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US debt projected to rise to 122% of GDP by 2035: CRFB

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US debt projected to rise to 122% of GDP by 2035: CRFB



In light of US Congressional Budget Office’s (CBO) updated tariff estimates and the incorporation of actual 2025 budget data from Treasury, the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB) now projects debt to rise to 122 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP) by 2035, roughly 2 per cent higher than the CRFB adjusted August baseline and 4 per cent of GDP higher than CBO’s January 2025 baseline.

If the US Supreme Court rules the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs illegal, debt would rise further to 127 per cent of GDP, it estimates.

Debt would rise even higher—to 128 per cent of GDP—if tariffs were repealed in full or used for deficit-neutral rebates.

In light of US CBO’s updated tariff estimates and the incorporation of 2025 budget data from Treasury, the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget now projects debt to rise to 122 per cent of GDP by 2035.
If the apex court rules the IEEPA tariffs illegal, debt may rise to 127 per cent of GDP.
Lawmakers should replace any lost tariff revenue and work to put the debt on a sustainable path, it suggested.

If the rebates were set at $2,000 annually regardless of tariff revenue coming in, debt could rise to 138-143 per cent of GDP, depending on if IEEPA tariffs are ruled illegal or not.

Debt projections have continued to rise beyond CBO’s January 2025 budget outlook, deepening a fiscal outlook that was already worrisome. Lawmakers should replace any lost tariff revenue and work to put the debt on a sustainable path, the Committee recommended. The longer they wait, the heavier the burden will be on future generations to restore fiscal stability, it noted.

Updated CBO projections show that tariffs enacted this year will reduce debt (including interest) by $3 trillion till fiscal 2034-35 (FY35), down from the $4 trillion projected in August, according to CRFB.

Excluding dynamic effects, CBO now projects $2.5 trillion of revenue as opposed to $3.3 trillion—with a third of the difference driven by announced policy changes and the other two-thirds due to updated estimates based on improved methods and the latest data.

Accounting for CBO’s updated tariff estimates, the Committee’s debt projections rise from 120 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2035 under the CRFB adjusted August 2025 baseline to 122 per cent of GDP.

The remaining one-third of the projections update was due to policy changes since August, such as the recent 10 percentage point reduction in tariffs on Chinese goods, product-specific tariffs on certain vehicles and vehicle parts and certain lumber and derivative products, reduced rates for goods from the European Union and Japan, and additional tariffs on India, CRFB noted.

If accounting only for policy changes, CBO’s updated estimates would have been roughly $3 trillion, down from $3.3 trillion and aligned with CRFB estimates.

If the Supreme Court upholds the ruling that IEEPA tariffs are illegal, then the primary deficit impact would likely drop to around $0.7 trillion, or roughly $0.9 trillion after interest, the Committee noted.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DS)



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Canada’s Lululemon revamps commercial strategy with new global leader

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Canada’s Lululemon revamps commercial strategy with new global leader



lululemon athletica inc. (NASDAQ:LULU) announced that Celeste Burgoyne, President of the Americas and Global Guest Innovation, has decided to leave the company for a new opportunity outside of the industry. She will remain with lululemon until the end of December 2025 to ensure a smooth transition.

Ms. Burgoyne joined lululemon in 2006 and became the company’s first President in 2020. Throughout her tenure, she has assumed roles of increasing responsibility and led the North America business through periods of rapid growth and expansion.

Lululemon Athletica has announced that Celeste Burgoyne, president of the Americas and global guest innovation, will leave at the end of December 2025 after 19 years with the brand.
The company will consolidate regional leadership and has appointed André Maestrini as president and chief commercial officer, giving him global oversight of stores, regions, digital channels and commercial strategy.

“We are grateful for Celeste’s leadership and significant contributions to lululemon’s business and culture over the past 19 years. She has been instrumental in growing our footprint in the Americas, creating high-quality guest experiences, and mentoring our teams across the organization,” said Calvin McDonald, Chief Executive Officer, lululemon. “I deeply appreciate her partnership and friendship, and we wish her all the best in the future.”

“My time at lululemon has been both inspiring and rewarding beyond belief,” said Ms. Burgoyne. “I am so proud of what we have accomplished as an organization since I joined in 2006 and know the team will take the company to even greater heights in the years to come. I look forward to continuing to support the brand as a lifelong fan.”

In conjunction with this announcement, lululemon has made the decision to consolidate regional leadership across the company and appoint André Maestrini as President and Chief Commercial Officer, effective immediately. Mr. Maestrini will continue to report directly to Mr. McDonald.

In this newly created role, Mr. Maestrini will provide integrated oversight of all of lululemon’s regions, stores, and digital channels globally. He will also oversee lululemon’s global commercial strategy with a focus on continued market expansion, revenue generation, and accelerating best practice sharing, across all regions including North America.

Mr. Maestrini joined lululemon in 2021 as Executive Vice President of International. In his current role, he has overseen lululemon’s operations in EMEA, APAC, and China Mainland, and has helped to more than quadruple lululemon’s international revenues.

“André has demonstrated a proven ability to unlock opportunities, advance our global expansion, and deliver growth across multiple markets,” said Mr. McDonald. “Leveraging operational discipline, deep guest insights, and extensive brand-building experience, André is the ideal person to lead our business across all markets, including North America, as we remain focused on delivering value for our guests, employees, and shareholders.”

Before joining lululemon, Mr. Maestrini spent 14 years at adidas in various senior roles across the globe. During this time, he served in a number of General Manager positions where he helped grow the company’s global sports categories and regional markets. Prior to adidas, Mr. Maestrini held marketing roles at The Coca-Cola Company, Danone, and Kraft Jacobs Suchard.

Note: The headline, insights, and image of this press release may have been refined by the Fibre2Fashion staff; the rest of the content remains unchanged.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (RM)



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India’s growth expected to be robust despite external headwinds: IMF

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India’s growth expected to be robust despite external headwinds: IMF



Despite external headwinds, India’s economic growth is expected to remain robust, supported by favourable domestic conditions, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), whose executive board recently completed the Article IV Consultation for the country.

Under the baseline assumption of prolonged 50-per cent US tariffs, India’s real gross domestic product (GDP) is projected to grow at 6.6 per cent in fiscal 2025-26 (FY26) before moderating to 6.2 per cent in FY27, the IMF said.

The reform of the goods and services tax (GST) and the resulting reduction in the effective rate are expected to help cushion the adverse impact of tariffs.

Despite external headwinds, India’s growth is expected to be robust, backed by favourable domestic conditions, the IMF has said.
Assuming prolonged 50-per cent US tariffs, FY26 real GDP may grow at 6.6 per cent before moderating to 6.2 per cent in FY27.
Further deepening of geo-economic fragmentation could lead to tighter financial conditions, higher input costs and lower trade, FDI and economic growth.

Headline inflation is projected to remain well contained, reflecting the one-off effect of the GST reform and continued benign food prices, it remarked in a release.

Looking ahead, India’s ambition to become an advanced economy can be supported by advancing comprehensive structural reforms that enable higher potential growth, the IMF noted.

There are significant near-term risks to the economic outlook. On the upside, the conclusion of new trade agreements and faster implementation of structural reform domestically could boost exports, private investment and employment.

On the downside, further deepening of geo-economic fragmentation could lead to tighter financial conditions, higher input costs and lower trade, foreign direct investment (FDI) and economic growth.

Unpredictable weather shocks could affect crop yields, adversely impact rural consumption and reignite inflationary pressures, the IMF added.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DS)



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India’s trade push spans close to 50 countries, Goyal says

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India’s trade push spans close to 50 countries, Goyal says




India has concluded balanced free trade agreements (FTAs) with Australia, the UAE, Mauritius, the United Kingdom and the EFTA bloc, and is negotiating with partners representing nearly 50 nations, Indian Commerce Minister Piyush Goyal said recently.
He stressed self-reliance, India’s innovation strengths, young talent and resilient supply-chain partnerships.



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