Business
Trump threatens ‘severe consequences’ if Putin blocks Ukraine peace

- Trump says he could meet Putin and Zelensky after Alaska meeting.
- Says he had very good phone conversation with Ukraine leader.
- Macron says Trump agreed Ukraine must be involved in talks.
WASHINGTON/BERLIN: US President Donald Trump has warned that Vladimir Putin will face “severe consequences” if he stands in the way of a peace deal for Ukraine.
Speaking ahead of their meeting in Alaska on Friday, Trump said he hopes the talks will move things forward – but made it clear he is ready to act if they fail.
Trump also said on Wednesday that a meeting between the pair could swiftly be followed by a second that included the leader of Ukraine.
Trump did not specify what the consequences could be, but he has warned of economic sanctions if a meeting between himself and President Putin in Alaska on Friday proved fruitless.
The comments by Trump and the mood music after a virtual meeting of Trump, European leaders and President Volodymyr Zelensky could provide some hope for Kyiv after fears the Alaska meet could sell out Ukraine and carve up its territory.
However, Russia is likely to resist Ukraine and Europe’s demands strongly and previously said its stance had not changed since it was set out by Putin in June 2024.
When asked if Russia would face any consequences if Putin does not agree to stop the war after Friday’s meeting, Trump responded: “Yes, they will.”
Asked if those consequences would be sanctions or tariffs, Trump told reporters: “I don’t have to say, there will be very severe consequences.”
But the president also described the aim of the meeting between the pair in Alaska as “setting the table” for a quick follow-up that would include Zelensky.
“If the first one goes okay, we’ll have a quick second one,” he said.
“I would like to do it almost immediately, and we’ll have a quick second meeting between President Putin and President Zelensky and myself, if they’d like to have me there.”
Trump did not provide a time frame for a second meeting.
Red lines
European leaders and Zelensky had earlier spoken with Trump in a last-ditch call hosted by Germany to lay out red lines ahead of the Alaska meeting.
“We had a very good call. He was on the call. President Zelensky was on the call. I would rate it a 10, very friendly,” Trump said.
French President Emmanuel Macron said Trump agreed that Ukraine must be involved in any discussions about ceding land, while Zelensky said Trump had supported the idea of security guarantees in a post-war settlement.
“President Trump was very clear that the United States wanted to achieve a ceasefire at this meeting in Alaska,” Macron said.
“The second point on which things were very clear, as expressed by President Trump, is that territories belonging to Ukraine cannot be negotiated and will only be negotiated by the Ukrainian president.”
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, who hosted the virtual meeting, said the principle that borders could not be changed by force must continue to apply.
“If there is no movement on the Russian side in Alaska, then the United States and we Europeans should … increase the pressure,” he said.
“President Trump knows this position, he shares it very extensively, and therefore I can say: We have had a really exceptionally constructive and good conversation with each other.”
Trump and Putin are due to discuss how to end the three-and-a-half-year-old conflict, the biggest in Europe since World War Two. Trump has previously said both sides will have to swap land to end fighting that has cost tens of thousands of lives and displaced millions.
Russia makes sharp advance into Ukraine
On a day of intense diplomacy, Zelensky flew into Berlin for virtual meetings with European leaders and then with Trump.
He and the Europeans worry that a land swap could leave Russia with almost a fifth of Ukraine, rewarding it for almost 11 years of efforts to seize Ukrainian land, the last three in all-out war, and emboldening Putin to expand further west in the future.
Russian forces have made a sharp thrust into eastern Ukraine in recent days in what may be an attempt to increase the pressure on Kyiv to give up land.
“I told the US president and all our European colleagues that Putin is bluffing (about his stated wish to end the war),” Zelensky said. “He is trying to apply pressure before the meeting in Alaska along all parts of the Ukrainian front. Russia is trying to show that it can occupy all of Ukraine …”
A source familiar with the matter said the call with Trump discussed possible cities that could host a three-way meeting, depending on the outcome of the talks in Alaska.
Wary of angering Trump, European leaders have repeatedly said they welcome his efforts, while stressing that there should be no deal about Ukraine without Ukraine’s participation.
Trump’s agreement last week to the summit was an abrupt shift after weeks of voicing frustration with Putin for resisting the US peace initiative. Trump said his envoy had made “great progress” at talks in Moscow.
A Gallup poll released last week found that 69% of Ukrainians favour a negotiated end to the war as soon as possible. But polls also indicate Ukrainians do not want peace at any cost if that means crushing concessions.
Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Alexei Fadeev earlier said Moscow’s stance had not changed since last year.
As conditions for a ceasefire and the start of talks, the Kremlin leader had demanded that Ukraine withdraw its forces from four regions that Russia has claimed as its own but does not fully control, and formally renounce its plans to join NATO.
Kyiv swiftly rejected the conditions as tantamount to surrender.
Business
Budget 2026: Who Delivered The Longest Budget Speech In India?
New Delhi: Every year, the Union Budget draws nationwide attention as it outlines the government’s plans for the economy and public spending. Traditionally presented on February 1, the Budget will be tabled by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman on February 1, 2026, at 11 am, as confirmed by Lok Sabha Speaker Om Birla.
A Record-Breaking Budget Speech
Nirmala Sitharaman created history by delivering the longest Budget speech in India in 2020, which lasted 2 hours and 42 minutes. The marathon address introduced several major announcements, including a new income tax regime and the much-awaited initial public offering (IPO) of Life Insurance Corporation (LIC).
However, during the course of the speech, Sitharaman felt unwell, following which Lok Sabha Speaker Om Birla read out the remaining two pages on her behalf. Notably, the 2020 speech had already surpassed her own 2019 record, when she spoke for 2 hours and 17 minutes. In contrast, her 2024 Interim Budget speech was much shorter, lasting just 56 minutes, her briefest Budget address since taking charge as Finance Minister.
Understanding the Union Budget: What It Means for India
The Union Budget is a yearly financial statement presented by the Finance Minister in Parliament under Article 112 of the Constitution of India. It outlines the government’s estimated income and spending for the upcoming financial year, giving a clear picture of how public funds will be raised and used.
Along with revenue and expenditure details, the Union Budget also announces proposed changes in taxes, key focus areas for development, policy initiatives, and major economic reforms. It serves as a roadmap for the country’s economic direction in the year ahead.
Over the years, Budget speeches have evolved to reflect India’s changing economic needs and challenges. All eyes are now on Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman, who has been leading the Finance Ministry since 2019 and is set to present her eighth Union Budget on February 1.
Business
Fundamental shift from savers to investors: What Indian households are doing with their money? – The Times of India
For years, Indian families have saved in gold, stored cash, and put money in tangible assets to safeguard their future. But now, there’s a noticeable shift is visible as more Indian households are moving away from old saving ways and putting their money to work through investments.India’s total household wealth, by the end of FY25, stood at Rs 1,300-1,400 lakh crore. Of this, investable financial assets stand at almost 35% of the total, growing at nearly 17% over the past five years, according to a recent Bain–Groww report, titled How India Invests.

Household wealth has gone through a shift since the Covid era. Indians have moved from traditional fixed deposits toward market-linked instruments like mutual funds, pension funds and listed equities, which are growing at a fast rate, far outpacing deposits growth.Over the last five years, individual investor base in the country has expanded sharply, going from around 3 crore investors in 2019 to over 12 crore by 2025, according to the Market Pulse December 2025 report by the National Stock Exchange of India (NSE), India. In 2025 alone, households invested a whopping Rs 4.5 lakh crore into equity markets, both directly and indirectly through mutual funds. This, pushed the overall household investment in equities since 2020 to around Rs 17 lakh crore. In FY25, mutual fund assets under management (AUM) held by individuals reached Rs 41 lakh crore, driven by double participation by households, going from 5–6% to 10–11%, and increasing popularity of systematic investment plans (SIPs).According to RBI data, equity formed 1.3% of household savings in FY2021, but its share increased to 2.1% by FY2025. Similarly, mutual funds recorded a significant jump over the same period, with their share rising sharply from 2.1% to 13.1%. Contributions to provident and pension funds also grew, increasing from 16.6% in FY2021 to 22.2% in FY2025.In contrast, traditional savings instruments saw a decline. Small savings, excluding PPF, fell from 7.9% to 6.5%, while the share of currency in household savings dropped steeply from 12.6% to 5.9%. Life insurance also witnessed a reduction, with its share slipping from 18.7% in FY2021 to 15% in FY2025.Gradually, households reduced their dependence on bank deposits and insurance-based savings. Instead, investments in pension schemes and mutual funds have gathered pace, pointing to a broader shift towards market-linked financial products.

Mutual funds, stocks, SIPs: Who is choosing what?
Salaried households show a clear preference for mutual funds, particularly through SIPs, reflecting a tilt toward disciplined, professionally managed investing aligned with long-term financial goals, according to the Bain report. In contrast, business owners display a stronger inclination toward direct equity investments, marked by higher trading frequency and a greater appetite for risk. Within mutual funds, SIPs remain the dominant entry route, while lump-sum investments are steadily gaining traction as investors mature, build market confidence, and increase their risk tolerance.
Interest in investing spiked after Covid?
Covid didn’t just change daily life, it changed how Indians invest. Retail participation in the stock market rose sharply after the pandemic, driven by a mix of high liquidity, lower household spending during lockdowns and the flexibility of work-from-home, Rohit Shah, Certified Financial Planner and founder of Getting You Rich told TOI. Shweta Rajani, head of mutual funds at Anand Rathi Wealth Limited, pointed out that mutual funds made up only 4–5% of household financial assets between FY15 and FY20, but this share nearly doubled from around 5% in FY20 to close to 10% by FY25. At the same time, direct equity investments also grew sharply, rising from about 4% of household assets in FY20 to around 9% by FY25. “Together, these shifts indicate a clear move away from traditional savings instruments towards market-linked investments, indicating investors are comfortable with equity as an asset,” the expert added.Meanwhile, Nirav Karkera, head of research at Fisdom believes that Covid acted more as an accelerator than a starting point as the shift had already begun after demonetisation. The switch made Indians comfortable with digital payments and later with digital investing. By the time the pandemic arrived, systems such as Aadhaar-based KYC, easy online transactions and awareness campaigns like Mutual Fund Sahi Hai had removed most barriers. “When the pandemic hit, investors suddenly had the time and urgency to reflect on their personal finances. More importantly, the infrastructure to execute decisions with almost zero friction already existed. Willingness, ability and accessibility came together and translated into action. The sharp and mostly linear market recovery that followed further strengthened confidence, pulled in fence-sitters and accelerated the broader financialisation of household assets that was underway,” Nirav added.
Change in India’s risk appetite
India’s shift from saving to investing is being driven less by thrill-seeking and more by necessity, experts said. Traditional savings instruments are increasingly failing to protect wealth, as post-tax returns often fall below inflation, steadily eroding purchasing power. “What looks like rising risk appetite is partly a change in the understanding of risk itself,” said Karkera, adding that investors now see the risk of staying idle and falling behind as greater than the risk of market volatility. This shift has been reinforced by deeper financial awareness, easier access to investing through fintech platforms, and stronger regulation, said Rajani. The expert further noted that SIPs, simplified KYC and digital onboarding have lowered entry barriers, while a generational change is reshaping attitudes, older investors prioritised capital preservation, but younger earners, facing higher inflation and lower real interest rates, are more focused on long-term wealth creation using growth assets. However Shah cautioned that rising participation does not always mean better risk management. “Four structural factors drive this shift: financial literacy campaigns, fintech accessibility reducing entry barriers, higher equity allocations in mutual fund inflows, and rising per capita incomes. Yet risk appetite may be overstated. Data on retail trading patterns shows concentration in speculative segments, suggesting investors confuse market participation with risk management. Many haven’t weathered a bear market, leading to underestimation of downside volatility,” Shah told TOI.
Here’s what is driving the investors:
A combination of demographic change, regulatory support, digital access and strong market returns has accelerated India’s move from traditional savings to investing.

Demographic changesYounger investors are driving India’s shift from traditional savings to investing, with NSE data showing that more than half newly registered investors are below 30. At the same time, women are steadily increasing their presence in financial markets. As of November 2025, women account for nearly a quarter of India’s investor base, with their share in the NSE’s individual investor pool remaining stable at almost 24%.Digital transformationDigital platforms have emerged as the main entry point for retail investors in the country, with almost 80% of direct equity investors and around 35% of mutual fund investors investing through digital channels. According to the Bain report, driven by app-based onboarding, paperless KYC and fintech-led distribution, platforms such as Groww, Zerodha and Upstox have simplified investing, brought in millions of first-time investors, and together account for almost 80% of India’s retail equity investor base.Going beyond metro citiesInvestment activity is increasingly coming from smaller cities. Around 55–60% of new SIP registrations now originate from B30 cities, highlighting the growing role of Tier-2 and Tier-3 regions in driving mutual fund growth.Rising financial literacy and awarenessThe spread of regional and digital financial content across YouTube, Instagram and fintech platforms has made investing concepts more accessible. Regulatory awareness campaigns by AMFI — including “Mutual Funds Sahi Hai” and “Bharat Nivesh Yatra” — have further boosted investor education.Market performance reinforcing trustSustained returns have strengthened long-term investor confidence. The Nifty 50 and Sensex delivered 10–15% returns over the last decade, while equity-oriented mutual funds have significantly outperformed traditional fixed deposits over the past five years.
Women and GenZ hit investment markets
GenZYounger investors are emerging as key drivers of the shift from traditional savings to investment. Data from the NSE shows that more than half, almost 56%, of newly registered investors are below 30. Mutual fund trends also reflected this shift, with 55% of investors under 40 and the 20–30 age group emerging as the fastest-growing segment in the top 100 cities.Comparing the contribution of GenZ and millennials, Rohit Shah said that according to the data, both cohorts contribute meaningfully, but with distinct patterns.“GenZ dominates app-based trading volumes due to digital nativity and lower capital requirements. Millennials drive mutual fund and long-term investments through larger disposable incomes and established goals.” He further added, after the market expansion happening after the pandemic, benefited both simultaneously, “making it difficult to isolate one generation as the primary driver. The real story lies in democratization across age groups, not generational dominance.The equity shift is broad-based across age groups according to AMFI’s age-wise distribution of individual investor AUM. Gen Z investors (under 25 years) have allocated nearly 65% of their assets to equity, Rajani told TOI. Millennials (25–44 years), meanwhile, “show the highest equity allocation at approximately 75.5%, and importantly, even investors above 58 years of age maintain a meaningful equity allocation of around 54%”Nirav Karkera, head of research at Fisdom, highlighted a different approach, saying that while millennials currently lead the equity surge, the baton is likely to pass to Gen Z in the coming years. “Gen Z is still in the early stage of their earning life, where consumption tends to dominate. At the same time, they are arguably the most financially aware generation we have seen. They understand the language of money much earlier than millennials did at their age. Once their incomes rise and they have surplus capital, they are likely to play an even bigger role than millennials in shaping investment patterns. For now, millennials are doing the heavy lifting, but the baton looks set to pass smoothly to Gen Z.”WomenAs of November 2025, women account for nearly a quarter of India’s investor base, highlighting their growing presence in financial markets. Data from NSE shows that over the corresponding period, women’s share in the individual investor base has remained stable at 24.7% over the corresponding period. Among the top five states by registered investors, Maharashtra leads with women comprising 28.8% of its investor pool, up from 25.6% in FY23, followed closely by Gujarat at 28.1% (26.6% in FY23). In contrast, Uttar Pradesh, despite being the second-largest state by investor count, continues to lag, with women forming 18.9% of investors, though this marks an improvement from 16.9% in FY23.Encouragingly, nearly 53% of Indian states now report female investor participation above the national average, compared to 44% in FY23. Smaller regions are emerging as frontrunners in gender inclusion, with Goa (33.1%), Mizoram (32.4%), Chandigarh (32.2%), Sikkim (31.1%) and Delhi (30.9%) leading the way – reflecting rising financial awareness, greater workforce participation, and improved access to investment avenues among women. Mutual funds also saw rising participation from women, particularly in B30 cities, where the share of women investors climbed from 20% to 25% over the past five years. In the top 30 cities, women now make up nearly 35% of mutual fund investors as of FY25, accompanied by a sharper rise in average MF folio sizes between FY19 and FY24.
Short-term or long-term: Where are Indians putting their money?
Indian investors are participating across both short-term trading and long-term wealth building, but experts say the balance is slowly tilting toward the latter. In the immediate post-Covid phase, many first-time investors entered markets with speculative intent. However, that period helped break psychological barriers. “Once investors experienced volatility firsthand rather than hearing about it abstractly, they started building familiarity, confidence and a basic understanding of market behaviour,” said Karkera, adding that the early rush acted as a gateway to more mature participation.Rajani told TOI that the trend is driven by long term objectives rather than short term. The expert pointed to AMFI’s SIP holding-period analysis, which shows that the share of SIP assets held for over five years has jumped from 11% to 29% in the past five years, while investments held for less than a year have fallen sharply from 41% to 23%.Meanwhile Shah said that even though “retail trading volumes have grown exponentially—NSE data shows consistent month-on-month increases in F&O participation. Simultaneously, mutual fund SIP adoption remains strong, but it’s overshadowed by trading activity. With fixed deposit yields compressed by falling interest rates, investors are chasing equity returns without corresponding time horizons. The evidence suggests a bifurcation: disciplined SIP investors versus growing trading populations driven by short-term performance metrics.”
Are there any risks for the investment express?
Shah warned that many new investors entered the market during a long bull run, and historically, market corrections of 30–50% happen every 7–10 years. Therefore, a prolonged downturn could lead to panic selling, especially among first-time investors with little experience of market volatility. Meanwhile, in the short term, market ups and downs may push some investors to move money into safer options like debt funds. Investors also tend to chase assets that have done well recently, such as gold and silver. However, Rajani pointed out that these shifts are temporary and not a fundamental change. “Over the long term, the broader trend toward equity investing is expected to continue as investors looking for inflation-beating returns to meet long-term financial goals.”Karkera also highlighted that even though risks remain, they are manageable. He noted that lower equity returns or bouts of market volatility could cause short-term, speculative investors to step back, and better performance in fixed-income or real assets may temporarily pull some money away from equities. However, the larger shift is firmly in place thanks to improved investor awareness, growing digital access. “Growth may pause or plateau intermittently, but the long-term trajectory of retail participation still feels upward.”
Still room to grow
Despite the rapid shift, India continues to lag developed markets. Mutual funds and equities account for just 15–20% of household investable assets, compared with 50–60% in countries like the US and Canada, highlighting significant headroom for future growth.As the Bain report notes: Over the next decade, mutual fund AUM is projected to cross Rs 300 lakh crore, while direct equity holdings could approach Rs 250 lakh crore, supported by deeper penetration in tier-2 and tier-3 cities, regulatory reforms and investor education initiatives.
Business
Green energy exports: $10-bn green ammonia project positions India as global clean-fuel supplier; Kakinada plant nears key milestone – The Times of India
A $10-billion green hydrogen and green ammonia project at Kakinada in Andhra Pradesh is set to cross a major construction milestone, reinforcing India’s ambition to emerge as a global supplier of clean energy to markets such as Germany, Japan and Singapore.The first major equipment erection ceremony of AM Green’s Green Hydrogen and Green Ammonia Complex will be held on January 17 and will be attended by Chief Minister N Chandrababu Naidu and Deputy Chief Minister Konidala Pawan Kalyan, state government officials said, PTI reported.Billed as one of the largest clean-energy investments in India to date, the project involves a total outlay of $10 billion and is expected to generate up to 8,000 jobs during the construction phase, besides substantial high-skill employment during operations and across allied sectors including renewable energy, logistics, storage and port services.AM Green is developing India’s first and the world’s largest green ammonia complex at Kakinada, with a planned capacity of 1.5 million tonnes per annum, through the brownfield conversion of an existing ammonia-urea facility. The project will be commissioned in phases, beginning with 0.5 million tonnes per annum by 2027, scaling up to 1 million tonnes by 2028 and reaching full capacity by 2030.Once operational, the facility will enable India’s first exports of green ammonia, which is increasingly being adopted globally as a clean shipping fuel, for power generation and as a carrier for green hydrogen.The integrated project spans 7.5 gigawatts of solar and wind capacity, 1,950 megawatts of electrolyser capacity and 2 gigawatts of round-the-clock renewable power, supported by pumped hydro storage, including India’s first such facility at Pinnapuram in Andhra Pradesh.AM Green has already signed long-term supply agreements with Germany-based utility Uniper and is in advanced discussions with potential buyers in Japan and Singapore, establishing India’s first green-energy export linkages with Europe and advanced Asian economies.The project is aligned with Andhra Pradesh’s Integrated Clean Energy Policy, 2024, which seeks to position the state as India’s primary hub for green hydrogen and green ammonia. Once fully commissioned, the facility is expected to mark a structural shift from energy import dependence towards clean-energy exports, placing Andhra Pradesh at the centre of the global green-energy value chain.AM Green, backed by the founders of the Greenko Group, is developing the project through AM Green Ammonia, a partnership involving Malaysia-based Gentari, Singapore’s sovereign wealth fund GIC and the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority. Construction at the Kakinada site is already under way, placing it among a limited set of large-scale green ammonia facilities globally that meet Renewable Fuels of Non-Biological Origin (RFNBO) standards.Beyond production, the project showcases an end-to-end clean-energy ecosystem within a single state, encompassing large-scale renewable generation, round-the-clock green power backed by storage, hydrogen and ammonia production, and port-based export infrastructure.AM Green has also moved to strengthen global linkages. In May last year, it announced a partnership with the Port of Rotterdam Authority to create a dedicated green-fuel corridor linking India with north-western Europe, aimed at enabling annual trade of up to 1 million tonnes of green fuels valued at nearly $1 billion. Earlier, it tied up with global logistics firm DP World to develop green fuel storage and export facilities in India and overseas.“This is not merely an industrial project, but a strategic step in positioning Andhra Pradesh and India as leaders in clean-energy exports and climate action,” the state government said.
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