Politics
Does Gaza deal mean the two-year-old war is over?


US President Donald Trump says the deal agreed between Israel and Hamas marks the first steps toward a “strong, durable, and everlasting peace” that will end the two-year-old Gaza war.
Yet, the agreement signed after indirect talks in the Egyptian resort of Sharm el-Sheikh, a favoured location for Middle East peace conferences over the decades with a patchy record of success, is only an initial phase involving a ceasefire, a handover of hostages held in Gaza in exchange for Palestinian prisoners inside Israel, and a partial withdrawal of Israel from the enclave.
Plenty of pitfalls remain after negotiators left for later discussions about some of the thornier issues on which previous initiatives have foundered, such as the full extent of an Israeli withdrawal, the disarmament of Hamas, how to guarantee that war will not resume after this phase — and who could provide such a guarantee.
Have the guns fallen silent?
Not yet. Trump demanded Israel halt its bombing when Hamas first indicated partial acceptance of his 20-point plan on Friday. That has not happened. Scores of Palestinians have been killed since then in airstrikes and shelling, particularly in and around Gaza City, the focus of a recent Israeli offensive.

However, the bombardment has been more sporadic since Trump declared a deal had been secured on Wednesday, prompting celebrations in Israel, where families of hostages were jubilant in Tel Aviv’s hostages square, and in Gaza, where people gathered among the ruins even as blasts could be heard.
How does this differ from ceasefires that collapsed?
While this is a partial deal, a notable difference from previous ceasefire arrangements is that there is no deadline for reaching a full deal. It does not set a deadline of a few weeks, after which hostilities could resume if talks falter.
The jury is still out on whether that makes this deal more durable. There are those among Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s religious nationalist coalition who are already talking of more war. Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich, a staunch opponent of any concession to Palestinians, has called for Hamas to be destroyed after the captives are returned.
But on this occasion, Trump has been far more vocal in his determination to hold feet to the fire on both sides, leaving less room for Israel to relaunch its offensive or Hamas to delay, even if past experience counsels caution over too much optimism.

Trump announced his plan, standing next to Netanyahu in Washington last week, with what seemed a “take-it-or-leave-it” offer for Hamas.
Yet when Hamas gave only a partial acceptance, Trump immediately demanded Israel stop bombing. And as the days ticked by in the Sharm el-Sheikh talks, he warned Hamas, “all HELL, like no one has ever seen before, will break out” if it did not sign up.
By stamping his authority, Trump may have gone some way to answering the key question of who will guarantee this deal does not collapse at the next hurdle.
So what happens next?
The timeline is emerging but still seems fluid.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s office said the ceasefire would take effect once the agreement is ratified by his government, which would convene after a security cabinet meeting on Thursday.
An Israeli government spokeswoman said a ceasefire would go into force within 24 hours of the cabinet meeting. After that 24-hour period, the hostages held in Gaza will be freed within 72 hours, she said.
A source briefed on details of the agreement said earlier that Israeli troops would begin pulling back within 24 hours of the deal being signed.
Humanitarian aid to Palestinians should then start to flow. Calling for full access for humanitarian workers in Gaza, UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres said the United Nations was ready to help and “prepared to move — now.”
Trump’s plan also calls for an international stabilisation force, which could start taking shape after a meeting of European ministers and top officials from Arab states in Paris on Thursday.
They were also due to discuss issues such as future governance of Gaza, aid, reconstruction and demilitarisation.
Israeli President Isaac Herzog’s office said Trump was expected to be in Jerusalem on Sunday.
What are the political calculations facing Hamas and Israel?
Both Israel and Hamas have shown a readiness to respond positively to pressure from Trump and others, but each side faces its own political calculations.
For Netanyahu, agreeing to the plan seems based on a calculation that he can stay on the right side of the United States, Israel’s vital ally, and win over an Israeli public desperate to see an end to the war, while conceding as little as possible to avoid alienating his religious nationalist coalition partners.

The 20-point plan, for example, offers a possible pathway, albeit highly conditional, to a Palestinian state, although Netanyahu has said that it will never happen.
Hamas has dropped its opposition to any deal that was only partial because of the risk of war resuming once hostages were handed over. It has also signed up to a deal calling for demilitarisation, which it had repeatedly rejected.
Hamas may be calculating that Trump’s determination is the best guarantee that war will not resume for now, while the talks in Sharm el-Sheikh have put the resistance group at the negotiating table to shape the future for Palestinians, even though the deal seeks to sideline it.
Politics
200 troops to monitor Gaza truce, says US

Admiral Brad Cooper, head of the US Central Command, will initially lead the 200-strong team on the ground.
“His role will be to monitor, observe, and ensure there are no violations,” a senior official told reporters.
The team is expected to include military officials from Egypt, Qatar, Turkey, and possibly the UAE.
Another official clarified that “no US troops are planned to enter Gaza.”
“The idea is to make the operation collaborative,” the first official added, noting that Israeli forces will maintain constant communication with the team.
“Having Admiral Cooper involved provided significant confidence and reassurance to the Arab countries,” the official said.
“It also sent a clear message to Hamas that the US, and the President, are strongly committed to their guarantees.”
The second official stated that US personnel are tasked with helping establish a joint control center and coordinating with other security forces to deconflict with the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF).
Israel govt approves hostage deal
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s office said on Friday that the government had “approved the framework” of a hostage release deal with Hamas, as both sides edged closer to ending more than two years of hostilities in Gaza.
Israel previously said “all parties” had signed the first phase of a ceasefire agreement, adding that Hamas freeing the captives would “bring the end to this war”.
The accord in Egypt follows a 20-point peace plan for Gaza announced last month by US President Donald Trump, who said he planned to leave on Sunday for the Middle East.
Egypt is planning an event to celebrate the conclusion of the deal, with Trump also expected to stop in Israel and consider going to devastated Gaza.
The Israeli government had said the ceasefire was to take hold within 24 hours of meetings on Thursday to approve the deal, under which the military should eventually withdraw from Gaza.
And in a statement early on Friday, Netanyahu’s office said the government had “approved the framework for the release of all the hostages — both the living and the deceased”.
Netanyahu had faced pushback from his far-right allies, with National Security Minister Itamar Ben Gvir saying he would vote against the agreement, calling the plan to release thousands of Palestinian prisoners in exchange for the 47 hostages remaining in Gaza “an unbearable heavy price”.
Despite celebrations in Israel and Gaza and a flood of messages from world leaders hailing the deal, numerous issues remain unsettled, including the plan’s call for Hamas to disarm and a proposed transitional authority for Gaza led by Trump himself.
Senior Hamas official Osama Hamdan said the Palestinian Islamist movement rejected the latter.
“No Palestinian would accept this. All the factions, including the Palestinian Authority, reject this,” Hamdan told Qatar-based broadcaster Al Araby.
Trump said the issue of Hamas surrendering its weapons would be addressed in the second phase of the peace plan.
“There will be disarming,” he told reporters, adding there would also be “pullbacks” by Israeli forces.
Senior US officials said a military team of 200 people, led by US Central Command chief Admiral Brad Cooper, would be deployed in the Middle East to “oversee” the truce.
One official said Egyptian, Qatari, Turkish and probably Emirati military officials would be embedded in the team. A second official said “no US troops are intended to go into Gaza”.
Tears of joy
Confirming that the first-phase draft had been signed by “all parties” early Thursday, Israeli government spokeswoman Shosh Bedrosian told journalists that “all of our hostages, the living and the deceased, will be released 72 hours later, which will bring us to Monday”.
Foreign Minister Gideon Saar said the release of the hostages “should bring the end to this war”.
In a rare interview with an Israeli network, Palestinian president Mahmud Abbas told the Channel 12 broadcaster that “what happened today is a historic moment”.
“Today, we are very happy that the bloodshed has ceased. We hope it remains this way, and that peace, security, and stability will prevail between us and Israel,” Abbas said.
US envoy Steve Witkoff and Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner travelled to Jerusalem Thursday night, where they met both Netanyahu and Israeli President Isaac Herzog, their offices said.
Israeli media reported that the pair later participated in the government meeting held to approve the plan.
The deal, thrashed out in indirect, closed-door talks in the Red Sea resort town of Sharm El-Sheikh, also envisions a surge of aid into Gaza, where the UN has declared famine.
The announcement sparked joy in Gaza, much of which has been flattened by Israel’s offensive.
“Honestly, when I heard the news, I couldn’t hold back. Tears of joy flowed.
Two years of bombing, terror, destruction, loss, humiliation, and the constant feeling that we could die at any moment,” displaced Palestinian Samer Joudeh told AFP.
In Israel, thousands of people gathered in a Tel Aviv square to celebrate, some holding photos of hostages still in Gaza and waving Israeli and US flags.
“We have been waiting for this day for 734 days. We cannot imagine being anywhere else this morning,” said Laurence Ytzhak, 54.
Hamas has submitted a list of Palestinian prisoners it wants released from Israeli jails in the first phase.
The list names 250 Palestinians sentenced to life imprisonment and 1,700 others arrested by Israel since the war began, according to a Hamas source.
Explosions continue
The talks were taking place under the shadow of the second anniversary of the October 7, 2023 Hamas attack on Israel, which resulted in the deaths of 1,219 people, mostly civilians, according to an AFP tally based on official Israeli figures.
Militants also took 251 people hostage into Gaza, where 47 remain, including 25 the Israeli military says are dead.
Israel’s retaliatory campaign in Gaza has killed at least 67,194 people, according to the health ministry in the Hamas-run territory, figures the United Nations considers credible.
The data does not distinguish between civilians and combatants but indicates that more than half of the dead are women and children.
Gaza’s civil defence agency, a rescue force operating under Hamas’s authority, reported several strikes on the territory after the announcement of the deal.
AFP journalists and witnesses said more explosions and artillery fire could be heard Thursday evening in southern and central Gaza.
Politics
Twin explosions shake Kabul, Afghanistan

Two powerful explosions shook central Kabul, the capital of Afghanistan, around 9:50pm local time on Thursday evening, according to AFP journalists. Taliban government spokesman Zabihullah Mujahid confirmed that the explosions were heard in the city.
In a social media statement late Thursday, the official said the blasts are under investigation, adding that “no casualties have been reported so far.”
He also reassured the public that there is no need to panic, as “no reports of damage” have been received at this time.
The cause of the explosions remains unclear.
AFP journalists on the streets of Kabul observed that security forces were on high alert, checking vehicles in the affected areas.
Mobile phone service was also reportedly down in several neighborhoods.
On social media platforms also, several people reported hearing the explosions and seeing drones.
Earlier Thursday, Afghanistan’s Foreign Minister Amir Khan Muttaqi arrived in India for a two-day visit, a new step in the Taliban government’s efforts to gain international backing, with Russia currently the only country that recognizes the Islamic Emirate.
Politics
No end in sight to US shutdown despite Trump pressure


- Trump repeats his threats to slash govt programs popular with Democrats.
- US president berates Democratic party over shutdown at cabinet meeting.
- Trump’s attempts to pressure Democrats to back Republican bill falls on deaf ears.
The US government shutdown looked set to extend into a third week as senators again rejected a Republican funding bill Thursday despite President Donald Trump’s attempts to turn the thumbscrews on opposition Democrats.
Federal agencies have been out of money since October 1 and public services have been crippled amid stalled talks between the two sides that have led to a series of near-daily failed votes to turn the lights back on.
With no sign of a breakthrough, the Senate adjourned until next Tuesday — meaning no votes will be held during that time.
Trump repeated his threats to slash government programs popular with Democrats as he berated the party over the shutdown at a cabinet meeting.
“The Democrat shutdown is causing pain and suffering for hardworking Americans, including our military, our air traffic controllers and impoverished mothers, people with young children, people that have to live not the greatest of lives,” he said.
But his attempts to pressure Democrats to back the Republican bill — which would open the government through late November as negotiations continue — have so far fallen on deaf ears.
Democrats are privately preparing for a shutdown lasting several more weeks, CNN reported, if Republicans do not agree to their demands to extend health care subsidies due to expire on December 31.
With some 750,000 federal workers “furloughed” — placed on enforced leave without pay — both sides have voiced concerns about the likelihood of military personnel missing their paychecks next Wednesday.
‘Every day gets better’
A bipartisan House bill that would guarantee the pay of 1.3 million active-duty servicemembers through the shutdown has around 150 co-sponsors.
But Republican leaders oppose bringing it to the floor for a vote — insisting that the armed forces will be paid if Democrats simply provide the votes to end the shutdown.
“The President has made it clear: we must pay our troops,” the bill’s author, Republican congresswoman Jen Kiggans, posted on X.
Democrats — emboldened by polling showing voters mostly blaming the shutdown on Republicans — are banking on increasing public support in a prolonged standoff.
“Every day gets better for us,” Democratic Minority Leader Chuck Schumer told Punchbowl News.
“It’s because we’ve thought about this long in advance and we knew that health care would be the focal point on September 30 and we prepared for it. Their whole theory was threaten us, bamboozle us, and we would submit in a day or two.”
As well as widespread cuts, Trump’s “maximum pain” campaign to force Democrats to fold has included threats fire thousands of furloughed workers.
“We’ll be cutting some very popular Democrat programs that aren’t popular with Republicans, frankly, because that’s the way it works,” Trump said at his cabinet meeting.
“They wanted to do this, so we’ll give them a little taste of their own medicine.”
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