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US Slashes Rates To Lowest Since 2022: What Powell’s Move Means For Jobs, Inflation And Your Wallet

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US Slashes Rates To Lowest Since 2022: What Powell’s Move Means For Jobs, Inflation And Your Wallet


Washington: The US Federal Reserve opened its final chapter of 2025 with a small but meaningful step, trimming its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points even as the country digests delayed economic data from the recent government shutdown. With this move, which was announced after a closely watched meeting in Washington, the federal funds rate now stands in the range of 3.5 to 3.75 per cent, its lowest level since late 2022, according to a report by CBS News.

This reduction becomes the third straight cut since September, adding up to a total easing of 0.75 percentage points for the year. The central bank has been handling a difficult moment in the US economy, where job creation is cooling noticeably while inflation remains stubborn in key pockets.

Even without the full set of timely numbers, Fed officials kept a close eye on private-sector indicators, including an Automatic Data Processing (ADP) report that showed a loss of 32,000 jobs in November, a sign that pressure on the labour market has intensified.

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In its statement, the Federal Open Market Committee said it would keep evaluating “incoming data, the evolving outlook and the balance of risks” before deciding on any further adjustments. The message reflected the Fed’s attempt to stay measured as it heads into a leadership transition next year.

New quarterly projections shared by the Fed show officials expect only one rate cut in 2026, offering a hint of the caution inside the boardroom. Updated forecasts also paint a clearer picture of where the central bank believes the economy is heading. The Fed expects its preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures index, to ease to 2.4 per cent next year, a step down from the 2.9 per cent median estimate for 2025.

Economic growth, meanwhile, is projected to reach 2.3 per cent in 2026, with unemployment holding consistently at 4.4 per cent.

Economists outside the central bank read the signals in a similar way. Ryan Sweet, chief global economist at Oxford Economics, told investors that the Fed’s latest guidance points to what he described as an “extended pause” in the rate-cut cycle.

“The Fed is not going to be able to help the labour market because of what ails it,” he said, adding that monetary policy alone cannot address the structural issues weighing on hiring.

The latest cut brings the benchmark rate back to levels last seen in early November 2022, a period when the Fed was still tightening aggressively to respond to runaway inflation in the aftermath of the pandemic.

Lower rates typically encourage borrowing, which in turn supports hiring and consumer spending, but the central bank appears determined to proceed carefully.

The decision itself exposed a rare division inside the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). While Jerome Powell and eight members backed the 0.25-percentage-point cut, three policymakers disagreed. This is the highest level of dissent in six years.

Austan Goolsbee and Jeffrey Schmid argued for keeping rates unchanged, while Stephen Miran pushed for a 0.5-percentage-point reduction.

These debates come at a moment for the institution. Powell’s term as Fed chair ends in May 2026, and US President Donald Trump is preparing to select his successor. In a note shared with clients and cited by CBS News, Jeff Schulze of ClearBridge Investments said that “the outlook from the Powell-led FOMC bears less than usual on future Fed policy decisions given the imminent change in leadership”. It captures the sense of transition that now hangs over the central bank.



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Education Budget 2026 Live Updates: What Will The Education Sector Get From FM Nirmala Sitharaman?

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Education Budget 2026 Live Updates: What Will The Education Sector Get From FM Nirmala Sitharaman?


Union Education Budget 2026 Live Updates: Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman will present the Union Budget 2026–27 on February 1, with a strong focus expected on the Education Budget 2026, a key area of interest for students, teachers, and institutions across the country.

In the previous budget, the Bharatiya Janata Party government announced plans to add 75,000 medical seats over five years and strengthen infrastructure at IITs established after 2014. For 2025, the Centre had earmarked Rs 1,28,650.05 crore for education, a 6.65 percent rise compared to the previous year.

Meanwhile, the Economic Survey 2025–26, tabled in the Parliament of India, points to persistent challenges in school education. While enrolment at the school level is close to universal, this has not translated into consistent learning outcomes, especially beyond elementary classes. The net enrolment rate drops sharply at the secondary level, standing at just over 52 per cent.

The survey also flags concerns over student retention after Class 8, particularly in rural areas. It notes an uneven spread of schools, with a majority offering only foundational and preparatory education, while far fewer institutions provide secondary-level schooling. This gap, the survey suggests, is a key reason behind low enrolment in higher classes.

Stay tuned to this LIVE blog for all the latest updates on the Education Budget 2026 LIVE.



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LPG Rates Increased After OGRA Decision – SUCH TV

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LPG Rates Increased After OGRA Decision – SUCH TV



The Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (Ogra) has increased the price of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG). According to a notification, the price of LPG has risen by Rs6.37 per kilogram. Following the increase, the price of a domestic LPG cylinder has gone up by Rs75.21. The revised prices have come into effect immediately. 

The rise in LPG prices has added to the inflationary burden on household consumers.



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Budget 2026: Fiscal deficit, capex, borrowing and debt roadmap among key numbers to track – The Times of India

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Budget 2026: Fiscal deficit, capex, borrowing and debt roadmap among key numbers to track – The Times of India


Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman is set to present her record ninth straight Union Budget, with markets closely tracking headline numbers ranging from the fiscal deficit and capital expenditure to borrowing and tax revenue projections, as India charts its course as the world’s fastest-growing major economy.The Budget will be presented in a paperless format, continuing the practice of recent years. Sitharaman had, in her maiden Budget in 2019, replaced the traditional leather briefcase with a red cloth–wrapped bahi-khata, marking a symbolic shift in presentation.Here are the key numbers and signals that investors, economists and policymakers will be watching in the Union Budget for 2025-26 and beyond:

Fiscal deficit

The fiscal deficit for the current financial year (FY26) is budgeted at 4.4 per cent of GDP, as reported PTI. With the government having achieved its consolidation goal of keeping the deficit below 4.5 per cent, attention will turn to guidance for FY27. Markets expect the government to indicate a deficit closer to 4 per cent of GDP next year, alongside clarity on the medium-term debt reduction path.

Capital expenditure

Capital spending remains a central pillar of the government’s growth strategy. Capex for FY26 is pegged at Rs 11.2 lakh crore. In the upcoming Budget, the government is expected to continue prioritising infrastructure outlays, with a possible 10–15 per cent increase that could take capex beyond Rs 12 lakh crore, especially as private investment sentiment remains cautious.

Debt roadmap

In her previous Budget speech, the finance minister had said fiscal policy from 2026-27 onwards would aim to keep central government debt on a declining trajectory as a share of GDP. Markets will look for a clearer timeline on when general government debt-to-GDP could move towards the 60 per cent target. General government debt stood at about 85 per cent of GDP in 2024, including central government debt of around 57 per cent.

Borrowing programme

Gross market borrowing for FY26 is estimated at Rs 14.80 lakh crore. The borrowing number announced in the Budget will be closely scrutinised, as it signals the government’s funding needs, fiscal discipline and potential impact on bond yields.

Tax revenue

Gross tax revenue for 2025-26 has been estimated at Rs 42.70 lakh crore, implying an 11 per cent growth over FY25. This includes Rs 25.20 lakh crore from direct taxes—personal income tax and corporate tax—and Rs 17.5 lakh crore from indirect taxes such as customs, excise duty and GST.

GST collections

Goods and Services Tax collections for FY26 are projected to rise 11 per cent to Rs 11.78 lakh crore. Projections for FY27 will be keenly watched, especially as GST revenue growth is expected to gather pace following rate rationalisation measures implemented since September 2025.

Nominal GDP growth

Nominal GDP growth for FY26 was initially estimated at 10.1 per cent but has since been revised down to about 8 per cent due to lower-than-expected inflation, even as real GDP growth is pegged at 7.4 per cent by the National Statistics Office. The FY27 nominal GDP assumption—likely in the 10.5–11 per cent range—will offer clues on the government’s inflation and growth outlook.

Spending priorities

Beyond the headline aggregates, the Budget will also be scanned for allocations to key social and development schemes, as well as spending on priority sectors such as health and education.Together, these numbers will shape expectations on fiscal discipline, growth momentum and policy support as India navigates a complex global economic environment.



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