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Dubai gold prices break records: What’s driving the rally and should you buy in 2026? – The Times of India

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Dubai gold prices break records: What’s driving the rally and should you buy in 2026? – The Times of India


Bought Gold in Dubai Last Year? Here’s How Much You Made as Prices Soared 60%

Dubai’s gold market delivered a giant surprise in 2025, marking one of the most dramatic rallies in recent history. What started as a modest year for bullion turned into a breakout performance, with the price of 24-carat gold climbing by more than Dh200 per gram and delivering massive gains for investors, collectors and everyday residents alike.

Gold’s remarkable rally in 2025

According to market data, the price of 24K gold opened the year at Dh318 per gram on January 1, 2025 and finished the year at Dh520 per gram on December 31, a jump of roughly 63.5 percent. This means that anyone holding physical gold throughout the year saw the value of their holdings rise by more than Dh200 per gram. The 22-carat variant also saw remarkable gains, climbing from about Dh294.50 to Dh481.50 per gram, roughly a Dh187 increase, while even 21K gold rose around Dh176.75 per gram over the same period. By contrast, the newly introduced 14K gold, launched in the UAE on November 29, posted a more modest 2.3 percent gain, reflecting its lighter weight and broader affordability for everyday wear.

Why gold took off

Several economic forces came together in 2025 to fuel this dramatic upswing. Given the safe-haven demand, global investors and central banks including those in the Gulf, shifted capital into gold as a hedge against market uncertainty and geopolitical risk, a pattern seen throughout 2025. According to reports, gold’s rally in 2025 was the strongest annual performance since the late 1970s, with prices soaring nearly 70 percent globally.

​Dubai Gold Shock: 24K Prices Jump Over Dh200 Per Gram in One Year. Are You Sitting on a Fortune?​

Dubai Gold Shock: 24K Prices Jump Over Dh200 Per Gram in One Year. Are You Sitting on a Fortune?

Interest rate dynamics with expectations of lower US Federal Reserve interest rates and the appeal of non-yielding assets helped lift gold’s allure. Lower real yields often make gold more attractive relative to bonds and other financial instruments. The Central Bank of the UAE increased its gold holdings significantly in 2025, growing reserves by about 26 percent to nearly $7.9 billion as global economic uncertainty persisted, a historic move that underscored gold’s strategic value. These factors combined to create a strong backdrop for prices, pushing bullion sharply higher even as other asset classes posted uneven returns.

Impact on Dubai and the Gulf region

For residents and investors in Dubai, long accustomed to the Gold Souk’s bustling trade and precious-metal culture, the surge translated into real-world gains. Retail buyers saw both jewellery and bullion values climb, lifting the wealth of long-term holders. With 24K gold prices consistently near or above Dh520 per gram in late December and into early 2026, bullion became a focal point for investment as much as adornment. At the same time, short-term volatility such as a near Dh18 drop in just one day toward the end of the year due to profit-booking in global markets, reflected how active trading and profit-taking can influence local UAE prices even amid a strong overall rally. Jewellers and bullion dealers across Dubai’s famous Gold Souk and regional markets noted the heightened interest, particularly from expatriate buyers and Middle Eastern investors seeking to protect wealth in an uncertain macroeconomic environment. The UAE’s competitive pricing environment, where making charges and taxes are relatively low, further incentivises local and international buyers alike.

Global gold context: Safe haven, surging demand

Dubai’s gold price story fits into a broader global trend. Precious metals surged worldwide in 2025 as investors raced toward safe havens amid geopolitical unrest and economic concerns. Gold topped record levels over $4,300 per ounce internationally, one of the metal’s best annual performances in decades.

Gold Made Dubai Richer in 2025: Why Prices Exploded and What It Means for 2026

Gold Made Dubai Richer in 2025: Why Prices Exploded and What It Means for 2026

Analysts and major institutions such as Deutsche Bank and Goldman Sachs forecast continued strength through 2026 and beyond, with projections ranging from $4,000 to over $4,900 per ounce by year-end, supported by sustained central bank buying and geopolitical tension. This global backdrop helped lift sentiment in Dubai and the broader Gulf, where gold remains culturally and economically significant.

What’s ahead for gold in 2026?

After a spectacular run in 2025, markets are closely watching how 2026 unfolds. Early data suggests that gold prices continued to hold near high levels in early January 2026, even after slight profit-taking in global markets. Forecasts by international analysts suggest continued upside potential if geopolitical risks and safe-haven demand remain strong. For Gulf investors, this means that gold remains a key hedge and wealth preserver, not just a jewellery purchase.

Bottom line: A golden year that redefined markets

Dubai’s gold surge in 2025, with 24K climbing more than 60 percent, marked a rare standout year for precious metals. From record price gains to heightened global demand and strong central bank involvement, gold’s rally reflected broader economic and geopolitical forces at play. As 2026 begins, many investors and analysts see bullion continuing to play a central role as a store of value, especially in a world marked by uncertainty and shifting financial landscapes.



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Oil prices slide on hopes of US-Iran peace deal

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Oil prices slide on hopes of US-Iran peace deal



Trump said on Saturday that an agreement would include the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, without giving further details.



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Shop numbers return to growth after years of decline, say experts

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Shop numbers return to growth after years of decline, say experts


UK high streets and shopping destinations are showing signs of recovery as more than 13 retail stores opened each week over the past year, according to new figures.

However, England and Wales have still seen more than 6,000 retail premises vanish from local communities over the past five years.

Analysis of Valuation Office Agency data by tax firm Ryan, found that there were 507,810 retail premises across England and Wales at the end of 2025.

It said the figures showed that a recent contraction across the sector has appeared to stabilise, with a 723 net increase in the number of retail stores compared with a year earlier.

Property numbers increased across every region of England and Wales, with the exception of the North West, which saw a decline of 41.

It suggests that parts of the sector are now beginning to rebalance following significant structural contraction seen since the pandemic.

The creation of new retail units also comes as many retail real estate firms, such as Hammerson, have turned empty large units, often former department stores, into a greater number of smaller units.

Other retail groups, such as John Lewis, have moved away from ambitions to transform some retail property for other uses such as rental accommodation.

Nevertheless, the retail sector is still facing pressure from higher business rates for many firms, increased labour costs and concerns over consumer sentiment.

The data also shows that there has also been significant decline over the past few years, with a net reduction of 6,045 retail properties since the end of 2020.

London recorded the largest five-year regional reduction, with 1,266 retail premises disappearing over the period, followed by the South East (-1,191), North West (-719) and North East (-672).

The figures show retail premises which have permanently disappeared from communities altogether, having either been demolished or converted for alternative use.

The figures come as Ryan’s 2026 annual business rates review highlighted that the retail sector saw a 9.3% increase in rateable values at the 2026 business rates revaluation despite the major shift in the retail landscape since the pandemic.

The retail sector is still facing pressure from higher business rates for many firms, increased labour costs and concerns over consumer sentiment (Louisa Collins-Marsh/PA) (PA Archive)

Alex Probyn, practice leader for Europe and Asia-Pacific property tax at Ryan, said: “The pandemic accelerated structural changes that were already emerging across the retail sector, including changing consumer behaviour, hybrid working patterns and a reduced reliance on traditional retail floorspace in many locations.

“Many locations were arguably over-retailed before Covid and high streets have evolved towards more mixed-use environments, with retail space being rebalanced alongside growing demand for residential, leisure, hospitality and service-led uses.

“The revaluation outcome does suggest a large proportion of retail premises have seen bigger increases in their assessments than underlying market conditions and rental evidence would have led occupiers to expect.

“Retailers should therefore carefully review and, where appropriate, challenge their assessments.”



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Indians cut overseas travel spending to $1.9 billion in March: RBI

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Indians cut overseas travel spending to .9 billion in March: RBI


Indians sharply cut back on overseas travel spending in March, with remittances for foreign trips dropping by more than $212 million from the previous month, according to Reserve Bank of India data. The fall in outbound travel expenditure came amid rising oil prices linked to the Middle East conflict and persistent pressure on rupee, even as travel remained the single largest component of outward remittances under the Liberalised Remittance Scheme (LRS).In March, travel-related remittances fell to $1.09 billion from $1.3 billion in February and $1.65 billion in January. The decline came at a time when the West Asia conflict pushed oil prices higher and weakened rupee to record lows. Amid the situation, Prime Minister Narendra Modi urged citizens to cut down on foreign travel and adopt measures such as carpooling. Lower overseas travel spending could reduce foreign exchange outflows and help ease pressure on rupee.According to the RBI’s data on outward remittances by resident individuals, travel continued to account for the largest share of money sent abroad under the LRS in March. Total remittances during the month stood at $2.59 billion.The RBI tracks overseas spending across categories including travel, studies abroad, maintenance of close relatives, overseas investments, and property purchases. Under the LRS framework, resident individuals, including minors, can remit up to $250,000 in a financial year for permitted current or capital account transactions.Within the travel segment, the biggest component remained the ‘other travel’ category, which covers holiday spending and international credit card settlements. Indians spent $623.05 million under this category in March, accounting for nearly 57 per cent of total travel-related remittances during the month.Expenditure linked to education travel, including hostel and fee payments, stood at $450.16 million. Business travel, pilgrimage, and overseas medical treatment together accounted for $21.39 million.The data also showed a rise in remittances meant for the maintenance of close relatives abroad. Such transfers increased to $389.78 million in March from $266.18 million in February.At the same time, spending under the ‘studies abroad’ category declined. This category includes payments made for educational services accessed remotely without travelling overseas, such as correspondence courses. Remittances under this head stood at $151.71 million in March, compared to $175.68 million in February and $267.42 million in January.For the financial year 2024-25, Indians remitted a total of $29.56 billion under the LRS. Travel made up the largest portion of this amount at $16.96 billion.The RBI figures further showed that investments by Indians in overseas equity and debt instruments rose significantly to $440.22 million in March from $265.99 million in February.Meanwhile, outward remittances for the purchase of immovable property overseas declined to $38.68 million in March, down from $51.36 million a month earlier.



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