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US debt projected to rise to 122% of GDP by 2035: CRFB

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US debt projected to rise to 122% of GDP by 2035: CRFB



In light of US Congressional Budget Office’s (CBO) updated tariff estimates and the incorporation of actual 2025 budget data from Treasury, the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB) now projects debt to rise to 122 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP) by 2035, roughly 2 per cent higher than the CRFB adjusted August baseline and 4 per cent of GDP higher than CBO’s January 2025 baseline.

If the US Supreme Court rules the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs illegal, debt would rise further to 127 per cent of GDP, it estimates.

Debt would rise even higher—to 128 per cent of GDP—if tariffs were repealed in full or used for deficit-neutral rebates.

In light of US CBO’s updated tariff estimates and the incorporation of 2025 budget data from Treasury, the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget now projects debt to rise to 122 per cent of GDP by 2035.
If the apex court rules the IEEPA tariffs illegal, debt may rise to 127 per cent of GDP.
Lawmakers should replace any lost tariff revenue and work to put the debt on a sustainable path, it suggested.

If the rebates were set at $2,000 annually regardless of tariff revenue coming in, debt could rise to 138-143 per cent of GDP, depending on if IEEPA tariffs are ruled illegal or not.

Debt projections have continued to rise beyond CBO’s January 2025 budget outlook, deepening a fiscal outlook that was already worrisome. Lawmakers should replace any lost tariff revenue and work to put the debt on a sustainable path, the Committee recommended. The longer they wait, the heavier the burden will be on future generations to restore fiscal stability, it noted.

Updated CBO projections show that tariffs enacted this year will reduce debt (including interest) by $3 trillion till fiscal 2034-35 (FY35), down from the $4 trillion projected in August, according to CRFB.

Excluding dynamic effects, CBO now projects $2.5 trillion of revenue as opposed to $3.3 trillion—with a third of the difference driven by announced policy changes and the other two-thirds due to updated estimates based on improved methods and the latest data.

Accounting for CBO’s updated tariff estimates, the Committee’s debt projections rise from 120 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2035 under the CRFB adjusted August 2025 baseline to 122 per cent of GDP.

The remaining one-third of the projections update was due to policy changes since August, such as the recent 10 percentage point reduction in tariffs on Chinese goods, product-specific tariffs on certain vehicles and vehicle parts and certain lumber and derivative products, reduced rates for goods from the European Union and Japan, and additional tariffs on India, CRFB noted.

If accounting only for policy changes, CBO’s updated estimates would have been roughly $3 trillion, down from $3.3 trillion and aligned with CRFB estimates.

If the Supreme Court upholds the ruling that IEEPA tariffs are illegal, then the primary deficit impact would likely drop to around $0.7 trillion, or roughly $0.9 trillion after interest, the Committee noted.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DS)



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Switzerland’s Calida narrows sales decline, lifts profit in 2025

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Switzerland’s Calida narrows sales decline, lifts profit in 2025



Swiss premium bodywear group Calida Group has reported improved profitability and a strengthened financial position in 2025, posting net sales from continuing operations of CHF 215.9 million (~$278.5 million), down 5 per cent year on year (YoY) on a currency-adjusted basis, with the rate of decline easing in the second half of the year. Core brands Calida and Aubade demonstrated positive operational progress supported by premium positioning and disciplined execution of the group’s Operational Excellence strategy.

The group recorded an operating result (EBIT) of CHF 9 million (~$11.6 million) compared with CHF 4 million in the previous year, lifting the EBIT margin to 4.2 per cent from 1.7 per cent. Excluding Cosabella, the combined EBIT margin of Calida and Aubade reached 6.7 per cent, approaching the company’s medium-term target range. Operating net profit improved significantly to CHF 7.6 million (~$9.8 million) from CHF 0.5 million a year earlier, Calida Group said in a press release.

Calida Group has reported net sales of CHF 215.9 million (~$278.5 million) in 2025, down 5 per cent YoY.
EBIT rose to CHF 9 million (~$11.6 million) and net profit to CHF 7.6 million (~$9.8 million), supported by strong Calida and Aubade performance.
The group maintained solid liquidity and continued Cosabella repositioning while targeting future profitability improvement.

The group maintained a solid financial base with net liquidity of CHF 25.1 million and an adjusted equity ratio of 67.9 per cent, while free cash flow reached CHF 9.8 million. The board proposed a cash dividend of CHF 0.25 per share, corresponding to a payout ratio of 23 per cent in line with its long-term dividend policy.

“After a challenging first half of 2025, the Calida Group developed positively in the second half and achieved operational improvements on sales and profitability. By deliberately and systematically forgoing discount-driven growth and strategically positioning Calida and Aubade in the premium segment, the brands were strengthened in the long-term. Overall, 2025 was another year defined by a persistently challenging market environment,” said Thomas Stocklin, CEO of the Calida Group.

“Geopolitical uncertainty, US trade and tariff policies, and muted consumer sentiment in our core markets impacted the entire industry. In this environment, the Calida Group has demonstrated strategic discipline and, step by step, is evolving in the desired direction. Today, our group is more agile and efficient. Combined with our financial strength, this positions the Calida Group to pursue well-considered organic as well as external growth opportunities, allowing us to look to the future with confidence,” added Stocklin.

Operationally, the company continued implementing its efficiency-focused strategy by reintegrating functions into individual brands, streamlining group management structures and strengthening capabilities across product management, marketing, operations and sales.

Brand-wise, Calida generated sales of CHF 145.1 million, declining modestly as store traffic softened, although e-commerce growth and a strong Christmas season supported second-half performance. The brand improved its operating contribution margin through higher gross margins and ongoing cost optimisation while reinforcing its premium market positioning.

Aubade recorded sales of CHF 58 million amid weak consumer sentiment in France and the strategic withdrawal from unprofitable channels following the pandemic-driven demand surge. Nevertheless, margin performance strengthened through strict cost management, ongoing rebranding initiatives and progress in expanding export markets, particularly in the United States.

Cosabella reported sales of CHF 12.8 million, extending its negative growth trajectory and contributing higher losses as the brand remains in an intensive repositioning phase under strategic review. The group is targeting a turnaround towards operational break-even in 2026.

Overall, the group indicated that organisational restructuring, inventory optimisation and disciplined channel management enhanced agility and cost efficiency, positioning the company for future growth while aiming to improve group profitability further as Cosabella’s performance stabilises.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (SG)



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Iran conflict and apparel sourcing: Nearshoring on the rise

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Iran conflict and apparel sourcing: Nearshoring on the rise












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US’ Wolverine Worldwide 2025 revenue rises 6.8% on Active Group growth

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US’ Wolverine Worldwide 2025 revenue rises 6.8% on Active Group growth



American footwear manufacturer Wolverine Worldwide, Inc has reported full-year 2025 revenue of $1.874 billion for the period ended January 3, 2026, an increase of 6.8 per cent year-over-year (YoY), with ongoing business revenue up 7.1 per cent. Active Group sales advanced 13 per cent to $1.408 billion, while Work Group decreased 7.3 per cent to $422.2 million. Saucony led brand performance with 31.1 per cent growth to $533.1 million, while Merrell rose 8.4 per cent to $648.9 million.

The gross margin expanded to 47.3 per cent and diluted earnings per share more than doubled to $1.14 from $0.55.

Wolverine Worldwide has reported revenue of $1.874 billion in 2025, up 6.8 per cent, led by Active Group growth and strong Saucony performance.
Margins and earnings improved, while cash rose and debt declined.
Fourth-quarter revenue increased 4.6 per cent.
CEO Hufnagel highlighted brand momentum and transformation progress.
The company expects 2026 revenue growth with steady margins.

The company strengthened its balance sheet during the year, ending with cash of $206 million, up 35.6 per cent, and net debt reduced 16.2 per cent to $415 million. Inventory increased 10.7 per cent to $274 million, Wolverine Worldwide said in a press release.

The fourth quarter (Q4) revenue rose 4.6 per cent YoY to $517.5 million, supported by strong Active Group growth, particularly Saucony and Merrell. Active Group revenue increased 12.4 per cent to $372.7 million, while Work Group declined 11.3 per cent to $134 million. Gross margin improved to 47 per cent from 43.6 per cent, reflecting product cost savings, favourable mix and price increases, partly offset by higher US tariffs. Diluted earnings per share climbed to $0.38 from $0.28.

“We exceeded our expectations across all key metrics in the fourth quarter, finishing a solid year for the Company. Our biggest brands are growing around the world, direct-to-consumer (DTC) continues to improve, earnings per share increased meaningfully YoY, and I believe we’re finding our footing where we’ve underperformed,” said Chris Hufnagel, president and chief executive officer of Wolverine Worldwide. “I am pleased with our progress in transforming the company and encouraged by the momentum we have carried into 2026. We’re focused squarely on executing our brand-building model with pace and distinction—building awesome products, telling amazing stories, and driving the business each day.”

Looking ahead, Wolverine Worldwide expects fiscal 2026 revenue of $1.96-1.985 billion, representing growth of 4.6-5.9 per cent YoY. The company anticipates gross margin of about 46 per cent, operating margin of roughly 8.8 per cent and diluted earnings per share between $1.31 and $1.46, signalling continued but measured expansion as brand-driven strategy execution progresses, added the release.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (SG)



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