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CY26 buying, macros propel PSX further higher | The Express Tribune

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CY26 buying, macros propel PSX further higher | The Express Tribune


Shares of 324 companies were traded. At the end of the day, 90 stocks closed higher, 211 declined and 23 remained unchanged. PHOTO: FILE


KARACHI:

Pakistan’s equity market opened the new year on a strong footing as the benchmark KSE-100 index extended its bullish momentum in the second week, climbing 5,375 points, or 3% week-on-week (WoW), to close at 184,410.

The rally was triggered by renewed buying in heavyweight stocks amid improved market participation, supportive macroeconomic indicators, and positive company-specific developments, while easing yields in the latest T-bill auction and robust remittances further strengthened investor sentiment. On a day-on-day basis, the bullish momentum at the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) continued unabated on Monday as the KSE-100 index surged past 182k, closing at 182,408, up 3,373 points (+1.88%).

On Tuesday too, the market’s surge continued, when the index gained 2,654 points (+1.45%) to close at 185,602. The powerful and sustained bullish trend remained intact on Wednesday as well, with the bourse maintaining its full strength and closing at a fresh all-time high of 186,518. In the initial five sessions of CY26, the index added a massive 12,464 points (+7.2%).

However, following the sharp rally, the PSX witnessed its first profit-taking session on Thursday, where the index closed at 185,543, down 976 points (-0.52%). On Friday, the PSX took a breather and the KSE-100 remained volatile, swinging in both directions before closing at 184,410, down 1,133 points (-0.61%). Despite the decline, the CY26-to-date gains stood strong at 5.95%, equivalent to a rise of 10,356 points.

Arif Habib Limited’s (AHL) weekly report noted that the KSE-100 index climbed from 179,035 points last week to 184,410 in the outgoing week, gaining 5,375 points (+3%), supported by a rally in heavyweight stocks driven by new year buying, and positive company-specific news and updates.

Among economic developments, the government through a T-bill auction raised Rs979.3 billion against the target of Rs850 billion. Yields were down across all tenors by 28.6 to 33.8 basis points. Participation remained strong at Rs2,554.6 billion.

Worker remittances reached $3.6 billion in Dec’25, marking a 17% year-on-year (YoY) increase. Cumulatively, 1HFY26 remittances clocked in at $19.7 billion, up 11% YoY.

AHL mentioned that tariff rebasing, following shift from financial year to calendar year, was likely to pull the power purchase price down by Rs0.51 per kilowatt-hour (kWh) in CY26 versus FY26. Cotton arrivals in factories remained stable as of end-Dec’25. In Punjab, cotton arrivals declined 4% in CY25, while Sindh arrivals improved by 4% YoY. However, total production are estimated at 6.8 million bales in FY26, representing a significant 33% shortfall against projections.

Meanwhile, the central government debt stood at Rs77.5 trillion as of Nov’25 compared with Rs70.4 trillion in Nov’24, up 10.2% YoY and 0.7% month-on-month, AHL added.

JS Global’s Syed Danyal Hussain, in his report, said that the benchmark KSE-100 index extended its bullish run in the second week of the year, closing at 184,410, up 3% WoW. The rally was largely led by banks, which contributed 57% to index gains, while cement stocks (8%) and auto shares (5%) provided limited support. Market participation improved notably, with average daily traded volumes rising 25% WoW.

On the macro front, he said, Pakistan recorded monthly remittances of $3.6 billion in Dec’25, reflecting a 17% YoY increase. Meanwhile, total public debt declined by Rs345 billion to Rs77.5 trillion in 5MFY26, largely supported by the transfer of State Bank’s profits to the government.

In policy developments, the government was exploring options to seek relaxations from the IMF ahead of the FY27 budget, with key proposals including a phased reduction in super tax over the next four years and lower power tariffs to enhance competitiveness.

Separately, the gas-sector circular debt climbed to Rs3.2 trillion, driven mainly by a sharp rise in late payment surcharges (Rs1.45 trillion). In the T-bill auction, the government raised Rs979 billion against the target of Rs850 billion, with yields falling by 29-33 basis points across different tenors. SBP’s reserves rose $141 million to $16 billion.



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Top stocks to buy today: Stock recommendations for April 17, 2026 – check list – The Times of India

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Top stocks to buy today: Stock recommendations for April 17, 2026 – check list – The Times of India


Top stocks to buy (AI image)

Stock market recommendations: Reliance Industries, and Varun Beverages are the top stock recommendations by Bajaj Broking Research for April 17, 2026.Reliance IndustriesBuy in the range of ₹ 1330.00-1350.00

Target Return Time Period
₹ 1474 10% 6 Months

Reliance Industries stock has undergone a corrective phase over the past three months and is currently consolidating near a crucial support zone of ₹1270–₹1300. This technical setup offers a favorable risk-reward profile, positioning the stock for a potential bullish reversal and the next leg of uptrend.This ₹1270–₹1300 range serves as a crucial support area, reinforced by the convergence of multiple technical factors: (a) 61.8% retracement of the previous April 2025-January 2026 up move (1115-1611) (b) 200 weeks EMA placed around 1292, which has historically acted as strong demand area for the stockThe ongoing corrective phase appears to be nearing exhaustion, with price action indicating the potential for a fresh bullish reversal. We anticipate the stock to resume its uptrend and head towards ₹ 1474 levels in the coming quarters being the high of February 2026 and the 61.8% retracement of the recent decline of the last 3 months ₹ 1611-1290.Varun BeveragesBuy in the range of 455-465

Target Return STOPLOSS Time Period
₹ 503 9% 429 3 Months

The share price of Varun Beverages has generated a breakout above the falling channel containing last 3 months decline signaling strength and offers fresh entry opportunity.The stock has also formed a higher high and higher low signaling resumption of up move after recent corrective decline.We expect the stock to head higher towards 503 levels in the coming weeks being the 80% retracement of the previous decline from 534 to 381.(Disclaimer: Recommendations and views on the stock market, other asset classes or personal finance management tips given by experts are their own. These opinions do not represent the views of The Times of India)



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Finance ministers and top bankers raise serious concerns about Mythos AI model

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Finance ministers and top bankers raise serious concerns about Mythos AI model



Experts say Mythos potentially has an unprecedented ability to identify and exploit cybersecurity weaknesses.



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Anthropic’s new AI model exposes fresh risks, flaws for cybersecurity, IT services – The Times of India

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Anthropic’s new AI model exposes fresh risks, flaws for cybersecurity, IT services – The Times of India


New Delhi: A powerful new AI model is forcing govts, banks, and technology firms to rethink the rules of cybersecurity – and in India, the stakes may be even higher.Claude Mythos, developed by Anthropic, has demonstrated the ability to autonomously detect and exploit software vulnerabilities, including flaws that have persisted for decades. Early tests revealed that the model could identify long-standing weaknesses and simulate complex, multi-step cyberattacks, prompting the company to restrict its wider release. Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei highlighted the shift, noting that AI systems are now capable of finding vulnerabilities “that humans have missed”, a signal of how quickly the cybersecurity landscape is changing.US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent reportedly convened a meeting with top bank executives – including leaders from JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, BoA, and Morgan Stanley – to assess the risks posed by such advanced AI systems.That concern is not theoretical. According to Jaydeep Singh, GM for India at Kaspersky, the emergence of such systems represents a turning point not just for security professionals, but for everyday users. “We have been closely monitoring how AI is reshaping the threat landscape, and Claude Mythos represents a moment that every user, not just the cybersecurity industry, needs to understand,” Singh said.The dual-use nature of AI is at the heart of the concern. The same capability that strengthens defences can just as easily be weaponised. “The same capability that finds a 27-year-old vulnerability in hardened infrastructure is the capability that, in the wrong hands, turns every unpatched system into an open door,” Singh added.Cybersecurity firm Check Point Software Technologies echoed the warning. Sundar Balasubramanian, MD, India and South Asia, for Check Point, says, AI is “dramatically lowering the barrier to entry for cyber attackers,” enabling even less-skilled actors to identify and exploit vulnerabilities. He added that defensive tools can be repurposed offensively, compressing the traditional gap between attackers and defenders. Jayant Saran, partner, Deloitte India, described this as a “changed reality,” where organisations must prepare for risks that were previously invisible. He called AI a “double-edged sword…that cannot be reversed,” highlighting an accelerating race between those securing systems and those attempting to break them.In India, the risks are amplified by scale. From UPI to banking and govt platforms, millions depend on digital infrastructure – much of it built on legacy systems. These systems are often slower to patch, harder to monitor, and lack continuous threat intelligence, creating what Saran called an “asymmetric risk exposure.” Singh pointed out that this gap is especially critical in India, where legacy infrastructure serves hundreds of millions.Beyond cybersecurity, ripple effects could reach financial markets. Analysts say models like Mythos could automate parts of software development, testing, and security – core functions of IT services industry. While disruption may be gradual, labour-intensive outsourcing models could face pressure, while firms embracing AI may benefit.



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