Business
Asian equities climb: Investors weigh US-China trade tensions, Fed rate cut expectations; gold rallies – The Times of India
Asian markets edged higher on Thursday as investors weighed escalating tensions in the US-China trade war alongside expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue cutting interest rates this year.The region’s gains follow a broadly positive session on Wall Street and mark a second consecutive day of recovery, as traders focused on softer US economic data and central bank signals that may favour further monetary easing.
Trump reignites trade war fears
Markets have been volatile this week after US President Donald Trump threatened 100% tariffs on Chinese goods in retaliation for Beijing’s new rare-earth export controls.When asked about the possibility of a prolonged trade conflict, Trump bluntly told reporters, “Well, you’re in one now… We have a 100 percent tariff. If we didn’t have tariffs, we would be exposed as being a nothing.”Despite the hawkish tone, treasury secretary Scott Bessent suggested a more conciliatory approach, proposing a potential extension of the tariff truce if Beijing delays its rare-earth restrictions.Trump still plans to meet Chinese President Xi Jinping at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in South Korea later this month.
Fed rate cut expectations support markets
Investors were also encouraged by data from the Fed’s “Beige Book” survey, which pointed to a softer US job market, echoing other recent weak economic indicators. Fed chair Jerome Powell had warned earlier this week that “the downside risks to employment appear to have risen,” reinforcing market bets on additional rate cuts.Economists, however, remain cautious. Bank of America noted that uncertainties persist over trade, inflation, growth, and US policy, including healthcare and drug pricing.
Safe-haven assets climb
The combination of trade war jitters, rate cut expectations, and a weaker dollar pushed gold to new daily records, reaching $4,234.70 on Thursday.
Key market figures
- India –
Sensex : UP 0.56% at 83,064.09;Nifty 50 : UP 0.54% at 25,459.70 (at 12 pm) - Tokyo – Nikkei 225: UP 0.9% at 48,088.07
- Hong Kong – Hang Seng: UP 0.2% at 25,953.67
- Shanghai – Composite: UP 0.1% at 3,914.85
- Euro/USD: UP to $1.1670 from $1.1645
- Pound/USD: UP to $1.3436 from $1.3400
- Dollar/Yen: DOWN to 150.54 from 151.24
- WTI crude: UP 0.8% at $58.71/bbl
- Brent crude: UP 0.7% at $62.34/bbl
- New York – Dow Jones: FLAT at 46,253.31
- London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.3% at 9,424.75
Markets in Sydney, Seoul, Wellington, Taipei, and Manila also posted gains as traders balanced geopolitical risks with hopes for accommodative US monetary policy.
Business
Shop price inflation eases but food costs still 3.5% up on a year ago
Shop price inflation eased in February but consumers are still paying 3.5% more for food than a year ago, figures show.
Overall shop inflation fell slightly to 1.1% from January’s 1.5%, in line with the three-month average of 1.1%, as fierce competition between retailers kept price rises in check and customers benefited from promotions across health, beauty and fashion, according to the British Retail Consortium (BRC) and NIQ.
Prices of products other than food were down 0.1% year on year, a significant drop from January’s growth of 0.3%.
Overall food inflation fell slightly to 3.5% from 3.9% in January, while fresh food prices remained 4.3% higher than last February, a slight drop from January’s 4.4% and above the three-month average of 4.2%.
However falling global costs pushed ambient food inflation down to 2.3% – its lowest level in four years and a significant fall from January’s 3.1%.
BRC chief executive Helen Dickinson said: “Households got some welcome relief in February as shop price inflation eased.
“While the direction of travel is promising, prices are still rising, and many consumers remain under pressure.”
Mike Watkins, head of retailer and business insight at NIQ, said: “Since the start of the year, we have seen some competitive pricing across both the food and non-food channels which is helping to bring down inflation.
“Whilst the inclement weather and weak sentiment is making consumer demand rather unpredictable for retailers, at least shoppers are now seeing some of their cost-of-living pressures start to ease.”
Business
Chancellor Rachel Reeves urged to scrap fuel duty hike amid oil price fears
The Chancellor has been urged to scrap the proposed hike in fuel duty as concerns have been raised about the conflict in the Middle East.
Rachel Reeves announced last year that the long-held discount in fuel duty would be scrapped from September, with a 1p hike followed by two increases of 2p each in subsequent years.
But following the US and Israeli attacks on Iran at the weekend – which killed the country’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei – concerns have been raised about the impact of oil price hikes which could hit consumers at the pumps.
Following the attack, the price of oil jumped to 80 US dollars a barrel, with some analysts suggesting it could rise above 100 dollars.
Speaking ahead of the spring statement, SNP economy spokesman Dave Doogan said: ““With real fears that prices at the pump are now set to soar because of the situation in the Middle East – instead of stubbornly doubling down, the Chancellor needs to scrap her price hike plans before motorists face a devastating double hit.
“Oil prices are already spiking – the last thing motorists and businesses now need is another damaging tax hike from the Labour Party.
“The Chancellor needs to see sense, recognise what is unfolding globally, and immediately scrap her plans to hike prices at pumps.
“Everyone knows that Keir Starmer’s Labour Party has broken their promise to cut energy bills by £300 – it would be another slap in the face for families if Labour made the cost-of-living crisis even worse with a plan that will inevitably increase prices.
“After 14 U-turns from this chaotic Labour Government – scrapping their plans to hike fuel duty is one U-turn motorists, businesses and families right across Scotland would actually welcome.”
A spokeswoman for the Treasury said: “We have extended the 5p fuel duty cut from this month to the end of August to support drivers across the country.”
Business
West Asia conflict: Govt may ask companies to cut exports, increase auto fuel, LPG supplies – The Times of India
NEW DELHI: Amid fears of a shortage in crude supplies, govt is looking to nudge refiners to divert more auto fuel and LPG to the domestic market by cutting on exports and also increase cooking gas production so that there is no disruption in local supplies.While govt and oil companies insisted there’s no shortage, refiners are looking at alternate sources to partly compensate for crude coming from war-hit West Asia.

The tension has led to a spike in oil and gas prices, and given India’s dependence on imports, inflating the import bill and stoking inflationary pressures. Officials, however, said retail fuel prices may not rise immediately, as oil marketing companies follow a calibrated approach — absorbing losses when global prices are high and recouping them when prices soften. Retail petrol and diesel prices have remained unchanged since April 2022.Mantri meets oil cos to assess availability of crude and gasOn a day when Iranian drones damaged part of Saudi Aramco refinery and Qatar Energy’s facilities, the world’s largest LNG producer, announced an export pause, petroleum minister Hardeep Singh Puri and his team of officials met oil companies on Monday to assess the availability of crude and gas. “We are continuously monitoring the evolving situation, and all steps will be taken to ensure availability and affordability of major petroleum products in the country,” the oil ministry said in a post on X.India imports nearly 90% of its crude requirement. It also meets 60-65% of its LPG demand and about 60% of its LNG needs through imports, largely from West Asia, with shipments routed via Strait of Hormuz, which risks being choked due to the war.

According to the International Energy Agency, in 2023, 5.9% of the country’s production was being exported. Between April and Dec 2025, India exported petroleum products worth nearly $330 billion, with the Netherlands, UAE, the US, Singapore, Australia and China being the main destinations. In 2024, it also exported petroleum gas worth $454 million, mostly to Nepal, China, and Myanmar. The Reliance refinery in Jamnagar is the largest exporter in the country.An oil company executive said refiners are already in contact with traders to tie up capacities amid fears of the blockade of Strait of Hormuz. By Monday, the global market had caught the jitters from Qatar’s decision to suspend gas shipments.An oil executive said while disruption could cause difficulties in the immediate term, Indian players had a wide portfolio that they can tap for LNG, including the US, with vessels being routed through the Suez Canal.“Even if there is a force majeure, we have other sources of supply, which we can tap. Besides, no one is going to stop supplies indefinitely,” the executive said. While oil and gas prices rose Monday, the focus is on ensuring that supply lines remain open.
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