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Taxes hiked to ‘all-time high’ by Reeves as growth forecasts cut

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Taxes hiked to ‘all-time high’ by Reeves as growth forecasts cut



  • OBR apologises for publishing fiscal outlook early
  • OBR: Tax thresholds freeze means more people will bay basic, higher and additional-rate taxes.
  • New tax on £2m homes; mileage charge for electric vehicles; national insurance on salary sacrifice pension contributions above £2,000; changes to Isa rules

Rachel Reeves has announced tax rises amounting to £26 billion as she battles a downgrade in forecast economic growth.

More than 1.7 million people will face paying more income tax as she froze thresholds, meaning people will be dragged into paying the tax for the first time or shifted into higher bands as earnings increase.

The measures contribute to a tax burden that will rise to an “all-time high” in 2030/31.

The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) forecast gross domestic product would grow by 1.5% this year, an increase from its earlier 1% forecast.

But it downgraded growth in 2026 from 1.9% to 1.4%, in 2027 from 1.8% to 1.5%, in 2028 from 1.7% to 1.5% and in 2029 from 1.8% to 1.5%.

In an unprecedented blunder, full details of Ms Reeves’s plans were published by the OBR more than half an hour before she stood up in the Commons chamber.

The OBR confirmed Rachel Reeves’s Budget “raises taxes by amounts rising to £26 billion in 2029/30, through freezing personal tax thresholds and a host of smaller measures”.

The freeze in thresholds will result in 780,000 more basic-rate, 920,000 more higher-rate, and 4,000 more additional-rate income tax payers in 2029/30. Scotland has a separate income tax system.

The policy, which applies to income tax and national insurance contributions, will rake in £8.3 billion for the Exchequer in 2029/30 and the freeze will extend to 2030/31.

Other personal tax changes include £4.7 billion through charging national insurance on salary-sacrificed pension contributions, and £2.1 billion through increasing tax rates on dividends, property and savings income by two percentage points.

Ms Reeves acknowledged the freeze in tax thresholds would hit “working people” – the group Labour had promised to protect – but she was “asking everyone to make a contribution”.

“I can keep that contribution as low as possible because I will make further reforms to our tax system today to make it fairer and to ensure the wealthiest contribute the most,” she said.

The combination of measures means that tax as a share of the economy – the tax-to-GDP ratio – will “increase to an all-time high of 38.3%” in 2030/31.

The Chancellor insisted the downgraded growth forecasts were “the Tories’ legacy, not Britain’s destiny” after the OBR lowered its expectations for productivity growth by 0.3 percentage points.

Measures in the Budget include:

– Changes to green levies will save £150 on the average household energy bill from April next year.

– The amount of headroom the Government has against the Chancellor’s day-to-day spending rule will widen to £21.7 billion in 2029/30, almost £12 billion more than in March.

– The 5p cut in fuel duty will remain in place until September 2026, when it will be reversed through a staggered approach.

– Drivers of battery electric cars will be hit by a 3p per mile tax from April 2028, with the charge to rise annually with inflation.

– The two-child benefit cap is being removed at an estimated cost of £3 billion by 2029/30.

– A high-value council tax surcharge on properties worth more than £2 million will raise £0.4 billion in 2029/30.

– Debt will rise from 95% of GDP this year to 96.1% by the end of the decade.

– Consumer Prices Index inflation is forecast to be 3.5% this year, higher than the 3.2% forecast in March, and 2.5% next year, higher than the 2.1% previously forecast, before settling at 2%.

– Unemployment is also forecast to be higher than previously forecast until 2029, peaking at 1.8 million next year.

Tory leader Kemi Badenoch said the Budget was a “total humiliation” for Rachel Reeves and “if she had any decency she would resign”.

The OBR document is not meant to be released until after the Chancellor has delivered her Budget in the House of Commons.

But it was published on the Budget watchdog’s website early, the latest in a series of leaks and early disclosures in the run-up to Ms Reeves’s statement.

The OBR apologised, blaming a “technical error”.

Shadow chancellor Sir Mel Stride said it was an “utterly outrageous” leak of market-sensitive information, which could constitute a criminal act.

Ms Reeves said it was “deeply disappointing” and a “serious error on their part”.



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India’s $5 Trillion Economy Push Explained: Why Modi Govt Wants To Merge 12 Banks Into 4 Mega ‘World-Class’ Lending Giants

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India’s  Trillion Economy Push Explained: Why Modi Govt Wants To Merge 12 Banks Into 4 Mega ‘World-Class’ Lending Giants


India’s Public Sector Banks Merger: The Centre is mulling over consolidating public-sector banks, and officials involved in the process say the long-term plan could eventually bring down the number of state-owned lenders from 12 to possibly just 4. The goal is to build a banking system that is large enough in scale, has deeper capital strength and is prepared to meet the credit needs of a fast-growing economy.

The minister explained that bigger banks are better equipped to support large-scale lending and long-term projects. “The country’s economy is moving rapidly toward the $5 trillion mark. The government is active in building bigger banks that can meet rising requirements,” she said.

Why India Wants Larger Banks

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Sitharaman recently confirmed that the government and the Reserve Bank of India have already begun detailed conversations on another round of mergers. She said the focus is on creating “world-class” banks that can support India’s expanding industries, rising infrastructure investments and overall credit demand.

She clarified that this is not only about merging institutions. The government and RBI are working on strengthening the entire banking ecosystem so that banks grow naturally and operate in a stable environment.

According to her, the core aim is to build stronger, more efficient and globally competitive banks that can help sustain India’s growth momentum.

At present, the country has a total of 12 public sector banks: the State Bank of India (SBI), the Punjab National Bank (PNB), the Bank of Baroda, the Canara Bank, the Union Bank of India, the Bank of India, the Indian Bank, the Central Bank of India, the Indian Overseas Bank (IOB) and the UCO Bank.

What Happens To Employees After Merger?

Whenever bank mergers are discussed, employees become anxious. A merger does not only combine balance sheets; it also brings together different work cultures, internal systems and employee expectations.

In the 1990s and early 2000s, several mergers caused discomfort among staff, including dissatisfaction over new roles, delayed promotions and uncertainty about reporting structures. Some officers who were promoted before mergers found their seniority diluted afterward, which created further frustration.

The finance minister addressed the concerns, saying that the government and the RBI are working together on the merger plan. She stressed that earlier rounds of consolidation had been successful. She added that the country now needs large, global-quality banks “where every customer issue can be resolved”. The focus, she said, is firmly on building world-class institutions.

‘No Layoffs, No Branch Closures’

She made one point unambiguous: no employee will lose their job due to the upcoming merger phase. She said that mergers are part of a natural process of strengthening banks, and this will not affect job security.

She also assured that no branches will be closed and no bank will be shut down as part of the consolidation exercise.

India last carried out a major consolidation drive in 2019-20, reducing the number of public-sector banks from 21 to 12. That round improved the financial health of many lenders.

With the government preparing for the next phase, the goal is clear. India wants large and reliable banks that can support a rapidly growing economy and meet the needs of a country expanding faster than ever.



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Stock market holidays in December: When will NSE, BSE remain closed? Check details – The Times of India

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Stock market holidays in December: When will NSE, BSE remain closed? Check details – The Times of India


Stock market holidays for December: As November comes to a close and the final month of the year begins, investors will want to know on which days trading sessions will be there and on which days stock markets are closed. are likely keeping a close eye on year-end portfolio adjustments, global cues, and corporate earnings.For this year, the only major, away from normal scheduled market holidays in December is Christmas, observed on Thursday, December 25. On this day, Indian stock markets, including the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) and National Stock Exchange (NSE), will remain closed across equity, derivatives, and securities lending and borrowing (SLB) segments. Trading in currency and interest rate derivatives segments will continue as usual.Markets are expected to reopen on Friday, December 26, as investors return to monitor global developments and finalize year-end positioning. Apart from weekends, Christmas is the only scheduled market holiday this month, making December relatively quiet compared with other festive months, with regards to stock markets.The last trading session in November, which was November 28 (next two days being the weekend) ended flat. BSE Sensex slipped 13.71 points, or 0.02 per cent, to settle at 85,706.67, after hitting an intra-day high of 85,969.89 and a low of 85,577.82, a swing of 392.07 points. Meanwhile, the NSE Nifty fell 12.60 points, or 0.05 per cent, to 26,202.95, halting its two-day rally.





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A Silent Threat Looms Over India’s Big Industries – Is Growth In Danger?

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A Silent Threat Looms Over India’s Big Industries – Is Growth In Danger?


New Delhi: As Indian exporters were already dealing with the heavy impact of tariffs imposed by US President Donald Trump, a new threat has come the fore. A report by global consulting firm BCG warns that India’s industries linked to exports and bound by international rules are now at risk from climate change. The most vulnerable sectors include aluminium, iron, and steel, which could face big losses in profits, disruptions in operations and long-term challenges to their sustainability if prompt action is not taken.

BCG Managing Director and Senior Partner Sumit Gupta, who is also Asia-Pacific leader for climate & sustainability, told PTI that according to the Climate Risk Index 2026, India ranks among the top 10 countries most exposed to extreme weather conditions.

“The cost of ignoring climate change for India could be enormous,” he said, referring to the findings released at COP30.

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Citing data from the Reserve Bank of India and the World Economic Forum 2024, he explained that by 2030, extreme climate events could threaten 4.5% of India’s GDP, and by the end of the century, losses could range between 6.4% and more than 10% of national income if climate risks are not addressed.

Direct Impact On Companies

Gupta highlighted how the climate threats directly affect businesses. Extreme weather can destroy physical infrastructure such as roads and bridges, reduce workers’ hours and hamper overall productivity.

Regions with higher climate vulnerability may experience delays in project execution, and investment potential could decline as uncertainty grows.

Earnings Under Threat

BCG’s estimates suggest that globally, climate-related risks could put 5% to 25% of companies’ EBITDA at risk by 2050. Indian businesses are increasingly recognising the severity of the challenge, understanding that climate change threatens not only profits but also the long-term stability of their operations.

If India wants to protect its economy and exports, he advised, taking action on climate change is urgent and necessary.



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