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US Slashes Rates To Lowest Since 2022: What Powell’s Move Means For Jobs, Inflation And Your Wallet

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US Slashes Rates To Lowest Since 2022: What Powell’s Move Means For Jobs, Inflation And Your Wallet


Washington: The US Federal Reserve opened its final chapter of 2025 with a small but meaningful step, trimming its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points even as the country digests delayed economic data from the recent government shutdown. With this move, which was announced after a closely watched meeting in Washington, the federal funds rate now stands in the range of 3.5 to 3.75 per cent, its lowest level since late 2022, according to a report by CBS News.

This reduction becomes the third straight cut since September, adding up to a total easing of 0.75 percentage points for the year. The central bank has been handling a difficult moment in the US economy, where job creation is cooling noticeably while inflation remains stubborn in key pockets.

Even without the full set of timely numbers, Fed officials kept a close eye on private-sector indicators, including an Automatic Data Processing (ADP) report that showed a loss of 32,000 jobs in November, a sign that pressure on the labour market has intensified.

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In its statement, the Federal Open Market Committee said it would keep evaluating “incoming data, the evolving outlook and the balance of risks” before deciding on any further adjustments. The message reflected the Fed’s attempt to stay measured as it heads into a leadership transition next year.

New quarterly projections shared by the Fed show officials expect only one rate cut in 2026, offering a hint of the caution inside the boardroom. Updated forecasts also paint a clearer picture of where the central bank believes the economy is heading. The Fed expects its preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures index, to ease to 2.4 per cent next year, a step down from the 2.9 per cent median estimate for 2025.

Economic growth, meanwhile, is projected to reach 2.3 per cent in 2026, with unemployment holding consistently at 4.4 per cent.

Economists outside the central bank read the signals in a similar way. Ryan Sweet, chief global economist at Oxford Economics, told investors that the Fed’s latest guidance points to what he described as an “extended pause” in the rate-cut cycle.

“The Fed is not going to be able to help the labour market because of what ails it,” he said, adding that monetary policy alone cannot address the structural issues weighing on hiring.

The latest cut brings the benchmark rate back to levels last seen in early November 2022, a period when the Fed was still tightening aggressively to respond to runaway inflation in the aftermath of the pandemic.

Lower rates typically encourage borrowing, which in turn supports hiring and consumer spending, but the central bank appears determined to proceed carefully.

The decision itself exposed a rare division inside the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). While Jerome Powell and eight members backed the 0.25-percentage-point cut, three policymakers disagreed. This is the highest level of dissent in six years.

Austan Goolsbee and Jeffrey Schmid argued for keeping rates unchanged, while Stephen Miran pushed for a 0.5-percentage-point reduction.

These debates come at a moment for the institution. Powell’s term as Fed chair ends in May 2026, and US President Donald Trump is preparing to select his successor. In a note shared with clients and cited by CBS News, Jeff Schulze of ClearBridge Investments said that “the outlook from the Powell-led FOMC bears less than usual on future Fed policy decisions given the imminent change in leadership”. It captures the sense of transition that now hangs over the central bank.



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Oil prices fall as Trump pauses Project Freedom to seek final peace deal with Iran

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Oil prices fall as Trump pauses Project Freedom to seek final peace deal with Iran


Oil prices fell and Asian stock markets surged to record highs on Wednesday after Donald Trump said negotiations with Iran were making “great progress” toward a final agreement and announced a brief pause in US operations escorting ships through the Strait of Hormuz.

Brent crude tumbled 1.2 per cent to $108.51 a barrel, still well above its roughly $70 price before the war began, but lower than the highs of recent weeks.

Wall Street had already set records on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 rising 0.8 per cent to a new all-time high and the Nasdaq gaining 1 per cent, as oil pulled back sharply after briefly crossing $115 on Monday.

Strong corporate earnings underpinned the Wall Street rally. DuPont surged 8.4 per cent after the chemical giant reported better-than-expected first-quarter profits and raised its full-year forecasts, even as it acknowledged some impact from logistics disruptions in the Middle East.

Pinterest jumped 6.9 per cent after its number of active monthly users rose 11 per cent to 631 million, beating Wall Street’s sales and profit targets. AB InBev climbed 8.7 per cent after topping profit forecasts on growth for its Corona, Stella Artois and Michelob Ultra brands. “Cheers to beer,” chief executive Michel Doukeris said.

Palantir fell 6.9 per cent despite beating expectations, as its stock continued to struggle on worries about increased competition. American Electric Power rose 1.8 per cent and Cummins added 2.8 per cent after both reported stronger-than-expected results.

In Europe, markets were mixed. The CAC 40 rose 1.1 per cent in Paris while the FTSE 100 fell 1.4 per cent in London. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng fell 0.8 per cent. Many Asian markets were closed for holidays.

The momentum carried into Asia on Wednesday, where MSCI‘s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan jumped 2.3 per cent to a fresh all-time high. South Korea’s Kospi surged 5.1 per cent, clearing the 7,000 mark for the first time, as Samsung Electronics jumped 12 per cent and crossed a $1 trillion market valuation, overtaking Berkshire Hathaway.

The AI trade drove much of the enthusiasm. Advanced Micro Devices jumped 16.5 per cent in extended trading after forecasting second-quarter revenue above Wall Street expectations on strong demand from cloud computing companies accelerating spending on AI infrastructure.

“Due to the capital expenditure we are seeing from hyperscalers in the US, the earnings growth trajectory for sectors such as semiconductors, tech hardware, industrials and materials in Asia exceeds anything I have seen in a long time,” Rushil Khanna, head of equity investments for Asia at Ostrum, an affiliate of Natixis Investment Managers, told Reuters. “This capex is leading to material value creation in Asia as the provider of the picks and shovels to the AI ecosystem.”

(AP)

The diplomatic backdrop of US-Iran talks also helped the markets. Mr Trump said he would briefly pause US operations escorting ships through the strait, which has been effectively closed since Iran blockaded it in late February, triggering a global energy shock. US defence secretary Pete Hegseth confirmed the ceasefire remained in place despite the US and Iran exchanging fire the previous day.

“Markets embraced a sense of calm and stability overnight, with the risk of escalation in the Middle East conflict viewed as having diminished,” analysts from Westpac wrote in a note.

Despite the optimism, analysts cautioned that significant uncertainties remained this week.

“A fragile ceasefire, a novel blockade, Friday’s NFP and diminishing odds of a US-Iran peace deal are all converging this week,” said Lukman Otunuga, head of market research at trading broker FXTM.

“Gold may find itself on the losing end of conflict-induced inflation fears, even as uncertainty grips markets.”

Gold rose 1.2 per cent to $4,609.59. The dollar index slipped 0.1 per cent, snapping a three-day winning streak, with the euro rising to $1.1724 and sterling to $1.3577.

The Australian dollar climbed 0.6 per cent to its highest since June 2022, buoyed by improved risk appetite and underpinned by a third consecutive interest rate rise from the Reserve Bank of Australia, which cited the Middle East conflict’s impact on fuel and commodity prices. The ten-year US Treasury yield held flat at 4.424 per cent.



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Disney reports earnings before the bell. Here’s what to expect

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Disney reports earnings before the bell. Here’s what to expect


Josh D’Amaro, chairman of Disney Experiences, speaks during the grand opening ceremony of Shanghai Disney Resort’s Zootopia-themed land on December 19, 2023 in Shanghai, China.

Vcg | Visual China Group | Getty Images

Disney will release its fiscal second-quarter results before the bell Wednesday. It will mark the first earnings call led by Josh D’Amaro since the former parks executive took over as CEO in March.

Under the new CEO, who replaced Bob Iger after his two turns at the helm totaling roughly 20 years, Disney has already been through a round of layoffs and has faced mounting political pressure surrounding its late night TV host Jimmy Kimmel.

“This earnings call marks Disney’s first real gut‑check under D’Amaro’s leadership, and a test of how his theme‑parks roots translate, or don’t, into the rest of the business,” said Mike Proulx, research director at Forrester. “Streaming is still the main event, but the market is consolidating. A potential combination of Paramount+ and HBO Max would reset the competitive calculus for Disney+.”

Streaming and TV results have gobbled up much of the focus for media investors across the board as the industry faces significant upheaval and consolidation.

Here’s how Disney is expected to perform in its fiscal second quarter, according to LSEG: 

  • Earnings per share: $1.49 expected
  • Revenue: $24.78 billion expected

Last quarter Disney stopped reporting some details for the entertainment segment — which is comprised of its traditional TV, streaming and theatrical releases — including the breakdown of revenue and operating income for each segment. The company has also stopped reporting quarterly streaming subscriber numbers.

The consumer shift from pay TV bundles to streaming has weighed on media companies for years, with both distribution and advertising profits continuously decreasing. Still, traditional TV remains a cash cow, and investors have been keen to see how and when streaming can make up for the declines.

Updates on the state of Disney’s theme parks, which are part of its experiences unit and the profit driver of the company, will also be of particular interest on Wednesday.

In February, Disney provided second-quarter guidance that called for “modest” growth in operating income for the experiences division due to international visitation headwinds at domestic parks. That forecast was issued before the U.S. and Israel launched attacks on Iran roughly two months ago, causing a surge in oil prices.

This story is developing. Please check back for updates.

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Gold prices in Pakistan Today – May 6, 2026 | The Express Tribune

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Gold prices in Pakistan Today – May 6, 2026 | The Express Tribune


At current prices, the looted gold is worth around $70 million. PHOTO: PIXABAY

Gold and silver prices on Wednesday witnessed a sharp increase in both global and local markets after a three-day pause.

In the international bullion market, the price of gold rose by $111 per ounce to reach $4,666.

According to the All-Pakistan Gems and Jewellers Sarafa Association, following the increase in global prices, the local price of gold per tola increased by Rs11,100 to Rs488,962, while the price of 10 grams of gold rose by Rs9,517 to Rs419,206.

Similarly, silver prices also recorded an upward trend. The price of silver per tola increased by Rs223 to Rs8,072, while the price of 10 grams rose by Rs191 to Rs6,920.

Spot silver rose 4.6% to $76.16 per ounce, platinum gained 2.9% to $2,009.25 and palladium was up 2.4% ​at $1,521.50.

On Tuesday, gold prices per tola declined by Rs2,100 to reach Rs477,862, according to the All-Pakistan Gems and Jewellers Sarafa Association​​​​​​. Similarly, the 10-gram of gold decreased by Rs1,801, settling at Rs409,689. Silver price dropped by Rs65 to Rs7,849 per tola.

Read: Gold, Silver prices continue downward trend across markets

 

In the international bullion market, the price of gold per ounce fell by $21, bringing it down to $4,555.

On Monday, the price of gold per tola declined by Rs3,800 to Rs479,962, according to the All-Pakistan Gems and Jewellers Sarafa Association. Similarly, the 10-gram gold dropped by Rs3,257 to Rs411,490, reflecting a broader bearish trend. Silver prices also decreased by Rs100 to Rs7,914 per tola.

Globally, spot gold fell 1.9% to $4,526.88 per ounce, while US futures declined 2.3% to $4,537.90, indicating sustained selling pressure in the bullion market.



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