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Trump Tariffs Likely To Result In US GDP Go Down By 40-50 Bps: Report

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Trump Tariffs Likely To Result In US GDP Go Down By 40-50 Bps: Report


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The US inflation is expected to stay above the 2 per cent target through 2026, driven by supply-side effects of tariffs and exchange rate movement, report said

The US decision to impose steep tariffs on Indian goods is set to weigh on the American economy by stoking inflationary pressures and slowing growth, the SBI said in its report. (AI-generated Photo)

The US decision to impose steep tariffs on Indian goods is set to weigh on the American economy by stoking inflationary pressures and slowing growth, the SBI said in its report. (AI-generated Photo)

As Indian exporters brace for the impact after additional 25 per cent US tariffs on key goods came into effect on Wednesday, reports said that Trump tariffs are likely to affect the US GDP by 40-50 bps by triggering inflationary pressures.

The US inflation is expected to stay above the 2 per cent target through 2026, driven by supply-side effects of tariffs and exchange rate movement, according to a report by SBI Research.

“The US is beginning to show signs of renewed inflationary pressure, driven by the pass-through effects of recent tariffs and a weaker dollar – particularly in import-sensitive sectors such as electronics, autos, and consumer durables,” the report mentioned.

The US decision to impose steep tariffs on Indian goods is set to weigh on the American economy by stoking inflationary pressures and slowing growth, the SBI said in its report.

“We believe that US tariffs is likely to affect US GDP by 40-50 bps and higher input cost inflation,” it added.

Addressing the Fed’s annual conference in Jackson Hole in the US, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is trying to balance rising prices and risks in a fragile job market. He said the effects of higher tariffs on prices are “now clearly visible”.

US wholesale prices jumped nearly 1 per cent in July – the fastest increase in over three years – as tariff war resulted into rising costs. The Producer Price Index rose 3.3 per cent year-on-year, with services, processed goods, and tariff-heavy imports like furniture and apparel seeing sharp price hikes.

Economists warn that unless tariffs are rolled back, families in the US will face more pressure on their budgets.

Earlier, the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) circulated a draft notification that it was imposing on Wednesday (US time) an additional 25 per cent tariff on India to address “threats to the United States by the Government of the Russian Federation”.

That is to be on top of the 25 per cent announced earlier, with exemptions for some items like electronics and pharmaceuticals.

(This story has not been edited by News18 staff and is published from a syndicated news agency feed – IANS)

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Saurabh Verma

Saurabh Verma covers general, national and international day-to-day news for News18.com as a Senior Sub-editor. He keenly observes politics. You can follow him on Twitter –twitter.com/saurabhkverma19

Saurabh Verma covers general, national and international day-to-day news for News18.com as a Senior Sub-editor. He keenly observes politics. You can follow him on Twitter –twitter.com/saurabhkverma19

News business Trump Tariffs Likely To Result In US GDP Go Down By 40-50 Bps: Report
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UK prepares for food shortages in worst case scenario as Iran war continues

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UK prepares for food shortages in worst case scenario as Iran war continues



The UK could face some food shortages by the summer under a worst case scenario drawn up by government officials.



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How the wealthy are planning to cut their 2026 tax bills

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How the wealthy are planning to cut their 2026 tax bills


The U.S. Internal Revenue Service (IRS) building stands after it was reported the IRS will lay off about 6,700 employees, a restructuring that could strain the tax-collecting agency’s resources during the critical tax-filing season, in Washington, D.C., Feb. 20, 2025. 

Kent Nishimura | Reuters

A version of this article first appeared in CNBC’s Inside Wealth newsletter with Robert Frank, a weekly guide to the high-net-worth investor and consumer. Sign up to receive future editions, straight to your inbox.

For seven years, wealthy Americans faced a looming deadline to take advantage of tax provisions that were set to expire at the end of 2025. While the One Big Beautiful Bill Act alleviated much of the uncertainty by making most of the cuts permanent, lawyers and tax accountants say the ever-shifting tax code requires constant planning.

With this year’s Tax Day now behind us, here are five of the most important planning strategies wealthy investors and high earners are thinking about for next year and beyond.

1. Long-short tax-loss harvesting

2. Bonus depreciation

The 2025 tax bill renewed bonus depreciation, allowing businesses to deduct the full cost of qualifying assets like machinery, computers or vehicles the first year they are used.

Adam Ludman, head of tax strategy at J.P. Morgan Private Bank, said many clients with operating businesses are investing with bonus depreciation in mind, such as buying private jets

Real estate developers and investors are trying to get the most bang for their buck by assessing which parts of their properties can be depreciated faster, according to Ludman. For instance, while a commercial building can take 39 years to depreciate, a parking lot can be depreciated over 15 years, allowing owners to recover costs faster.

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3. Changing domiciles

A wave of blue states are considering new taxes on top earners and high-net-worth individuals in order to cover cuts in federal aid. California’s one-time billionaire tax proposal may end up on the November ballot, while Maine and Washington have recently passed millionaire taxes.

Jane Ditelberg, chief tax strategist for Northern Trust Wealth Management, said a growing number of clients are asking how to change their tax status as these proposals gain traction. Depending on their state, residents can avoid state-level taxes by creating trusts in states with favorable trust income laws like Delaware.

The most straightforward way to avoid local taxes is to change your domicile, which is easier said than done, according to Jere Doyle of BNY Wealth. The senior estate planning strategist based in Massachusetts, which imposes a millionaire tax, said he has had clients move to New Hampshire and establish residency before selling their businesses.

But clients are often loath to take the steps necessary to establish intent not to return, Doyle said. For instance, moving to Florida may not be enough to avoid Massachusetts taxes if you refuse to sell your Martha’s Vineyard home, he said. 

“Everyone thinks that if they spend 183 days in another state, you’re domiciled in that state. That’s not necessarily true. Each state’s a little bit different,” he said. “You [have] got to change where you vote, where your car is registered, even where your doctors are, what clubs you belong to, golf clubs, country clubs, things like that.”

4. Bunching charitable gifts

One notable drawback of last year’s tax bill was a reduction in the tax benefits of charitable giving for top earners. 

The bill limits top-earning donors in two ways. First, starting this year, donors who itemize will only be able to deduct charitable contributions in excess of 0.5% of their adjusted gross income, or AGI. 

Second, taxpayers in the 37% tax bracket will have their itemized deductions reduced by 2/37th of the value. This ceiling reduces the effective tax benefit from 37% to 35%.

Ditelberg said many clients accelerated their charitable giving last year before these new rules took effect. She said she anticipates clients will continue to “bunch” their donations, by giving a larger sum in one year rather than spreading it over multiple years, so they only trigger the 0.5% haircut once, either through their foundations or donor-advised funds. 

5. Opportunity zones

The tax bill also offered an incentive for business owners and real estate owners to postpone selling their assets. The bill made permanent the qualified opportunity zone program, which allows investors to defer capital gains by rolling them over into a fund that invests in a low-income community.

The opportunity zone funds created under the first Trump administration still exist, but you can only defer the taxes until the end of the year. The new opportunity zones, which have yet to be designated, come with enhanced benefits, especially for investors in rural communities. For instance, if you hold your investment in a qualified rural opportunity fund for five years, your capital gains are reduced by 30% for tax purposes.

But you only have 180 days to roll over your gains, and the new opportunity zone rules don’t take effect until 2027, Ditelberg noted. 

“If you’re thinking of incurring a major gain, you may want to defer it until August or September, instead of doing it in May or June, if you think you would like to take advantage of the opportunity zone deferral,” she said. “I think we’re going to see people who are incurring gains in the second half of this year.”

That said, investors are waiting to see what the new funds entail. Drossman said some clients are reluctant to invest in opportunity zones again after their previous investments underperformed. 

“It’s a classic example of not letting the tax-tail wag the dog because these need to be sound investments,” he said. “Like with all investments, there is an element of risk and return.”

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PepsiCo earnings beat estimates as North American food business improves

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PepsiCo earnings beat estimates as North American food business improves


Illuminated logo for Pepsi on a soda fountain in Walnut Creek, California, March 4, 2026.

Smith Collection | Gado | Archive Photos | Getty Images

PepsiCo on Thursday reported quarterly earnings and revenue that topped analysts’ expectations as its struggling North American food business reported a return to volume growth.

Here’s what the company reported compared with what Wall Street was expecting, based on a survey of analysts by LSEG:

  • Earnings per share: $1.61 adjusted vs. $1.55 expected
  • Revenue: $19.44 billion vs. $18.94 billion expected

Pepsi reported first-quarter net income attributable to the company of $2.32 billion, or $1.70 per share, up from $1.83 billion, or $1.33 per share, a year earlier.

Excluding items, the company earned $1.61 per share.

Net sales rose 8.5% to $19.44 billion.

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