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PSX rebounds 1,500 points on reports of Iranian FM expected visit | The Express Tribune

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PSX rebounds 1,500 points on reports of Iranian FM expected visit | The Express Tribune



KARACHI:

The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) witnessed a day of extreme volatility on Friday, with the benchmark KSE-100 Index staging a dramatic recovery to close in the green after an initial plunge of nearly 3,000 points.

The KSE-100 Index closed at 170,672 points, gaining 1,498 points (+0.89% DoD), capping off a highly volatile session. The index initially plunged nearly 3,000 points amid weak sentiment but staged a sharp recovery in the latter half, briefly flipping into a strong rally before settling with solid gains, reflecting heightened intraday swings and fragile conviction, according to KTrade.

Volumes remained firm at 445 million shares, with activity concentrated in BOP (112mn), YOUW (72mn), and KEL (44mn), indicating continued retail-driven participation during the recovery phase.

Read More: Iranian FM expected to arrive in Islamabad tonight: state media

Sentiment turned notably in the second half on reports that Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi is expected to visit Islamabad with a delegation later on Friday, fueling speculation of potential diplomatic engagement. This triggered aggressive buying, helping the market recoup earlier losses and shift momentum decisively.

Looking ahead, caution remains warranted. The upcoming MPC meeting on Monday is a key trigger, with expectations of a rate hike amid persistent double-digit inflation. Additionally, elevated global oil prices and ongoing geopolitical tensions continue to pose risks.

However, any concrete progress or signals of negotiations between Iran and the US could act as a strong positive catalyst, potentially stabilising sentiment and supporting further upside in the near term.



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BP profits more than double as oil trading booms amid Iran war

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BP profits more than double as oil trading booms amid Iran war


BP has come under fire after revealing profits more than doubled in the first three months of the year, thanks to the soaring cost of crude caused by the Iran war.

Chief executive Meg O’Neill praised the quarter as sending the firm “in the right direction” and “strengthening the balance sheet” – but critics have labelled the energy giant’s revenues as “horrifying” as “millions suffer the fallout” from war.

The FTSE 100 firm revealed its preferred profit measure – underlying replacement cost profit – surged by over 130% to a better-than-expected $3.2bn (£2.4bn) in the first quarter, up from $1.38bn (£1.02bn) a year earlier and $1.54bn (£1.13bn) in the previous three months. Most analysts had expected first-quarter profits of $2.67bn (£1.97bn).

Campaigners accused the group of profiting at the expense of households, who have seen fuel prices rocket at the pumps and are set to see energy bills jump higher once more when the price cap is next updated on July 1.

The price of oil has risen from the mid-$60s range in February to over $100 now, spiking close to $120 several times during the course of the Iran war.

Patrick Galey, head of news investigations at campaigning organisation Global Witness, said: “It is horrifying to see BP’s profits grow as millions suffer the fallout from the US-Israel war on Iran. Unfortunately we’ve been here before – when Russia invaded Ukraine four years ago we saw big oil firms make bumper profits from spiralling fuel costs.  

“As oil prices drive up bills once again, it’s clear that fossil fuel companies don’t enhance affordability or energy security, they make life worse. They destroy the climate, push up the cost of living, and rake in billions in profit while innocent civilians die.

“It’s well overdue that we make oil companies pay for the damage their doing. If they broke it, they need to fix it. It’s clear they can afford to. BP profits, we all pay.”

Mike Childs, head of science, policy and research at Friends of the Earth, added: “Just as we saw in 2022 following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, fossil fuel giants are quids in when global instability drastically inflates fuel prices.

Most analysts had expected first-quarter profits of 2.67 billion dollars (£1.97 billion) (PA)

“But again, it’s ordinary people who pay the price when soaring energy prices threaten to plunge the UK into an even deeper cost-of-living crisis.”

The End Fuel Poverty Coalition called for a windfall tax on firms profiting from the Iran-related energy crisis.

The campaign group’s co-ordinator Simon Francis said: “These astronomical profits are a startling reminder that when conflict drives up the price of oil and gas, energy companies profit and households pay.”

BP’s new chief executive Meg O’Neill, who took over at the helm on April 1, said the group was ensuring fuel supplies are met across the UK.

She said: “The teams across BP are playing their part to keep oil, gas and refined products flowing during an incredibly challenging time – focused on maintaining safe, reliable and cost-efficient operations.”

She added: “We are working with customers and governments to get fuel where it’s needed, helping minimise disruption and the impact it can have on people’s lives.”

Ms O’Neill took over from Murray Auchincloss, who himself served only two years in the role after succeeeding Bernard Looney’s three-year tenure. Prior to the recent regular changes, Bob Dudley spent a full decade in the job up to 2020.

BP have struggled with strategy direction and the transition to clean energy, first doubling down on their green plan before an abrupt about-face turn.

In share price terms, the results saw BP rise 2.5 per cent in early trading on Tuesday, adding to a surge of more than 28 per cent in the past three months alone, as investors watched a soaring oil price and predicted the profits to come.

“In February, BP announced it was halting share buybacks as weak oil prices hurt profitability. How times change,” said Freetrade’s investment writer, Duncan Ferris.

“The firm has been among the best-performing supermajors since the escalation of conflict in Iran. Higher oil prices, and the opportunities they offer to the company’s traders, have breathed life into a stock battered by faltering low-carbon projects and investor unrest.”

Oil prices have raced higher since the US-Israel war on Iran started on February 28 and are now more than 60% up so far this year.

Brent crude reached close to 120 dollars a barrel at one stage and, despite falling back, is still above the 100 dollars level as peace talks falter and amid fears over a looming global energy supply crisis.

BP’s update showed its customers and products division – including its oil trading unit – reported profits of 2.5 billion (£1.84 billion), compared with 1.4 billion dollars (£1.03 billion) in the previous quarter and just 103 million dollars (£76.2 million) a year ago as traders were able to capitalise on highly volatile oil prices.

Additional reporting by PA



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Strait of Hormuz blockade persists, but India’s imports of Russian oil are down from highs seen in March – here’s why – The Times of India

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Strait of Hormuz blockade persists, but India’s imports of Russian oil are down from highs seen in March – here’s why – The Times of India


Nearly all Indian refiners, except Numaligarh Refinery, are now importing Russian crude. (AI image)

India’s imports of crude oil from Russia have dropped from the highs seen in March when the supply disruptions from the Middle East caused by the US-Iran war and the Strait of Hormuz closure prompted refiners to step up buys from Moscow.India’s imports of Russian crude oil have declined 20 per cent month-on-month in April to 1.57 million barrels per day, easing from the sharp surge recorded in March. The spike in March had been driven by the availability of floating cargoes during the Iran conflict, along with a temporary waiver on US sanctions. This waiver has been extended for now. Nearly all Indian refiners, except Numaligarh Refinery, are now importing Russian crude. This marks a significant shift from January, when only three refiners – namely Indian Oil, Nayara Energy and BPCL, were purchasing Russian oil after US sanctions on key Russian exporters had discouraged many buyers. Reliance resumed its Russian crude imports in February.Also Read | Iran war: Trump sanctions waiver or not – why India continues to buy Russian oil

Why are Russian crude oil imports down in April?

April volumes were affected by loading disruptions at a major Russian export terminal following a Ukrainian attack.Indian Oil Corporation remained the largest importer of Russian crude in both March and April. Between April 1 and April 26, the company imported an average of 670,000 barrels per day, accounting for roughly 42 per cent of India’s total Russian crude purchases. This was about two-and-a-half times the volume imported by Reliance Industries, which averaged 263,000 barrels per day, according to Kpler data quoted in an ET report. In March, Indian Oil had imported 589,000 barrels per day. Other major buyers in April included Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited at 136,000 barrels per day, Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited at 83,000 barrels per day, Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Limited at 68,000 barrels per day, HPCL-Mittal Energy Limited at 66,000 barrels per day, and Nayara Energy at 28,000 barrels per day. The buyers of an additional 262,000 barrels per day could not be immediately identified.Nayara Energy’s imports dropped sharply from 315,000 barrels per day in March, largely because the Rosneft-backed refiner began a 35-day maintenance shutdown on April 9.According to Nikhil Dubey, Senior Research Analyst at Kpler, the temporary closure of the Strait of Hormuz in March prompted Indian refiners to turn to readily available floating Russian cargoes in the Indian Ocean and other regions to offset supply disruptions from the Gulf. This led to a significant jump in imports during that month.India imported nearly 2 million barrels per day of Russian crude in March, substantially higher than the 1.3 million barrels per day of India-bound cargoes loaded from Russian ports in February. The higher March arrivals were supported by floating supplies. Since Russian shipments generally take around a month to reach India, lower February loadings, which were caused by US sanctions that had curtailed Indian purchases, had an impact on subsequent arrivals.Russian crude loadings in March were estimated at around 1.5 million barrels per day, which translated into similar arrival volumes at Indian ports in April, as most of the previously available floating cargoes had already been absorbed.Dubey also noted that Ukrainian attacks on a Russian Baltic Sea terminal in March disrupted loading operations.



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Oil prices edge higher as Trump weighs Iran’s latest proposal to open Hormuz

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Oil prices edge higher as Trump weighs Iran’s latest proposal to open Hormuz



Oil prices jumped on Tuesday as Donald Trump weighed Iran’s latest proposal to end the war.

The US president is unhappy with the latest Iranian ​proposal, a US official said on Monday. Iranian sources disclosed that Tehran’s ​proposal avoided addressing its nuclear programme until hostilities cease and Gulf shipping disputes are resolved.

Trump’s ⁠displeasure with the Iranian offer leaves the conflict deadlocked, with Iran shutting shipping flows through the Strait of ​Hormuz, which typically carries supply equal to about 20 per cent of global oil and gas consumption, and the US keeping ​in place its blockade of Iranian ports.

Brent crude rose to $108.13 per barrel, hovering near a three-week high, while US West Texas Intermediate went up to $96.48.

Both benchmarks are well above pre-war levels. Brent was trading at $72 before the US-Israeli war on Iran began on 28 February.

Asian stocks were broadly subdued at the opening. While MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was down 0.12 per cent, hovering near the record high it touched on Monday, Nikkei fell 0.5 per cent.

The S&P 500 eked out modest gains on Monday and was on course for a nearly 10 per cent gain for April. US stock futures were 0.1 per cent higher in Asian hours.

Indian shares are set to open lower on Tuesday, with GIFT Nifty futures pointing to the benchmark Nifty 50 opening below Monday’s close of 24,092.70. Both Nifty and Sensex snapped a three-session losing run on Monday, led by a rebound in technology stocks, but the broader momentum remained constrained by unresolved tensions around the Strait of Hormuz.

Elevated oil prices are a particular headwind for India, the world’s third-largest crude importer, heightening inflation risks, pressuring economic growth and widening the country’s import bill.

Foreign portfolio investors offloaded domestic stocks worth Rs 11.5bn ($122m) on Monday, extending their selling streak to a sixth straight session.

Vessel crossings showed signs of recovery over the weekend, according to the maritime intelligence firm Windward, but analysts warned increased movement was yet to translate into a surge in oil and gas flows.

Iran reportedly offered to end its blockade of the waterway without addressing its nuclear programme, passing the proposal to Washington through Pakistani mediators. But Mr Trump has made ending Iran’s atomic programme a condition for any deal.

Central banks are also in focus this week, with the Bank of Japan, the US Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, and the European Central Bank all due to announce policy decisions. All are expected to hold rates steady, but markets will be watching closely for signals about how policymakers plan to respond to the inflationary pressure from the war.

“The BOJ is likely to stay highly sensitive to market volatility,” Fred Neumann, chief Asia economist at HSBC, told Reuters. “Our base case remains one single 25 basis point hike this year in July, but a June rate rise becomes more likely if the Strait of Hormuz is still effectively closed after mid-May.”



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