Business
WBD and Paramount may have an easier time winning regulatory approval than Netflix
The Paramount logo is displayed above an entrance to Paramount Studios on Feb. 23, 2026 in Los Angeles, California.
Justin Sullivan | Getty Images
A day after Paramount Skydance emerged as the winner to take over fellow media giant Warner Bros. Discovery, questions are mounting about the companies’ regulatory path forward.
The WBD board said on Thursday that Paramount’s revised $31-per-share offer was superior to an existing bid from Netflix, prompting the streamer to announce that it was walking away from the deal entirely and clearing the way for Paramount.
Paramount’s raised offer — up from $30 per share — was the latest in a series of moves it made after it launched a hostile bid late last year to buy WBD. It had initially lost out on a bidding war to Netflix, which offered $27.75 per share.
Paramount’s latest bid also included a $7 billion breakup fee if the deal doesn’t win regulatory approval. And according to a Friday filing, it has already paid the $2.8 billion breakup fee that WBD owed to Netflix if the deal fell through.
But media industry experts said it’s looking more likely that the Paramount deal will get through government scrutiny than it did when Netflix was in the picture.
Netflix vs. Paramount
Netflix co-CEOs Ted Sarandos and Greg Peters said Thursday that it was “no longer financially attractive” to match Paramount’s raised offer.
Though Netflix executives had said they were “highly confident” that their deal would win approval, the merger would have brought together two top streaming services — Netflix and Paramount+ — and could have potentially raised prices for consumers and decreased competition.
In early December, Trump said the Netflix-WBD deal “could be a problem” because of the increased market share Netflix would gain, saying he would be involved. He walked back those comments earlier this month, saying the deal would be at the sole discretion of the Department of Justice.
And while the size of a combined Netflix and WBD entity was one of the companies’ largest antitrust obstacles, that issue could still be raised for Paramount.
Both Paramount and WBD have sprawling portfolios of TV networks, in addition to Paramount+ hitting 78.9 million subscribers, according to its most recent earnings report, and HBO Max counting 131.6 million subscribers through the end of 2025.
Paramount executives argued one of the pros of their offer was that a deal with the media company would garner less government scrutiny. Paramount Skydance CEO David Ellison’s father, Oracle co-founder Larry Ellison, is known to have close relations with President Donald Trump.
Trump’s son-in-law, Jared Kushner, is backing the Paramount deal, according to a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
Still, Paramount’s proposed deal had come under criticism for potentially being funded by the sovereign wealth funds of Saudi Arabia; Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates; and Qatar. The company has previously said that those entities have agreed to forgo all governance rights, including board representation.
California Attorney General Rob Bonta, a Democrat, warned on Thursday night that the merger was “not a done deal” and that the California Department of Justice, which has an open investigation into the deal, will be vigorous in its review.
And Democratic Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts said in a statement that the Paramount and WBD merger is “an antitrust disaster threatening higher prices and fewer choices for American families.”
A potential for fewer concerns
Analysts from Raymond James said they believe the Paramount-WBD deal could pose far less of a risk for regulatory approval than a Netflix tie-up.
In a Friday note, the analysts said the regulatory path forward for Paramount is “meaningfully easier” than Netflix’s, though it would not be a “cakewalk.”
“Of course, there are new challenges with this deal around news, cable networks, international linear networks, etc., but we still feel the WBD/PSKY deal is more palatable all-in,” the analysts wrote. “And, particularly following the reaction to the WBD/NFLX agreement, we believe PSKY’s political standing with the current U.S. administration is much stronger than Netflix’s.”
The analysts noted that questions remain about how the competitive market for the companies will be defined by the DOJ, and they speculated that Netflix likely decided not to match Paramount’s superior offer because of what was “likely to be a brutal regulatory review.”
A Friday note by Morningstar analysts echoed those thoughts. The analysts said the move was right for both Netflix and Paramount because they believed Netflix was unnecessarily overpaying for WBD’s streaming and studios.
Notably, Paramount aimed to buy the entirety of WBD, including its pay-TV networks, such as CNN, TBS and TNT, while Netflix only wanted the company’s studio and streaming assets.
“This is the best outcome for Warner shareholders, in our view, as we’ve felt that, with a higher likelihood of prompt regulatory approval and uncertainty surrounding the value and risk of the network business they would have retained, the best offer would have been $30 in cash,” the analysts wrote.
The analysts added that they don’t expect Paramount to face any regulatory issues during the approval process.
‘Horizontal consolidation’
Joseph Kalmenovitz, an assistant professor of finance at the Simon Business School at the University of Rochester, said Paramount’s timing for the bid was likely strategic.
“David Ellison didn’t just outmaneuver a Hollywood board — he timed the regulatory cycle perfectly,” Kalmenovitz said. “The populist, big-is-bad philosophy is out; the deal-friendly establishment is back in.”
Still, Paren Knadjian, a partner at advisory firm EisnerAmper, said the regulatory path forward for Paramount remains nuanced and isn’t a done deal. While concerns over the Netflix-WBD deal focused largely on library content, the Paramount-WBD deal is far more of a “horizontal consolidation” effort between cable TV, sports, streaming and news, he said.
“I think the biggest thing we’re going to focus on is the concentration of intellectual property under one roof,” Knadjian told CNBC. “What power does that give this new entity in terms of the ability to charge more?”
Knadjian said Paramount will also be facing political concerns, not only from state and federal politicians, but between CNN and CBS combining under one roof, in addition to concerns over blockbuster franchises like “Star Trek” and “Harry Potter.”
Ultimately, the approval of the deal will come down to which concessions the two companies will have to make in order to assuage any fears over a possible media monopoly.
“The regulatory pressure, the political pressure, those are the things that will certainly delay the deal and will make it more complicated, and I think there’s going to have to be significant concessions for it to go through.
There’s so many factors to this. It’s much more complicated than many of the other deals we’ve seen in the past,” Knadjian said.
– CNBC’s Lillian Rizzo contributed to this report.
Business
Hormuz flashpoint: Why Indian-flagged ships are in focus as Middle East tensions hit global shipping – The Times of India
As tensions rise in Middle East and vessel safety in the Strait of Hormuz comes under renewed focus, the flag a ship flies has emerged as a key factor in maritime security, regulation and state protection.Flagging a vessel means it is registered with a country and must comply with that nation’s maritime laws and regulations. It also gives the flag state powers to investigate and penalise violations of domestic and international laws. Since regulations differ across countries, shipowners often choose jurisdictions that best suit operational and commercial needs, according to an ET report.An Indian-flagged vessel is a commercial ship registered with the Directorate General of Shipping and authorised to fly the national flag. Such vessels are governed by the Merchant Shipping Act and operate under Indian jurisdiction as a sovereign extension on the high seas.These ships are taxed by Indian authorities and must comply with Indian maritime safety, labour and environmental rules. To qualify for Indian flagging, vessels must come to domestic waters for registration and the owning company must be incorporated in India.Indian-flagged ships also receive strategic backing. India protects their interests through naval and diplomatic intervention when required. Experts say this creates a higher compliance burden than “Flag of Convenience” jurisdictions such as Panama and St Kitts.According to Rajeev Kumar Yadav, as quoted ET, director at Vertex Marine Services, Flag of Convenience systems allow vessels to be flagged from anywhere in the world within “3-4 days”.Indian-flagged ships calling at domestic ports can also benefit from lower port levies and tax liabilities, along with priority in government cargo movement and public sector charter contracts.During the Iran crisis, more than two dozen Indian ships were stranded west of the Strait of Hormuz after strict high-risk area classifications were imposed. The Indian Navy escorted several tankers to safety, though some vessels remain in the Persian Gulf.No direct attacks have been reported on Indian-flagged vessels so far, largely due to India’s balanced diplomatic approach in the crisis.However, being Indian-flagged does not give the government powers to decide freight rates or commercial destinations. The state’s role is limited to enforcing civil, criminal and regulatory laws onboard, along with international safety, environmental and labour compliance norms.India’s flagged fleet has been expanding. The Indian-flagged vessel fleet reached 14.2 million Gross Tonnage (GT) in March, with 92 vessels of 1.5 million GT joining during FY26.The long-term Maritime Amrit Kaal Vision 2047 aims to sharply raise India’s share of the global flagged fleet and increase utilisation of Indian-flagged ships from about 7 per cent currently to 30-40 per cent by 2047.
Business
Oil prices plunge as Iran says Strait of Hormuz ‘open’ during ceasefire
Brent crude sinks by a tenth after Iran says the key waterway is open for commercial ships for the rest of the ceasefire.
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Business
Crude oil fall after reopening of Hormuz drains geopolitical risk from markets – SUCH TV
Oil prices tumbled on Friday after Iranian officials said they would allow commercial traffic to resume in the Strait of Hormuz. This lifted equity markets in Europe and New York, where major indices hit new records.
Citing the ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said Tehran would lift its blockade on shipping through the key Gulf energy trade route.
“In line with the ceasefire in Lebanon, the passage for all commercial vessels through Strait of Hormuz is declared completely open for the remaining period of ceasefire,” Araghchi said.
Traffic in the strategic waterway, through which one-fifth of the world’s crude oil normally flows, has been disrupted by Iran since the US-Israeli offensive began on Feb. 28. At one point, this sent oil prices to a peak of nearly $120 a barrel and roiled the global economy.
Both Brent, the benchmark international contract, and its US equivalent WTI fell below $90 per barrel following Tehran’s announcement. Brent later cut its losses and finished at $90.38 a barrel, down 9.1%.
‘Immediate impact’
“This news is having an immediate impact on markets,” said Kathleen Brooks, research director at XTB.
The move also sent a jolt through equity markets, extending a rally in New York. There, equities have pushed ever higher since late March in anticipation of a breakthrough in the Middle East crisis.
“We had seen a big move the last two weeks, and now it’s just really pricing completely out the worst-case scenario, said Angelo Kourkafas, from Edward Jones.
Kourkafas also pointed to underlying strength in the US economy that should get more attention in the coming period as geopolitical concerns ebb.
“Geopolitical developments are moving in the right direction, and at the same time, the earning strength is hard to ignore,” Kourkafas said.
The broad-based S&P 500 finished at 7,126.06, up 1.2% for the day and 4.5% for the week.
‘Good news’
Earlier, European stocks closed higher, with both Frankfurt and Paris gaining 2%.
US President Donald Trump cheered the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz in an interview with AFP.
“We’re very close to having a deal,” Trump said in a brief telephone call with AFP from Las Vegas. He added there were “no sticking points at all” left with Tehran.
But Iran quickly pushed back on one key point.
Iran’s foreign ministry said Friday that its stockpile of enriched uranium would not be transferred “anywhere.” It rejected an earlier claim by Trump that the Islamic Republic had agreed to hand it over.
Shipping industry figures, meanwhile, gave a cautious welcome to Iran’s announcement.
A spokesman for German transportation giant Hapag-Lloyd, which has ships stuck in the Gulf, told AFP by phone that the reopening was “in general… good news.”
But he cautioned that shippers still needed details of what route vessels could take and in what order, citing fears of mines.
“One thousand ships cannot just go now to the entrance of the strait, that will be chaos. They (the Iranians) need to give clear orders,” said the spokesman, Nils Haupt.
“We would be ready to go very soon if some of these open questions can be solved within the weekend.”
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