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India Surges Ahead While US, China, Russia Struggle: Harvard Economist Reveals Stunning Post-Covid Growth Story

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India Surges Ahead While US, China, Russia Struggle: Harvard Economist Reveals Stunning Post-Covid Growth Story


New Delhi: India has emerged as the world’s fastest-growing economy, leaving nations like the United States, China and Russia struggling to catch up. The post-COVID recovery of the Indian economy has astonished global observers, from the World Bank to the International Monetary Fund. Now Harvard economist Jason Furman has shared a chart, which illustrates India’s extraordinary pace of growth.

The chart shows that while major economies are still grappling with pandemic aftershocks, India has achieved a rebound, consistently maintaining momentum.

Jason Furman shared the comparative growth chart on X (formerly Twitter), highlighting India’s performance from 2019 through the third quarter of 2025. It contrasts India’s nominal GDP trends before COVID-19 with current data, along with major economies such as the United States, the Eurozone, China and Russia.

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The data shows India rising steadily, reaching projected GDP growth of +5% by mid-2025, making it the only major economy maintaining continuous upward momentum.

The chart shows that India began its post-pandemic recovery from a low point in 2020 and surpassed its pre-COVID trendline by 2022. By 2024, its growth reached +3%, and projections suggest +5% by the third quarter of 2025.

Furman emphasised that India’s growth is not a one-time surge but a result of structural strength. He pointed to digital infrastructure, investment reforms and a stable macroeconomic environment as key factors driving domestic consumption and investment, allowing India to continue growing even amid global challenges.

Other major economies, in contrast, are still facing hurdles. The Eurozone experienced the deepest contraction during the pandemic at -25%, while China faced a decline of -10%. Russia’s economy fell by -8%, and the United States and India both saw a drop of -5%.

Although recovery measures have helped the United States reach an estimated growth rate of around 2% by 2025, India’s rapid pace far outshines it. China’s recovery remains constrained due to the long-lasting effects of zero-COVID policies and real estate crises, with projected growth of -5% in 2025.

Russia continues to struggle near -8%, influenced heavily by the ongoing war with Ukraine, while the Eurozone is projected to achieve only -3% growth.

Global rating agencies are also expressing confidence in India’s continued momentum. The Investment Information and Credit Rating Agency (ICRA) expects India’s GDP growth to remain strong at 7% in the second quarter of FY 2026, following a 7.8% rise in the first quarter.

GVA projects 7.1%, while Moody’s predicts 7% GDP growth for 2025 and 6.4% for 2026.

India’s post-pandemic economic story is now a benchmark for resilience and rapid recovery. While the world’s leading economies are still managing the lingering effects of COVID-19, India has firmly established itself as a powerhouse, combining policy reforms, robust domestic demand and structural stability to surge ahead on the global stage.



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Rs 20,000 crore gold, silver rush: What will people buy this Akshaya Tritiya? – The Times of India

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Rs 20,000 crore gold, silver rush: What will people buy this Akshaya Tritiya? – The Times of India


This Akshaya Tritiya, India’s gold and silver markets are heading for bumper purchases, with overall trade likely to cross Rs 20,000 crore even as record-high prices reshape buying patterns. The estimate, shared by the Confederation of All India Traders (CAIT), is higher than last year’s Rs 16,000 crore, signalling growth in value despite a sharp rise in bullion rates.Prices for the yellow metal have surged sharply over the past year, going from Rs 1,00,000 per 10 grams, to Rs 1.58 lakh. Meanwhile, silver has shown a steeper rally, jumping from Rs 85,000 per kilogram to Rs 2.55 lakh per kilogram. According to CAIT, this sharp escalation has not weakened demand, but is instead prompting consumers to make more deliberate and value-oriented purchases.Praveen Khandelwal, member of parliament from Chandni Chowk and secretary general of CAIT told ANI, “Akshaya Tritiya has traditionally been one of India’s most auspicious occasions for purchasing gold… While gold continues to dominate, the nature of purchasing is evolving significantly in response to steep price escalation.”Commenting on customer preference, CAIT national president BC Bhartia highlighted, “There is a clear shift towards lightweight, wearable jewellery, alongside a stronger focus on silver and diamond products. Attractive incentives such as reduced making charges and complimentary gold coins are also helping sustain consumer interest.”Despite the increase in overall trade value, the quantity of metals being sold tells a different story. Pankaj Arora, National President of the All India Jewellers and Goldsmith Federation (AIJGF), an associate of CAIT, explained that the projected Rs 16,000 crore gold trade amounts to nearly 10,000 kilograms (10 tonnes) at current rates. The value, spread across an estimated 2 to 4 lakh jewellers, translates to average sales of only 25 to 50 grams per jeweller, “clearly indicating a sharp decline in volume”.Meanwhile for silver, the estimated Rs 4,000 crore trade corresponds to around 1,56,800 kilograms (157 tonnes), resulting in average sales of about 400 to 800 grams per jeweller during the festival period. “These figures underline a critical shift: while the value of business is expanding due to rising prices, actual consumption is contracting,” Khandelwal said.This gap between value and volume is also reshaping consumer’s buying pattern, with smaller items and lightweight jewellery gaining popularity. At the same time, jewellers are facing challenges due to fluctuating prices, especially when it comes to managing inventory.Even so, festive demand remains steady, with markets witnessing healthy footfall. “Consumers are now adopting a more cautious and pragmatic approach, balancing traditional beliefs with financial discipline,” Khandelwal added.At the same time, it’s not just about physical gold anymore as consumers are increasingly exploring alternatives like digital gold, Sovereign Gold Bonds and gold ETFs, drawn by the promise of liquidity, safety and flexibility when prices are volatile.CAIT and AIJGF have urged jewellers to comply with mandatory hallmarking standards, including HUID certification, and advised buyers to verify the purity and authenticity of their purchases.



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The cost of rising rents: Working four jobs and pushed on to benefits

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The cost of rising rents: Working four jobs and pushed on to benefits



Lauren Elcock is among the young Londoners who say rising rents are forcing them to quit the capital.



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Scams have grown more sophisticated, but people are fighting back

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Scams have grown more sophisticated, but people are fighting back


As governments across the world restricted the movements of their citizens during Covid lockdowns from 2020, people spent more time online. We bought more online and socialised more online, and this brought us closer to the people who want to scam us. At the same time, realistic video impersonations, voices, websites, and texts became more commonplace, and scammers increased their use of social media including WhatsApp.



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