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Will RBI Slash Interest Rates Tomorrow? MPC Meeting Outcome Time, Where To Watch & What To Expect

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Will RBI Slash Interest Rates Tomorrow? MPC Meeting Outcome Time, Where To Watch & What To Expect


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The outcome—including the MPC’s decision on the repo rate and other key policy measures—will be announced at a press conference on October 1.

RBI MPC Meeting October 2025 Live Updates: RBI Repo Rate Cut, Loan Interest and monetary policy committee latest news

RBI MPC Meeting October 2025 Live Updates: RBI Repo Rate Cut, Loan Interest and monetary policy committee latest news

RBI MPC October Outcome Today: The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has announced that Governor Sanjay Malhotra will reveal the outcome of the Monetary Policy Committee’s (MPC) October meeting at 10 am on Wednesday. The announcement will be streamed live on the RBI’s YouTube channel, official website, and X account.

A press conference at noon will follow on the same platforms to provide deeper insights into the central bank’s policy decisions. News18 will also share live updates through its blog on the MPC policy meeting.

The October MPC meeting was held from September 29 to October 1. The remaining MPC meetings for the 2025-26 financial year are scheduled for December 3-5, 2025, and February 4-6, 2026.

Where To watch Sunjay Malhotra’s Address LIVE

Viewers can tune in live at 10 a.m. on Wednesday to catch RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra’s announcement of the MPC’s October policy outcome. The address will be streamed on the RBI’s official YouTube channel.

It can also be viewed on the central bank’s website and its official X account. These platforms will provide direct and uninterrupted access to the event, ensuring that viewers can follow the announcement in real time.

RBI MPC Meeting Expectations

Economists broadly expect the MPC to maintain the status quo on policy rates, which would mark the second consecutive pause. Between February and June 2025, the RBI had lowered the repo rate by a cumulative 100 basis points (bps) to 5.5%, where it currently stands.

“The Monetary Policy Committee is anticipated to maintain the status quo on the repo rate in its October 2025 review. This view is supported by the positive impact of GST reforms on demand, stronger-than-expected Q1 FY26 GDP growth, and an inflation trajectory that, while lowered due to GST rationalisation (FY26 average now ~2.6%), is expected to slope upwards thereafter,” said Aditi Nayar, Chief Economist at ICRA Ltd.

India’s GDP growth rose to a five-quarter high of 7.8% in Q1 FY26, compared with 6.5% in the same period last year and 7.4% in Q4 FY25.

The government recently rolled out a two-slab GST structure of 5% and 18% (effective September 22) by abolishing the previous four-rate regime—an overhaul expected to further boost consumption.

“RBI is likely to remain on pause in October, awaiting clarity on GST impact and tariffs,” said Gaura Sengupta, Chief Economist at IDFC FIRST Bank. She added that the RBI’s growth outlook remains positive due to stronger rural demand and sustained government capex, even as urban consumption and private capex remain muted.

However, some experts see scope for a rate cut.

Soumya Kanti Ghosh, Group Chief Economic Advisor at State Bank of India (SBI), said there is a “merit and rationale in going for a rate cut,” but stressed that it would require calibrated communication given the higher threshold for cuts post-June.

“No point in committing a Type 2 error (no rate cut with neutral stance) in September also… A 25-bps rate cut in September is the best possible option for RBI,” he noted in a recent report, adding that it would signal the RBI’s forward-looking stance.

Economists at Nomura expect two additional cuts in the October and December meetings. “As the market is currently only pricing in around 10 bps of cuts over the next few months, we see the risk/reward as attractive,” Nomura said in a report.

Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs expects inflation to remain benign on account of softer food prices and the pass-through effects of lower GST rates. Headline inflation rose to 2.7% in August from an eight-year low of 1.61% in July. “Assuming a partial pass-through of lower GST rates, we recently lowered our headline inflation forecasts for CY25 and FY26 by 0.2 percentage points and 0.3 percentage points to 2.8% YoY,” Goldman Sachs said.

External Factors

The MPC meeting coincides with ongoing India-US trade negotiations following US President Donald Trump’s decision to hike tariffs on Indian goods by an additional 25% (effective August 27), bringing the total to 50%. The outcome of these talks could significantly influence India’s growth outlook.

The meeting also follows the US Federal Reserve’s first rate cut of 2025, lowering its benchmark rate by 25 bps to 4–4.25%.

Previous MPC Decisions

  • February 2025: Repo rate cut by 25 bps
  • April 2025: Repo rate cut by 25 bps to 6%
  • June 2025: A 50-bps jumbo cut lowered the repo rate to 5.5%
  • August 2025: Repo rate held steady at 5.5% with a neutral stance

The October decision is being closely watched for signs of further easing or continued pause as India navigates evolving global and domestic challenges.

Aparna Deb

Aparna Deb

Aparna Deb is a Subeditor and writes for the business vertical of News18.com. She has a nose for news that matters. She is inquisitive and curious about things. Among other things, financial markets, economy, a…Read More

Aparna Deb is a Subeditor and writes for the business vertical of News18.com. She has a nose for news that matters. She is inquisitive and curious about things. Among other things, financial markets, economy, a… Read More

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Rolls-Royce profits soar after major UK and US defence orders

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Rolls-Royce profits soar after major UK and US defence orders


Rolls-Royce has announced a significant surge in its annual profit, climbing by £1 billion, alongside an upgraded financial outlook for the coming years.

The engineering powerhouse attributed this robust performance to substantial military aircraft orders and burgeoning demand for powering data centres.

The company reported an underlying operating profit of £3.5 billion for 2025, marking a 40 per cent increase from the £2.5 billion achieved in the previous year.

Underlying revenues also surpassed £20 billion over the period, representing approximately a tenth’s rise compared to 2024.

This impressive growth was fuelled by strong profit and sales across its civil aerospace, defence, and power divisions.

Rolls-Royce highlighted particularly strong demand for its defence products, securing major orders throughout 2025. The firm stated its various business units are well-positioned to capitalise on “key global trends” in the years ahead.

Rolls-Royce has revealed its annual profit surged by £1 billion and upgraded its outlook for the years ahead (Paul Ellis/PA)

This included contracts worth more than £1.5 billion with the UK’s Ministry of Defence and the US’s Department of War for EJ200 and AE 2100 engines to power military aircraft.

New orders for the Eurofighter aircraft engines from Italy, Germany and Spain, as well as export agreements from Turkey, will drive production into the 2030s, it said.

Furthermore, Rolls-Royce said it was benefiting from growing demand for power generation, driven by data centres with revenues up by more than a third.

Rolls-Royce said it was now expecting underlying operating profits to increase to between £4.9 billion and £5.2 billion by 2028 following the strengthened financial performance in 2025.

This is significantly higher than the £3.6 billion to £3.9 billion range that it had previously been targeting.

Chief executive Tufan Erginbilgic said growth would not have been possible “before our transformation”, with the business making £600 million worth of cost savings since 2022.

Rolls-Royce said it was now expecting underlying operating profits to increase to between £4.9 billion and £5.2 billion by 2028 following the strengthened financial performance in 2025

Rolls-Royce said it was now expecting underlying operating profits to increase to between £4.9 billion and £5.2 billion by 2028 following the strengthened financial performance in 2025 (REUTERS)

“With our new capabilities and mindset, we have navigated challenges from supply chain to tariffs, and delivered a strong performance in 2025, all while we built the foundations for significant growth for years to come,” he said.

“Based on our 2026 guidance, we expect to deliver underlying operating profit within the prior mid-term guidance range two years earlier than planned.

“Beyond the mid-term we continue to see significant growth from existing businesses as well as from new business opportunities.”



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Gold Could Hit 7500 Per Ounce: Gold in ‘structural repricing phase’, could hit $6,000 in 12 months: Report – The Times of India

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Gold Could Hit 7500 Per Ounce: Gold in ‘structural repricing phase’, could hit ,000 in 12 months: Report – The Times of India


Gold’s long-term outlook remains bullish as global de-dollarisation, rising fiscal stress and escalating geopolitical tensions reshape the global financial order, according to a report by Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd (MOFSL).In its latest Precious Metals Quarterly Report, the brokerage said gold prices crossed the $5,000 per ounce mark in early 2026, marking one of the strongest long-term bull phases in modern history.The firm said gold has entered a “structural repricing phase,” signalling the beginning of a new supercycle rather than a short-term cyclical rally.

Target of $6,000 in 12 months, $7,500 medium term

MOFSL expects Comex gold to settle towards $6,000 per ounce — equivalent to around Rs 1.85 lakh per 10 grams domestically — over the next 12 months. It also sees the potential for prices to move towards $7,500 per ounce in the medium term if geopolitical and fiscal pressures intensify.“The long-term outlook for gold remains positive. As global reserves gradually diversify away from dollar-centric assets and physical supply remains constrained, gold prices are likely to stay supported around and above $5,000 per ounce,” Navneet Damani, head of research, Commodities, Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd, said, as quoted by news agency PTI.Damani added that the current cycle is being driven not just by inflation, but by confidence — or the lack of it — in fiscal and monetary systems.

Gold rises despite positive real rates

The report highlighted that gold continued to climb even when real interest rates were positive between 2023 and 2025 — a period when prices would typically decline.This trend indicates that investors are increasingly worried about mounting global debt levels and the long-term stability of fiscal and monetary frameworks.“Gold’s strength despite positive real interest rates shows a clear shift in investor thinking. Real returns are increasingly seen as temporary and policy-driven, which reduces the cost of holding gold and strengthens its role as a safeguard against broader financial risks,” Manav Modi, analyst – commodities, MOFSL, said.

Geopolitical tensions, supply constraints add support

According to the report, rising geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe, the Middle East and Asia, along with renewed trade tensions and tariff-related disruptions, have heightened inflation and currency volatility, making gold more attractive as a neutral and reliable asset.Damani noted that as fiscal stress increases and questions emerge over monetary independence, gold’s role as non-sovereign money has gained prominence, leading to a structural shift in demand.The brokerage also pointed to tight global physical supply conditions supporting prices. Limited mine output, shrinking inventories across major exchanges and rising production costs have kept precious metal prices elevated.

Domestic demand and central bank buying

On the domestic front, rupee depreciation and strong retail demand have further supported gold prices. Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have seen renewed inflows after years of decline, the report said.Central banks have remained consistent buyers, adding around 1,000 tonnes of gold annually for four consecutive years as part of efforts to diversify reserves and reduce reliance on dollar-based assets.Overall, MOFSL expects gold to remain well supported over the long term, driven by reserve diversification, constrained supply growth and ongoing global economic and geopolitical uncertainty.



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LSEG boosts returns for shareholders amid activist investor pressure

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LSEG boosts returns for shareholders amid activist investor pressure



The London Stock Exchange Group has unveiled plans for a £3 billion share buyback amid pressure from an activist investor and as artificial intelligence fears have hammered the stock.

LSEG said it would follow £2.1 billion in buybacks made last year with another £3 billion by February next year, on top of a hike in dividend payouts.

Details of the pledge to step up returns for investors came as it reported underlying operating profits of £3.51 billion for 2025, up 10.8% or 14.7% higher on a constant currency basis.

On a bottom line basis, pre-tax profits jumped 56.5% to £1.97 billion for 2025.

Shares in the group rose as much as 5% in Thursday morning trading, in a welcome increase after the stock has been battered in recent weeks by global investor concerns over the impact of AI on its firm and data companies more widely.

Shares in the firm, which makes a significant chunk of its earnings from selling access to markets data, have slumped by nearly a third in the past year.

Activist investor Elliott Management has also built up a stake in the firm earlier this month and has reportedly been pushing for more share buybacks as it has held talks with LSEG bosses.

In the face of the recent shares slump, chief executive David Schwimmer said recent results showed “another year of very strong financial performance”.

He said: “In the fourth quarter alone, major financial institutions signed long-term contracts worth £1.9 billion to access our leading data and workflow.”

“With our LSEG Everywhere data strategy, we are positioning ourselves as the partner of choice for licensed, trusted data as the use of AI in decision-making scales – and we are seeing very positive signs of adoption,” he added.

It outlined new performance guidance for 2027 to 2029, with aims to deliver “mid to high single digit” growth in total income and further increase profitability.

Despite taking a significant stake in LSEG, the Financial Times newspaper reported earlier this week that Elliott has made assurances to the UK government over its intentions for LSEG as speculation mounted it would look to push for a break-up of the firm or for it to switch its listing to New York.



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