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Stocks up as Powell leaves door ajar for rate cut

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Stocks up as Powell leaves door ajar for rate cut



The FTSE 100 posted another record closing peak on Friday as Jerome Powell said shifting economic risks may justify an interest rate cut in the US.

The FTSE 100 index closed up 12.20 points, 0.1%, at 9,321.40. It earlier traded as high as 9,357.51.

The FTSE 250 ended up 259.39 points, 1.2%, at 22,077.23 and the AIM All-Share finished 6.17 points higher, 0.8%, at 765.03.

For the week, the FTSE 100 rose 2.0%, the FTSE 250 advanced 1.5% and the AIM All-Share climbed 0.6%.

In a keenly awaited speech, Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell left the door open to an interest rate cut at its September meeting, noting a “shifting” balance of economic risks may warrant such a move.

Speaking at the Jackson Hole economic symposium, Mr Powell said: “The baseline outlook and the shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting our policy stance.”

But he added “the stability of the unemployment rate and other labour market measures allow us to proceed carefully as we consider changes to our policy stance”.

Padhraic Garvey at ING commented: “Chair Powell could have been super balanced, or even hawkish. But he effectively chose to endorse the market discount for a rate-cutting phase ahead. It’s had quite the reaction. Risk assets are up, the dollar down.”

In New York, the Dow Jones Industrial Average soared 2.0%, as did the Nasdaq Composite, while the S&P 500 jumped 1.6%.

On the labour market, the Fed chairman said while it “appears to be in balance, it is a curious kind of balance that results from a marked slowing in both the supply of and demand for workers. This unusual situation suggests that downside risks to employment are rising”.

On tariffs, Mr Powell said a “reasonable base case” is that they create a “one-time” shift up in the price level, although he added those effects will take time to fully work their way into the economy.

“In the near-term, risks to inflation are tilted to the upside, and risks to employment to the downside – a challenging situation,” Mr Powell said.

“With policy in restrictive territory, the baseline outlook and the shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting our policy stance,” he added.

While stocks rose, the dollar fell, while US bond yields declined.

The pound jumped to 1.3539 US dollars late on Friday in London, compared to 1.3426 US dollars at the equities close on Thursday.

The euro firmed to 1.1726 US dollars, higher against 1.1619 US dollars. Against the yen, the dollar was trading lower at 146.61 yen compared to 148.21 yen.

In Europe, the CAC 40 in Paris ended up 0.5%, while the DAX 40 in Frankfurt closed up 0.3%.

The yield on the US 10-year Treasury was at 4.26%, narrowed from 4.34%. The yield on the US 30-year Treasury was 4.87%, trimmed from 4.94%.

In London, trading recovered from a sluggish start supported by news that UK consumer confidence improved in August, boosted by the latest interest rate cut, although uncertainty over the possibility of future tax hikes and inflationary pressures weighed on expectations going forward.

The GfK consumer confidence index rose to minus 17 in August from minus 19 in July, above the FXStreet-cited consensus forecast of minus 20.

Consumer expectations for their personal financial situation over the next 12 months rose to plus 5 in August from plus 2 in July, while expectations for the general economic situation over the next 12 months declined to minus 30 from minus 29.

Neil Bellamy, consumer insights director at GfK, said: “The biggest changes in August are in confidence in personal finances, with the scores looking back and ahead a year each up by three points.

“This is likely due to the Bank of England’s August 7 cut in interest rates, delivering the lowest cost of borrowing for more than two years.”

AJ Bell investment analyst Dan Coatsworth said the slight uptick is “good news” for retailers, hospitality and travel businesses, but “no-one will be getting carried away given this is just a case of people feeling a bit less bad rather than genuinely optimistic about the economic outlook”.

On the FTSE 100, gains were broad-based with Asian-focused bank Standard Chartered leading the way, up 4.2%, while housebuilders Persimmon and Berkeley climbed 2.3% and 2.2% respectively, and British Airways owner, IAG, added 2.3%.

On the FTSE 250, WH Smith rallied 11%, recouping a small slice of Thursday’s dramatic 42% fall in the wake of lowered guidance after an accounting error.

Morgan Advanced Minerals rose 3.6% after Vesuvius agreed to buy its Molten Metal Systems business for a total enterprise value of £92.7 million.

In addition, the England-based manufacturer of carbon and ceramic materials, said it has instructed Investec Bank to launch the third tranche of its ongoing share buyback immediately upon completion of the second tranche.

Each tranche to date has been for up to £10 million, under a total buyback programme for up to £40 million.

Revolution Beauty leapt 20% as it announced the return of its co-founders to the business after terminating its formal sales process.

The news came as the firm pledged to slash costs amid declining sales and profitability, and raised £15 million via a placing and subscription.

This includes cornerstone investment from the make-up brands co-founders, Tom Allsworth and Adam Minto, and from its largest shareholder, boohoo, now trading as Debenhams.

Between them the cornerstone investors hold just under 58% of Revolution Beauty stock, with boohoo having a 27% stake.

Mr Allsworth will step in as chief executive over the “coming days”, the firm said, with Colin Henry stepping down as interim chief executive at that point, while Mr Minto will also return to the business in a consulting capacity.

A barrel of Brent traded at 67.59 US dollars late Friday, up from 67.13 US dollars on Thursday. Gold pushed up to 3,375.22 US dollars an ounce against 3,343.46 US dollars.

The biggest risers on the FTSE 100 were Standard Chartered, up 57.0 pence at 1,417.0p, Persimmon, up 25.5p at 1,128.5p, International Consolidated Airlines, up 8.8p at 394.5p, Scottish Mortgage Trust, up 24.0p at 1,095.0p and Berkeley Group, up 80.0p at 3,792.0p.

The biggest fallers on the FTSE 100 were British American Tobacco, down 78.0p at 4,315.0p, Coca-Cola Europacific down 120.0 pence at 6,710.0p, Coca-Cola HBC, down 52.0p at 3,892.0p, Tesco, down 5.2p at 426.3p and National Grid, down 10.5p at 1,049.0p.

Financial markets in London are closed on Monday for the August bank holiday.

Later in the week results are due from insurer Prudential and sports retailer JD Sports Fashion.

The global economic calendar on Monday has the German ifo business climate report and US new home sales figures.

Contributed by Alliance News.



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Key Financial Deadlines That Have Been Extended For December 2025; Know The Last Date

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Key Financial Deadlines That Have Been Extended For December 2025; Know The Last Date


New Delhi: Several crucial deadlines have been extended in December 2025, including ITR for tax audit cases, ITR filing and PAN and Aadhaar linking. These deadlines will be crucial in ensuring that your financial affairs operate smoothly in the months ahead.

Here is a quick rundown of the important deadlines for December to help you stay compliant and avoid last-minute hassles.

ITR deadline for tax audit cases

The Central Board of Direct Taxes has extended the due date of furnishing of return of income under sub-Section (1) of Section 139 of the Act for the Assessment Year 2025-26 which is October 31, 2025 in the case of assessees referred in clause (a) of Explanation 2 to sub-Section (1) of Section 139 of the Act, to December 10, 2025.

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Belated ITR filing deadline

A belated ITR filing happens when an ITR is submitted after the original due date which is permitted by Section 139(4) of the Income Tax Act. Filing a belated return helps you meet your tax obligations, but it involves penalties. You can only file a belated return for FY 2024–25 until December 31, 2025. However, there will be a late fee and interest charged.

PAN and Aadhaar linking deadline

The Income Tax Department has extended the deadline to link their PAN with Aadhaar card to December 31, 2025 for anyone who acquired their PAN using an Aadhaar enrolment ID before October 1, 2024. If you miss this deadline your PAN will become inoperative which will have an impact on your banking transactions, income tax return filing and other financial investments.



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Stock Market Live Updates: Sensex, Nifty Hit Record Highs; Bank Nifty Climbs 60,000 For The First Time

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Stock Market Live Updates: Sensex, Nifty Hit Record Highs; Bank Nifty Climbs 60,000 For The First Time


Stock Market News Live Updates: Indian equity benchmarks opened with a strong gap-up on Monday, December 1, touching fresh record highs, buoyed by a sharp acceleration in Q2FY26 GDP growth to a six-quarter peak of 8.2%. Positive cues from Asian markets further lifted investor sentiment.

The BSE Sensex was trading at 85,994, up 288 points or 0.34%, after touching an all-time high of 86,159 in early deals. The Nifty 50 stood at 26,290, higher by 87 points or 0.33%, after scaling a record intraday high of 26,325.8.

Broader markets also saw gains, with the Midcap index rising 0.27% and the Smallcap index advancing 0.52%.

On the sectoral front, the Nifty Bank hit a historic milestone by crossing the 60,000 mark for the first time, gaining 0.4% to touch a fresh peak of 60,114.05.

Meanwhile, the Metal and PSU Bank indices climbed 0.8% each in early trade.

Global cues

Asia-Pacific markets were mostly lower on Monday as traders assessed fresh Chinese manufacturing data and increasingly priced in the likelihood of a US Federal Reserve rate cut later this month.

According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets are now assigning an 87.4 per cent probability to a rate cut at the Fed’s December 10 meeting.

China’s factory activity unexpectedly slipped back into contraction in November, with the RatingDog China General Manufacturing PMI by S&P Global easing to 49.9, below expectations of 50.5, as weak domestic demand persisted.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 slipped 1.6 per cent, while the broader Topix declined 0.86 per cent. In South Korea, the Kospi dropped 0.30 per cent and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 was down 0.31 per cent.

US stock futures were steady in early Asian trade after a positive week on Wall Street. On Friday, in a shortened post-Thanksgiving session, the Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.65 per cent to 23,365.69, its fifth consecutive day of gains.

The S&P 500 rose 0.54 per cent to 6,849.09, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 289.30 points, or 0.61 per cent, to close at 47,716.42.



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Global Conflicts Drive Arms Industry to $679 Billion Record Revenues – SUCH TV

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Global Conflicts Drive Arms Industry to 9 Billion Record Revenues – SUCH TV



Sales by the world’s top 100 arms makers reached a record $679 billion last year, as conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza fueled demand, according to researchers. Production challenges, however, continued to hamper timely deliveries.

The figure represents a 5.9 percent increase from the previous year, and over the 2015–2024 period, revenues for the top 100 arms makers have grown by 26 percent, according to a report by the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI).

“Last year, global arms revenues reached the highest level ever recorded by SIPRI, as producers capitalized on strong demand,” said Lorenzo Scarazzato, a researcher with the SIPRI Military Expenditure and Arms Production Programme.

Regional Trends

According to SIPRI researcher Jade Guiberteau Ricard, the growth is mostly driven by Europe, though all regions saw increases except Asia and Oceania.

The surge in Europe is linked to the war in Ukraine and heightened security concerns regarding Russia.

Countries supporting Ukraine and replenishing their stockpiles have also contributed to rising demand.

Ricard added that many European nations are now seeking to modernize and expand their militaries, creating a new source of demand.

US and European Arms Makers

The United States hosts 39 of the world’s top 100 arms makers, including the top three: Lockheed Martin, RTX (formerly Raytheon Technologies), and Northrop Grumman. US companies saw combined revenues rise 3.8 percent to $334 billion, nearly half of the global total.

European arms makers (26 companies in the top 100) recorded aggregate revenues of $151 billion, a 13 percent increase.

The Czech company Czechoslovak Group recorded the sharpest rise, with revenues jumping 193 percent to $3.6 billion, benefiting from the Czech Ammunition Initiative, which supplies artillery shells to Ukraine.

However, European producers face challenges in meeting increased demand, as sourcing raw materials has become more difficult.

Companies like Airbus and France’s Safran previously sourced half of their titanium from Russia before 2022 and have had to identify new suppliers.

Additionally, Chinese export restrictions on critical minerals have forced firms such as France’s Thales and Germany’s Rheinmetall to restructure supply chains, raising costs.

Russian Arms Industry

Two Russian arms makers, Rostec and United Shipbuilding Corporation, are among the top 100, with combined revenues rising 23 percent to $31.2 billion, despite component shortages caused by international sanctions.

Domestic demand largely offset the decline in exports. However, Russia’s arms industry faces a shortage of skilled labor, limiting its ability to sustain production rates necessary for ongoing military operations.

Israeli weapons still popular

The Asia and Oceania region was the only region to see the overall revenues of the 23 companies based there go down — their combined revenues dropped 1.2 percent to $130 billion.

But the authors stressed that the picture across Asia was varied and the overall drop was the result of by a larger drop among Chinese arms makers.

“A host of corruption allegations in Chinese arms procurement led to major arms contracts being postponed or cancelled in 2024,” Nan Tian, Director of SIPRI’s Military Expenditure and Arms Production Programme, said in a statement.

Tian added that the drop deepened “uncertainty” around China’s efforts to modernise its military.

In contrast, Japanese and South Korean weapons makers saw their revenues increase, also driven by European demand.

Meanwhile, nine of the top 100 arms companies were based in the Middle East, with combined revenues of $31 billion.

The three Israeli arms companies in the ranking accounted for more than half of that, as their combined revenues grew by 16 percent to $16.2 billion.

SIPRI researcher Zubaida Karim noted in a statement that “the growing backlash over Israel’s actions in Gaza seems to have had little impact on interest in Israeli weapons”.



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