall. “Consumers are now adopting a more cautious and pragmatic approach, balancing traditional beliefs with financial discipline,” Khandelwal added.At the same time, it’s not just about physical gold anymore as consumers are increasingly exploring alternatives like digital gold, Sovereign Gold Bonds and gold ETFs, drawn by the promise of liquidity, safety and flexibility when prices are volatile.CAIT and AIJGF have urged jewellers to comply with mandatory hallmarking standards, including HUID certification, and advised buyers to verify the purity and authenticity of their purchases.
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