Business
Stocks end down as Fed policy meeting begins
Stock prices in London closed mostly lower on Tuesday as expectations of a rate cut from the US Federal Reserve continue to dominate.
It follows the release of industrial and retail data in the US.
The Fed started its two-day key policy meeting on Tuesday, AFP reported, hours after Stephen Miran narrowly won confirmation to join the central bank.
Stephen Miran, who has been a key advisor to US President Donald Trump, took the oath of office as a Fed governor on Tuesday after narrowly winning a senate vote on Monday night to become one of the FOMC’s 12 voting members.
It remains to be seen if he will push for larger rate cuts as the US president has repeatedly demanded, with markets widely expecting a 25 basis points cut at the end of discussions on Wednesday.
The FTSE 100 index closed down 81.37 points, 0.9%, at 9,195.66.
The FTSE 250 ended down 154.72 points, 0.7%, at 21,491.87, and the AIM All-Share closed up 0.48 points, 0.1%, at 767.87.
“A barrage of US companies are expected to announce big investments in the UK to coincide with Donald Trump’s state visit,” said AJ Bell’s Russ Mould.
“Google-owner Alphabet is the latest name in the frame, with news it will spend £5 billion in the UK on AI-related infrastructure investments and scientific research… (but) the expected wave of US investment wasn’t enough to lift the UK stock market.
“The FTSE 100 gets more than two-thirds of its earnings from overseas, so even policies that can potentially boost growth domestically may not have the impact on the constituents of the UK’s leading stock market index that some might expect.”
Anglo American, on the FTSE 100, gained 0.6%.
The miner has formally completed its copper tie-up with the Chilean state-owned mining company Codelco.
It comes after the two companies back in February this year signed a memorandum of understanding for a framework to implement a joint mine plan for their adjacent copper mines of Los Bronces and Andina in Chile.
Student accommodation provider Unite Group lost 1.7%.
The UK Competition & Markets Authority has invited comments on Unite’s proposed acquisition of Empiric Student Property, in the first step ahead of a potential formal investigation into the deal.
Empiric, whose shareholders are set to own 10% of the combined firm if the deal goes ahead, was down 1.1% on the FTSE 250.
Also on the FTSE 250, Pollen Street Group closed 3.0% higher.
The London-based asset manager said it was encouraged by growing demand for mid-market alternatives and asset-based lending, as it announced first-half pre-tax profit growing 28% annually to £29.6 million while total income climbed 17% to £63.8 million.
Pollen Street also declared an interim dividend of 27.0 pence, up 1.9%.
Chief financial officer Crispin Goldsmith said the firm “is trading in line with expectations”, adding: “The group remains in a strong position and is strategically well placed and well resourced for further growth through H2 2025 and beyond.”
On AIM, Focusrite closed 15% higher.
The music and audio products hailed a “resilient performance” in the face of tough market conditions, with revenue rising to £87 million for the six months to August 31 and to £168 million for the 12 months.
Focusrite has changed its year-end to February 28 from the end of August.
It expects adjusted Ebitda for the 12 months to August to be within the market forecast range, which it puts at £24.5 million to £26.0 million.
Stocks in New York were lower.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.4%, the S&P 500 index down 0.2%, and the Nasdaq Composite down 0.1%.
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury was quoted at 4.05%, widening from 4.04%.
The yield on the US 30-year Treasury was quoted at 4.66%, widening from 4.65%.
US industrial production rose 0.1% on-month in August after a downwardly revised fall of 0.4% in July, the Fed reported.
It outperformed the FXStreet-cited consensus of a 0.1% decline in August.
Also, according to the Census Bureau, US retail sales rose 0.6% in August from July, unchanged on-month but beating the FXStreet cited consensus of a 0.2% rise.
Separate data showed that the export price index rose 0.3% in August from July, though it had been expected to be flat.
The import price index advanced 0.3%, beating consensus of a 0.1% fall.
In other US news, Mr Trump said that the US and China had reached an agreement over TikTok, which Washington says must pass to US-controlled ownership.
“We have a deal on TikTok, I’ve reached a deal with China, I’m going to speak to President Xi on Friday to confirm everything up,” Mr Trump told reporters as he left the White House for a state visit to the UK.
“Neither side wants to be seen as weak, but there is also a desire to keep trade flowing between the two sides,” Mr Mould said.
“Progress on TikTok’s future in the US and US-China trade agreements more broadly have been slow, and they look set to drag on.
“Finding a middle ground that satisfies both the authorities in the US and China has proved to be difficult to achieve, which makes the prospect of a framework deal on TikTok’s US somewhat curious.
“More information is expected on Friday, and the structure of any potential agreement could provide hints to how future deals are struck more broadly between the US and China.”
In European equities on Tuesday, the CAC 40 in Paris closed down 1.0%, while the DAX 40 in Frankfurt ended down 1.8%.
German industrial major thyssenkrupp was up 4.9% in Frankfurt, after announcing that India’s Jindal Steel International has made a “non-binding, indicative offer” for its steel business Thyssenkrupp Steel Europe.
Thyssenkrupp, which has been looking to split itself into standalone businesses to boost profitability, would “carefully review” the offer and pay “particular attention” to what it would mean for employment at its sites, it added.
The pound was quoted higher at 1.3642 dollars at the time of the London equities close on Tuesday, compared to 1.3597 dollars on Monday.
The euro stood higher at 1.1837 dollars, against 1.1765 dollars.
Against the yen, the dollar was trading lower at 146.65 yen compared to 147.34 yen.
Brent oil was quoted higher at 68.32 dollars a barrel at the time of the London equities close on Tuesday, from 67.37 dollars late on Monday.
Gold was quoted higher at 3,680.32 dollars an ounce against 3,668.27 dollars.
The biggest risers on the FTSE 100 were Fresnillo, up 92.6p at 2,288.6p, J Sainsbury, up 5.0p at 322.8p, Croda International, up 39.0p at 2,556.0p, Glencore, up 3.7p at 310.55p, and Mondi, up 11.1p at 1,007.5p.
The biggest fallers on the FTSE 100 were Haleon, down 17.0p at 339.7p, easyJet, down 15.8p at 457.2p, Barclays, down 9.8p at 374.85p, Coca-Cola HBC, down 92.0p at 3,598.0p, and NatWest, down 13.4p at 524.4p.
On Tuesday’s economic calendar, as well as the Fed rate decision and press conference, look out for UK and eurozone consumer inflation.
On Tuesday’s UK corporate calendar, Barratt Developments releases full-year results; IP Group has half-year results; and Games Workshop holds its annual general meeting.
– Contributed by Alliance News
Business
Trade deal done, says Trump; PM Modi thanks him for cutting tariff to 18% – The Times of India
NEW DELHI/ WASHINGTON: After months of bruising trade tensions, India and the US on Monday announced a bilateral trade deal that will see Washington slash additional tariffs on Indian imports to 18%, from the current 50%, making it more competitive for textiles, leather and seafood exporters.While PM Narendra Modi, in a post on X, which followed US President Donald Trump’s announcement on Truth Social, said he had a wonderful conversation with “dear friend” Trump and thanked him on behalf of 1.4 billion people for the reduced tariff of 18% on Indian goods, he did not mention the trade deal at all in his post on X that followed Trump’s “wonderful” announcement.
PM Modi and Trump
Modi also did not comment on Trump’s claim that in their conversation the PM had agreed to stop buying Russian oil and purchase much more energy from the US, and potentially Venezuela. Trump had said Modi had agreed to stop buying Russian oil and to buy much more from the US — $500 billion of energy, technology and farm products — a step that the President claimed would help end the war in Ukraine.According to the American President, Modi also agreed to bring down tariff and non-tariff barriers against the US to zero. A US embassy spokesperson confirmed that the final tariff now on India is 18%, down from the earlier 50%. This is a better deal for India than countries such Vietnam, Bangladesh, Indonesia, South Korea and China, which face higher tariffs. The Trump-Modi conversation coincided with the visit of EAM S Jaishankar to US for a critical minerals ministerial that will be chaired by Secretary of State Marco Rubio this week.The announcement came six days after India and the EU announced the completion of talks for a comprehensive trade agreement.Trump leadership vitalfor global peace: ModiThe deal had drawn sharp comments from some members of the Trump administration, including attacks on the EU.In his X post, PM said, “When two large economies and the world’s largest democracies work together, it benefits our people and unlocks immense opportunities for mutually beneficial cooperation”. He added that Trump’s leadership was vital for global peace, stability, and prosperity. India fully supports his efforts for peace. Modi said he was looking forward to working closely with Trump to take the partnership to unprecedented heights.Apart from reciprocal tariff, Trump had announced an additional 25% tariff on India for its purchase of Russian oil.Trump said the US had agreed to the trade deal with India out of friendship and respect for Modi, and at the latter’s request. “Our amazing relationship with India will be even stronger going forward. PM Modi and I are two people that GET THINGS DONE, something that cannot be said for mos,” he added.Trump in his social media post also said that it was an honour to speak with Modi whom he described as “one of my greatest friends and, a Powerful and Respected Leader of his Country”.
Ties set to get boost
While the US had acknowledged in past few months that India had cut down its Russian purchase, it had not eliminated the additional tariff.Trump also said, “We spoke about many things, including Trade, and ending the War with Russia and Ukraine. He agreed to stop buying Russian Oil, and to buy much more from the US and, potentially, Venezuela. This will help END THE WAR in Ukraine, which is taking place right now, with thousands of people dying each and every week!”Following the announcement last week of the successful conclusion of FTA negotiations with EU, India had suggested that India and US might be close to finalising the trade agreement they have been discussing since Feb last year.Trump’s disclosure of the trade deal was preceded by two India-related posts a few hours before, one of which featured him and Modi on a magazine cover with the caption “The Mover and the Shaker”. Another post featured New Delhi’s India Gate, which Trump called “India’s beautiful Triumphal Arch” and said, “Ours will be the greatest of them all!” — referring to a similar monument he wants to build in Washington DC.
New York Attorney General Letitia James speaks to the media, after she attended a hearing and pleaded not guilty to charges that she defrauded her mortgage lender, outside the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Virginia, in Norfolk, Virginia, U.S., Oct. 24, 2025.
Jonathan Ernst | Reuters
Days before Super Bowl 60, New York Attorney General Letitia James has a message for consumers: Be careful about placing trades on prediction markets.
“New Yorkers need to know the significant risks with unregulated prediction markets,” James said in a statement Monday. “It’s crystal clear: so-called prediction markets do not have the same consumer protections as regulated platforms. I urge all New Yorkers to be cautious of these platforms to protect their money.”
Prediction platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket are expected to generate billions of dollars in trading volume around the Super Bowl.
Consumers can make trades on game events — similar to online sportsbooks like DraftKings or FanDuel — as well as on predetermined outcomes, such as which companies will advertise during the Super Bowl, an issue CNBC Sport reported on last week.
James said the platforms’ products are bets “masquerading” as event contracts.
She warned there are concerns about the nascent prediction market industry, including “upholding prohibitions against insider betting and requiring regulatory review to ensure the financial stability and integrity of gambling operators.”
“Prediction markets may appear as modern, high-tech platforms for speculation or ‘forecasting,’ but in practice, many operate as unregulated gambling without the basic protections New York consumers both deserve and expect from properly licensed operators,” James said in the statement.
Prediction market contracts trade somewhat similarly to all-or-nothing options, with contracts priced between $0 and $1. The contracts trade up or down depending on the action.
In addition to contracts on Super Bowl commercials, both Polymarket and Kalshi are offering other trades related to the game, including on matters like “What songs will be played at the halftime show?,” “Who will attend the big game?,” and more traditional sportsbook “bets” such as “Seattle vs. New England: Most Rushing Yards,” as CNBC reported last week.
There are laws that prohibit insider trading on prediction markets, just as on traditional financial markets. But industry experts say they’re skeptical that the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, recently gutted as part of widespread government cuts, has the will or the means to police those problems.
Last week, CFTC Chairman Michael Selig said he had directed agency staff to withdraw a proposed rule that would have banned prediction trades on sports and politics. He said new rules would be coming.
Disclosure: CNBC has a commercial relationship with Kalshi.
Business
India-US trade deal: 25% penal tariffs linked to Russian oil gone? Here’s what we know – The Times of India
US President Donald Trump has reportedly agreed to remove the 25% tariff America imposed on India for its crude oil imports from Russia. A New Delhi–based source quoted in a Bloomberg report said that the US has agreed to withdraw the 25% penal tariff for India’s Russian oil procurement. In the meantime, India and the US have announced a trade deal, with the Trump administration lowering the tariffs on Indian exports to 18%. Trump took to social media platform Truth Social to announce the trade deal, which was later confirmed by PM Narendra Modi confirming it via X (Twitter). However, India is yet to confirm the details of the trade deal shared by Trump in his post.
Also Read | India-US trade deal announced by US President Donald Trump; check detailsUS Ambassador to India Sergio Gor also told a TV channel that the final figure of tariff on India will be 18%, indicating that the 25% penal tariff linked to Russian crude has also been removed.He also said that the 18% tariff rate is effective immediately, and that India would buy $500 billion worth of US energy, coal, technology and agricultural products.Russia has been the largest supplier of crude for India since the start of the former’s war with Ukraine. The share in India’s oil import basket has gone up to almost 40%. But recently, after US sanctions on Russian oil firms, Indian refiners had been forced to reduce Russian crude oil purchases.
India-US Trade Deal: What PM Modi, Trump said
PM Modi posted on X, “Wonderful to speak with my dear friend President Trump today. Delighted that Made in India products will now have a reduced tariff of 18%. Big thanks to President Trump on behalf of the 1.4 billion people of India for this wonderful announcement. When two large economies and the world’s largest democracies work together, it benefits our people and unlocks immense opportunities for mutually beneficial cooperation. President Trump’s leadership is vital for global peace, stability, and prosperity. India fully supports his efforts for peace. I look forward to working closely with him to take our partnership to unprecedented heights.”Before Trump had posted on social media, “It was an Honor to speak with Prime Minister Modi, of India, this morning. He is one of my greatest friends and, a Powerful and Respected Leader of his Country. We spoke about many things, including Trade, and ending the War with Russia and Ukraine. He agreed to stop buying Russian Oil, and to buy much more from the United States and, potentially, Venezuela. This will help END THE WAR in Ukraine, which is taking place right now, with thousands of people dying each and every week! Out of friendship and respect for Prime Minister Modi and, as per his request, effective immediately, we agreed to a Trade Deal between the United States and India, whereby the United States will charge a reduced Reciprocal Tariff, lowering it from 25% to 18%. They will likewise move forward to reduce their Tariffs and Non Tariff Barriers against the United States, to ZERO. The Prime Minister also committed to “BUY AMERICAN,” at a much higher level, in addition to over $500 BILLION DOLLARS of U.S. Energy, Technology, Agricultural, Coal, and many other products. Our amazing relationship with India will be even stronger going forward. Prime Minister Modi and I are two people that GET THINGS DONE, something that cannot be said for most. Thank you for your attention to this matter!”
Trade deal done, says Trump; PM Modi thanks him for cutting tariff to 18% – The Times of India
The Caps have won two straight. Can they keep it up against the Islanders?
New York AG issues warning around prediction markets ahead of Super Bowl
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