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Why movie production has moved out of the U.S. — and what a tariff could mean for Hollywood

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Why movie production has moved out of the U.S. — and what a tariff could mean for Hollywood


The Hollywood sign in Los Angeles on Jan. 22, 2024

Mario Tama | Getty Images News | Getty Images

There was a time when Hollywood simply referred to a neighborhood in the central region of Los Angeles.

These days, “Hollywood” has come to represent the entire domestic entertainment business — and it’s at a crossroads.

Its namesake area is no longer the bustling production hub it once was, as studios have chased tax benefits and lower labor costs overseas. It’s more expensive than ever to make a movie or television series, especially after the pandemic and the writers and actors strikes which reshaped how creatives are paid in the new streaming economy.

Many in the industry have sought to rectify the movement of thousands of jobs to other domestic filming hubs — like Georgia, New York, Texas, New Mexico and North Carolina — and international locations including Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Hungary, Croatia, Romania, Australia and New Zealand.

In July, California Gov. Gavin Newsom increased the state’s total film and TV tax credit to $750 million, nearly doubling the previous cap, to try to encourage more productions to film in Los Angeles.

President Donald Trump put a spotlight on the issue again Monday when he reiterated tariff threats on films made outside of the United States.

“Our movie making business has been stolen from the United States of America, by other Countries, just like stealing ‘candy from a baby,'” he wrote in a post on social media, adding that he would impose a 100% tariff on “any and all movies that are made outside of the United States.”

Trump made similar comments in May. Then as now, it is unclear how he plans to implement these duties, who they would target and who would foot the potential bill. Actor Jon Voight, who Trump appointed as “special ambassador” to Hollywood, said tariffs would only be implemented in “certain limited circumstances,” and the administration would focus on developing federal tax incentives, revising the tax code, creating co-production treaties with other countries and offering subsidies for infrastructure.

As Trump revives his threats, there are still numerous unanswered questions about how the U.S. could put a tariff on movies — and whether the move would really help bring production back to Hollywood.

“Since movies aren’t goods, they’re services, it remains unclear how a tariff could be placed on a service, but should some logistical loophole be found and enforced, it’ll cause chaos within the entertainment industry,” said Mike Proulx, vice president and research director at Forrester, in a statement Monday. “Then the question becomes what’s next? Where’s the line between a movie and a limited time series? What about the ad industry that saves money by shooting commercials outside the US?” 

The production of film and TV isn’t always simple. Some productions will shoot parts of a film internationally and pieces of it domestically. Would films be taxed based on the percentage of the film that was shot outside the U.S.? What would that mean for foreign films seeking release in the the country?

“What if the primary studio is in the U.S., but the film has to shoot on location, because the … story takes the … characters on a journey. Is there a threshold?” asked Alicia Reese, analyst at Wedbush. “There are just too many questions.”

Industry experts also worry about how the duties, if they are even enforceable, could affect relationships with other countries. Hollywood relies on international box office sales to recoup lofty film budgets. China has already limited the number of Hollywood-made movies it will showcases on screens. Other regions could retaliate and do the same.

“I strongly support bringing movie making back to California and the U.S.,” Democratic Sen. Adam Schiff of California said in a statement Monday. “Congress should pass a bipartisan globally-competitive federal film incentive to bring back production and jobs, rather than levy a tariff that could have unintended and damaging consequences.”

Dollars and cents

At the end of the day, Hollywood’s productions woes all come down to one thing — money.

Budgets are getting tighter. Streaming fundamentally changed the media landscape, fewer people are going to movie theaters and studios are no longer generating significant revenue from DVD sales. So studios have to grip their purse strings tighter or face the wrath of investors who are still trying to calculate what the dissolution of linear TV, and its lucrative ad revenue, means for media titans like Disney, Universal, Warner Bros. and Paramount.

Even before the pandemic and the dual labor strikes, Hollywood was filming movies and television in other parts of the U.S. and internationally.

In some cases, this was because the script dictated a specific international city or naturally occurring landscape to suit the story being told. It would have been difficult, for example, to film the Lord of the Rings franchise or “Game Of Thrones” entirely on the backlot of a Los Angeles studio.

The crux of the issue comes down to the sound stages.

Part of the exodus from Los Angeles is also the result of the development of domestic production hubs that offer better financial rewards, like tax credits and cash rebates, than what is available on the West Coast. Over the last two decades, 38 states have shelled out more than $25 billion in filming incentives, according to a report from The New York Times.

These incentives have allowed states like Georgia to develop infrastructure for big-budget productions and build out a skilled workforce of local crew members, craftsmen and technicians. Georgia offers these monetary perks as a way of not only creating jobs in production, but bolstering economic growth in the communities around those filming locations. Hotels, restaurants, lumber yards, vehicle rental companies and even gas stations get a bump from having projects produced locally.

International production hubs are the second piece of this puzzle. Sites outside the U.S. not only offer enticing film incentives, but also cheaper labor and even health care. In fact, Los Angeles ranked as the sixth-best location for filming according to a survey of studio executives published in January by ProdPro, a company that tracks production trends. Toronto, Canada; the U.K.; Vancouver, Canada; Central Europe and Australia all ranked higher than Los Angeles.

Canada, known as Hollywood North, has been the home of Hollywood film and television production for decades. Shows like “Riverdale,” “Suits,” “Supernatural,” “Once Upon a Time,” “Schitt’s Creek” and “The Handsmaid’s Tale” were all filmed just north of the border from Los Angeles. On the movie front, “Mean Girls,” “Twilight,” “My Big Fat Greek Wedding,” “American Psycho” and “Scream VI” are some of the titles that were shot in Canada.

Like Georgia, Canada offers an enticing tax credit for stateside studios, but has also has developed a top-notch workforce of industry talent in front of and behind the camera.

And competition abroad is heating up. More countries have bolstered their filming infrastructure, and increased their generous tax incentives. Many nations also have looser rules on what kinds of projects qualify for the financial benefits. New Zealand, the U.K., Ireland, Iceland, Australia, Norway, Italy, Hungary, Germany and the Czech Republic are all jockeying for productions — and they are taking share, according to data from ProdPro.

For example, Australia and New Zealand saw a 14% increase in the production of projects costing $40 million or more between 2022 and 2024. Meanwhile, the U.S. experienced a 26% decline.

“People are still going to have to film on location,” Wedbush’s Reese said, noting that the industry is not going to completely shift the kinds of stories being told to adhere to filming locations only available in the U.S. “There are plenty of pieces of that movie, or parts of that movie, that are filmed on a sound stage and that sound stage could just as easily exist in the U.S. as it could anywhere else.”

“And that’s where the question lies: how do we get the sound stages?” she continued.

Reese noted that Los Angeles has already made moves to encourage studios to use its existing infrastructure with Newsom’s new tax incentives.

“We need to create a better tax structure to encourage more productions, the base of the production, the sound stages, to be located in the U.S.,” she said.

Disclosure: Comcast is the parent company of Fandango and NBCUniversal, which owns CNBC. Versant would become the new parent company of Fandango and CNBC upon Comcast’s planned spinoff of Versant.



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Weather & then war lead to tears in India’s onion basket

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Weather & then war lead to tears in India’s onion basket


Seeking relief: Onion growers want an MSP of Rs 3,500/quintal and a Rs 1,500-a-quintal compensation for distress sales

Rain clouds rolled over Maharashtra’s onion belt. Then came war winds from West Asia. Prices collapsed. Crops rotted. Farmers counted losses in rupees — and sold tears by the quintal. Across Nashik, Solapur and Chhatrapati Sambhajinagar, onion growers are reaping a bitter harvest this season as wholesale prices at agriculture produce market committees (APMCs) have crashed far below production costs.Prakash Galadhar, a farmer hailing from Paithan taluka in Chhatrapati Sambhajinagar, hauled 1,262kg of onions he had harvested to market last week. After deductions for labour, loading and transport, his final balance showed he owed the trader Re 1.In Satana APMC of Nashik district, farmer Jitendra Solanke brought 30 quintals hoping to recover at least part of his investment. Traders first offered Rs 50 a quintal. After he protested, rate climbed to Rs 175 a quintal — Rs 1.75 a kg.Still, numbers refused to add up. “I spent Rs 1,200 per quintal to grow crop. After sale, labour and transport charges, only Rs 500 remained. The loss mounted to Rs 36,000,” Solanke said.Inputs have become expensive — seeds, fertilisers, diesel, mechanised farming and labour costs have all risen sharply — while market prices have sunk into mud.“We sell onions at Rs 4 to Rs 5 per kg while production cost is over Rs 12,” said Bhausaheb Jagtap, a farmer from Pune district. “After paying everybody, nothing is left,” Jagtap said.Prices have been sliding since Feb this year. At Lasalgaon APMC in Nashik — country’s largest onion wholesale market and benchmark for national rates — the kitchen staple is currently selling between Rs 400 and Rs 1,600 a quintal. Nearly 80% of arrivals fetch less than Rs 800 a quintal.In Solapur APMC, arrivals on May 13 touched 14,756 quintals. Prices ranged from Rs 100 to Rs 1,700 a quintal, or Rs 1 to Rs 17 a kg. A year ago, onions sold there for Rs 2,500 to Rs 3,000 a quintal.Growers said break-even price stands near Rs 18 a kg. “Losses are massive because nearly 80% of onions are selling between Rs 400 and Rs 800 per quintal,” said Bharat Dighole, president of Maharashtra Onion Growers’ Association.Market experts blamed a perfect storm: bumper arrivals, weak domestic demand, export disruptions and rain-damaged produce flooding mandis.“Geopolitical tensions involving Iran, US and Israel disrupted export markets and reduced overseas demand,” said Vikas Singh, vice president of Horticulture Produce Exporters’ Association of India.Unseasonal rain between March 19 and 21 added another blow to the farmers. Showers lashed Nashik district just as summer onion harvest began, damaging ready crop and triggering rot during storage. “Only 30% of produce was grade-1 quality,” said Prakash Jadhav, head of onion department at Solapur APMC. “Rain damage and long storage hurt quality.”Farmers are demanding onions be brought under minimum support price, pegging at Rs 3,500 a quintal. Growers’ groups want Maharashtra govt to compensate farmers by Rs 1,500 a quintal for distress sales.(Inputs from Prasad Joshi)



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India among fastest-growing steel market as global prices rise: Goldman Sachs

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India among fastest-growing steel market as global prices rise: Goldman Sachs


India emerged as one of the fastest-growing steel markets as global steel prices rose across major regions in April and early May, according to a Goldman Sachs report. In its “Global Steel: The Steel Market Barometer – May Update”, Goldman Sachs said average hot rolled coil (HRC) prices increased across nearly all major markets in April, led by Brazil with a 10 per cent month-on-month rise, followed by Japan at 6.5 per cent and China at 2.9 per cent. “On a YTD basis, Brazil’s HRC steel price performance has been the strongest in our sample (+21%), followed by the US (+15%) with other regions also showing price increases from 6%-13%,” the report said, as quoted by ANI.India continued to show strong rise within this global uptrend, with crude steel production rising 11 per cent year-on-year in March, compared with 10 per cent year-to-date growth and 7 per cent in February, the report said. Meanwhile, long steel prices also firmed in April across key regions, with Brazil recording a 12 per cent rise in rebar prices, followed by Europe at 6.9 per cent and the Black Sea region at 6.1 per cent. On the supply side, China’s steel output continued to contract, falling 3.2 per cent year-on-year in the first two weeks of May. Commenting on the sector, Goldman Sachs said, “On the industry level, while the anti-involution effort and long-term capacity cut plan for the Chinese steel sector remain intact, we see delayed execution in 2026E in terms of both capacity and production discipline.” Region-wise trends showed mixed performance across major producers. Europe’s crude steel output rose 16 per cent month-on-month in March, though it remained lower year-on-year and on a year-to-date basis. In the US, average weekly steel production increased 3 per cent in April, while utilisation rates averaged 79.6 per cent. Goldman Sachs added that infrastructure activity in China remained resilient despite weakness in the property sector, while manufacturing improved and construction softened. It projected broadly stable steel prices across major global markets through 2026, with US prices expected to remain stronger than those in Europe, China and Brazil.



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India jewellery exports fall 9.07 per cent in April to Rs 20.82 crore amid geopolitical tensions

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India jewellery exports fall 9.07 per cent in April to Rs 20.82 crore amid geopolitical tensions


NEW DELHI: India’s exports of jewellery fell in April 9.07 per cent amid geopolitical tensions in Middle East and uncertainty in key markets, according to data from the Gem & Jewellery Exaport Promotion Council (GJEPC). The overall exports stood at $2,226.45 million (Rs 20,825.01 crore), down from $2,448.53 million (Rs 20,952.26 crore) in the same month last year.GJEPC Chairman Kirit Bhansali attributed the decline to external disruptions, saying, “Decline in exports is mainly due to the ongoing conflict in West Asia, which has caused worldwide disruptions affecting exports. Besides geopolitical tensions, exports to the US, a major export market for the gems and jewellery industry, were also affected because there is still no clarity on the tariffs,” he told PTI.Segment-wise, cut and polished diamond exports fell 19.65 per cent to $890.91 million from $1,108.74 million a year earlier. Polished lab-grown diamond exports also declined 15.53 per cent to $93.28 million compared to $110.43 million last year.Gold jewellery exports dropped 21.77 per cent to $841.54 million, compared to $1,075.67 million in the same period last year. Within this segment, plain gold jewellery exports saw a sharper fall of 47.06 per cent to $341.08 million from $644.33 million, while studded gold jewellery rose 16.02 per cent to $500.46 million from $431.35 million.In contrast, silver jewellery exports surged sharply, rising 444 per cent to $268.38 million compared to USD 49.33 million in the corresponding month last year.



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