Business
Pakistan ranks second to Turkey among emerging markets as default risk falls sharply: finance adviser | The Express Tribune

Pakistan has recorded one of the sharpest declines in default risks globally, emerging as the only country to show consistent improvement over the past 15 months, according to the Adviser to the Finance Minister, Khurram Schehzad.
“Pakistan is no longer viewed through the lens of default risk,” Schehzad said. “It is emerging as a stable, reform-driven, and resilient economy,” said Khurram Schehzad on Sunday In a post on X, citing a report of Bloomberg.
He said Pakistan ranked second among emerging economies showing the strongest reduction in sovereign default probabilities — only behind Turkiye.
Between June 2024 and September 2025, Pakistan’s default risk improved by 2,200 basis points, reflecting what Schehzad described as “a sign of sustained economic recovery and growing investor confidence.”
Exclusive: Pakistan Sees One of the Sharpest Drops Default Risk – Only Country with Consistent Improvement
As per the latest data posted by Bloomberg, Pakistan stands out globally as the 2nd most improved economy in terms of reduction in sovereign default risk, as measured by… pic.twitter.com/Tziu8JVUiG
— Khurram Schehzad (@kschehzad) October 5, 2025
“This is clear evidence of Pakistan’s durable economic improvement,” he said, adding “The country is the only economy to have demonstrated continuous quarterly improvement.”
Schehzad said, the trend demonstrates that investors’ trust in Pakistan is being restored, driven by macroeconomic stability, structural reforms, timely debt repayments, adherence to the IMF programme, and positive ratings from international agencies such as S&P, Fitch, and Moody’s.
He added that while countries such as South Africa and El Salvador saw limited improvement — and risks rose in Egypt, Nigeria, and Argentina — Pakistan’s steady progress reflects the success of ongoing fiscal and structural reforms.
Pakistan’s economy to stay afloat despite floods
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) does not foresee any major setback to Pakistan’s economic growth or revenue collection this fiscal year due to the recent floods. Except for Punjab, provinces have also not reported significant economic losses, minimizing the chances of a downward revision in targets.
According to government sources, Pakistani authorities have assessed flood-related losses in three rivers, but the evaluation of destroyed or damaged infrastructure in Punjab is still ongoing.
Government sources said that an IMF delegation shared its views about the economic impacts of the floods during a kick-off meeting with Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb. The governments of Balochistan, Sindh and Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa (K-P) shared their initial assessments of the flood losses with the IMF team during separate meetings.
The sources said that during the kick-off meeting, the IMF team observed that based on initial input there were no significant economic losses. However, the IMF said that it would wait for the damage assessment report, the sources added.
The global lender also saw no impact of the floods on the tax revenues. It underscored that the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) should share the visible outcome of the transformation plan. Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif had approved the transformation plan last year to revitalise the tax machinery and also gave over Rs55 billion for various initiatives under the plan.
The IMF’s observations about the impact of the floods came on the heel of the prime minister’s request to the IMF managing director to factor in the impacts of the floods during the review meetings. The IMF was apprised that the government could meet the flood-related spending from the contingency pool and it might not need additional resources, said the sources.
Pakistan-IMF review talks began on September 25, which are scheduled to continue until October 8. The successful culmination of these talks would pave the way for the release of two tranches, totalling over $1.2 billion under two different loan programmes.
Business
Festive cheer for India Inc: Households splurge on upgrades, go premium – The Times of India

MUMBAI: From smartphones priced over Rs 20,000 to large TV sets, washing machines, premium furniture and AI appliances, Indians splurged on big-ticket purchases and upgrades this Navratri-Dussehra season, keeping up with the premiumisation trend that has been defining festive shopping for quite some time now. Savings made from GST reductions have only allowed more people to expand their budgets and shop across categories, whether or not they have been covered under the ambit of lower taxes. Sales of mass apparel and footwear, segments that have been sluggish for several quarters, picked up as well as GST cuts made products more affordable for the middle class. For retailers and consumer goods companies, the initial issues with regards tothe implementation of GST cuts on the ground has also eased, helping sales, executives said. “Consumers needed time to absorb what the changes in tax meant for pricing and purchase decisions. Once these gains were understood clearly, however, we started observing a strong pick-up. From Dussehra onwards, sales have risen significantly by 15-20%, driven in large part by the effective price relief afforded by the tax cuts. The impact price point for us remains in the range of Rs 1000-Rs 3000, the (price) band that has displayed maximum traction,” Anupam Bansal, MD at Liberty Shoes, told TOI.

AC sales have fared “exceedingly well” and the momentum will continue till Diwali, said B Thiagarajan, MD at Blue Star, adding that more people are showing an inclination to shift to 5-star ACs from 3-star. AC sales will pick up further once the weather becomes conducive for purchases, said Nilesh Gupta, director at Vijay Sales, which has seen a 20% year-on-year growth in sales this festive period. “The sales have been bumper this year. Large TVs did very well and so did washing machines. TVs saw volume growth of 10%-12% which is very good because the segment had been slow,” Gupta said. Among durables, ACs, TVs above 32 inches, and dishwashers have benefited from lower GST cuts. For the appliances business of Godrej Enterprises Group, Navratra sentiments have been better in non-metro markets – registering close to 30% growth over last year, while metros have shown about 12% growth in the same period. “The trend is seen almost across categories, including ACs, which have had price reductions owing to GST but not limited to ACs. Washing machines is an exception which showed strong growth in excess of 30% in both segments with higher growth in the metro territories. The good growth in AC in non-metros can be attributed partially to GST reduction given that festive is not a peak AC selling season,” said business head & EVP Kamal Nandi. Navratri sales hit a decade high this year on GST cuts, TOI had reported. At Interio by Godrej, the premium segment grew by nearly 10% over last year, said EVP and business head Swapneel Nagarkar. “While GST implications for the furniture industry remain unchanged, we observed a notable shift in consumer spending toward categories such as automobiles and premium appliances,” said Nagarkar. Premiumisation remained a defining trend at Amazon. Smartphones above Rs 20,000 grew 50% year-on-year, lifting overall category ASPs by 30%. Fashion retailer Libas recorded a 40-50% growth in sales over last year.
Business
DGCA Reviews Airfare Trends Ahead Of Festive Season, Asks Airlines To Add More Flights

New Delhi: The Directorate General of Civil Aviation (DGCA) has started reviewing airfare trends ahead of the festive season rush and has directed airlines to increase flight capacity to prevent any sharp rise in ticket prices, Ministry of Civil Aviation said on Sunday.
According to the ministry, the DGCA has been keeping a close watch on airfare movements, particularly during the festive season when passenger demand typically peaks. The regulator has asked airlines to deploy additional flights to handle the increased travel rush and ensure affordability for passengers.
“DGCA is mandated by Ministry of Civil Aviation (MoCA) to keep a watch on airfares, especially during the festive season and take appropriate measures in case of a surge in prices,” it said.
“Accordingly, the DGCA proactively took up the issue/matter with airlines and asked them to augment flight capacities for the festive season by deploying additional flights to meet high demand,” it added.
In response, major airlines have confirmed plans to add hundreds of extra flights across key routes. IndiGo will deploy around 730 additional flights across 42 sectors, while Air India and Air India Express will operate approximately 486 additional flights on 20 routes.
SpiceJet is also expanding its capacity with nearly 546 flights on 38 routes. A DGCA official said the aviation regulator will continue to maintain strict oversight of both airfares and flight capacities to safeguard passengers’ interests.
“We are ensuring that airlines operate sufficient flights to meet demand and that fares remain reasonable during the festive period,” the official said. Over the last few years, the DGCA has intensified its monitoring and auditing mechanisms to ensure transparency and safety in civil aviation operations.
Between 2020 and June 2025, the regulator conducted 171 regulatory audits to strengthen air safety standards, as per official data. The aviation regulator has also been conducting comprehensive special audits of airlines and allied services following the Air India crash earlier this year in Ahmedabad. These audits cover scheduled and non-scheduled airlines, flying schools, and maintenance organisations, ensuring strict compliance with safety norms.
Business
India, US Actively Working To Resolve Tariff Issues: Jaishankar

New Delhi: External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar on Sunday said that India and the United States are actively working to resolve the ongoing tariff issues through dialogue, expressing confidence that these challenges will not affect the broader trade relationship between the two nations.
Speaking at the Kautilya Economic Conclave (KEC 2025), he said a large part of India’s trade with the US remains “business as usual” despite the current differences.
Jaishankar explained that the ongoing trade tensions largely stem from the inability of both sides to reach a common ground on several issues.
“We have issues with the US and a big part of it is because we have not arrived at a landing ground. The inability to reach there has led to tariffs being levied,” he said.
The minister revealed that negotiations are ongoing regarding the 50 per cent tariffs imposed on Indian exports.
He stressed that India’s “red lines have to be respected” while finding a solution. “There has to be an understanding with the US because it is the number one market and because a lot of the world has reached that understanding,” Jaishankar said.
Despite the tariffs, the minister underlined that trade between the two countries is largely continuing smoothly.
“I don’t think this will percolate to every dynamic of trade. Some issues will need to be negotiated, but I would hesitate to read very much more into it than the issues themselves,” he said.
Jaishankar also highlighted the challenges that tariffs pose for policymakers in today’s global trade environment.
“When you have a world where the central consideration of trade has become tariffs, please explain to me where comparative advantages and competitive advantages go,” he remarked.
He noted that additional tariffs have been imposed on India’s energy trade, but assured that both nations are engaged in active negotiations to resolve these matters.
The minister pointed out that India has successfully signed trade agreements with several Asian countries, though some of these economies are highly competitive.
“And in many cases, because of the supply chain nature, they have also provided a pathway for China. Our focus should be on FTAs with economies that are not competitive,” he said.
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