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Multifamily housing leads CRE bid competition in October

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Multifamily housing leads CRE bid competition in October


Modern urban condos in Chattanooga, Tennessee

Marcia Straub | Moment | Getty Images

A version of this article first appeared in the CNBC Property Play newsletter with Diana Olick. Property Play covers new and evolving opportunities for the real estate investor, from individuals to venture capitalists, private equity funds, family offices, institutional investors and large public companies. Sign up to receive future editions, straight to your inbox.

July marked a turning point in competition for commercial real estate properties, with bids rising for the first time in more than a year. That trend continued into October. 

Bidder dynamics during the month saw the second-highest monthly gain over the past year, according to JLL’s Global Bid Intensity Index. Competitiveness continues to improve, partly due to interest rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve in September and October.

The index measures bidding activity in order to give a real-time view of liquidity and competitiveness in private real estate capital markets. That, in turn, is an indicator for future capital flows across investment sales transactions.

“As capital deployment accelerated during the third quarter, institutional investors are signaling increased confidence in the market, even as uncertainty persists,” said Richard Bloxam, CEO of capital markets at JLL. “We expect business confidence will continue to improve and pave the way for continued capital flow growth into 2026.”

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Of all the commercial real estate sectors, multifamily housing led in competition with the strongest bidding activity. That is being driven by housing shortages across most major markets. Rental vacancy rates are still high, but more renters are expected to re-lease in the coming year because the for-sale housing market is so expensive.

JLL estimates that there is a shortage of 3.5 million housing units in the U.S. That, along with near-record-high home prices, is keeping renters in place for longer and will likely push multifamily vacancy rates lower once all the new supply makes it through the pipeline. All of that is driving continued strong conviction among multifamily investors. 

There was also a significant rebound in bidding competitiveness for the industrial and logistics sector, as trade policy uncertainty settled slightly. 

There was some softening in competition for retail properties simply because there were more of them for sale, so buyers had more choice. There were, however, more deals in the market. Investor demand is being driven by a rise in consumer and retail spending, for now at least. 

The office sector is also well into recovery, with bid dynamics rising from all-time lows in late 2023. Investor sentiment is improving with expanding bidder pools and increased lender participation.

Near-term interest rate cuts are still in question, especially given stronger-than-expected employment figures for September, released late due to the government shutdown. Investors, however, seem to be less sensitive to the timing, as they still expect rates to come down further next year. 

“While market uncertainty will continue to impact decision-making, the growth picture is looking more positive for 2026. Having worked through various junctures of uncertainty over the past year, more investors are showing a higher tolerance for risk,” Bloxam said. “Coupled with the exceptionally strong debt markets, we expect this will catalyze continued improvement in liquidity.”



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I was left with an £8,000 vet bill when my insurer cancelled my pet policy

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I was left with an £8,000 vet bill when my insurer cancelled my pet policy


Tesco Pet Insurance, who provided the cover, says “the cost of claims is one of a number of factors that can affect the price of a policy at renewal” and also noted Tilly’s age had been reflected in the quote. It says the couple had a more comprehensive policy, which typically costs more than basic levels of cover, and that alternative options were presented to Fawcett and Neild.



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Britain ‘mustn’t cut ourselves off from China trade opportunities’, CBI chief warns

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Britain ‘mustn’t cut ourselves off from China trade opportunities’, CBI chief warns


The UK must not “cut ourselves off” from trade opportunities in China despite security and business risks, the head of the Confederation for British Industry has warned.

CBI chief Rain Newton-Smith highlighted that British businesses see increased trade with Chinese firms as an opportunity to drive growth.

Her remarks came as business leaders were questioned by MPs on Parliament’s Business and Trade Select Committee regarding the UK’s economic relationship with China.

Last December, Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer admitted China poses security threats to the UK but urged for greater business ties.

Ms Newton-Smith, chief executive of one of the UK’s largest business groups, was positive about the Government’s engagement with China.

“You can’t have a growth strategy without a strategy for China,” she said.

Starmer admitted China poses security threats to the UK but urged for greater business ties (Ben Whitley/PA)

“China has the biggest contribution to global growth, is the third largest trading partner, and the world’s largest consumer market.

“The UK is second largest exporter of trade and services.

“We are mindful as all businesses are of security risks but it is really important that we have a strategy towards China.

“This Government has increased the economic engagement with China and including business within this does help us as a country.”

She added: “If we think about the future economy, there is a huge market in China and I think we mustn’t cut ourselves off from some of the opportunities there, even if in some areas there are difficult conversations and negotiations that need to be had.”

Peter Burnett, chief executive of the China-Britain Business Council, told the committee: “There are risks associated with technology advancement, AI, industrial development that they need to assess.

“Increasingly you will find them saying that they need to engage more in China to understand those risks and to develop some of the technologies along some of those risks themselves.”



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Trump says he’d be disappointed if Fed pick doesn’t cut rates; Warsh vows to be ‘independent actor’ – The Times of India

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Trump says he’d be disappointed if Fed pick doesn’t cut rates; Warsh vows to be ‘independent actor’ – The Times of India


Donald Trump, left, and Kevin Warsh

US President Donald Trump on Tuesday said he would be disappointed if his nominee for Federal Reserve chair, Kevin Warsh, does not cut interest rates right away after taking office if confirmed by the Senate. Trump, during an interview with CNBC’s “Squawk Box,” also said “we have to find out” about the construction costs of the new Federal Reserve building.Warsh, a former Federal Reserve official and financier, is currently facing Senate confirmation hearings where he has stressed his independence from political pressure.“The president never once asked me to commit to any particular interest rate decision, and nor would I agree to it if he had,” Kevin Warsh said under questioning by the Senate Banking Committee, as quoted by LA Times. “I will be an independent actor if confirmed as chair of the Federal Reserve.”Warsh told lawmakers that fighting inflation would be one of his main priorities if confirmed.“Congress tasked the Fed with the mission to ensure price stability, without excuse or equivocation, argument or anguish,” Warsh said. “Inflation is a choice, and the Fed must take responsibility for it.”The comments come as investors closely watch his confirmation hearing, with inflation remaining at 3.3% annually and global tensions, including the war in Iran pushing up gas prices, adding pressure on the economy. Higher inflation typically leads the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates steady or raise them rather than cut them, as rate changes affect mortgages, auto loans, and business borrowing.Democrats on the Senate Banking Committee accused Warsh of shifting his stance on interest rates over time, supporting higher rates under Democratic presidents and lower rates during Trump’s presidency.Warsh, if confirmed, would take over at a time when inflation pressures make it difficult for the Federal Reserve to cut rates, even as Trump continues to push for lower borrowing costs. Trump has repeatedly urged rate cuts and has long clashed with current Fed chair Jerome Powell over monetary policy. Powell has also been the subject of a Department of Justice criminal probe after refusing Trump’s requests for faster rate cuts. Trump told CNBC that he does not plan to pressure the Justice Department to end that probe.



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