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Will RBI Slash Interest Rates Tomorrow? MPC Meeting Outcome Time, Where To Watch & What To Expect
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The outcome—including the MPC’s decision on the repo rate and other key policy measures—will be announced at a press conference on October 1.
RBI MPC Meeting October 2025 Live Updates: RBI Repo Rate Cut, Loan Interest and monetary policy committee latest news
RBI MPC October Outcome Today: The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has announced that Governor Sanjay Malhotra will reveal the outcome of the Monetary Policy Committee’s (MPC) October meeting at 10 am on Wednesday. The announcement will be streamed live on the RBI’s YouTube channel, official website, and X account.
A press conference at noon will follow on the same platforms to provide deeper insights into the central bank’s policy decisions. News18 will also share live updates through its blog on the MPC policy meeting.
The October MPC meeting was held from September 29 to October 1. The remaining MPC meetings for the 2025-26 financial year are scheduled for December 3-5, 2025, and February 4-6, 2026.
Where To watch Sunjay Malhotra’s Address LIVE
Viewers can tune in live at 10 a.m. on Wednesday to catch RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra’s announcement of the MPC’s October policy outcome. The address will be streamed on the RBI’s official YouTube channel.
It can also be viewed on the central bank’s website and its official X account. These platforms will provide direct and uninterrupted access to the event, ensuring that viewers can follow the announcement in real time.
RBI MPC Meeting Expectations
Economists broadly expect the MPC to maintain the status quo on policy rates, which would mark the second consecutive pause. Between February and June 2025, the RBI had lowered the repo rate by a cumulative 100 basis points (bps) to 5.5%, where it currently stands.
“The Monetary Policy Committee is anticipated to maintain the status quo on the repo rate in its October 2025 review. This view is supported by the positive impact of GST reforms on demand, stronger-than-expected Q1 FY26 GDP growth, and an inflation trajectory that, while lowered due to GST rationalisation (FY26 average now ~2.6%), is expected to slope upwards thereafter,” said Aditi Nayar, Chief Economist at ICRA Ltd.
India’s GDP growth rose to a five-quarter high of 7.8% in Q1 FY26, compared with 6.5% in the same period last year and 7.4% in Q4 FY25.
The government recently rolled out a two-slab GST structure of 5% and 18% (effective September 22) by abolishing the previous four-rate regime—an overhaul expected to further boost consumption.
“RBI is likely to remain on pause in October, awaiting clarity on GST impact and tariffs,” said Gaura Sengupta, Chief Economist at IDFC FIRST Bank. She added that the RBI’s growth outlook remains positive due to stronger rural demand and sustained government capex, even as urban consumption and private capex remain muted.
However, some experts see scope for a rate cut.
Soumya Kanti Ghosh, Group Chief Economic Advisor at State Bank of India (SBI), said there is a “merit and rationale in going for a rate cut,” but stressed that it would require calibrated communication given the higher threshold for cuts post-June.
“No point in committing a Type 2 error (no rate cut with neutral stance) in September also… A 25-bps rate cut in September is the best possible option for RBI,” he noted in a recent report, adding that it would signal the RBI’s forward-looking stance.
Economists at Nomura expect two additional cuts in the October and December meetings. “As the market is currently only pricing in around 10 bps of cuts over the next few months, we see the risk/reward as attractive,” Nomura said in a report.
Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs expects inflation to remain benign on account of softer food prices and the pass-through effects of lower GST rates. Headline inflation rose to 2.7% in August from an eight-year low of 1.61% in July. “Assuming a partial pass-through of lower GST rates, we recently lowered our headline inflation forecasts for CY25 and FY26 by 0.2 percentage points and 0.3 percentage points to 2.8% YoY,” Goldman Sachs said.
External Factors
The MPC meeting coincides with ongoing India-US trade negotiations following US President Donald Trump’s decision to hike tariffs on Indian goods by an additional 25% (effective August 27), bringing the total to 50%. The outcome of these talks could significantly influence India’s growth outlook.
The meeting also follows the US Federal Reserve’s first rate cut of 2025, lowering its benchmark rate by 25 bps to 4–4.25%.
Previous MPC Decisions
- February 2025: Repo rate cut by 25 bps
- April 2025: Repo rate cut by 25 bps to 6%
- June 2025: A 50-bps jumbo cut lowered the repo rate to 5.5%
- August 2025: Repo rate held steady at 5.5% with a neutral stance
The October decision is being closely watched for signs of further easing or continued pause as India navigates evolving global and domestic challenges.
Aparna Deb is a Subeditor and writes for the business vertical of News18.com. She has a nose for news that matters. She is inquisitive and curious about things. Among other things, financial markets, economy, a…Read More
Aparna Deb is a Subeditor and writes for the business vertical of News18.com. She has a nose for news that matters. She is inquisitive and curious about things. Among other things, financial markets, economy, a… Read More
September 30, 2025, 07:44 IST
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Brent crude sinks by a tenth after Iran says the key waterway is open for commercial ships for the rest of the ceasefire.
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Oil prices tumbled on Friday after Iranian officials said they would allow commercial traffic to resume in the Strait of Hormuz. This lifted equity markets in Europe and New York, where major indices hit new records.
Citing the ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said Tehran would lift its blockade on shipping through the key Gulf energy trade route.
“In line with the ceasefire in Lebanon, the passage for all commercial vessels through Strait of Hormuz is declared completely open for the remaining period of ceasefire,” Araghchi said.
Traffic in the strategic waterway, through which one-fifth of the world’s crude oil normally flows, has been disrupted by Iran since the US-Israeli offensive began on Feb. 28. At one point, this sent oil prices to a peak of nearly $120 a barrel and roiled the global economy.
Both Brent, the benchmark international contract, and its US equivalent WTI fell below $90 per barrel following Tehran’s announcement. Brent later cut its losses and finished at $90.38 a barrel, down 9.1%.
‘Immediate impact’
“This news is having an immediate impact on markets,” said Kathleen Brooks, research director at XTB.
The move also sent a jolt through equity markets, extending a rally in New York. There, equities have pushed ever higher since late March in anticipation of a breakthrough in the Middle East crisis.
“We had seen a big move the last two weeks, and now it’s just really pricing completely out the worst-case scenario, said Angelo Kourkafas, from Edward Jones.
Kourkafas also pointed to underlying strength in the US economy that should get more attention in the coming period as geopolitical concerns ebb.
“Geopolitical developments are moving in the right direction, and at the same time, the earning strength is hard to ignore,” Kourkafas said.
The broad-based S&P 500 finished at 7,126.06, up 1.2% for the day and 4.5% for the week.
‘Good news’
Earlier, European stocks closed higher, with both Frankfurt and Paris gaining 2%.
US President Donald Trump cheered the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz in an interview with AFP.
“We’re very close to having a deal,” Trump said in a brief telephone call with AFP from Las Vegas. He added there were “no sticking points at all” left with Tehran.
But Iran quickly pushed back on one key point.
Iran’s foreign ministry said Friday that its stockpile of enriched uranium would not be transferred “anywhere.” It rejected an earlier claim by Trump that the Islamic Republic had agreed to hand it over.
Shipping industry figures, meanwhile, gave a cautious welcome to Iran’s announcement.
A spokesman for German transportation giant Hapag-Lloyd, which has ships stuck in the Gulf, told AFP by phone that the reopening was “in general… good news.”
But he cautioned that shippers still needed details of what route vessels could take and in what order, citing fears of mines.
“One thousand ships cannot just go now to the entrance of the strait, that will be chaos. They (the Iranians) need to give clear orders,” said the spokesman, Nils Haupt.
“We would be ready to go very soon if some of these open questions can be solved within the weekend.”
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