Sports
5 early lessons of men’s basketball season: Real vs. pretend contenders, more
It has been 37 days since the men’s college basketball season began — and what a wild opening stretch it has been.
The freshmen class quickly emerged as one of the best in the history of the sport. The group is so good that Washington’s Hannes Steinbach, at an average of 18.5 points and 12.8 rebounds, is projected as the 21st pick in ESPN’s 2026 NBA mock draft.
The early stretch has also helped identify which preseason contenders are true threats to win the national championship — see: Michigan defeating fellow AP top-10 team Gonzaga by 40 points during Feast Week — and which look more like pretenders.
Through all of the mayhem, it’s clear this season is producing some of the best basketball of this era. The top teams are really good. The talent pool is deep. The coaching is top tier. And the atmospheres have been awesome (this is not an invitation to rant about the Players Era Festival crowds).
We’re marching toward what should be an incredible finale at the Final Four in Indianapolis, a decade after Villanova‘s Kris Jenkins hit a winning 3-pointer at the buzzer to beat North Carolina in the 2016 national championship. If the first month is an indicator, the 2025-26 season could end with similar fireworks.
Here are the five biggest lessons we’ve learned so far.

This freshman class could be the best of one-and-done era
In the four seasons between 2021-22 and 2024-25, KenPom‘s final Player of the Year rankings featured four freshmen combined: Chet Holmgren and Paolo Banchero in 2022, Brandon Miller in 2023 and Cooper Flagg in 2025. That’s the same number of freshmen included in this season’s rankings.
That list begins with Cameron Boozer. Duke‘s star has a higher offensive rating on KenPom than Flagg or Zion Williamson, the past two National Player of the Year winners produced by the Blue Devils, finished their award-winning seasons with. Through the first five weeks, at least, Boozer has separated himself from the field with a breathtaking effort for an undefeated Duke team.
On Boozer’s heels are a collection of first-year standouts who deserve similar recognition.
BYU‘s AJ Dybantsa has arguably been the second-best player in the country, and North Carolina star Caleb Wilson is leading a resurgence in Chapel Hill. That same bounce-back is in the works for Kansas now, too, with projected No. 1 NBA draft pick Darryn Peterson‘s return from a monthlong absence because of a hamstring injury.
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AJ Dybantsa throws down exclamation point jam for BYU
AJ Dybantsa takes the open lane to the basket and throws down a massive jam for BYU.
Each of the top eight picks in ESPN’s 2026 NBA mock draft are freshmen — a group that doesn’t even include surging prospects such as Houston‘s Kingston Flemings or Arkansas‘ Darius Acuff Jr.
In the one-and-done era, this crew has a chance to be the best we’ve ever seen.
Florida, Kentucky and St. John’s have failed to meet expectations
Three days after it suffered through its worst scoring drought of the past eight years — a 10-minute, 25-second stretch in last week’s loss to North Carolina — Kentucky missed its first 10 shots and lost to Gonzaga by 35 points in Nashville on Friday. To say that a team that was ranked ninth in the preseason AP Top 25 is in trouble would be a vast understatement. The Wildcats are a mess, but they’re not the only preseason contenders searching for answers.
Months after winning a national title with an elite set of guards, Florida‘s Todd Golden rebooted his backcourt with former Arkansas star Boogie Fland and Princeton transfer Xaivian Lee. It hasn’t worked out as planned. In Florida’s two-player lineups — an on-court metric at EvanMiya.com that captures how teams perform when specific players are paired together — the Fland-Lee combination ranked 26th within its own team. And though Lee scored 19 points against UConn in Tuesday’s game at Madison Square Garden, that loss was another example of the Gators’ limitations when Lee and Fland (1-for-9 combined from 3 against the Huskies) aren’t equally elite on the same night.
Ultimately, Florida hasn’t looked like a defending champion thus far, despite Thomas Haugh (18.6 PPG, 7.6 RPG, 2.8 APG) playing like an All-American.
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Thomas Haugh soars for a thunderous alley-oop jam for Florida
Xaivian Lee floats the ball to Thomas Haugh for an epic and-1 alley-oop slam for Florida vs. UConn.
And after finishing second in adjusted defensive efficiency, defending Big East champion St. John’s is 51st in that same category since Nov. 24, per BartTorvik.com. Rick Pitino signed some of the top transfers in the portal but has failed to manufacture the same defensive integrity that helped his squad earn an invitation to “The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon” a year ago. The Red Storm have already lost three games after finishing last season with only five losses.
Michigan, Iowa State and Arizona are much better than we realized
After his colleagues had been peppered with questions at Big 12 media day, Arizona‘s Tommy Lloyd sat on the stage in Kansas City, Missouri, and acknowledged the lack of interest in his team at that same juncture. “No other questions? Really?” Lloyd said. “OK.”
Since that moment in October, Arizona has shocked college basketball. The Wildcats earned their first No. 1 ranking in the AP Top 25 since 2023 this week thanks to early wins over No. 5 UConn, No. 18 Florida, No. 21 Auburn and No. 25 UCLA. Sensational freshman Koa Peat (15.9 PPG, 5.5 RPG) leads a squad that has averaged 88.5 points.
Two teams that had not been viewed as serious preseason contenders have also managed to earn national acclaim over the first month-plus.
Michigan beat Gonzaga by 40 points in Las Vegas during Feast Week, capping a 3-0 run at the Players Era Festival with wins over San Diego State and Auburn, too. Led by All-America candidate Yaxel Lendeborg, the Wolverines have the nation’s best defense and have won six games by 25 or more points.
Joshua Jefferson (17.6 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 5.4 APG) and Iowa State also have dominant wins on their résumé, including last Saturday’s 23-point true road victory over then-No. 1 Purdue. That’s the best win of the season thus far. The Cyclones have also managed to force turnovers on 26.5% of their opponents’ possessions, the best mark in the country.
All three teams finished outside the top six in the preseason AP poll — Arizona (13th) and Iowa State (16th) weren’t even top 10. But those three teams have looked the part of serious national championship contenders through the first month of the season.
The 3-point revolution has reached record highs
In George Washington‘s 84-70 victory over Army on Dec. 2, the two teams combined to shoot 70 3-pointers. In the 2015 national title game, Wisconsin and Duke combined to shoot 32 3s — or seven fewer than Army took last week.
While the significance of the 3-point shot in college basketball isn’t a new phenomenon, the uptick in the first month of the 2025-26 season suggests that we could see a flurry of 3-pointers at a rate unmatched. A then-record of 121 teams took 3-pointers on at least 40% of their shots in 2021-22, an uptick from the 103 teams in the same category five years earlier, per KenPom. That number rose again to a stunning 157 teams last season.
So far this season, at least 40% of total field goal attempts for 187 teams — more than half of Division I programs — have been 3-pointers.
The game is rapidly evolving in real time, and the first month has proved as much with the multitude of 3-point attempts across the landscape.
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Alex Karaban sinks an early 3 for UConn
Alex Karaban sinks an early 3 for UConn
The ACC is … back?
The ACC sent a North Carolina team that finished 13-7 in conference play as its fourth and final NCAA tournament entry a season after finishing with only four bids for the first time in more than a decade.
Needless to say, it has been a couple of down seasons for the ACC, but the conference is already beginning to erase its recent woes. Yes, Duke is Duke. Boozer is the front-runner for National Player of the Year and is surrounded by a supporting cast that could help the Blue Devils win their first national title since 2015. That’s not new. What is though, is the role other ACC teams could have in producing a resurgence for the conference.
Louisville (Mikel Brown Jr.) and North Carolina (Caleb Wilson) are led by a pair of projected lottery picks. First-year head coaches Ryan Odom (Virginia), Jai Lucas (Miami) and Will Wade (NC State) could turn the tide for their teams this season. Overall, five ACC teams are ranked in the top 25 in adjusted offensive efficiency at the start of December.
That’s a good sign.
The ACC ended last season with only five top-100 teams in KenPom’s final rankings. So far this season, the conference already has nine. It also had eight sub-100 KenPom teams at the end of 2024-25, which is a better measuring stick for the conference’s overall strength (or lack thereof). This season, there are only three ACC teams in that same category.
With a talent boost and new faces on the sidelines, the ACC has already demonstrated that it is collectively prepared for a better season than the past two.
Sports
Laremy Tunsil: ‘I want to be paid.’ He’d like it to be Commanders’ money.
The offensive tackle, who came to Washington in an offseason trade, has been as good as promised, and he’ll be seeking a contract extension after this season.
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Sports
Pakistan women’s football team to make historic debut in Fifa Football Series
For the first time, the Pakistan women’s football team will directly participate in a Fifa event, marking a significant milestone for the country’s sporting history.
The participation comes under the Fifa Football Series — an initiative introduced by Fifa President Gianni Infantino. The Series includes national teams that do not qualify for the Fifa World Cup, which is held every four years.
President of the Pakistan Football Federation (PFF), Mohsin Gilani, expressed his delight at Pakistan’s inclusion in the Women’s Fifa Series.
He described it as a “historic moment” for Pakistan football, noting that while the national team has competed in Fifa qualifying rounds in the past, this will be the first time Pakistan directly takes part in a Fifa event. He said he is deeply grateful to the Fifa President for the opportunity.
Gilani added that the event will inspire young footballers across the country, saying that seeing Pakistan’s flag fly at a Fifa event will be a major achievement for him as PFF President. He said the development has renewed hope for a “bright and promising future” for football in Pakistan, calling it the beginning of greater progress ahead.
Pakistan’s women’s team currently stands at 154 in the Fifa Women’s World Ranking out of 198 teams. For the 2026 Women’s Fifa Series, Fifa has placed Pakistan in the Ivory Coast group, though the match schedule — including opponents and dates — has yet to be announced.
Sports
Don’t be surprised if … Brock Purdy, Chase Brown are league winners down the stretch
Each week in the NFL is its own story — full of surprises, both positive and negative — and fantasy football managers must decide what to believe and what not to believe moving forward. Perhaps we can help. If any of these thoughts come true … don’t be surprised!
NOTE: All mention of fantasy points is for PPR formats, unless otherwise mentioned.
Don’t be surprised if … San Francisco 49ers QB Brock Purdy is a top-10 fantasy QB this month
Matchups matter, and Purdy and his buddies play the Tennessee Titans this week, then the reeling Indianapolis Colts. That should be enough to persuade fantasy managers to slide Purdy into their lineups. The Titans are bad, and they have been lit up recently by Shedeur Sanders, Davis Mills and others. There’s more. The 49ers didn’t play in Week 14. While we/many mocked the NFL for having teams serve bye weeks in December, during our fantasy playoffs! (how dare they!), the aftermath of this is important. RB Christian McCaffrey and TE George Kittle rested. Of course, they are the lone 49ers typically in a fantasy lineup.
Purdy rested, too. He lacks the flashy statistics this season as he battled a sprained left shoulder and then a toe injury, missing more than half the games. Purdy threw three touchdown passes in Week 11 against Arizona, then threw three interceptions the following Monday night against the tougher-than-people-realize Carolina Panthers. He scored 17.12 points in Week 13 against a strong Cleveland Browns defense. Purdy averaged 17.8 points last season. He was fantasy’s No. 6 QB in 2023. We have seen and enjoyed his upside, and with this schedule, I say he rewards those who trust him. Play Purdy over Patrick Mahomes (vs. Chargers), Lamar Jackson (no, I don’t think he is fine), Dak Prescott and myriad others this week.
Other QB thoughts:
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Sticking to the matchups theme, do not talk yourself out of relying on Philadelphia Eagles starter Jalen Hurts. C’mon, people. The Las Vegas Raiders are coming to Philly, and Hurts, fresh off a five-turnover nightmare Monday in Los Angeles, is not going to score only 0.4 more points than you and I again. The Raiders are awful. Calls for backup Tanner McKee are ridiculous. The Eagles have lost three in a row, but they should score at will against the Raiders, and then they get the indifferent Washington Commanders in Weeks 16 and 18. Hurts scored 30.86 fantasy points in Week 12. Nobody — Eagles or you — is benching him.
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The situation with Hurts highlights that there is a big difference between evaluating quarterbacks for real-life and fantasy purposes. ESPN’s Bill Barnwell discussed the league’s top MVP candidates, with QBs Drake Maye, Matthew Stafford and Jordan Love leading the way. Fantasy managers should view Love quite differently. Although he could still finish among the top 10 QB scorers this season, he isn’t there yet, and last season he finished 17th. Give Love credit for strides in the turnover department, but he has scored single-digit fantasy points in three of the past six games, and I like his odds for another statistically disappointing effort in Denver on Sunday. Perhaps the Green Bay Packers keep winning, but one must separate fantasy and reality.
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The Indianapolis Colts, having lost three games in a row and their starting QB Daniel Jones, hit the road Sunday to face the Seattle Seahawks. No, I don’t think they are winning that one, either. Choose your statistical evidence however you please, but the Seahawks and Broncos are right up there for toughest defense to do just about anything against. We would not have recommended a healthy Jones for this matchup, so don’t even ask about Riley Leonard (knee), Philip Rivers (grandpa), Anthony Richardson Sr. (knee), Peyton Manning (on my TV a lot more than the other fellows), Bert Jones (Google him) or whomever else the Colts could find for this one.
Don’t be surprised if … Cincinnati Bengals veteran Chase Brown finishes among the top 10 RB scorers
Brown has been on a fantasy tear the past two months, reaching 18 fantasy points in five of six games. Perhaps he was among the bigger disappointments for the first six weeks, but he has been among the top five RBs since then. Brown isn’t doing this solely with touchdowns, either, even though he scored a pair in Week 14. He produced 113 scrimmage yards against the team he faces this week, the Baltimore Ravens, in Week 13, and he is fifth at his position in receptions. Yeah, Samaje Perine took some touches away last week, but that might not matter much. Brown still enjoyed 15 touches. The Bengals are the easiest team for RBs to accrue fantasy points against, but the Ravens are fourth.
McCaffrey should finish as the top running back fantasy scorer this season, with Jahmyr Gibbs finishing second. Gibbs should pass Jonathan Taylor, whom I wouldn’t sit in a fantasy playoff game, but hey, because of the QB situation he may find things more challenging than normal this and every Sunday. Because of his rough start to the season, Brown may not match his 255 fantasy points (15.9 per game) from last season, but he has been above that range for the past six weeks, and he should be in all lineups.
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Is Jaylen Wright worth adding in fantasy?
Eric Karabell explains why fantasy managers should consider adding Jaylen Wright afer his nice game vs. the Jets.
Other RB thoughts:
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I think Miami Dolphins star De’Von Achane (ribs) plays in Pittsburgh on Monday night, but alas, we may not have a finite answer by Sunday morning. So I am a bit surprised Jaylen Wright wasn’t added in more leagues, especially by Achane investors. As of Thursday afternoon, Wright’s roster figure is up only 3.7% from last week to 14.6%, before he ripped the admittedly embarrassing New York Jets for 107 rushing yards and a score in a relief role. These are our playoffs. Have a plan. Really, the Dolphins should throw all over the Pittsburgh Steelers, since they permit the most fantasy points to WRs and third most to TEs. Make sure Jaylen Waddle is in lineups, and if you don’t have one of the top-tier tight ends, we are making the case for Darren Waller, too.
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Next year will be the first big one for New England Patriots rookie TreVeyon Henderson. I may even rank him among the top 10 running backs, depending on what happens with veteran Rhamondre Stevenson. This season, however, we should be wary of both, because they cancel each other out when each is active. Stevenson, averaging 3.2 yards per rush, is not having a good season, but he continues to see relatively equal volume to Henderson, who averages 4.8 yards per tote. Fantasy managers may not like it, but Henderson is hardly guaranteed to shine this month, even against a Bills defense that struggles against the run. Henderson ran for 24 yards in the Week 6 game at Buffalo. Though Henderson has made strides in pass blocking, Stevenson is the proven veteran and the Patriots seem to trust him more in that capacity, still.
Don’t be surprised if … Arizona Cardinals WR Michael Wilson remains a top-five option the rest of the season
The Cardinals face the mighty Houston Texans defense this week, so this prediction may seem odd, but give any receiver a million targets and good things tend to happen. First, I don’t think Marvin Harrison Jr. (heel) is playing again this season. The 3-10 Cardinals have locked up last place in the NFC West, and Harrison playing can’t change anything. They struggle to run the football effectively, so journeyman QB Jacoby Brissett slings it 40-something times per game. No, seriously, he averages more than 300 passing yards per game this season. Nobody else is.
Wilson is fantasy’s top WR over the past four weeks, averaging 24.7 fantasy points on 14 targets per game, and there’s little reason to expect things to alter — assuming Harrison sits — even against the top defense. This should be like the Rams game last week, with the Cardinals getting blown out and the winning team caring little about Wilson piling on numbers. Old-timers may recall Billy Volek and Drew Bennett going gangbusters for about a month later in the 2004 season for the Tennessee Titans. This Cardinals deal feels similar.
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Should you start Michael Wilson in Week 15?
Liz Loza discusses why fantasy managers should look forward to starting Michael Wilson in Week 15 if Marvin Harrison Jr. is still sidelined.
Other WR thoughts:
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I find myself discussing this each week, but I view Jacksonville Jaguars WR Jakobi Meyers as a WR2 these days. Do you really want to judge him on his numbers with the Raiders? Meyers is thriving with Trevor Lawrence, and this week, the Jaguars get to feast on the lowly Jets. Predicting touchdowns for wide receivers is dangerous, but Meyers certainly has quite the opportunity to make it four games in a row Sunday.
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Ravens WR Zay Flowers looked better against a bad Steelers pass defense in Week 14, catching eight of 11 targets for 124 yards, but he still hasn’t scored a touchdown since Week 1. I don’t really trust him against the Bengals and likely shadow DJ Turner II, since these fellows matched up two weeks ago and Flowers caught two passes for six yards. Also, Lamar Jackson still isn’t right. I like TEs Mark Andrews and Isaiah Likely to have big games against the Bengals, but not the Baltimore WRs.
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