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Shares and bonds steady as oil eases on Trump’s Iran comments | The Express Tribune

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Shares and bonds steady as oil eases on Trump’s Iran comments | The Express Tribune


An oil tanker anchors near the oil hub of the port of Fos-Lavera at sunset near Marseille, southern France. PHOTO: REUTERS

Global stock and bond markets steadied on Tuesday after US President Donald Trump paused a planned attack on Iran and said there was a good chance of a nuclear deal, sending oil prices lower.

Trump said on Monday he had halted a planned resumption of attacks against Iran to allow time for negotiations to take place on a deal to end the war, after Tehran sent a new peace proposal to Washington.

He subsequently claimed there was a “very good chance” the US could reach an agreement with Iran.

Investors remained cautious after being rattled in the previous session by a weekend drone strike in the United Arab Emirates.

European stocks rose 0.7% in early trading, further recovering ground lost on Friday when they dropped 1.5% as bond market jitters spread to equities.

Futures for the US S&P 500 were little changed after the index flatlined on Monday following a 1.2% drop on Friday. “We’ve seen a lot of back and forth already,” said Fabien Yip, a market analyst at IG.

Read: Iran says peace proposal includes reparations for war damage, US troop withdrawal

“Until we actually see real action happening (in the Strait of Hormuz), whereby ships are passing through safely, and we see a material rebound in the numbers of traffic going through in the Strait, I think the market in general is shrugging off the commentary from either side.”

Brent crude futures fell 1.4% to $110.50 a barrel on the back of Trump’s comments, while US crude was flat at $108.70 per barrel. Both remained more than 50% above their pre-war levels.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was down more than 1%, while Japan’s Nikkei eased 0.4%.

The all-important artificial intelligence trade will be tested by earnings from chipmaker Nvidia that are due on Wednesday, with expectations sky-high for the world’s most valuable company.

“Nvidia is the market’s shorthand for everything AI, and this market’s gains have been driven in large part by AI over the past few years,” said Richard Reyle, chief investment officer at Questar Capital Partners.

Bond selloff abates

The fall in oil prices helped stem a steep selloff in global bonds on Tuesday, although worries remain about any lasting inflationary shock from the Iran war.

Yields on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury note eased from a more than one-year high above 4.63% to 4.597%.

Japanese and European government bond yields – which have also shot higher over the last week – also fell, with British yields dropping the most. Yields move inversely to prices.

Overnight, G7 finance ministers acknowledged mounting concerns over public debt and bond market volatility as they met in Paris.

Markets are now pricing in rate hikes from major central banks this year on expectations policymakers will have to tighten policy to combat a resurgence in inflation driven by higher-for-longer energy prices.

“Markets are still trading the same uncomfortable balance,” said Florian Ielpo, head of macro at Lombard Odier Investment Managers.

“The micro story remains strong, with AI still acting as the main support for US equities, but the macro story is becoming less forgiving,” he said, referencing rising oil prices and bond yields.

In foreign exchange, the dollar has benefited from safe-haven demand since the onset of the war and was up 0.1% at 159.04 yen, putting traders on alert for any intervention from Tokyo to shore up its ailing currency.

The euro was down 0.2% at $1.16. Sterling similarly fell 0.2% to $1.34.



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Target beats Wall Street estimates, hikes sales outlook as shoppers start to return

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Target beats Wall Street estimates, hikes sales outlook as shoppers start to return


Target on Wednesday posted earnings and revenue that beat Wall Street expectations, and reported that net sales grew more than 6% year over year as the retailer tries to win back customers amid slumping sales. 

Target’s same-store sales jumped 5.6%, its first positive same-store sales number in five quarters.

The retailer said it saw broad-based strength across its categories, with traffic across stores and digital platforms growing 4.4% compared with the fiscal first quarter last year. Digital comparable sales increased 8.9%, growth the company attributed to same-day delivery through its membership, Target Circle 360.

“Even with this early progress, we know our work is just beginning, and we have confidence we’re on the right path because guests are responding in areas where we are leaning in and driving change,” CEO Michael Fiddelke said on a call with reporters. “These are areas where we bring style, design, and value to not only the products we sell, but how we sell them, creating a distinctly Target experience.”

Notably, nonmerchandise sales spiked nearly 25%, including from what the company identified as strong growth in its membership revenue and the Target+ marketplace. Target, like Walmart and Amazon, has tried to grow those business units both to offer more convenience to customers and boost its profits.

The company said it saw sales increase across all six of its core merchandising categories, with particularly strong responses from consumers in its health and wellness, toys, and baby segments. It opened seven new stores in the fiscal first quarter, with more than 100 remodel projects in progress.

Here’s what the retailer reported for its fiscal first quarter compared with what Wall Street expected, based on a survey of analysts by LSEG:

  • Earnings per share: $1.71 vs. $1.46 expected
  • Revenue: $25.44 billion vs. $24.64 billion expected

As it reported the first-quarter beats, Target also hiked its full-year revenue outlook. The retailer said it expects net sales growth of 4% compared with 2025, an increase of 2 percentage points from its prior outlook. It also expects its earnings per share to come in near the high end of its previously provided guidance range of $7.50 to $8.50. Analysts were expecting earnings of $8.14 per share. 

“Despite our updated guidance, we’re maintaining a cautious outlook given the work we know we have in front of us and ongoing uncertainty in the macroeconomic environment,” Fiddelke told reporters.

Shares of the company rose slightly in premarket trading.

For the three-month period that ended May 2, Target reported net income of $781 million, or $1.71 per share, down from $1.04 billion, or $2.27 per share, in the year-ago period. Adjusted earnings per share were $1.30 in the year-ago period. 

It reported merchandise revenue of $24.89 billion, beating estimates of $24.18 billion. Target’s revenue beat reported Wednesday was the largest since November 2021.

Some of Target’s strongest strength this quarter was in its baby and kids category, Fiddelke told reporters, with a more than 5 percentage point acceleration in the second half of the quarter, in addition to product additions in the health and wellness category that drove double-digit sales growth in that segment.

Target’s gross margin came in at 29% for the first quarter, compared with Wall Street estimates of 28.7%. 

The company has been struggling as it works to prove to investors that it can end its sales slump and win back brand loyalty from consumers. Wednesday’s earnings come as Wall Street keeps a keen eye on a more selective consumer, hit by soaring gas prices and macroeconomic uncertainty.

Despite high gas prices and an overall pullback in discretionary spending, executives said the consumer continues to show interest in new items that Target is bringing into its assortment.

“We see a consumer that continues to be resilient, even though they faced a mix of headwinds and tailwinds in the first quarter,” Fiddelke said.

Target said it’s focused on improving its merchandising, guest experience and technology as it hopes to return to sustainable growth.

CFO Jim Lee said in March that Target would increase its spending this year to accelerate its turnaround, with capital expenditures totaling about $5 billion for the year, a more than $1 billion increase from last fiscal year. Those investments will go toward its supply chain and investment in its stores, among other areas.

For the current fiscal second quarter, Target said its key priorities include what it called its “largest food and beverage transition” in more than a decade, in addition to launching the Target Beauty Studio across more than 600 stores and overhauling nearly 75% of decorative accessories. 

“We will not confuse this progress with potential,” Fiddelke said. “Our focus is on delivering consistent growth, not just in 2026 but for decades to come.”

Lee told reporters the company is “working through the process” of applying for tariff refunds and acknowledged that the tariff environment remains dynamic. He said it’s early to determine how policy changes are affecting margins.



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Examples of where inflation eased in April – and where it accelerated

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Examples of where inflation eased in April – and where it accelerated



Falls last month in the cost of energy and air travel – along with an easing of inflation across a range of everyday groceries including chocolate, coffee and rice – helped pull down the UK’s overall rate to its lowest level since spring 2025.

Electricity bills in April were on average 6.0% lower than a year ago.

This is a sharp turnaround from March, when they were up year on year by 5.6%.

Gas bills were already down 2.8% on the year in March, but in April they recorded an even larger drop, averaging 13.5% below where they stood 12 months ago, according to data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

The falls are a result of Ofgem lowering its energy price cap from the start of April by 7%, or £10 a month, for the average household using both electricity and gas, in response to measures announced by the Government to cut the cost of bills.

A steep drop in air fares also helped ease the overall rate of inflation.

The average cost of air travel was down 13.2% year on year in April, following a jump of 14.5% in March, reflecting the early timing of this year’s Easter holidays.

A wide range of groceries recorded an smaller annual increase in price last month than in March, including chocolate, mineral water, ready meals, coffee, meat, tea, rice and bread.

The same was true for the cost of tickets to cinemas, theatres, concerts and museums, while train fares swung from a positive rate of inflation in March of 1.9% to a fall of 0.2% in April.

There were also smaller rises in water and sewerage bills than a year ago.

All of these factors were more than enough to offset the upwards pressures on inflation last month, led by a sharp rise in the cost of fuel.

The average price of petrol in April was 16.6% higher than 12 months ago, compared with a much smaller year on year on increase of 2.0% in March.

Diesel saw an even bigger jump, from an annual inflation rate of 9.6% in March to 34.1% in April.

The steep increases reflect the ongoing impact of the Iran war, which began at the end of February and prompted a spike in the price of crude oil during March, in turn boosting the cost of filling up at the pumps.

Inflation also picked up pace in April for a handful of everyday groceries, including pasta, fish, potatoes and breakfast cereals.

The average cost of staying in hotels and similar accommodation was 3.8% higher in April than 12 months earlier, compared with a year on year rise of just 0.8% in March.

Below are some examples of how the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) inflation rate has eased or accelerated.

Two figures are listed for each item: the average rise in price in the 12 months to March, followed by the average rise in price in the 12 months to April.

– Examples where annual inflation has eased, ranked by the size of change:

Passenger air travel: March up 14.5%, April down 13.2%Water supply: March up 26.4%, April up 9.0%Electricity: March up 5.6%, April down 6.0%Gas: March down 2.8%, April down 13.5%Margarine: March up 3.1%, April down 1.4%Chocolate: March up 10.9%, April up 7.8%Mineral or spring waters: March up 9.4%, April up 6.3%Ready-made meals: March up 6.7%, April up 3.9%Coffee: March up 9.0%, April up 6.3%Cinemas, theatres, concerts: March up 7.4%, April up 5.2%Meat: March up 5.8%, April up 3.6%Tea: March up 6.7%, April up 4.6%Bread: March up 3.3%, April up 2.0%

– Examples where annual inflation has accelerated

Diesel: March up 9.6%, April up 34.1%Petrol: March up 2.0%, April up 16.6%Hotels/other accommodation: March up 0.8%, April up 3.8%Sauces, spices & culinary herbs: March up 2.6%, April up 4.9%Pasta & couscous: March up 4.4%, April up 6.1%Men’s clothes: March up 0.2%, April up 1.6%Fish: March up 4.5%, April up 5.7%Crisps: March up 0.3%, April up 1.5%Women’s clothes: March up 0.9%, April up 2.0%Potatoes: March up 0.5%, April up 1.5%



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UK inflation falls to 2.8% – but experts warn far higher price rises on the way

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UK inflation falls to 2.8% – but experts warn far higher price rises on the way


Inflation fell for the first time this year in April, official statistics show – but economists warn this is merely the calm before the storm.

The Office for National Statistics reported on Wednesday morning that annual consumer price rises fell from 3.3 per cent in March to 2.8 per cent in April.

That’s largely because government measures to lower energy costs kicked in, helping lower household bills, if only temporarily.

In response to fresh inflation data from the ONS, Chancellor Rachel Reeves said: “The war in Iran is not our war but one we will need to respond to, and the decisions I took in the Budget last year have kept inflation down as we deal with global instability.

“We have the right economic plan, and to change course now would risk our economic stability and leave working people worse off.

“We have already taken £117 off energy bills, frozen rail fares, and lifted the two-child limit, and over today and tomorrow I’ll set out the next phase of how we will support UK households.”

But economists fear the drop in inflation may be short-lived. Suren Thiru, chief economist at chartered accountants institute the ICAEW, said: “April’s slowdown is a final interlude before the inflation storm sparked by the Iran war hits as the Ofgem energy price cap reduction, aided by the chancellor’s cut to green levies, temporarily lowered the headline rate.

Chancellor Rachel Reeves is facing inflation pressure (Getty Images)

“This decline is probably the last inflation fall for this year as surging fuel and food prices will probably haul it close to 4 per cent this summer, while any escalation of the conflict in Iran opens the door to CPI hitting 5 per cent.”

Danni Hewson, head of financial analysis at AJ Bell, said: “The problem with today’s inflation data is that it is backwards looking and households struggling to stretch their budgets to fit the rest of the year are hyper aware that the picture painted by April’s numbers is a rose-tinted anomaly. Whilst motorists have already experienced a hefty rise in the price they’ve been paying at the pump, the true impact of the energy price shock created by the Iran war will take a few months to really work its way through the system.”

Rising prices are the top financial concern for UK households, recent surveys show.

S&P Global’s consumer sentiment index figure dropped to 42.1 in May, from 42.3 in April, the lowest level since July 2023 when inflation in the UK was soaring as a result of the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

On Tuesday, the UK unemployment rate rose to 5 per cent in the three months to March from 4.9 per cent. That could also be a sign of further job cuts to come as employers look to cut costs.

Ms Hewson said on inflation: “April’s figures are further skewed by the energy price cap, which includes a big dollop of government help as it shifts the burden of renewables onto general taxation and away from bills. Put simply, this is the calm before a summer storm with energy bills, food prices and a whole host of other costs expected to shoot up over the coming months. With wage growth slowing in a tepid labour market to boot, things are likely to feel tough for a lot of people still reeling from their last brush with high inflation.”



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