Sports
Week 11 Power Rankings: Texas A&M, Indiana swap spots; three newcomers join the list
By mid-November, most college football teams are what they are. But each squad has areas that can be sharpened for the stretch run, especially those in the top 25.
Spots in the rankings can be tenuous, as Washington, Memphis, Iowa and ACC contenders Virginia and Louisville found out the hard way Saturday. Even teams much higher in the rankings, such as Oregon and Vanderbilt, came away from narrow wins with areas to clean up for the all-important games ahead. BYU certainly has things to assess on offense after being held to seven points and only 67 net rushing yards in its first loss of the season, at Texas Tech.
For some, such as Oregon, it’s simply getting healthier at key positions. For others, it might be improving third-down defense or special teams execution or scoring touchdowns in the red zone. As good as Alabama quarterback Ty Simpson has been, his deep-ball success is something that needs an upgrade if the Tide continue to roll.
Here’s our weekly look at the top 25 and the areas that will demand attention as these teams look to remain in the rankings. — Adam Rittenberg
Previous ranking: 1![]()
The undefeated and top-ranked Buckeyes could lose out and probably not fall out of the top 25. The biggest question facing the Buckeyes is whether they can earn the No. 1 seed in the College Football Playoff along with a first-round bye. Ohio State can all but clinch a bye by ending its four-game losing streak against Michigan. After that, the Buckeyes can pretty much wrap up the No. 1 seed by winning the Big Ten championship game, presumably over No. 2 Indiana. With a victory over Texas in its hip pocket, Ohio State has a strong résumé. With a strong finish to the Big Ten slate, the Buckeyes could head into the playoff as the favorite to defend their 2024 national championship. — Jake Trotter
Previous ranking: 3
The Aggies didn’t play incredibly well, but the result was another double-digit win on the road against a ranked opponent, something in which they take solace. Mike Elko said Marcel Reed didn’t have the full playbook at his disposal, and they stuck with a short passing game, with only two of Reed’s throws traveling more than 10 yards. Then they followed a similar plan: line up, run the ball, and dominate up front down the stretch, finishing with 243 rushing yards on 6.3 yards per carry. Elko was frustrated that they also gave up 207 yards on the ground, but the Aggies never relented and allowed Missouri back in the game. A&M has to keep its feet in front of it at 9-0 and No. 3 in the CFP; it has 3-6 South Carolina and 1-9 Samford at home before a trip to Austin to face Texas. The Aggies have scored 30 points or more in eight of their nine games this season, including 49, 45 and 38 the past three weeks, but still can keep growing in the passing game. — Dave Wilson
Previous ranking: 2
The Hoosiers aren’t falling out of the top 25 and are probably bound for their first Big Ten championship game appearance, as they finish the regular season with Wisconsin and Purdue. But Saturday’s escape at Penn State provided plenty of focus items for coach Curt Cignetti and his team. Similar to 2024, late-season offensive line injuries have impacted IU, which surrendered three sacks, eight tackles for loss and six quarterback hurries in its win. Indiana played without starting guard Drew Evans and lost starting tackle Kahlil Benson for a stretch of the Penn State game, although he returned. Quarterback Fernando Mendoza was brilliant in the clutch but also faced a ton of heat. Indiana’s typical lockdown defense gave up eight third-down conversions and three plays of 30 yards or longer in the win, which coordinator Bryant Haines certainly will address. — Rittenberg
Previous ranking: 4![]()
Alabama coach Kalen DeBoer said the Crimson Tide made just enough plays to defeat LSU 20-9 at home Saturday. But DeBoer and quarterback Ty Simpson were noticeably frustrated with the offense’s inability to get into a rhythm. The Tide’s lack of a consistent running game continues to put too much pressure on Simpson to make big plays in the passing game. The Crimson Tide ranks 14th in the SEC in rushing, gaining 111.9 yards per game. It was worse against LSU’s defense, as the Tide had only 56 rushing yards on 26 attempts. Jam Miller was back and ran eight times for 13 yards; Daniel Hill had 21 yards on seven attempts. If Alabama is going to get past Oklahoma’s menacing defense Saturday and remain in the hunt for an SEC title, it’s going to have to find a way to run the ball more effectively. — Mark Schlabach
Previous ranking: 8
The Bulldogs had one of their better defensive performances in Saturday’s 41-21 victory at Mississippi State, which many Georgia fans feared would be a trap game with next week’s home game against Texas looming. Georgia gave up 322 yards of offense and came up with a season-high three sacks, after totaling only eight in its first eight games. After Mississippi State drove 75 yards for a touchdown on its opening possession, it had only 87 yards of offense the rest of the half. Georgia scored the next 38 points and never looked back. Defensive coordinator Glenn Schumann dialed up plenty of pressure early, helping put Mississippi State in third-and-long situations throughout the first half. With much-improved Arch Manning and the Longhorns coming to Sanford Stadium next week, and another battle against in-state rival Georgia Tech and star quarterback Haynes King still to play in the regular-season finale, Georgia’s defense needs to continue to improve. — Schlabach
Previous ranking: 9
The Red Raiders aced their greatest test yet Saturday with a 29-7 win over unbeaten BYU. Coach Joey McGuire’s squad was ready for the national spotlight in a must-win game for his squad’s Big 12 title hopes. Texas Tech’s defense was excellent again with 11 third-down stops and three takeaways while holding BYU to a season-low 67 rushing yards. This would’ve been a real blowout if the Red Raiders hadn’t struggled to finish drives in the red zone, with touchdowns on only two of seven red zone opportunities. That’s one critical area where this team can keep improving, especially as quarterback Behren Morton continues to get back in rhythm after sitting out two games because of a hairline fracture in his right fibula. — Max Olson
Previous ranking: 6
The Rebels took care of business in a 49-0 rout of The Citadel at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Ole Miss had 603 yards of offense, including 151 rushing yards. Quarterback Trinidad Chambliss completed 29 of 33 passes for 333 yards with three touchdowns. Defensively, the Rebels had their way against the FCS team, holding the Bulldogs to only five first downs and 106 yards of offense. It was the first time since 2014 that Ole Miss held an opponent to fewer than 150 yards of offense. With Florida coming to Oxford, Mississippi, next week, Ole Miss’ biggest focus might be maintaining its focus. Rebels coach Lane Kiffin is being mentioned as a potential candidate at Florida, which fired coach Billy Napier on Oct. 19. With a potential CFP appearance and SEC title still in play, the Rebels need to eliminate distractions. — Schlabach
Previous ranking: 5
After hovering on the fringes of the top 10 in the first CFP standings, the Ducks solidified their place with their best win of the season against Iowa. But there are challenges ahead, especially with USC and Washington still on the schedule, and a shorthanded receiver corps. The Ducks ran the ball effectively with multiple backs against Iowa, finishing with 261 yards and averaging 7.3 yards per rush. Quarterback Dante Moore made several clutch throws on the winning drive, but he will need to be sharper for Oregon to keep up with USC and Washington. If wide receivers Dakorien Moore and Gary Bryant Jr., and top tight end Kenyon Sadiq remain out, Oregon will need to develop other reliable pass catchers. The Ducks also will look to make more fourth-down stops after Iowa converted three of four attempts, including a go-ahead touchdown with 1:51 left. — Rittenberg
Previous ranking: 10
A 49-10 domination of Navy was the latest easy win for the Irish, who’ve won seven straight — all by double digits — since an 0-2 start. Notre Dame faces a ranked Pitt team this week — probably its last serious potential stumbling block between now and a playoff bid — which means Saturday’s showdown with the Panthers is do-or-die. The Irish are averaging 9.5 yards per dropback this season, second best nationally, while Jeremiyah Love and the ground game have continued to impress. The key to beating Pitt will probably come down to protecting CJ Carr. Notre Dame’s O-line has been exceptional after a shaky Week 1 against Miami, but Pitt is fifth nationally in tackles for loss and the Panthers figure to be particularly aggressive in trying to rattle Carr. — David Hale
Previous ranking: 7
BYU’s impressive run of doing just enough to win finally came to an end at Texas Tech, during which its offensive limitations were on full display. As effective as true freshman quarterback Bear Bachmeier has been at times this season, that usually sprouted from the run game — either with him or LJ Martin. This is just not a team built to play from behind and score quickly. The Cougars are still in the playoff mix, but they didn’t look like a playoff team in Lubbock on the biggest stage they’ll get during the regular season. BYU needs more from its passing game if it can win its way to a possible rematch with Texas Tech in the Big 12 title game. — Kyle Bonagura
Previous ranking: 13
The Longhorns are getting right at the right time, and had a bye week to rest up and fine-tune. Arch Manning threw 328 yards in Texas’ past game against Vanderbilt, second most in his career after the 346 the week before against Mississippi State. Manning has grown up this season, coach Steve Sarkisian said, but so has his offensive line, allowing Manning time to work through reads. Two of the Longhorns’ biggest stars who got off to slow starts have been on fire: receiver Ryan Wingo (273 of his 593 yards this season have come in the past two games) and edge rusher Collin Simmons (6½ sacks the past four games). With four SEC teams ahead of them in the CFP rankings, this week’s trip to Georgia is essentially a play-in game. Win, and all of a sudden, things get really interesting for the preseason No. 1 team. — Wilson
Previous ranking: 11
Wins in two of their final three games would almost certainly ensure a top-25 finish for the 7-2 Sooners. The question is what path they take. Oklahoma’s playoff hopes probably hinge on the outcome of next weekend’s trip to one-loss Alabama. From there, back-to-back home games against Missouri and LSU look much more manageable now than they did at the start of the season. The key to all three of those games will be the play of quarterback John Mateer, whose accuracy and passing metrics have dipped significantly since he underwent right hand surgery in late September. Playoff or not, this has been a positive fall for the Sooners as Oklahoma has rebounded from a 6-7 finish in 2024 and Brent Venables has coached himself off the hot seat. A strong finish over the final three weeks of the regular season would not only keep the Sooners in the top 25 but should bode well as Oklahoma looks to build on its momentum this offseason. — Eli Lederman
Previous ranking: 17
The Utes were off over the weekend but are in an interesting playoff position, coming in at No. 13 in the initial playoff rankings. What this means is that it’s possible for the Utes to win out, miss the Big 12 title game and still have a decent shot at a playoff spot with a 10-2 record. It gets complicated because their two losses are to Texas Tech and BYU, meaning they would be evaluated against at least one of them for an at-large spot. But this is the beauty of the playoff format. Utah has everything to play for late in the year. — Bonagura
Previous ranking: 16
After giving up only 34 combined points against LSU and Missouri in October, Vandy’s defense has sprung some leaks in November. The Commodores gave up 34 points and 7.1 yards per play in a loss at Texas a week ago, and on Saturday they were hit for 38 points and 6.9 yards per play against a previously moribund Auburn offense. They still have playoff hopes at 8-2, and they get a much-needed bye week now. But against an improving Kentucky team and an explosive Tennessee team, the defense will desperately need to find its legs again. Quarterback Diego Pavia and the offense came through against Auburn and can keep up in track meets, but they’ll need a little help, especially against Tennessee. — Bill Connelly
Previous ranking: 19
The Hurricanes beat Syracuse 38-10 thanks in large part to a newfound creativity with their offensive playcalling that had been missing for the bulk of the season. Malachi Toney threw a touchdown pass to Carson Beck; Beck threw a touchdown pass to offensive tackle Francis Mauigoa and off the Canes went to victory. It was a welcome change to see Miami open up its playbook a little bit more to get some momentum going for an offense that had become stagnant. Miami needs to continue to do that to keep defenses on their toes after the Hurricanes had grown somewhat predictable with their preference to run between the tackles. Without Mark Fletcher Jr. and CJ Daniels — two of their best playmakers on offense — Miami found a way to win and that is a good sign for the remainder of the season. — Andrea Adelson
Previous ranking: 15
An off week came at an opportune time for the Yellow Jackets, as their prime ACC competition stumbled in Week 11, leaving the door wide open for Georgia Tech to make it to the conference title game. ESPN’s FPI now gives the Jackets the best odds of winning the ACC (35.2%) with a date against 1-9 Boston College next up on the docket. Tech’s playoff profile, should it not with the ACC, is still a bit thin, with its best win — Clemson — looking far less impressive than it did in September. But Georgia Tech’s last two games of the season are against ranked foes — Pitt and Georgia — and winning both probably would assure the Jackets of a playoff berth, regardless of what happens in the conference championship game. — Hale
Previous ranking: 20
In its 38-17 win over Northwestern on Friday night, USC again won a game in which it relied on the run. For the fourth time in five games, the Trojans had at least 30 rushing attempts or more and were led by King Miller, a former walk-on, who now has three games of at least 100 rushing yards. Miller’s ascension has given Lincoln Riley’s offense a blueprint in which it doesn’t have to rely so much on Jayden Maiava‘s passing game the way Riley has in past seasons with different quarterbacks (Maiava himself has six touchdowns on the ground this season) — in fact, this season, USC ranks inside the top 25 in the country in rushing yards per game and top 10 in rushing yards per attempt. Three wins away from a likely berth in the CFP and its defense showing signs of improvement, the final stretch might not come down to the Trojans’ gamebreakers at wide receiver such as Makai Lemon and Ja’Kobi Lane but rather it’s the rushing attack, which could be what finally gets them over the edge. — Paolo Uggetti
Previous ranking: 21
At 7-2, the Wolverines remain a stealth playoff contender. Both of their losses (at Oklahoma, at USC) came against ranked opponents on the road. And though they don’t have any true noteworthy wins, that opportunity is coming Nov. 29. If the Wolverines can somehow knock off No. 1 Ohio State for a fifth straight year, they would become an intriguing playoff possibility (pending whether they also advance to the Big Ten championship game, where they could earn an automatic berth). Wins the next two weeks at Northwestern and at Maryland would almost assuredly keep Michigan in the top 25, regardless of what happens against Ohio State. But another victory over the Buckeyes also would hand the Wolverines a compelling playoff résumé. — Trotter
Previous ranking: NR
The Panthers find themselves in a four-way tie atop the ACC standings following their idle week. They’ve won five in a row, are scoring 40 points per game and have the No. 11 passing offense in FBS since they turned to true freshman quarterback Mason Heintschel at the start of October. No ACC title contender has a tougher remaining schedule than the Panthers with Notre Dame, Georgia Tech and Miami up next, so the week off landed at an ideal moment for Pat Narduzzi’s squad. Their young QB will learn from his three red zone turnovers against Stanford last week and must play great situational football under pressure for his team to make a run to the ACC title game. — Olson
Previous ranking: 14
The overtime loss to Cal in Week 11 was a brutal blow for a Cardinals team that hasn’t lost a game by more than a touchdown in two years but looked entirely flat. With Isaac Brown out because of an injury, the ground game was less explosive, and Cal used the opportunity to turn up the pressure on quarterback Miller Moss, who struggled badly, completing just 20 of 38 throws with no touchdowns and a pick. Moss has now thrown an interception in five of his past six games, and it has been more than a month since he topped 250 yards passing. The Cardinals’ next two games — Friday vs. Clemson and Week 13 at SMU — are both potentially fraught matchups, and without a more balanced attack, a once-promising season could crumble quickly. — Hale
Previous ranking: 12
The Cavaliers have not been nearly as explosive on offense, nor dominant in the run game over the past five weeks, and that includes a 16-9 setback to Wake Forest in which quarterback Chandler Morris was knocked out of the game in the second quarter after taking a hard hit to the head. Virginia also turned the ball over three times — an area in which it had excelled and allowed it to win so many close games this season. Virginia has to find a way to get back to controlling the ball on offense, something we have seen in limited stretches since its big win over Florida State. Whether Morris will play next week against Duke is a big question. Daniel Kaelin had two of the turnovers, and threw incomplete passes in the end zone with a chance to win the game. If Morris does start Saturday, Virginia will have a full week to get him ready. — Adelson
Previous ranking: 23
Tennessee’s biggest area of focus is the same thing it has been for a while — defense. Pick your category: The Vols are 61st in yards allowed per play (5.39), 98th in yards allowed per game (395.9), 114th in scoring defense (31.1 points per game) and 120th in completion rate allowed. The fact they’re 6-3 with tight losses to two ranked teams tells you how explosive their offense can be, but with games remaining against ultra-efficient Vanderbilt and all-or-nothing Florida, they’ll have to make at least a few stops if they want to win out and create some late positivity from an up-and-down season. — Connelly
Previous ranking: 25
The Hawkeyes were seconds away from closing out a win that would have put them on the outer edges of the CFP radar. But they couldn’t finish off Oregon in a game in which they were outplayed in areas where they normally thrive. Iowa gave up its highest rushing total (261) since 2022 and its highest yards-per-rush against average since 2014. The Hawkeyes also made an uncharacteristic special teams error, as a bad snap led to a safety and the game’s first score. Iowa can’t afford slip-ups in its areas of strength, and must be sharper this week at USC and at Nebraska on Nov. 28. The Hawkeyes also must continue to grow their downfield passing attack, which flashed at times in the Oregon game, as quarterback Mark Gronowski had completions of 40 and 38 yards. — Rittenberg
Previous ranking: NR
The Mean Green defense has stepped up since a 63-36 loss to South Florida, holding each of its past three American Conference opponents to 20 points or fewer. First-year defensive coordinator Skyler Cassity has pulled off one of the more impressive turnarounds in FBS this season in building a top-10 pass defense in Denton. But North Texas’ No. 130-ranked run defense has been tested quite a bit in conference play and still has to face Rice’s gun option attack on Nov. 22. The offense of coach Eric Morris led by quarterback Drew Mestemaker will continue to command the headlines, but Cassity’s defense playing with consistency and getting stops in November will help determine if this team can get into the CFP. — Olson
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Previous ranking: NR
With only one conference loss, Cincinnati remains in the mix in the Big 12, with three tough games remaining: Arizona (6-3), BYU (8-1) and TCU (6-3). After being blown out by Utah, it’s hard to see the Bearcats winning out to reach the Big 12 title game, but it’s well within the realm of possibility. Quarterback Brendan Sorsby is having one of the best seasons of any quarterback in college football and he’ll continue to help give his team a chance the rest of the way. — Bonagura
Sports
College football teams, players poised to improve in 2026
With spring finally on the horizon after a long winter for much of the country, optimism is in the air.
In that spirit, we asked our college football reporters about teams and players they think will be on the rise in the 2026 season.
No one rose higher than national champion Indiana and Heisman Trophy winner Fernando Mendoza last year, but plenty of teams took big steps in the right direction. Texas Tech, Miami, Oklahoma and Ole Miss are among the teams that made the College Football Playoff for the first time, and Houston, Utah and Virginia went from losing records in 2024 to double-digit wins in 2025.
Who could be in store for similar improvement this fall and beyond? These are the potential CFP contenders, breakout performers and bounce-back candidates our reporters have their eyes on.
Which non-CFP team from last year do you expect to make the playoff in 2026?
Adam Rittenberg: Texas. If the Longhorns can’t make the College Football Playoff in quarterback Arch Manning‘s second season as the starter, with all the talent around him on both sides of the ball, something is wrong in Austin. Manning looked like a Heisman Trophy candidate late in the 2025 season, and Texas made major portal investments in wide receiver Cam Coleman, linebacker Rasheem Biles, running back Hollywood Smothers and others. The Longhorns face a challenging schedule, but several of their toughest games (Ohio State, Texas A&M, Ole Miss) will be at home. Coach Steve Sarkisian’s team is talented and experienced enough to return to the CFP.
Jake Trotter: Notre Dame honestly should have been in the playoff this past season. CJ Carr had a strong freshman season, ranking eighth nationally with a QBR of 83.4, and figures to be sharper with a year of experience under his belt. Even with running back Jeremiyah Love moving on to the NFL, the Irish will still have weapons, especially if wideout Jaden Greathouse can return to his 2024 playoff form coming off a serious hamstring injury. The defense will be seasoned. And off the playoff snub, coach Marcus Freeman will have his team playing with an edge.
Andrea Adelson: I was tempted to say LSU because Lane Kiffin put together one of the best portal classes in the country, but then I remembered Brian Kelly put together one of the best portal classes in the country last year and that did not exactly work out. Still, I think LSU will be in the mix late. The team I am going with is BYU. The Cougars return quarterback Bear Bachmeier and leading rusher LJ Martin, shored up their offensive line and made some key transfer portal additions on defense, starting with standout linebacker Cade Uluave from Cal. The schedule is manageable, though an October matchup with Notre Dame in Provo could have huge CFP implications.
Heather Dinich: Texas is my preseason No. 1, but I’ll add USC to this conversation. The pressure is on coach Lincoln Riley, who hasn’t reached 10 wins since his first season, and the pieces are in place to get there. With quarterback Jayden Maiava returning, along with all five starting offensive linemen and running back King Miller, the offense has the potential to be potent. Riley lured in the No. 1 recruiting class and also has help coming from the transfer portal. If he can upgrade the defense, which allowed 23 points per game last year, USC should be a playoff team. The Trojans should be 3-0 heading into their Sept. 26 home game against Oregon, and a win against the Ducks would change the narrative and position USC for a playoff run.
David Hale: This is, perhaps, an outside-the-box pick, but I’ll offer Louisville as an under-the-radar option. The ACC may have a clear-cut favorite in Miami, but beyond that, the league is wide open. The ACC has given us two first-time playoff programs in the past two years — SMU and Miami — and it certainly wouldn’t be a stretch to add another in 2026. And although Louisville hasn’t been a true playoff contender late in the season the past few years, the Cardinals’ 28 wins since 2023 are the second most by any Power 4 program to not make the playoff (Missouri has 29). What’s more, of Louisville’s 12 losses under Jeff Brohm, eight have come by a touchdown or less, including three by a field goal or less last year. Brohm might have something special in QB transfer Lincoln Kienholz, who brings an added dimension of athleticism to the position that Brohm hasn’t had in the past. Add in a deep corps of running backs and an improved defense, led by Clev Lubin, and there’s a lot to like about this year’s Louisville team.
Eli Lederman: This prediction relies on a lot of “what ifs,” but why can’t a Michigan team that finished 9-4 with loads of on- and off-field issues a year ago play its way into the 12-team field in 2026? The arrival of longtime Utah coach Kyle Whittingham should bring sorely needed stability to Ann Arbor this offseason, and he brought a number of key former Utes with him, including offensive coordinator Jason Beck and star defensive end John Henry Daley. Any level of success this fall will be tied heavily to the Year 2 progression of coveted quarterback Bryce Underwood. Beck’s innovative scheme and fresh skill talent, including five-star freshman rusher Savion Hiter and Utah transfer pass catcher JJ Buchanan, should certainly help. Meanwhile, Michigan plugged some key holes on defense through the additions of Daley and fellow ex-Utes Jonah Lea’ea and Smith Snowden. Visits from Oklahoma, Penn State and Indiana combined with November trips to Oregon and Ohio State make for a daunting schedule but could provide the platform for the Wolverines to get back to the CFP if Whittingham can execute a quick turnaround.
Schlabach: BYU narrowly missed making the CFP in 2025, losing to Texas Tech 34-7 in the Big 12 title game. The Cougars fell to the Red Raiders twice last season — they lost 29-7 on the road in the regular season — so they’re going to have to figure out how to crack Tech’s stingy defense. But the Cougars did a great job of keeping coach Kalani Sitake around after he was wooed by Penn State. BYU brings back Bachmeier, who completed 64.9% of his passes for 3,033 yards with 15 touchdowns and seven interceptions as a freshman. He should be much better in Year 2. Martin, the Big 12’s leading rusher with 1,305 yards and 12 scores in 2025, also came back. BYU will need to rebuild its offensive line and find some reliable receivers. The best news? The Cougars won’t play the Red Raiders nor Houston in the regular season, and they’ll face Arizona and Arizona State at home.
Which team will show the greatest improvement from last year?
Rittenberg: Virginia Tech. I also expect James Franklin’s former Penn State team to rise in 2026, but Virginia Tech certainly will improve on a 3-9 mark from last season. Franklin has had a head start on most new coaches in implementing his vision and had a solid portal haul, which included Penn State imports quarterback Ethan Grunkemeyer and tight end Luke Reynolds. A favorable first-half schedule should help the Hokies build confidence and belief. Expect them to pull off one notable upset in November, too.
Trotter: After going 0-18 in the Big 12 over the past two years, Oklahoma State, behind new coach Eric Morris and an array of talented transfers, will bounce back to finish with a winning conference record in 2026. The North Texas star transfer trio of quarterback Drew Mestemaker, running back Caleb Hawkins and wideout Wyatt Young will ensure that the Cowboys get back to putting up points after two dismal offensive seasons in Stillwater. Don’t be stunned if the revamped Pokes make a run to the Big 12 title game.
Adelson: I think Florida will have a chance to double its win total from a year ago for a few reasons. First, new coach Jon Sumrall made a great hire in offensive coordinator Buster Faulkner, who will have familiarity with his quarterback, Georgia Tech transfer Aaron Philo, plus former Jackets receivers Eric Singleton Jr. and Bailey Stockton. Jadan Baugh, Dallas Wilson and Vernell Brown III return on offense, giving Florida playmaking ability. Second, the schedule sets up nicely for a rebound. Florida had one of the toughest schedules in the country the past two years. With the new nine-game conference schedule in the SEC, Florida has a more manageable nonconference slate and faces only four teams ranked in our Way-Too-Early Top 25.
Dinich: Clemson because … there’s just no way Dabo Swinney can lose six games again. Can he? Bringing back former Clemson offensive coordinator Chad Morris is interesting because he hasn’t called plays since 2020 and hasn’t coached at Clemson since 2014. He’s a proven playcaller, though, who helped the Tigers to a 41-11 record during his tenure. How first-year starting quarterback Christopher Vizzina fares is a valid question, but when searching for a team that will make a significant leap this fall, it’s hard to believe Clemson will continue to be irrelevant in the ACC race. With a road opener at LSU, the Tigers will find out early how far their climb back will be.
Hale: Virginia Tech and Oklahoma State feel like obvious answers here, if only because there’s so much room for improvement. And it’s tempting to say Bill Belichick will pull off a miracle at North Carolina after a disastrous 4-8 campaign in 2025, but its schedule doesn’t look promising. So, who’s someone a bit outside the box? How about South Carolina? The pressure is on coach Shane Beamer after a disappointing 4-8 year, but LaNorris Sellers and Dylan Stewart are back, five of the Gamecocks’ first six games come against teams that missed a bowl last year, and although the back end of the schedule is tougher, it would take only an upset or two to get South Carolina into the eight- or nine-win range. And if there’s anything we’ve learned from the Beamer-era Gamecocks, it’s that they tend to play their best when no one’s expecting it.
Schlabach: Penn State was finally able to lure Matt Campbell away from Iowa State, and he could be poised for a big turnaround in Happy Valley. The Nittany Lions won their last four games to salvage a 7-6 campaign in 2026. Much of the roster followed Franklin to Virginia Tech and ex-defensive coordinator Jim Knowles to Tennessee. But Campbell brought in 39 transfers, including two dozen from Iowa State. Quarterback Rocco Becht, tailback Carson Hansen, receiver Chase Sowell and tight end Benjamin Brahmer are plug-and-play starters on offense. The Nittany Lions don’t play Indiana, Ohio State or Oregon in the regular season, so a 10-win season isn’t out of the question.
Which player do you think could take a major step forward in 2026?
Trotter: We started to see Manning live up to the hype and potential late last season, as he posted a QBR of 92 or above in four of his final five games. There’s little reason to believe he won’t carry that over into next season. With Coleman’s arrival, Manning will have a legitimate No. 1 receiver. With a year of experience, he could reemerge into the conversation as the top QB prospect heading into the 2027 NFL draft.
Adelson: As Jake noted above, Notre Dame’s Carr was one of the most impressive freshman quarterbacks in the country a year ago, and his trajectory should only go up from here. He was poised, accurate, did not make many mistakes and rarely got flustered last season. It will be an adjustment not having Jeremiyah Love and Jadarian Price in the backfield, but Carr is more than capable of shouldering the load if necessary.
Rittenberg: Remember Ryan Williams‘ electrifying, spin-infused 75-yard touchdown against Georgia early in the 2024 season? Then a 17-year-old freshman, the Alabama wide receiver was the talk of college football following a blistering start to his career. But Williams struggled with drops and inconsistency during a sophomore season that fell well short of expectations. He’s pushing forward, though, and clearly has the talent and experience to break through as a junior. The road to stardom isn’t always linear, and Williams shouldn’t be overlooked in 2026.
Dinich: Alabama linebacker Caleb Woodson, who transferred from Virginia Tech, should be someone casual fans get to know this fall. Coach Kalen DeBoer told me he was looking for a mature guy to help compensate for the loss of three senior linebackers who graduated, and Woodson started 17 games for the Hokies. Last year, he was second on the team with 58 tackles and had 2.5 TFLs. He’s the kind of player who can get to the quarterback, disrupt passing lanes and make game-changing plays. With the Tide’s entire secondary returning, Alabama’s defense should be fast and physical.
Hale: If you’re a buyer on Dabo Swinney’s “what’s old is new again” approach to Clemson’s offense for 2026 with new coordinator Chad Morris, then you might as well invest heavily in running back Gideon Davidson‘s stock, too. Entering his true freshman year in 2025, Davidson was hyped as a game changer, with Swinney lauding him as one of the most talented backs he’d ever recruited, and an expectation that, at least by year’s end, Davidson would seize the primary role in the ascendant Tigers’ backfield. Instead, both Davidson and Clemson disappointed. Davidson had just 12 carries by the end of October, and it was only after Clemson had effectively punted on any hopes for 2025 that he carved out a bigger role. Down the stretch, though, he had a few moments for optimism, and switching from the clearly ineffective RPO game favored by Garrett Riley back to a more straightforward, vertical offense with a power run component under Morris should help Davidson’s growth. It’s a dice roll, but there’s a lot of upside here.
Lederman: Cal‘s Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele emerged as the most productive freshman quarterback in the country last fall when he threw for 3,454 yards, 12th most among returning FBS starters in 2026. With another year of experience, a new offensive coordinator in Jordan Somerville and a fairly generous ACC schedule, there’s every reason to believe the left-hander from Hawai’i will make another big jump this fall. First-year coach Tosh Lupoi has injected new energy in the Bears’ program, and Sagapolutele — the quarterback Lupoi went to see hours after his hiring back in December — is at the center of all the optimism hovering over Cal right now.
Schlabach: Georgia is going to have to identify playmakers at receiver after losing Zachariah Branch, Colbie Young, Dillon Bell and Noah Thomas to the NFL draft. The Bulldogs picked up Georgia Tech transfer Isiah Canion in the transfer portal, but the buzz in Athens is that sophomore Talyn Taylor is poised to break out in a big way. He had a critical drop in the Bulldogs’ 24-21 loss to Alabama and missed a long stretch with a broken collarbone. He finished with two catches for 28 yards in six games. But Taylor was the No. 4 receiver in the country as a senior at Geneva (Illinois) High School in the class of 2025 and has elite speed.
Which off-the-radar team will we be talking about in December?
Rittenberg: Washington. I actually liked Jedd Fisch’s team in this category a year ago, but the Huskies struggled to keep pace with their toughest opponents. In hindsight, Year 3 always seemed more sensible for a potential breakthrough, as Fisch and his staff have gradually improved the roster. The fallout from quarterback Demond Williams Jr.’s near exit in January is worth watching, but if things are stable there, Washington should take a step forward offensively. Washington’s schedule also helps as its toughest games in September and October are at home — USC and Iowa in consecutive weeks. The Huskies conclude the regular season with Indiana (home) and Oregon (road).
Trotter: Last season was a disaster for the Gamecocks, who finished with only one SEC win. But two years ago, South Carolina was the hottest team in college football heading into December and nearly snuck into the playoff. The Gamecocks return two absolute stars in Sellers and Stewart. With better pass protection for Sellers — the Gamecocks are hopeful left tackle transfer Jacarrius Peak (NC State) will be ready to go after an offseason basketball injury — South Carolina could be a sleeper playoff contender come December.
Adelson: I am not sure whether it is fair to call SMU under the radar considering the Mustangs have won 42 games over the past four years, including 20 in their first two years in the ACC. But SMU should be considered a CFP contender this year. With quarterback Kevin Jennings returning, a strong offensive line and another solid portal class, SMU simply finds ways to win and stay relevant in the national conversation. The first three weeks of the season are hugely important. SMU opens at Florida State on Labor Day night, then plays at Louisville two weeks later.
Dinich: Boise State. The highest-ranked Group of 6 team will make the playoff this year — not the highest-ranked Group of 6 champion, which is different from previous seasons. Boise State will also be competing for a Pac-12 title this year after conference realignment, and the Broncos have one of the better schedules to impress the selection committee, starting with their season opener at Oregon. With senior quarterback Maddux Madsen returning, the Broncos should be in a position to contend for the Group of 6 spot.
Hale: Let’s go way off the radar. Like, so far off the radar, many people might not even realize what conference this team is in. But, here’s the case for Cal. First, the Golden Bears might have the best young QB in the country in Sagapolutele. Second, new coach Lupoi is coming from a program (Oregon) that has created a strong blueprint on how to win in the Northwest. Third, Lupoi inked one of the top portal classes in the country, completely renovating an offense that offered far too little support for its burgeoning star QB last year. And Lupoi is a defensive guru who has brought a handful of impact players with him from Oregon and stocked the rest of the unit with plenty of upside. Then, look at the schedule: Aside from a trip to UNLV (no easy win), five of Cal’s first six opponents lost at least six games last year. The Bears miss Miami, Louisville and Florida State. The only games where Cal figures to be at a distinct talent disadvantage are vs. Clemson and at SMU (and that talent disadvantage isn’t as huge as it might seem based on reputations). A lot would have to go right for Cal to make a run at the playoff — and, frankly, Cal isn’t a place where a lot has gone right in recent years — but on paper, there’s certainly a formula in which this all works out beautifully in Year 1 for Lupoi.
Lederman: Predicting a Group of 6 CFP contender this time of year is a bit of a fool’s errand … which is why it’s fun to dive into all the various possibilities, including San Diego State building on its 2025 momentum and thrusting itself into the CFP mix this fall. The Aztecs followed up a 3-9 finish in 2024 with a 9-4 campaign in coach Sean Lewis’ second season ahead of the program’s long-anticipated move into the reformed Pac-12 in 2026. Between quarterback Jayden Denegal and reigning All-Mountain West first-team running back Lucky Sutton, SDSU returns the foundational players in the nation’s 19th-ranked rushing offense in 2025. How the Aztecs rebuild following the departure of coordinator Rob Aurich and a number of starters from college football’s No. 6 defense, including Trey White and Owen Chambliss, will, of course, be critical. But with a friendly schedule and résumé-boosting opportunity in a late November trip to Boise State, SDSU has every chance of being in the CFP conversation come late fall.
Sports
Premier League giants can’t afford to miss Champions League riches for even a season
The UEFA Champions League is back this week, but for the biggest clubs, it is becoming increasingly important that it never goes away. Which is why Liverpool, Manchester United and Chelsea are so desperate to qualify for next season’s competition.
Commercially, they are three of the sport’s most powerful clubs, but a year outside the Champions League can lead to severe financial turbulence due to the costs of keeping pace with the rest of the elite.
Between them, Liverpool, United and Chelsea have won 11 Champions Leagues/European Cups. Add in Aston Villa‘s 1982 European Cup triumph and the four clubs chasing three Champions League spots via the Premier League — assuming Arsenal and Manchester City finish in the top two — have won as many titles as Italy’s Serie A in 70 years of European Cup football.
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But while history and prestige are significant factors in clubs wanting to compete alongside Real Madrid, Barcelona, Bayern Munich and reigning champions Paris Saint-Germain, nothing is more important than the money that Champions League participation generates.
For the likes of Madrid, Barça, Bayern and PSG, playing in the Champions League has become an annual privilege. Their domestic power is now so great that it’s unthinkable for any of those clubs to miss out on qualification.
PSG’s last season outside the Champions League was 2011-12, with Bayern (2007-08), Barcelona (2003-04) and Madrid (1996-97) almost forgetting what a season without Champions League football looks like. But there are simply not enough qualification spots for the Premier League’s so-called Big Six (which continues to include Tottenham Hotspur, who are fighting relegation this season), plus Villa and Newcastle United, to be able to spend with the confidence that a Champions League payday will fund their operation.
PSG banked £125.06 million from the UEFA prize fund for winning last season’s Champions League, with runners-up Inter Milan earning £118.3 million. Of the eight quarterfinalists last season, Villa’s £72.5 million overall Champions League earnings were the smallest, but still a huge financial windfall for the club.
United, who failed to qualify for any European competition this season, are the best example of how much it can hurt a team to miss out. Aside from the UEFA prize pot, they are also missing out on additional matchday revenue at Old Trafford, which amounts to approximately £5 million for every home game. Had they enjoyed Villa’s run to the quarterfinals last term, United would have had six Champions League home games, which equates to another £30 million they could have earned.
United also have financial penalties within sponsorship deals triggered by failing to play in the Champions League, including a £10 million deduction in their £90 million-a-year shirt deal with Adidas. And although United’s playing and coaching staff suffer a 25% salary reduction whenever they fail to play in the Champions League — their annual wage bill was £313 million in their most recent accounts — that cost savings (£78.25 million) does not cover the revenue lost by not playing in the Champions League. United owe £422 million in outstanding transfer payments and £238 million of that figure is due to be repaid by the end of next season, which means a return to the Champions League for the first time since 2023-24 is crucial.
Chelsea are another club with a huge reliance on Champions League earnings. According to data released by UEFA last month, Chelsea made a loss of £355 million in 2024-25 — a figure more than twice as big as the next-highest loss, recorded by Lyon.
The £84 million banked from winning the FIFA Club World Cup last summer was a much-needed financial boost for Chelsea after playing in the UEFA Conference League last season, which generated just £19.06 million despite Enzo Maresca’s team winning the competition by defeating Real Betis in the final.
Even Liverpool, last season’s Premier League champions, face a financial headache if they miss out on Champions League qualification this season. Despite their league title, which earned Liverpool £174.9 million in prize money, and £46 million from reaching the Champions League round of 16, the club reported a pre-tax profit of just £15.2 million in their most recent financial accounts.
Liverpool also reported an annual wage bill of £428 million — the biggest in the Premier League — and that figure does not include the new contracts awarded to Mohamed Salah and Virgil van Dijk last summer, nor does it factor in the salaries paid to new signings including Alexander Isak, Florian Wirtz and Hugo Ekitike following last year’s £450 million transfer outlay.
Within the accounts, Liverpool’s chief financial officer Jenny Beacham made clear how important it is for the team to play at the “highest level” to cover the club’s rising costs.
“The club does face significant cost challenges, including rises in administrative, staffing and operational costs, alongside the need for us to compete at the highest level of the game, across our men’s and women’s teams,” Beacham said. “Since this reporting period we have invested significantly to continue to enhance our playing squads, investing in the club’s present and in its future too.”
Liverpool have recent experience of the downsides of missing out on the Champions League, with Jürgen Klopp’s final season as manager in 2023-24 played out in the Europa League — something that impacted the plans of his successor, Arne Slot.
“It’s very important for us as a team to be in the Champions League and it has shown how important it is for this club financially,” Slot said. “The season when I arrived, there was a reason why we only signed Federico Chiesa and that was partly because of the season before there was Europa League football.
“We know we are in a transition and a transition works better if there’s money available.”
So while the Champions League is the only place for the biggest clubs to be, it is no longer simply a prestigious bonus on top of domestic success. It has become an essential revenue driver, but in the Premier League, top clubs will inevitably miss out and the price of failure is becoming bigger and bigger.
Sports
21 Iranian women’s soccer players weigh return home after 5 granted asylum
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The fate of 21 members of Iran’s women’s national soccer team remained uncertain Tuesday after five teammates were granted asylum in Australia, leaving the rest of the squad to decide whether to return to a country still reeling from war.
The Iranian team arrived in Australia for the tournament before the U.S.-Israeli attacks against Iran began on Feb. 28.
An official roster lists 26 players, along with coaches and staff. While Australian authorities confirmed that five players were transported by federal police to a secure location overnight to finalize humanitarian visas, the remaining members of the delegation have not publicly indicated whether they will seek similar protections or return to Iran.
While only five players were granted asylum, Australian Home Affairs Minister Tony Burke said the offer was given to everyone on the team.
Australian Home Affairs Minister Tony Burke poses with five Iranian women soccer players who have been granted asylum in Australia, Tuesday, March 10, 2026. (Australia Ministry of Home Affairs)
“I don’t want to begin to imagine how difficult that decision is for each of the individual women, but certainly last night it was joy, it was relief,” Burke told reporters after signing the documents. “People were very excited about embarking on a life in Australia.”
“These women are tremendously popular in Australia, but we realize they are in a terribly difficult situation with the decisions that they’re making,” he added. “The opportunity will continue to be there for them to talk to Australian officials if they wish to.”
The move comes after the team refused to sing the Iranian anthem before their first Women’s Asian Cup match early last week against South Korea — a gesture some interpreted as protest and others as mourning amid turmoil at home. The team later sang and saluted the anthem in two subsequent matches, including ahead of their final match, when they were eliminated by the Philippines.
After the team was knocked out of the tournament over the weekend, they faced potentially returning to a country still under bombardment. The team’s head coach, Marziyeh Jafari, said on Sunday the players “want to come back to Iran as soon as we can.”
Outside the team’s hotel on Australia’s Gold Coast on Tuesday, a brief commotion erupted as demonstrators gathered near a white bus believed to be transporting players. Some protesters knelt or lay in front of the vehicle, chanting “Save our girls” and waving pre-Revolution Iranian flags before the bus departed minutes later.
The five women granted asylum said they were happy for their names and pictures to be published, according to Burke, who emphasized that the players wanted to make clear that they were not political activists.

Iran players during their national anthem ahead of the Women’s Asian Cup soccer match between Iran and the Philippines in Robina, Australia, Sunday, March 8, 2026. (Dave Hunt/AAPImage via AP)
“Last night I was able to tell five women from the Iranian Women’s Soccer team that they are welcome to stay in Australia, to be safe and have a home here,” Burke said on X.
It remains unclear when the remaining players and staff will depart Australia or whether additional asylum requests will be made.
For the majority of the squad, the next move carries significant personal stakes — balancing family, national loyalty and safety as conflict continues in their home country.
“Australians have been moved by the plight of these brave women,” Prime Minister Anthony Albanese told reporters. “They’re safe here and they should feel at home here.”
“They then had to consider that and do it in a way that did not present any danger to them or to their families and friends back home in Iran,” he continued.
The asylum offer came after U.S. President Donald Trump on Monday called on Australia to grant asylum to any team member who wanted it.
Trump had blasted Australia on social media, saying Australia was “making a terrible humanitarian mistake” by allowing the team to be “forced back to Iran, where they will most likely be killed.”

Supporters react towards a bus transporting Iranian woman players following their Women’s Asian Cup soccer match against the Philippines on the Gold Coast, Australia, Sunday, March 8, 2026. (Dave Hunt/AAP Image via AP)
“The U.S. will take them if you won’t,” Trump said, despite his administration’s efforts to limit the number of immigrants in the U.S. who can receive asylum for political purposes.
Just hours later, Trump praised Albanese in another post.
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“He’s on it! Five have already been taken care of, and the rest are on their way,” Trump wrote.
Albanese said Trump had called him for “a very positive conversation,” about the issue. The prime minister said he explained “the action that we’d undertaken over the previous 48 hours” to support the women.
The Associated Press contributed to this report.
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