Fashion
Tariff impact to moderate H2 FY26 Indian cotton yarn realisation: ICRA
Revenues of cotton spinners are projected to decline by 4-6 per cent in FY26 and margin contraction is likely to be 50-100 basis points (bps). Moderation in cotton prices is expected to offset the impact to an extent.
Following a flattish H1 FY26, the impact of US tariff on Indian cotton spinners is expected to moderate cotton yarn realisation in H2, ICRA said.
Cotton spinners’ revenues are projected to drop by 4-6 per cent in FY26 and margin contraction is likely to be 50-100 bps.
Moderation in cotton prices is likely to offset the impact to an extent.
Material expansion in capacity creations is not expected in FY26.
Any positive developments around the ongoing tariff-related negotiations with the United States could help soften the impact to an extent, the Moody’s Ratings affiliate said in a report titled ‘Indian Cotton Spinning Industry: Trends & Outlook’
After witnessing a modest recovery in FY25 with increase in domestic yarn consumption by 2 per cent year on year (YoY), the Indian cotton spinning industry, is navigating a challenging phase in FY26 amidst a mix of stable domestic demand and effects of reciprocal and punitive tariffs levied by the United States on Indian apparel exports.
To mitigate the impact, Indian apparel exporters are providing sizeable discounts, which are being absorbed throughout the value chain (including spinners).
The import duty exemption on cotton imports in India till December 2025 and recent relaxation on quality control orders for both viscose staple fibre (VSF) and several yarns and polyester fibres is likely to moderate raw material prices for manmade fibre (MMF) yarn manufacturers, it said.
“While this supports readymade garments manufacturers with access to raw material at competitive prices, it exposes domestic MMF yarn manufacturers to competition from import suppliers,” noted ICRA.
Domestic cotton fibre prices fell by around 3 per cent month on month (MoM) in November 2025. Average cotton yarn prices fell by 4 per cent.
This resulted in contribution levels moderating to ₹96/kg in November 2025 from ₹103 per kg in H1 FY26. ICRA anticipates contribution levels are likely to stabilise at ₹98-100 per kg for FY26 due to moderation in realisation expected in H2 FY26.
ICRA’s sample set of 13 companies, which accounts for 25-30 per cent of the industry’s revenue, is expected to report a 4-6 per cent decline in revenues on a YoY basis in FY26.
Additionally, margins are expected to contract by 50-100 basis points in FY26, primarily due to weaker performance expected in H2.
Given the available capacities, material expansion in capacity creations is not expected in FY26 in the sector, ICRA added.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DS)
A total of 25 pilot investments led by small and medium enterprises (SMEs) have progressed from the lab to near-market stage under RegioGreenTex, a three-year European Union (EU)-funded project that recently concluded. Most of these are expected to be commercialised within one to three years.
Twenty five pilot investments led by SMEs moved from lab to near‑market under RegioGreenTex, an EU-funded project that ended recently.
Most of these are expected to commercialise in one to three years.
Five regional hubs mapped SME needs and developed services and value chains as well as tools to help SMEs.
These are now open for collaboration and the pilot portfolio is primed for investors and adopters.
At least 70 per cent of the EU grant was allocated to SMEs. A total of 43 partners from 11 regions across eight countries participated in the project, leveraging their expertise towards a common goal of advancing industry and research.
RegioGreenTex was one of the first projects funded under the Interregional Innovation Investments (I3) Instrument programme that focused on process, service and business model innovation, developing advanced textile recycling technologies, regional recycling hubs, and a digital ecosystem for matchmaking and capacity building.
Five regional hubs mapped SME needs and developed services and value chains as well as tools that keep helping SMEs, an official release said.
The RegioGreenTex Digital Tool keeps matchmaking, sharing trainings and hosting the participants’ knowledge base.
The Waste Wizard shows how artificial intelligence-enhanced matchmaking can link leftover textiles with the right reuse or recycling routes.
From recycled-content yarn processes (Tintex) to Recycrom low-impact dyeing (Officina39), ultrasonic quilting for full recyclability (Rovitex) and hybrid recycled-fibre yarns (Hilaturas Mar), the pilots showed concrete, repeatable ways to cut impact without losing performance.
The hubs are now open for collaboration, the digital tools are live and the pilot portfolio is primed for investors and adopters.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DS)
While trends in high frequency indicators for January-February 2026 appear favourable, the heightened uncertainty around the duration of the Middle East conflict casts a shadow on the near-term macroeconomic outlook for India amid high import dependency for items like crude oil, natural gas and fertilisers, it noted.
India’s FY27 GDP growth is likely to slow to 6.5 per cent from the projected 7.5 per cent in FY26 owing to the impact of higher energy prices and concerns around energy availability, ICRA Ratings said.
The heightened uncertainty around the duration of the Iran war casts a shadow on the near-term macroeconomic outlook for India.
If the conflict lasts longer, the adverse effects could widen across sectors.
If the conflict lasts for an extended period, the adverse implications of the same could widen across sectors, amid an uptick in input costs and the consequent impact on profitability of the India corporate sector.
Amid the projected uptrend in the consumer price index-based inflation in FY27 with risks tilted to the upside, ICRA Ratings expects an extended pause on the policy rates by the central bank’s monetary policy committee in the fiscal despite the anticipated softening in the GDP growth. However, it expects the Reserve Bank of India to continue to intervene on the liquidity front during FY27.
The available data for January–February FY2026 indicate a positive trend across most non-agricultural indicators, with the year-on-year performance of 12 out of 18 indicators improving compared to the third quarter of FY26, while the remaining six deteriorated.
Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DS)
Indonesia’s apparel exports rose modestly to $8.705 billion in 2025 from $8.316 billion in 2024, reflecting gradual recovery.
The US remained dominant, accounting for over 56 per cent of shipments, highlighting growing market dependence.
While Japan, South Korea and Europe offered stability, exports stayed concentrated in key products and segments.
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