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Deepening CPEC-II collaboration under China’s new Five-Year Plan | The Express Tribune

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Deepening CPEC-II collaboration under China’s new Five-Year Plan | The Express Tribune


Pakistan stands to benefit from joint ventures in EV components, solar equipment & AI skill development

Shanghai Auto Show opens with bold message as China leads global electric vehicle race. PHOTO: SHANGHAI AUTO SHOW


KARACHI:

China’s economy is showing unmistakable signs of slowing in 2025, and the ripple effects are being felt across Asia. Its third-quarter GDP growth slipped to 4.8% from 5.2% in the previous quarter, marking the weakest pace in a year. Much of the drag stems from persistent structural weaknesses, particularly in the property market.

Real estate investment has declined 13.9% year-to-date as of September, while home prices in major cities continue to fall despite targeted stimulus measures. Consumer sentiment is subdued as retail sales have grown by just 3%, the lowest in a year, reflecting the cautious attitude of households facing job market uncertainty and shrinking wealth.

Deflationary pressures remain a concern, with producer and consumer prices both depressed, complicating Beijing’s efforts to stabilise demand.

Despite these difficulties, growth has averaged 5.2% during the first nine months of the year – enough for China to meet its annual target of around 5%. Exports have provided some support, though this strength is vulnerable to escalating tensions with the United States, including new tariffs, tighter restrictions on rare earth minerals and additional controls on the transfer of advanced technology.

These frictions signal a structural shift in the relationship between the world’s two largest economies rather than a temporary disruption. In response, policymakers in Beijing are easing monetary conditions, offering selective tax relief and considering interest rate cuts to lift consumption and private investment. At the same time, China is finalising a new Five-Year Plan that prioritises high-tech manufacturing, AI-driven innovation, productivity upgrades and greener industry, aiming to shift the economic model away from property-led growth. For Pakistan, China’s economic trajectory is not a distant macroeconomic development. It directly shapes trade flows, investment inflows, energy availability and industrial expansion. A further slowdown in China would have immediate consequences.

With bilateral trade touching $23.1 billion in 2024, weakening Chinese demand would hit Pakistan’s exports of cotton yarn, copper scrap, seafood, leather and semi-processed foods. This would worsen Pakistan’s already delicate trade deficit, which stood at $17.4 billion last year. Even if global commodity prices fall and offer some import relief, the loss of export earnings would outweigh the benefit.

A deeper Chinese slowdown would also cloud the outlook for CPEC — the backbone of Pakistan’s infrastructure and energy modernisation. China has financed power plants, transmission lines, motorways, ports and industrial zones.

If economic pressures force Beijing to scale back or delay overseas commitments, Pakistan could experience slower progress on Special Economic Zones, reduced momentum in Gwadar’s port and free zone development, postponement of energy upgrades, and delays in railway modernisation, including Main Line-1.

Domestic industries that are dependent on Chinese machinery and components, such as textiles, pharmaceuticals, construction, and renewable energy, could face increased costs or supply disruptions. Foreign exchange reserves would come under pressure as export receipts soften and project financing slows, complicating Pakistan’s efforts to stabilise inflation, interest rates and the exchange rate. In such a scenario, Pakistan would need to diversify export markets, attract investment from a broader pool of countries and push ahead with overdue structural reforms to build resilience.

However, if China succeeds in stabilising growth around the 5% mark, the outlook for Pakistan will become considerably more favourable. Stable Chinese demand would support Pakistan’s industrial and agricultural exports, helping maintain a more manageable trade balance and providing predictability for businesses engaged in cross-border commerce. Crucially, steady economic conditions in China would help sustain momentum under CPEC. Ongoing projects in transport infrastructure, grid modernisation, renewable energy and industrial zones could proceed without major delays. Improvements in logistics and energy availability would strengthen Pakistan’s productive capacity and competitiveness.

China’s incoming Five-Year Plan, with its focus on “new quality productive forces” such as artificial intelligence, robotics, electric mobility and green technologies, offers opportunities for deeper collaboration under CPEC phase-II. Pakistan stands to benefit from joint ventures in electric vehicle components, solar equipment, battery assembly, AI skill development, agri-tech and smart manufacturing. Such cooperation could accelerate the country’s transition towards a higher value-added and innovation-oriented economy.

Stable Chinese investment and predictable financing flows would also support Pakistan’s macroeconomic stability, helping improve investor confidence and giving policymakers greater space to pursue long-term reforms rather than crisis management.

China’s economic performance in 2025 is, therefore, pivotal not only for Beijing but also for Islamabad. A sharper slowdown would test Pakistan’s resilience and force difficult adjustments, while a stable China would offer space to consolidate growth, modernise industry and deepen technological cooperation.

The coming months will determine whether Pakistan must brace for external headwinds or position itself to benefit from new opportunities emerging in China’s evolving economic landscape.

The writer is a Mechanical Engineer and is pursuing a Master’s degree



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Key Financial Deadlines That Have Been Extended For December 2025; Know The Last Date

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Key Financial Deadlines That Have Been Extended For December 2025; Know The Last Date


New Delhi: Several crucial deadlines have been extended in December 2025, including ITR for tax audit cases, ITR filing and PAN and Aadhaar linking. These deadlines will be crucial in ensuring that your financial affairs operate smoothly in the months ahead.

Here is a quick rundown of the important deadlines for December to help you stay compliant and avoid last-minute hassles.

ITR deadline for tax audit cases

The Central Board of Direct Taxes has extended the due date of furnishing of return of income under sub-Section (1) of Section 139 of the Act for the Assessment Year 2025-26 which is October 31, 2025 in the case of assessees referred in clause (a) of Explanation 2 to sub-Section (1) of Section 139 of the Act, to December 10, 2025.

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Belated ITR filing deadline

A belated ITR filing happens when an ITR is submitted after the original due date which is permitted by Section 139(4) of the Income Tax Act. Filing a belated return helps you meet your tax obligations, but it involves penalties. You can only file a belated return for FY 2024–25 until December 31, 2025. However, there will be a late fee and interest charged.

PAN and Aadhaar linking deadline

The Income Tax Department has extended the deadline to link their PAN with Aadhaar card to December 31, 2025 for anyone who acquired their PAN using an Aadhaar enrolment ID before October 1, 2024. If you miss this deadline your PAN will become inoperative which will have an impact on your banking transactions, income tax return filing and other financial investments.



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Stock Market Live Updates: Sensex, Nifty Hit Record Highs; Bank Nifty Climbs 60,000 For The First Time

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Stock Market Live Updates: Sensex, Nifty Hit Record Highs; Bank Nifty Climbs 60,000 For The First Time


Stock Market News Live Updates: Indian equity benchmarks opened with a strong gap-up on Monday, December 1, touching fresh record highs, buoyed by a sharp acceleration in Q2FY26 GDP growth to a six-quarter peak of 8.2%. Positive cues from Asian markets further lifted investor sentiment.

The BSE Sensex was trading at 85,994, up 288 points or 0.34%, after touching an all-time high of 86,159 in early deals. The Nifty 50 stood at 26,290, higher by 87 points or 0.33%, after scaling a record intraday high of 26,325.8.

Broader markets also saw gains, with the Midcap index rising 0.27% and the Smallcap index advancing 0.52%.

On the sectoral front, the Nifty Bank hit a historic milestone by crossing the 60,000 mark for the first time, gaining 0.4% to touch a fresh peak of 60,114.05.

Meanwhile, the Metal and PSU Bank indices climbed 0.8% each in early trade.

Global cues

Asia-Pacific markets were mostly lower on Monday as traders assessed fresh Chinese manufacturing data and increasingly priced in the likelihood of a US Federal Reserve rate cut later this month.

According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets are now assigning an 87.4 per cent probability to a rate cut at the Fed’s December 10 meeting.

China’s factory activity unexpectedly slipped back into contraction in November, with the RatingDog China General Manufacturing PMI by S&P Global easing to 49.9, below expectations of 50.5, as weak domestic demand persisted.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 slipped 1.6 per cent, while the broader Topix declined 0.86 per cent. In South Korea, the Kospi dropped 0.30 per cent and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 was down 0.31 per cent.

US stock futures were steady in early Asian trade after a positive week on Wall Street. On Friday, in a shortened post-Thanksgiving session, the Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.65 per cent to 23,365.69, its fifth consecutive day of gains.

The S&P 500 rose 0.54 per cent to 6,849.09, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 289.30 points, or 0.61 per cent, to close at 47,716.42.



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Global Conflicts Drive Arms Industry to $679 Billion Record Revenues – SUCH TV

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Global Conflicts Drive Arms Industry to 9 Billion Record Revenues – SUCH TV



Sales by the world’s top 100 arms makers reached a record $679 billion last year, as conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza fueled demand, according to researchers. Production challenges, however, continued to hamper timely deliveries.

The figure represents a 5.9 percent increase from the previous year, and over the 2015–2024 period, revenues for the top 100 arms makers have grown by 26 percent, according to a report by the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI).

“Last year, global arms revenues reached the highest level ever recorded by SIPRI, as producers capitalized on strong demand,” said Lorenzo Scarazzato, a researcher with the SIPRI Military Expenditure and Arms Production Programme.

Regional Trends

According to SIPRI researcher Jade Guiberteau Ricard, the growth is mostly driven by Europe, though all regions saw increases except Asia and Oceania.

The surge in Europe is linked to the war in Ukraine and heightened security concerns regarding Russia.

Countries supporting Ukraine and replenishing their stockpiles have also contributed to rising demand.

Ricard added that many European nations are now seeking to modernize and expand their militaries, creating a new source of demand.

US and European Arms Makers

The United States hosts 39 of the world’s top 100 arms makers, including the top three: Lockheed Martin, RTX (formerly Raytheon Technologies), and Northrop Grumman. US companies saw combined revenues rise 3.8 percent to $334 billion, nearly half of the global total.

European arms makers (26 companies in the top 100) recorded aggregate revenues of $151 billion, a 13 percent increase.

The Czech company Czechoslovak Group recorded the sharpest rise, with revenues jumping 193 percent to $3.6 billion, benefiting from the Czech Ammunition Initiative, which supplies artillery shells to Ukraine.

However, European producers face challenges in meeting increased demand, as sourcing raw materials has become more difficult.

Companies like Airbus and France’s Safran previously sourced half of their titanium from Russia before 2022 and have had to identify new suppliers.

Additionally, Chinese export restrictions on critical minerals have forced firms such as France’s Thales and Germany’s Rheinmetall to restructure supply chains, raising costs.

Russian Arms Industry

Two Russian arms makers, Rostec and United Shipbuilding Corporation, are among the top 100, with combined revenues rising 23 percent to $31.2 billion, despite component shortages caused by international sanctions.

Domestic demand largely offset the decline in exports. However, Russia’s arms industry faces a shortage of skilled labor, limiting its ability to sustain production rates necessary for ongoing military operations.

Israeli weapons still popular

The Asia and Oceania region was the only region to see the overall revenues of the 23 companies based there go down — their combined revenues dropped 1.2 percent to $130 billion.

But the authors stressed that the picture across Asia was varied and the overall drop was the result of by a larger drop among Chinese arms makers.

“A host of corruption allegations in Chinese arms procurement led to major arms contracts being postponed or cancelled in 2024,” Nan Tian, Director of SIPRI’s Military Expenditure and Arms Production Programme, said in a statement.

Tian added that the drop deepened “uncertainty” around China’s efforts to modernise its military.

In contrast, Japanese and South Korean weapons makers saw their revenues increase, also driven by European demand.

Meanwhile, nine of the top 100 arms companies were based in the Middle East, with combined revenues of $31 billion.

The three Israeli arms companies in the ranking accounted for more than half of that, as their combined revenues grew by 16 percent to $16.2 billion.

SIPRI researcher Zubaida Karim noted in a statement that “the growing backlash over Israel’s actions in Gaza seems to have had little impact on interest in Israeli weapons”.



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