Business
UK economy grew slightly in August ahead of key Budget

The UK economy grew slightly in August helped by an increase in manufacturing output, according to the latest official figures.
The economy expanded by 0.1%, the Office for National Statistics said, after contracting by 0.1% in July.
The government has made boosting the economy a key priority and pressure is mounting ahead of the Budget next month, but economists expect growth to remain sluggish over the next few months.
Many analysts expect that tax rises or spending cuts will be needed to meet the chancellor’s self-imposed borrowing rules.
The Institute for Fiscal Studies is projecting Rachel Reeves will need to find £22bn to make up a shortfall in the government’s finances, and will “almost certainly” have to raise taxes.
On Wednesday, Reeves said she was “looking at further measures on tax and spending, to make sure that the public finances always add up”.
The main driver of growth in August was the manufacturing sector, which grew by 0.7%.
However, the key services sector – which covers businesses in sectors such as retail, hospitality and finance – saw no growth during August.
Monthly growth figures can be volatile, and the ONS has downgraded July’s figure from its initial estimate of zero growth to a 0.1% contraction.
The ONS is focusing on growth over a rolling three-month period, and in the three months to August the economy expanded by 0.3%, which was a slight improvement on the previous figure.
“Economic growth increased slightly in the latest three months. Services growth held steady, while there was a smaller drag from production than previously,” said Liz McKeown, ONS director of statistics.
Yael Selfin, chief economist at KPMG UK, said that while the economy had returned to growth in August, the “outlook remains weak”.
She said households were facing higher costs for essentials such as food, while uncertainty about potential tax rises in the Budget was “expected to weigh on activity for both households and businesses”.
“As a result, we anticipate growth to remain sluggish over the coming months.”
Ruth Gregory, deputy chief UK economist at Capital Economics, called August’s growth “meagre”.
She said the increases in taxes for businesses that took effect in April this year – such as the rise in employers’ National Insurance contributions – were “undoubtedly playing a part in restraining growth”.
“There is little reason to think GDP growth will accelerate much from here,” Ms Gregory said.
“The disruption to the auto sector caused by the Jaguar Land Rover cyber-attack probably meant the economy went backwards in September.”
Earlier this week, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicted that the UK would be the second-fastest-growing of the world’s most advanced economies this year.
However, it also said the UK would face the highest rate of inflation among G7 nations both this year and next, as result of rising energy and utility bills.
A Treasury spokesperson said: “We have seen the fastest growth in the G7 since the start of the year, but for too many people our economy feels stuck.
“The chancellor is determined to turn this around by helping businesses in every town and high street grow, investing in infrastructure and cutting red tape to get Britain building.”
Shadow chancellor Mel Stride said the latest figures “show that growth continues to be weak and Rachel Reeves is now admitting she is going to hike taxes yet again, despite all her promises”.
“If Labour had a plan – or a backbone – they would get spending under control, cut the deficit and get taxes down.”
Daisy Cooper, Liberal Democrat Treasury spokesperson, said the government was “simply not doing enough to kickstart growth”.
“The chancellor must quit her slowcoach approach to the economy and finally drop her damaging national insurance hike, which has stifled business and hit high streets up and down the country.”
Business
Commodity market boost: Sebi plans to boost institutional participation; derivatives and bonds in focus – The Times of India

Markets regulator Sebi is taking steps to enhance institutional participation in both agricultural and non-agricultural commodity markets, aiming to make them more appealing for hedging activities, its chairman Tuhin Kanta Pandey said on Thursday, PTI reported.Speaking at the Bloomberg Forum for Investment Management, Pandey said, “We are looking to enhance institutional participation to make this market more attractive for hedging.” He added that deepening India’s cash equities market and improving the derivatives segment remain high priorities.The Sebi chief emphasised that any further measures to strengthen commodity markets would be consultative and carefully designed. Last month, he had indicated plans to engage with the government to allow banks, insurance companies, and pension funds to invest in non-agricultural commodity derivative markets.Pandey also highlighted that Sebi is examining proposals to permit foreign portfolio investors to trade in non-cash-settled, non-agricultural commodity derivative contracts.Beyond commodities, the regulator has taken steps to deepen the corporate bond market, making it more accessible for issuers and investors. Sebi is also considering bond derivatives and encouraging the growth of municipal bonds through regulatory reforms and targeted outreach programmes.
Business
‘I’m not a gold buyer, but…’: JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon, long a gold skeptic, now sees ‘semi-rational’ in buying it; what he said – The Times of India

Jamie Dimon, the JPMorgan Chase & Co CEO, who is long known to be a skeptic on gold investment, has said that he now sees a ‘semi-rational’ in having the yellow metal as part of your investment portfolio.Gold prices have surged significantly, rising from under $2,000 two years ago to remarkable levels, outperforming equity markets in the 21st century. This upward trend reflects investors seeking refuge in secure assets, driven by inflationary pressures and global political tensions.
Jamie Dimon’s View on Gold
While stating that he is not a buying of gold, Dimon acknowledged that gold prices could go up to as high as $10,000! “I’m not a gold buyer — it costs 4% to own it,” Dimon said this week at Fortune’s Most Powerful Women conference in Washington. Dimon expressed a measured view on gold ownership whilst acknowledging its potential value in current circumstances.“It could easily go to $5,000, $10,000 in environments like this. This is one of the few times in my life it’s semi-rational to have some in your portfolio,” he was quoted as saying by Bloomberg.“Asset prices are kind of high,” Dimon said, and “in the back of my mind, that cuts across almost everything at this point.”Ken Griffin, the billionaire founder of Citadel, expressed concern last week about investors increasingly perceiving gold as a more stable alternative to the dollar, describing this shift as “really concerning.”Goldman Sachs has adjusted its gold price prediction for December 2026 upwards to $4,900 per ounce, an increase from the previous $4,300, attributing this change to significant Western ETF investments and anticipated central bank purchases.“We see the risks to our upgraded gold price forecast as still skewed to the upside on net, because private sector diversification into the relatively small gold market may boost ETF holdings above our rates-implied estimate,” Goldman said according to a Reuters report.HSBC has increased its projected average gold price for 2025 to $3,355 per ounce from $3,215, attributing the rise to heightened safe-haven interest amidst global political tensions, financial instability, and declining US dollar strength.“Sentiment remains bullish as rallies are expected to continue in 2026 aided by official sector buying and institutional demand for gold as a diversifier,” the bank stated in a note dated October 15.HSBC revised its gold price projection upward, setting a new average target of $3,950 for 2026, an increase from its previous estimate of $3,125.ANZ’s latest analysis predicts gold prices will reach $4,400 per ounce by end-2025, citing several factors including heightened geopolitical tensions, economic instability, financial market uncertainties, and anticipated Federal Reserve interest rate reductions.The bank expects gold valuations to achieve their highest point around $4,600 per ounce in June 2026, before trending downward in the latter half of 2026, coinciding with the end of the Federal Reserve’s easing programme and increased certainty regarding US economic expansion and trade policy directions.
Business
Digital gold vs jewellery: Experts weigh in on costs, safety & returns; what you need to know – The Times of India

As Diwali and Dhanteras approach, gold continues to remain a preferred investment and a symbol of tradition in India. While most consumers buy gold in the form of jewellery, coins, and bars during the festive season, digital gold has been attracting attention from investors seeking convenience and systematic wealth accumulation.Digital gold allows investors to benefit from rising gold prices without holding the metal physically. Unlike jewellery, it does not carry making charges and can be purchased online with investments starting as low as Rs 10. The metal is stored in secured vaults, protecting buyers from theft, damage, or the hassles of safe storage, according to an ET report.“Digital gold feels cheaper because you can start small, even with Rs 10. But add platform spreads and GST, and the total cost often comes close to buying physical coins. The real value is convenience. For serious investors, however, Gold ETFs are a smarter alternative as they are regulated by SEBI,” said Trivesh D, COO, Tradejini.Physical gold, on the other hand, retains its charm with lustre and wearability, and its price appreciates over time. Experts, however, point out that it quietly eats into returns due to GST, making charges, and annual locker fees. “Digital gold also has costs: 3% GST and usually a fee as small as 0.3–0.4% annual fee after five years, which varies, but it is transparent and predictable. Over time, digital gold and gold ETFs often cost less unless you are buying large, high-purity coins or bars directly from trusted mints,” Trivesh added, ET quoted.When physical gold makes senseFor large investments exceeding Rs 2–3 lakh, physical gold, especially coins or bars, may be more cost-effective, factoring in per-gram platform costs of digital gold over time, said Prithviraj Kothari, Managing Director at RiddiSiddhi Bullions Ltd. and President of India Bullion and Jewellers Association Ltd. “Investors get to have the physical gold while avoiding prolonged storage fees imposed by digital options after five years. For smaller ticket sizes or systematic accumulation (Rs 100–Rs 10,000), digital gold is a great option because of fractional buying and instant liquidity,” he added.Digital gold also offers unmatched liquidity, allowing investors to buy or sell 24×7 at market-linked rates via trusted apps. “Physical gold, though tangible, involves valuation deductions, purity checks, and buyback delays. The ability to instantly redeem digital gold into cash or physical coins, often linked via UPI, has made it a preferred choice among younger and tech-savvy investors seeking flexibility,” said Aksha Kamboj, Vice President, India Bullion & Jewellers Association (IBJA) and Executive Chairperson, Aspect Global Ventures.Security is another advantage. Digital gold is stored in insured, bank-grade vaults audited by independent trustees. “You do not have to worry about theft, damage, or locker keys. Physical gold, even in a locker, carries some risk and an annual rent without full-value insurance. However, platform credibility is crucial,” said Trivesh. Reputable platforms use a custodian model to safeguard ownership even if the provider goes out of business, noted Vijay Kuppa, CEO, InCred Money.Investors can also gradually accumulate wealth through digital gold SIPs. “With the option to start from as little as Rs 10, investors can accumulate gold consistently through automated purchase plans offered by fintech platforms. Given gold’s steady appreciation in 2025, digital gold SIPs are emerging as a convenient and smart long-term savings tool,” said Aksha. Vijay added, “Digital gold perfectly supports the Systematic Investment Plan (SIP) model. Investors can set up recurring, small purchases at daily or monthly intervals. Even such a small SIP can eventually lead to an important step in generating wealth.”Over a five- to ten-year horizon, both physical and digital gold track similar price trajectories, but digital gold may deliver slightly better post-tax returns due to negligible storage costs, absence of making charges, and ease of portfolio rebalancing. “With gold prices rising rapidly in 2025 amid global uncertainty, systematic accumulation through digital platforms ensures efficiency and tax parity while avoiding the expenses associated with holding physical gold,” Aksha said.
(Disclaimer: Recommendations and views on the stock market and other asset classes given by experts are their own. These opinions do not represent the views of The Times of India)
-
Business1 week ago
Tata Capital IPO: Rs 15,512 crore IPO fully subscribed; stock market debut on Oct 13 – The Times of India
-
Tech1 week ago
Apple Took Down ICE-Tracking Apps. Their Developers Aren’t Giving Up
-
Tech6 days ago
Men Are Betting on WNBA Players’ Menstrual Cycles
-
Tech1 week ago
Anthropic to open India office as AI demand grows
-
Tech6 days ago
Size doesn’t matter: Just a small number of malicious files can corrupt LLMs of any size
-
Business1 week ago
‘Need very badly’: Donald Trump announces Arctic cutters deal with Finland; US to buy 11 Icebreakers – The Times of India
-
Business1 week ago
Trump’s tariffs have failed US? Govt revenues go up while consumers struggle; here’s what former IMF deputy MD says – The Times of India
-
Business7 days ago
Consumer caution ahead of Budget drives drop in footfall – BRC