Business
Oil prices surge, stocks mixed after Trump’s latest Iran threat – SUCH TV
Oil prices rose Tuesday while equities were mixed as investors assessed Donald Trump’s latest deadline for Iran to reopen the strategic Strait of Hormuz or be “decimated”.
As the Middle East war entered its sixth week, the US president warned Tehran that its civilian infrastructure would be destroyed if it did not let ships through the waterway, through which a fifth of global crude and gas passes.
The remarks came as he and the Islamic republic said a proposal touted by international mediators for a 45-day ceasefire was not yet ready.
Trump told a news conference that “the entire country” of Iran “could be taken out in one night and that night might be tomorrow night”, if his ultimatum to reopen the Strait by 0000 GMT Wednesday was not met.
“We have a plan… where every bridge in Iran will be decimated by 12 o’clock tomorrow night, where every power plant in Iran will be out of business, burning, exploding and never to be used again,” Trump said, brushing aside accusations that such a move would be a war crime.
“I mean complete demolition by 12 o’clock, and it’ll happen over a period of four hours — if we wanted to.”
The threat came after a profanity-laced social media post on Easter Sunday in which he vowed Iran would be “living in Hell” if it didn’t reopen the Strait.
Tehran said that if such an attack went ahead, it would retaliate by striking energy infrastructure in the Gulf, which could deal a further blow to already thin oil supplies and hammer the global economy.
Both main oil contracts rose Tuesday, with West Texas Intermediate topping $115 — its highest in a month — and Brent sitting around $111.
Equity markets fluctuated, with Tokyo, Singapore, Manila and Jakarta down while Shanghai, Sydney, Seoul, Wellington and Taipei rose. Hong Kong was closed for a holiday.
That followed a positive start to the week on Wall Street.
“Financial markets are oscillating in a narrow, uneasy range as traders sized up the countdown to Donald Trump’s Iran deadline,” wrote Stephen Innes at SPI Asset Management.
“Tentative ceasefire optics (were) offering brief relief but never fully offsetting the lingering risk of escalation,” he added.
“For now, the rhetoric has tightened, the threats sharpened, and yet the market is not capitulating, conditioned by repetition to expect de-escalation just before the edge.
“Traders are no longer reacting to what is said, but to when it is usually walked back.”
The hit to fuel supplies from the Middle East has forced governments around the world to unveil economic support measures amid fears of another spike in inflation.
On Tuesday, the Philippines said inflation jumped to a forecast-topping 4.1 percent in March, its highest level in nearly two years.
US figures last week showed growth in the country’s services activity cooled last month as companies monitored the higher energy prices and braced for supply chain disruptions.
In company news, Samsung rallied around one percent after estimating first-quarter profit soared 755 percent to an all-time high of $37.9 billion thanks to strong sales of chips crucial for artificial intelligence.
It also said sales were expected to surge 68 percent on-year to hit $88 billion in January-March.
– Key figures at around 0230 GMT –
West Texas Intermediate: UP 2.6 percent at $115.34 per barrel
Brent North Sea Crude: UP 1.3percent at $111.24 per barrel
Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.2 percent at 53,323.41 (break)
Shanghai – Composite: UP 0.5 percent at 3,899.09
Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: Closed for holiday
Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1530 from $1.1543 on Monday
Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.3216 from $1.3236
Dollar/yen: UP at 159.86 yen from 159.68 yen
Euro/pound: DOWN at 87.25 pence from 87.27 pence
New York – Dow: UP 0.4 percent at 46,669.88 (close)
London – Closed for holiday
Business
Pets at Home hoping for boost under new boss despite consumer pressure
Pets at Home investors will be hoping the retailer’s new boss can lay out a strategy to return it to profit growth despite a challenging consumer backdrop.
Shares in the company currently sit close to its lowest level for almost seven years following a recent downturn in the group’s retail arm.
The dip in the group’s performance contributed to the departure of previous chief executive Lyssa McGowan late last year.
In March, former Waitrose boss James Bailey took the reins in a bid to drive a turnaround in performance.
Shareholders will be hoping the new boss can show early signs of improvement and a long-term strategy to drive growth in Pets at Home’s update on Wednesday May 27.
The pet products retailer and vet chain is expected to report an underlying pre-tax profit of around £93 million for the year to March, according to analysts.
It would represent a roughly 30% fall from last year, after the company came under pressure from weak demand for discretionary products.
Analysts have said investors will be looking at early trading in the current financial year to see how consumer spending is holding up.
AJ Bell’s investment director Russ Mould said: “Pets at Home could badly do with some renewed pep.
“Under executive chair Ian Burke, who has returned to a non-executive role after leading the business on an interim basis, Pets at Home laid out a plan to fix a retail business which has been badly affected by a reduction in discretionary spend on toys and treats for Britons’ furry and feathered friends.
“The country may have a reputation for loving their animal companions but in an environment where households are having to watch their pennies, these nice-to-have items were off the list.”
The group has also seen sales of pet food and similar products face fierce pricing competition from non-specialist retailers, such as supermarkets.
It has since cut prices among around 1,000 products in order to help drive activity, with cash-strapped shoppers looking for value.
Data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed that UK retail sales volumes dropped to an 11-month low in April, with a 1.3% fall for the month.
Pets at Home is predicted to report revenues of £1.47 billion for the past year, just marginally lower than £1.482 billion reported last year.
Business
India’s fuel demand growth may slow sharply in H2 2026 amid price hikes, austerity push: Report
India’s transportation fuel demand growth is expected to slow sharply in the second half of 2026 as higher fuel prices, government-led conservation measures and a weakening rupee weigh on mobility and consumption trends, according to a report.The report by Kpler’s lead analyst (modelling), Elif Binici, revised down India’s 2026 refined products demand growth forecast by around 77,000 barrels per day (kbd), or 39 per cent, to nearly 78 kbd from an earlier estimate of 128 kbd.As per news agency PTI, the downgrade reflects weaker expected growth in petrol and diesel demand due to elevated fuel costs, softer mobility trends and official efforts to conserve fuel amid the ongoing West Asia crisis.Petrol and diesel prices have been increased by around Rs 5 per litre in three instalments since May 15, after oil marketing companies passed on part of the burden of soaring global crude oil prices to consumers.
Petrol demand faces steepest downside risk
The report said petrol demand is likely to see the sharpest slowdown, with projected growth revised down by 25 kbd, from 63 kbd to 38 kbd.Petrol consumption is now estimated at 1,010 kbd, compared to the earlier estimate of 1,035 kbd.According to the report, weaker commuting activity, slower discretionary travel and government fuel-saving campaigns are expected to curb fuel consumption.Annual diesel demand growth was also cut by around 20 kbd, while jet fuel demand growth was nearly halved to about 6 kbd from 11 kbd earlier due to expectations of reduced air travel and tighter spending patterns.“The revisions primarily reflect weaker expected growth in gasoline and diesel demand as higher costs, weaker mobility trends, and recent government-led fuel conservation efforts increasingly feed into domestic transportation activity,” the report said, as quoted by PTI.
Rupee weakness, crude surge add pressure
The report noted that India’s macroeconomic environment has deteriorated since the escalation of the US-Iran conflict, with rising crude import costs, refinery expenses and rupee depreciation increasing inflationary pressure.The rupee has weakened by around 6 per cent since the conflict began and nearly 10 per cent over the past year. Foreign exchange reserves have also reportedly declined by about 4.3 per cent since late February as authorities attempted to stabilise the currency and contain imported inflation.The report said the current average petrol price of around Rs 103 per litre remains well below the estimated breakeven level of nearly Rs 125 per litre.Diesel prices near Rs 94 per litre are also below the estimated breakeven range of Rs 115-120 per litre.Before the recent price revisions, state-run fuel retailers were reportedly losing nearly Rs 1,000 crore daily because rising crude procurement costs and currency weakness outpaced retail fuel prices.“The key issue is the inability of state-run retailers to pass through rising import costs quickly enough to restore profitability,” the report said.
Russian crude continues to support supply security
The report added that India’s dependence on discounted Russian crude imports, estimated at around 1.9-2 million barrels per day, continues to provide stability to the domestic fuel market amid geopolitical uncertainty in West Asia.Policymakers now appear to be prioritising macroeconomic stability, inflation management, foreign exchange preservation and fuel supply security over near-term fuel demand growth.The report warned that unless crude prices ease significantly, the rupee stabilises or additional fiscal support measures are introduced, further fuel price hikes and stricter fuel-conservation measures may become difficult to avoid.
Business
Scottish Government will be ‘bold, innovative and ambitious’ on industry – Flynn
The Scottish Government will be “bold, innovative and ambitious” in shaping Scotland’s industrial future, new Economy Secretary Stephen Flynn has said.
In his first official engagement in the role, Mr Flynn met former workers of the Grangemouth refinery and ExxonMobil Mossmorran ethylene plant, alongside Unite the union.
Last year, Grangemouth – Scotland’s only oil refinery – stopped processing crude oil after a century of operations.
Its closure meant the the loss of 430 of the 2,000 jobs based at the industrial complex.
In February, oil giant ExxonMobil closed its Mossmorran plastics plant in Fife with the loss of 400 jobs.
Mr Flynn said: “It has been heartening to hear more about the work that has been undertaken by a wide range of partners to support affected workers at Grangemouth and Mossmorran and drive positive outcomes for them and their families.”
He also visited the Grangemouth Industrial Complex to tour the facilities of Celtic Renewables, a biorefinery which has secured £11 million of Scottish Government and Scottish Enterprise funding.
The company is projected to create nearly 150 jobs by 2030.
He continued: “I was also pleased to visit Celtic Renewables, a growing success story which illustrates that there can – and must – be an incredibly bright and positive future for our industrial heartlands and the communities they support.
“It is imperative that we are bold, innovative and ambitious in collectively shaping Scotland’s industrial future. I will work to ensure strong, vibrant and indispensable industries – which have been let down by successive UK governments – are at the heart of Scotland’s economy.”
Scottish Enterprise chief executive Adrian Gillespie said: “It was great to join the Cabinet Secretary at Celtic Renewables and show first hand Scottish Enterprise’s continuing commitment to Grangemouth.
“Celtic Renewables is a strong example of an innovative, scaling company that has benefitted from Grangemouth’s excellent connectivity and skills, enabled by funding and support from Scottish Enterprise and our partners.
“We’ve worked with the company since its start-up in 2011 and continue to do so as it accelerates plans for a full-scale biorefinery creating more high-quality jobs.”
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