Business
More than 55,000 UK firms in severe distress, research shows
																								
												
												
											
More than 55,000 UK companies are in serious financial distress and in danger of collapse without improvement over the coming year, according to research.
Experts have warned that the upcoming autumn Budget “must deliver urgent support to avoid a wave of failures”, particularly among small businesses.
The latest quarterly Red Flag Alert report by Begbies Traynor has revealed a 78% jump in the number of firms in “critical” financial distress to 55,530 in the third quarter of 2025, compared with a year earlier.
It said this also represented a 12.6% jump against the quarter to June, showing a sharply worsening situation for more than 6,000 businesses.
Consumer-facing businesses have come under particular threat in recent months, as they face pressure from rising labour costs and an uptick in inflation.
The data showed there was a 96.7% jump in leisure and cultural firms in a “critical” situations, with a 92.5% rise in hotels and accommodation, and 85.6% rise for retailers.
Begbies Traynor also found that the number of firms in “significant” financial distress increased by 14.8% year-on-year to 726,594 for the latest quarter.
It comes amid fears that the Chancellor Rachel Reeves could turn to tax increases to help address the fiscal black hole in the UK’s state finances.
Julie Palmer, partner at Begbies Traynor, said the woes of many UK businesses “shows the UK economy is in real trouble”.
She added: “With over 55,000 companies now in serious financial distress, the upcoming Budget must deliver urgent support to avoid a wave of failures, especially among SMEs already operating on a knife edge.
“Unfortunately for UK businesses, inflation is going nowhere, putting further pressure on companies at a time when wage, tax, and financing costs are already high.
“Many firms have no room to manoeuvre, and instead of investing for growth, are scaling back just to survive – the opposite of what the economy needs, if it’s going to recover and grow.”
Business
Alan Bates to get multi-million-pound payout over Post Office saga
														
Post Office campaigner Alan Bates has agreed a multi-million pound compensation figure from the Post Office, sources close to the deal have confirmed to the BBC.
The payout for Sir Alan comes more than 20 years after he started campaigning for justice for victims of the Horizon scandal which led a group of 555 sub-postmasters launching landmark legal action against the Post Office.
The exact sum paid to Sir Alan has not been made public and he has not responded to requests for comment.
Between 1999 and 2015, more than 900 sub-postmasters were wrongly prosecuted after the faulty Horizon IT system indicated shortfalls in Post Office branch accounts.
Hundreds more poured their own savings into their branch to make up apparent shortfalls in order to avoid prosecution.
Marriages broke down, and some families believe the stress led to serious health conditions, addiction and even premature death.
A spokesperson for the Department for Business and Trade said: “We pay tribute to Sir Alan Bates for his long record of campaigning on behalf of victims.
“We can confirm that Sir Alan’s claim has reached the end of the scheme process and been settled.”
As of September 2025, a total of £1.23bn had been awarded to more than 9,100 sub-postmasters.
Sir Alan first received an offer of redress in January 2024, which he rejected, describing it as “cruel and derisory”.
He was made another offer in May 2024 which he said was around a third of what he had requested. In May of this year, he said that he’d received a third offer for less than 50% of his original claim.
Sir Alan was part of the Group Litigation Order compensation scheme, under which claimants can either receive £75,000 or seek their own settlement.
As part of plan to claim his own settlement, Mr Bates told the BBC his lawyers had included compensation owed for his 20 years of campaigning for justice for those sub-postmasters caught up in the scandal.
The Post Office/Horizon scandal reached new heights in the public consciousness last year after Sir Alan’s campaign for justice was portrayed in the ITV drama series Mr Bates vs the Post Office.
The government adopted all but one of the recommendations of a report published following an inquiry into the scandal.
The inquiry detailed the full human impact of the scandal for the first time: the report said that more than 13 people may have taken their own lives as a result of what happened to them.
Earlier this year, Sir Alan accused the government of putting forward a “take it or leave it” offer of compensation amounting to less than half of his claim.
Many victims have previously complained about being forced to accept low offers of compensation, without the benefit of legal help.
Last month, the government announced that all victims who are claiming compensation will now be entitled to free legal advice to help them with their offers.
There are four different compensation schemes, which are aimed at different groups of victims.
Individual eligibility for compensation depends on the particular circumstances of each case.
However, the schemes have been criticised for being too slow and complicated, with many of the worst-affected victims receiving far less than their original claims.
Business
Calls for ‘outright ban on absurd’ mid-contract telecoms price rises
														
Ofcom is facing calls for an “outright ban” on “absurd” mid-contract price hikes after the Government separately asked the regulator to revisit its rules on the practice.
The calls follow O2 unexpectedly announcing it was raising prices by £2.50 a month for existing customers.
On Monday, Technology Secretary Liz Kendall wrote an open letter to Ofcom bosses asking them to review mid-contract price rises again.
She wrote: “As we discussed when we met earlier this month, driving down inflationary costs and protecting consumers are vitally important for this government.
“As such, I welcome both the action you took in January to increase transparency on how in-contract prices are presented in new contracts, and your statement yesterday expressing disappointment with O2’s price rises.
“I strongly agree they are against the spirit of your previous changes on pricing, and all the more disappointing given the current pressures on consumers.”
She added: “Nevertheless, I believe we need to go further, faster. I am keen that we look at in-contract price rises again.”
Ofcom has been given until November 7 to respond to Ms Kendall’s letter.
Ofcom said: “We share the Government’s concern that customers who face price rises must be treated fairly by mobile providers and they are empowered to exercise their right to switch penalty-free if they didn’t agree to them upfront.
“We will respond to the Secretary of State’s specific queries shortly.”
O2 said in a statement: “We appreciate that price changes are never welcome, but we have been fully transparent with our customers about this change, writing directly to them and providing the right to exit without penalty if they wish.”
Ofcom introduced new rules in January to crack down on phone and broadband providers increasing prices in the middle of a contract without warning.
But last week, O2 announced it would be raising its monthly prices by more than originally promised.
It was able to do this because the increase was not linked to inflation, and it has given customers 30 days to leave without penalty providing they continue to pay off the cost of their device.
O2 said it has not gone against the regulation and Ofcom’s rules do not stop providers from raising prices.
The firm said: “A price increase equivalent to 8p per day is greatly outweighed by the £700 million we invest each year into our mobile network, with UK consumers benefitting from an extremely competitive market and some of the lowest prices compared to international peers.”
Alex Tofts, broadband spokesman from comparison site Broadband Genie, said: “What we’re seeing from O2 and price rises from other major providers is a direct result of crude regulation that has been poorly thought out, with its implications not given enough consideration.
“The only real way to protect customers is to outright ban these absurd mid-contract price hikes. Some providers already offer fixed prices, so why can’t those with the biggest profit margins do the same?
“We fully back the call for Ofcom to revisit these regulations. Until then, we urge all consumers to check whether they’re still in contract.
“To be fair to Ofcom, the broadband switching process has become much easier thanks to the One Touch Switch system. One-in-three households are currently free to switch, and with many providers offering competitive new-customer discounts, now could be the best opportunity to protect your budget before further price rises take effect.”
Business
Reeves says Budget will be ‘fair’ as tax rises expected
														
Jennifer Meierhans,Business reporter and
Henry Zeffman,Chief political correspondent
PA MediaChancellor Rachel Reeves has said she will make “necessary choices” in the Budget after the “world has thrown more challenges our way”.
Her Downing Street speech did not rule out a U-turn on Labour’s general election manifesto pledge not to hike income tax, VAT or National Insurance.
When journalists explicitly asked if the government was set to break that pledge she did not answer directly but said she was “setting the context for the Budget”.
Ahead of the speech, shadow chancellor Sir Mel Stride dubbed it an “emergency press conference”, adding “higher taxes are on the way” and called for Reeves to be sacked if she “breaks her promises yet again”.
If there was any doubt about tax rises before this speech, there isn’t now.
Yet Reeves repeatedly refused to get into the specifics of which taxes might go up.
Instead she began the work of explaining why a year after delivering a tax-raising Budget and vowing not to come back for more, she is in fact coming back for more.
The chancellor said she would do what is necessary, not what is popular.
The reasons she gave were poor productivity, for which she blamed Conservative government policy including Brexit, austerity and short-sighted decisions to cut infrastructure spending, persistently high global inflation and the uncertainty unleashed by Donald Trump’s tariffs.
In short, Reeves’ argument is that the failings of others are being visited upon this government, and that it falls to her to confront decisions her predecessors ducked.
She pledged to come up with a “Budget for growth with fairness at its heart” aimed at bringing down NHS waiting lists, the national debt and the cost of living.
“It is important that people understand the circumstances we are facing, the principles guiding my choices – and why I believe they will be the right choices for the country,” she said.
There are some in government who want this to be a one-and-done Budget, in that they do not want to come back again and again every year, eking out a bit more money in tax to meet the requirements of the independent forecast.
That is seen as an argument for raising billions of pounds through increasing at least one of the income tax rates.
However, no chancellor has increased the basic rate in 50 years and it would be a big risk politically, especially with public trust in politics in general, and Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer in particular, so low.
There is also the question of whether the prime minister and chancellor could land the argument that none of this was foreseeable before last year’s Budget.
The message from Reeves echoed comments made by Sir Keir to a group of Labour MPs on Monday night.
He told those gathered that the Budget would be “a Labour Budget built on Labour values” and that the government would “make the tough but fair decisions to renew our country and build it for the long term”.
It comes as the Resolution Foundation, which has close links to Labour and was previously run by Treasury minister Torsten Bell, said avoiding changes to VAT, NI or income tax “would do more harm than good”.
Hiking income tax would be the “best option” for raising cash, it said, but suggested it should be offset by a 2p cut to employee national insurance, which would “raise £6 billion overall while protecting most workers from this tax rise”.
Extending the freeze in personal tax thresholds for two more years beyond April 2028 would also raise £7.5 billion, its pre-Budget analysis suggested.
The government’s official forecaster, the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), is widely expected to downgrade its productivity forecasts for the UK at the end of the month. That could add as much as £20bn to the amount the chancellor will need to find if she is to meet her self-imposed “non-negotiable” rules for government finances.
The two main rules are:
- Not to borrow to fund day-to-day public spending by the end of this parliament
 
- To get government debt falling as a share of national income by the end of this parliament
 
The Treasury declined to comment on “speculation” ahead of the OBR’s final forecast, which will be published on 26 November alongside the Budget.
However, the chancellor confirmed last week that both tax rises and spending cuts are options as she aims to give herself “sufficient headroom” against future economic shocks.
Reeves said in her speech on Tuesday that her commitment to her fiscal rules was “iron-clad”.

The Resolution Foundation urged the chancellor to use the Budget to give herself more fiscal headroom, meaning how much leeway she has to increase spending or cut taxes without being forced to break her own rules.
After the last Budget, Reeves had £9.9bn of headroom – but the think tank said subsequent policy U-turns and changes in the economic outlook have turned that into a £4bn black hole.
The group said Reeves should double the level of headroom to £20bn in order to “send a clear message to markets that she is serious about fixing the public finances, which in turn should reduce medium-term borrowing costs and make future fiscal events less fraught”.
Last month, the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) said there was a “strong case” to increase fiscal headroom.
The think tank said the lack of a bigger buffer created instability, and could leave the chancellor “limping from one forecast to the next”.
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