Business
RBI Raises India’s GDP Growth Forecast To 6.8% For 2025-26

New Delhi: The RBI has raised its projection of India’s GDP growth rate to 6.8 per cent for 2025-26 from 6.5 per cent earlier, as the implementation of several growth-inducing structural reforms, including streamlining of GST, is expected to offset some of the adverse effects of the external headwinds, Reserve Bank Governor Sanjay Malhotra said on Wednesday.
He pointed out that India’s GDP recorded a robust growth of 7.8 per cent in Q1:2025-26, driven by strong private consumption and fixed investment. On the supply side, growth in gross value added (GVA) at 7.6 per cent was led by a revival in manufacturing and steady expansion in services. Available high-frequency indicators suggest that economic activity continues to remain resilient. Rural demand remains strong, riding on a good monsoon and robust agriculture activity, while urban demand is showing a gradual revival, the RBI Governor added.
“Taking all these factors into account, real GDP growth for 2025-26 is now projected at 6.8 per cent, with Q2 at 7.0 per cent, Q3 at 6.4 per cent, and Q4 at 6.2 per cent,” Malhotra explained. He also said that the global economy has been more resilient than anticipated in 2025, with robust growth in the US and China.
The outlook, however, remains clouded amidst elevated policy uncertainty. Inflation has remained above their respective targets in some advanced economies, posing fresh challenges for central banks as they navigate the shifting growth-inflation dynamics. Financial markets have been volatile. The US dollar strengthened after the upward revision of US growth numbers for the second quarter, and treasury yields hardened recently, tracking changes in policy rate expectations. Equities have remained buoyant across several advanced and emerging market economies.
The RBI Governor further stated that revenue expenditure of the Union and state governments registered robust growth during the fiscal year so far (April-July). Investment activity, as suggested by healthy growth in construction indicators, i.e., cement production and steel consumption in July-August, is holding up well even though production and import of capital goods witnessed some moderation. Recovery in the manufacturing sector continues while services activity is sustaining its momentum.
Looking ahead, an above normal monsoon, good progress of kharif sowing and adequate reservoir levels have further brightened prospects of agriculture and rural demand. Buoyancy in the services sector, coupled with steady employment conditions, is supportive of demand, which is expected to get a further boost from the rationalisation of goods and services tax (GST) rates. Rising capacity utilisation, conducive financial conditions, and improving domestic demand should continue to facilitate fixed investment, he observed.
However, ongoing tariff and trade policy uncertainties will impact external demand for goods and services. Prolonged geopolitical tensions and volatility in international financial markets caused by risk-off sentiments of investors also pose downside risks to the growth outlook, the RBI Governor added.
Business
Why the US government has shut down and what happens now

Anthony ZurcherNorth America correspondent and
James FitzGerald
Funding for the US government has been cut off after President Donald Trump’s Republican Party failed to agree with opposition Democrats on a way forward on a spending bill.
The news means that some – but not all – US government services will come to a temporary halt.
Although budget confrontations are common in US politics, this spending fight is especially tense because Trump has spent the last nine months drastically cutting the size of the national government.
Why has the US government shut down?
This situation results from the inability of the two parties to come together and pass a bill funding government services into October and beyond.
The Republicans control both chambers of Congress, but in the Senate – or upper chamber – they are short of the 60 votes they need to pass a spending bill.
Democrats, therefore, have some leverage in this case. They refuse to back a Republican bill, saying it will make it harder for Americans to afford healthcare, and have made this standoff primarily about advancing their healthcare policy goals.
They are calling for an extension of tax credits that make health insurance cheaper for millions of Americans – which are set to expire – and for a reversal of cuts to Medicaid that have been made by Trump. Democrats also oppose spending cuts to the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) and National Institutes of Health (NIH).
A stopgap bill was earlier passed in the House, or lower chamber, but is yet to clear the Senate.
When did the shutdown happen?
At 00:01 EDT on Wednesday (04:01 GMT), it became official: the US would have its first shutdown for nearly seven years.
The last time this happened was at the end of 2018, during Trump’s first term. Both sides made last-ditch efforts to avoid a repeat this time.
On Monday, Trump met all four congressional leaders – the top Democrats in the House and Senate as well as their Republican counterparts. But there was little progress, and both sides appear to have dug deeper into their positions.
On the Republican side, Trump administration officials have been unwilling, so far, to offer any substantive concessions.
They appear to believe Democrats, as the side making demands in exchange for keeping the government open, will bear the brunt of the public’s blame – as they have in some past shutdowns.
Democrats, meanwhile, believe their push for preserving health-insurance subsidies is a popular one.
What is more, their congressional leaders provoked the ire of left-wing activists for backing down during the last budget bout in March. Many Democrats are itching for a bigger fight this time around – and funding the government is one of the only places where their party has some leverage.
What’s different about the White House response this time?
What stands out about this current standoff is the position of Trump’s team.
In the past, long shutdowns were usually seen as politically dangerous, hampering both voters’ everyday lives and the images of lawmakers and the president.
But this time around, the Trump administration appears more than happy to shutter large parts of the US government for an extended period. In fact, officials have threatened to use a shutdown to identify “non-essential” workers who could then be permanently let go.
“We’ll be laying off a lot of people,” Trump said on Tuesday.
Also, after previous shutdowns, government operations mostly returned to normal, with staff and spending levels largely going back to what they had been before, once the standoff was resolved.
Over the past nine months, however, the Trump administration has slashed spending and pushed workers out of their jobs, testing the boundaries of presidential power. A shutdown could allow the administration to accelerate its massive reductions.
What impacts will the shutdown have – including on national parks and social security?
Not all of government will shut down.
Border protection, in-hospital medical care, law enforcement and air-traffic control are expected to continue to operate during the stoppage.
While social security and Medicare cheques would still be sent out, benefit verification and card issuance could stop.
Generally, in a shutdown, essential workers continue as normal – some of them without pay for the time being – but government employees deemed non-essential are temporarily put on unpaid leave. In the past, these workers have then been paid retrospectively.
That means that services like the food assistance programme, federally-funded pre-school, the issuing of student loans, food inspections, and operations at national parks are expected to be curtailed or closed.
There could also be travel delays if the stand-off drags on and unpaid workers stop showing up.
Overall, analysts expect that this shutdown could be bigger than the one in late 2018, when Congress had passed some funding bills. They expect roughly 40% of federal workers – more than 800,000 people – to be put on temporary leave.
How could this shutdown affect the economy?
The scale of the damage will depend in part on how long the shutdown lasts – and how wide ranging it is.
In the past, disruption has tended to be temporary, with any lost activity mostly made up in the months after the shutdown ends.
Analysts estimate a shutdown this time could shave roughly 0.1 to 0.2 percentage points off economic growth for each week that it lasts – though much of that could be recouped.
That relatively muted impact may be why the stock market seems to be shrugging off this latest threat.
But, again, there are some ways that this shutdown could look different.
For one thing, Trump has threatened to fire – not just furlough – some workers, which would make the impact more long lasting.
The fight is also injecting more turmoil into an economy already being roiled by changes like tariffs and artificial intelligence, with the likely delay of key data – such as the official US monthly jobs report – expected to add to the uncertainty.
How common are shutdowns in the US?
Quite common over the past 50 years.
There were three during Trump’s first term, including the longest in history at 36 days, which ended in January 2019. That one was brought about by disagreements over funding a wall on the Mexico border.
The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimated that it reduced economic output by about $11bn, including $3bn that it never regained.
Fellow Republican Ronald Reagan oversaw eight shutdowns during his presidency in the 1980s – though all were relatively brief.
Shutdowns over budgets are almost unique to US politics.
Under the US system, the different branches of government have to reach an agreement on spending plans before they can become law.
In most countries, budget votes become votes of confidence in the government itself. But because the US has equal and often divided branches of government, that is not the case.
Business
Hurun Rich List 2025: Mukesh Ambani reclaims spot as India’s richest with Rs 9.55 lakh crore wealth; beats Gautam Adani – The Times of India

Mukesh Ambani and his family have beaten Gautam Adani to become India’s richest, according to the latest M3M Hurun India Rich List 2025. With a wealth of Rs 9.55 lakh crore, Ambani has reclaimed the top spot, while Adani family stands second with a wealth of Rs 8.15 lakh crore.Making history in the rankings, Roshni Nadar Malhotra and family have achieved the third position with Rs 2.84 lakh crore, establishing her as India’s richest woman. The report acknowledges the significant impact of newcomers on the nation’s wealth distribution.India’s affluent class has experienced substantial expansion, with the country now housing more than 350 billionaires, representing a dramatic increase since the list’s inception 13 years prior. The combined wealth of all listed individuals totals Rs 167 lakh crore, approximating half of India’s gross domestic product.Fresh entrepreneurs are leading wealth creation trends. At age 31, Perplexity’s Aravind Srinivas has become India’s youngest billionaire with Rs 21,190 crore wealth. Actor Shah Rukh Khan made his debut in the billionaire category, amassing Rs 12,490 crore.The Niraj Bajaj family achieved the highest wealth increase, growing their fortune by Rs 69,875 crore to Rs 2.33 lakh crore, according to an ET report quoting the list.With 451 billionaires, Mumbai remains India’s wealth capital, whilst New Delhi follows with 223 and Bengaluru with 116. Industries showing highest representation include pharmaceuticals with 137 entries, industrial products with 132, and chemicals & petrochemicals contributing 125 entries.Women’s participation in wealth creation shows promising growth, with 101 women appearing on the 2025 list, including 26 dollar billionaires. Self-made individuals constitute 66% of the total list, demonstrating strong entrepreneurial spirit, whilst 74% of newcomers built their wealth independently.
Business
Pakistan Stock Exchange Hits All-Time High as Shares Rally – SUCH TV

The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) extended its record-breaking rally on Wednesday, surpassing the 166,000-mark as economic and geopolitical developments continued to boost investor confidence.
By 10 am, the PSX benchmark KSE-100 Index had risen by 917.99 points, or 0.55%, reaching an all-time high of 166,411.57 points.
A total of 338 companies were active in trading, with 252 posting gains, 127 recording losses, and 19 remaining unchanged.
Analysts said the sustained upward trend reflects the trade and business community’s growing confidence in the government’s economic policies.
As the government enters a critical phase of negotiations with the IMF, market participants are optimistic that any progress on the review will further strengthen investor confidence.
However, concerns remain over the ongoing review and its potential impact on Pakistan’s fiscal stability, with some analysts warning that meeting the IMF’s targets will be a challenging task.
On Tuesday, the PSX had surged 1,645.90 points, marking a 1% gain and closing at 165,493.59 points.
Trading activity also increased, with 1,349,798,022 shares exchanged on Wednesday compared to 1,285,638,674 shares the previous day, while the total share value stood at Rs 76.77 billion, up from Rs 65.76 billion.
As many as 488 companies transacted their shares in the stock market, out of which 176 recorded gains, 288 sustained losses, whereas 24 remained unchanged.
The three top-trading companies were WorldCall Telecom with 113,573,124 shares at Rs 1.74 per share, Pak Elektron with 110,391,976 shares at Rs 56.68 per share, and Bank of Punjab with 94,026,621 shares at Rs 27.15 per share.
PIA Holding Company LimitedB witnessed a maximum increase of Rs 700.36 per share, closing at Rs 25,984.99, followed by Unilever Pakistan Foods Limited which rose by Rs 319.69 to close at Rs 30,820.00.
On the other hand, Rafhan Maize Products Company Limited recorded a maximum decrease of Rs 515.46 per share to close at Rs 10,283.67, followed by Pakistan Engineering Company Limited which declined by Rs 55.84 to close at Rs 524.52.
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