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The regulatory path ahead for a Netflix and Warner Bros. deal could get dicey

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The regulatory path ahead for a Netflix and Warner Bros. deal could get dicey


Logos of Netlfix and Warner Bros.

Reuters

The Netflix and Warner Bros. Discovery deal came together quickly — but its path to regulatory approval may not be so speedy.

Netflix stunned the media industry on Friday when it announced its proposed $72 billion deal to acquire the iconic Warner Bros. film studio and streaming service HBO Max. The combination brings together two of the most popular streaming platforms in the business. Netflix reported 300 million global subscribers as of late 2024, the last time it reported the metric. HBO Max had 128 million customers as of Sept. 30.

Netflix currently claims 46% of mobile app monthly active users in global streaming, according to data from market intelligence firm Sensor Tower. Combined with HBO Max, that share would rise to 56%, it found.

“This deal cements Netflix’s position as the premier streaming service for original content,” according to a research note from analysts at William Blair on Friday.

The size of the deal makes it ripe for scrutiny, from both industry insiders and U.S. lawmakers.

The Trump administration is viewing the merger with “heavy skepticism,” CNBC reported Friday, and Sen. Elizabeth Warren has already called for an antitrust review.

“This deal looks like an anti-monopoly nightmare. A Netflix-Warner Bros. would create one massive media giant with control of close to half of the streaming market — threatening to force Americans into higher subscription prices and fewer choices over what and how they watch, while putting American workers at risk,” Warren, a Democrat from Massachusetts, said in a statement.

The merger would also give Netflix control over the famed Warner Bros. film studio, further consolidating the cinematic space and raising concerns that the number or typical windowing of popular releases could shrink.

It’s typical in the days and weeks following a deal announcement of this scale for interest groups, politicians and corporate competitors to call foul on antitrust grounds.

The Department of Justice is most likely to review the deal, as it has other media mergers in the past, and it could take some time. DOJ reviews can take anywhere from months to more than a year.

Netflix said Friday it expects the transaction to close in 12 to 18 months, after Warner Bros. Discovery spins out its portfolio of cable networks into Discovery Global.

Netflix confidence

Ted Sarandos, co-chief executive officer of Netflix , attends the annual Allen & Co. Media and Technology Conference in Sun Valley, Idaho on July 11th, 2025.

David A. Grogan | CNBC

Netflix executives on Friday said they were “highly confident” the deal would win regulatory approval.

“You know, this deal is pro-consumer, pro-innovation, pro-worker, it’s pro-creator, it’s pro-growth,” Netflix co-CEO Ted Sarandos said during an investor call following the acquisition announcement.

“Our plans here are to work really closely with all the appropriate governments and regulators, but [we’re] really confident that we’re going to get all the necessary approvals that we need,” Sarandos added.

As part of the deal, Netflix has agreed to pay a $5.8 billion breakup fee to Warner Bros. Discovery if the deal were to get blocked by the government.

Netflix’s bid won out over competing offers from Paramount Skydance and Comcast.

Analysts at Deutsche Bank and William Blair were at least minimally convinced Friday of the potential for the deal to go through.

“A merger of Warner Bros. Discovery and any of the three bidders would probably succeed, even if the DOJ were to sue to block a proposed combination,” Deutsche Bank analysts wrote in a note on Friday, citing insights from a Department of Justice veteran who the analysts said “does not see any significant antitrust problems with any of the three scenarios.”

“However … we don’t know all of the detailed facts that will be collected and analyzed by the DOJ, nor do we know who the judge hearing the case will be, and both of these factors can have an impact on the outcome,” the Deutsche Bank analysts noted.

Paramount, for its part, has been fanning the flames.

Paramount’s lawyers sent a letter to Warner Bros. Discovery this week, first reported by CNBC, in which it argued the sale process had been rigged in Netflix’s direction. The Wall Street Journal reported that in a separate letter, Paramount said a Netflix transaction would likely “never close” because of regulatory headwinds.

Paramount was the only bidder looking to buy WBD’s massive portfolio of pay-TV networks — and it’s unlikely to walk away from the process quietly.

Not so fast

Oracle co-founder, CTO and Executive Chairman Larry Ellison (C), U.S. President Donald Trump, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman (R), and SoftBank CEO Masayoshi Son (2nd-R), share a laugh as Ellison uses a stool to stand on as he speaks during a news conference in the Roosevelt Room of the White House on January 21, 2025 in Washington, DC. Trump announced an investment in artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure and took questions on a range of topics including his presidential pardons of Jan. 6 defendants, the war in Ukraine, cryptocurrencies and other topics.

Andrew Harnik | Getty Images

Wall Street expected President Donald Trump’s second term to usher in a windfall of dealmaking. However, economic uncertainty has slowed the process for some companies, and regulatory holdups have played a bigger role than anticipated.

“Under Donald Trump, the antitrust review process has also become a cesspool of political favoritism and corruption,” Warren said in Friday’s statement. “The Justice Department must enforce our nation’s anti-monopoly laws fairly and transparently — not use the Warner Bros. deal review to invite influence-peddling and bribery.”

Paramount’s merger with Skydance was left in limbo for more than a year before it finally won federal approval in July.

The Federal Communications Commission (which is unlikely to review the Netflix-WBD tie-up since it doesn’t involve a broadcaster) signed off on the $8 billion merger shortly after Paramount agreed to pay $16 million to Trump to settle a lawsuit over the editing of a “60 Minutes” interview with former Vice President Kamala Harris. Paramount had also ended its diversity, equity and inclusion policies earlier in the year after the FCC said it would investigate the company over its DEI programs.

In September, the newly combined Paramount Skydance, run by David Ellison, set its sights on Warner Bros. Discovery. The company is now considering whether to take a hostile bid straight to WBD shareholders and try to unseat Netflix as the would-be buyer, CNBC reported Friday.

Ellison’s billionaire father, Oracle co-founder Larry Ellison, is known to be close with Trump.

The argument for whether to clear Netflix’s proposed takeover of Warner Bros. would likely come down to questions around streaming — first, on pricing for consumers, and second, on how to define Netflix’s audience.

The pricing of streaming subscriptions has risen across the board in recent years. In 2022 Netflix instituted a cheaper, ad-supported model after years of resistance in an effort to beckon more customers. The following year, Disney followed with its own more-affordable plan.

Netflix is used to upending the legacy media industry. The company ended its DVD rentals business in 2023 and went all in on streaming. It’s since found massive scale and has taken over the zeitgeist with original series like “Squid Game,” “Wednesday,” “Stranger Things,” and “Bridgerton.”

Its maverick approach to media and its broadening foothold in the industry may be its saving grace in the eyes of regulators.

“My expectation on the regulatory side is Netflix is going to advocate and argue with their advisors for a very expansive definition of what their market is … so that would include broadcast, cable, subscription and ad-supported streaming,” said said Jeff Goldstein, a partner and managing director at AlixPartners, and co-lead of the U.S. Media group.

“And really, really, really importantly, that would include YouTube,” he said.

YouTube has come to dominate the industry when it comes to viewership. Nielsen once again reported in October than YouTube had the largest share of TV usage, with Netflix in sixth place and Warner Bros. Discovery in seventh place. Traditional media companies with linear networks — Disney, NBCUniversal, Fox and Paramount — filled the spots in between.

Critics of the deal will define Netflix’s reach more narrowly to try to demonstrate outsized dominance, said Goldstein.

“I believe that streaming is not a category. Television viewership is a category … you know, eyeballs might be a category,” media industry titan John Malone told CNBC in November when asked about antitrust questions surrounding the WBD sale process.

“But if you’re going to broaden the category to that, you got to take in YouTube and Facebook and the social networks, TikTok,” he said. “I mean, that’s really the question, is streaming a category? … Are studios a category … and is that going to get looked at hard? These regulatory things are a little bit difficult to predict.”

— CNBC’s Julia Boorstin contributed to this report.

Disclosure: Comcast is the parent company of NBCUniversal, which owns CNBC. Versant would become the new parent company of CNBC upon Comcast’s planned spinoff of Versant.



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Stocks rally as Trump calms Greenland rhetoric

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Stocks rally as Trump calms Greenland rhetoric



The FTSE 100 shrugged off a weak start to close slightly higher on Wednesday after US president Donald Trump said he would not use force to take control of Greenland, but insisted America must still have “ownership” of it.

Kathleen Brooks, research director at XTB, said Mr Trump’s speech at Davos, in Switzerland, had two key takeaways for markets.

“Firstly, Trump will not take Greenland by force and second, Trump wants the economy to run hot to send US stocks flying north,” she said.

The FTSE 100 index closed up 11.31 points, 0.1%, at 10,138.09.

The FTSE 250 ended 113.42 points higher, 0.5%, at 23,071.29, and the AIM All-Share closed up 7.45 points, 0.9%, at 808.59.

In a wide-ranging, often rambling speech at the World Economic Forum, Mr Trump said: “We probably won’t get anything unless I decide to use excessive strength and force where we would be, frankly, unstoppable, but I won’t do that.”

But he demanded “immediate” talks on Washington’s acquisition of Greenland, renewing his push to seize control of the autonomous territory from Nato ally Denmark.

“It’s the US alone that can protect this giant mass of land, this giant piece of ice, develop it and improve it,” Mr Trump told world leaders.

“That’s the reason I’m seeking immediate negotiations to once again discuss the acquisition of Greenland by the US.”

Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer earlier told Parliament he would not give in to pressure from Mr Trump over the future of Greenland.

“I will not yield, Britain will not yield on our principles and values about the future of Greenland under threats of tariffs, and that is my clear position,” he told MPs, adding that he would host Danish counterpart Mette Frederiksen in London on Thursday.

Mr Trump has threatened to slap tariffs on Britain and other European countries for opposing his claims on Greenland.

“Greenland could still be an issue for financial markets, since Trump has said that he wants to gain control of Greenland and will start immediate negotiations to do so. However, today’s speech suggests that Nato is not under immediate threat, for now,” Ms Brooks said.

In European equities on Wednesday, markets were mixed. The CAC 40 in Paris closed up 0.1%, while the DAX 40 in Frankfurt ended 0.6% lower.

In New York, financial markets were higher at the time of the London equity market close.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.9%, as was the S&P 500, while the Nasdaq Composite climbed 1.0%.

Bond markets were calmer after Tuesday’s sharp moves. The yield on the US 10-year Treasury was quoted at 4.27%, trimmed from 4.28% on Tuesday. The yield on the US 30-year Treasury was quoted at 4.89%, narrowed from 4.91%.

Back in London, analysts played down a surprise spike in UK inflation, calling it a “blip”.

“It was always likely that the December figures would post a rebound on account of the rise in tobacco duty rates showing up in the December data rather than November (as it did in 2024) due to the later timing of last year’s budget,” analysts at Lloyds Bank said.

“Some unwinding of the ‘early’ Black Friday discounting seen in the November data also looks to have been behind the upward move, as well as base effects associated with a sharp rise in airfares last month relative to a more subdued increase in December 2024,” the bank added.

Headline consumer prices index (CPI) inflation accelerated in December, with CPI rising by 3.4% year-on-year, up from 3.2% in November, according to data published on Wednesday by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). It was ahead of the FXStreet-cited consensus of 3.3%.

It was the first time headline inflation has risen since July, when the annual rate rose to 3.8% from 3.6% in June. Figures for October at 3.6% and November at 3.2% were lower than the consensus forecast at the time.

The ONS said alcohol, tobacco and transport made the largest upward contributions to the monthly change.

Core CPI, which excludes energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, was unchanged at 3.2%, better than the 3.3% consensus.

The CPI goods annual rate rose to 2.2% from 2.1%, while the CPI services annual rate rose to 4.5% from 4.4%, but below the 4.6% consensus.

RBC Capital Markets expects the December “blip” to fall away sharply in the first half of 2026.

“Not only therefore did the December outturn leave services and headline CPI inflation broadly in line with the BoE’s (Bank of England’s) projections from November but also the main upward contributions to both headline and CPI were concentrated in non-core or more volatile categories,” the broker said.

Deutsche Bank expects inflation will take a big step down in January, pushing to near 3% year-on-year.

And by spring, the bank expects the BoE’s 2% inflation target “to be in sight”.

The pound was quoted lower at 1.3437 US dollars at the time of the London equities close on Wednesday, compared to 1.3462 dollars on Tuesday.

The euro stood at 1.1707 dollars, lower against 1.1733 dollars. Against the yen, the dollar was trading at 158.18 yen, higher from 157.95 yen.

On the FTSE 100, trading statements boosted Burberry but weighed on Experian.

Luxury goods manufacturer Burberry rose 5.0% after announcing an increase in comparable store sales over the festive period, while it expects its annual adjusted operating profit to be in line with analyst consensus estimates.

Comparable sales by region in the third quarter of financial year 2026, which runs until March 28, were up 6% in Greater China and 5% higher in Asia Pacific. They were up 2% in the Americas. Further, comparable sales were flat in Europe, Middle East, India & Africa due to declines in tourist spend.

Miners were in demand with Rio Tinto, up 5.2% after a well-received fourth quarter production update, and Glencore, which Rio is trying to buy, up 3.7%.

Bank of America said it believes “GlenTinto” – should a deal be sealed – offers “compelling value”.

Rio has until February to firm up an approach for Glencore.

Heading south, insurer Admiral, down 4.2%, after Goldman Sachs downgraded to “sell” from “buy”, while Experian slipped 4.9% despite reporting in-line trading.

On the FTSE 250, Currys shares sparked 7.7% higher as the electricals retailer rose profit guidance, while Premier Foods climbed 7.1% after it signalled top-end full-year profits.

But pub chain JD Wetherspoon failed to cheer investors, with shares down 8.1%, as it said higher costs were offsetting growth in sales.

Brent oil traded lower at 64.82 dollars a barrel on Wednesday, down from 64.89 dollars late on Tuesday.

Gold was quoted at 4,833.66 dollars an ounce on Wednesday, after hitting another record high, up from 4,742.56 dollars on Tuesday.

The biggest risers on the FTSE 100 were Rio Tinto, up 327.00 pence at 6,641.00p, Burberry, up 61.00p at 1,280.00p, Bunzl, up 97.00p at 2,086.00p, Anglo American, up 158.00p at 3,401.00p, and JD Sports Fashion, up 3.78p at 82.06p.

The biggest fallers on the FTSE 100 were Experian, down 157.00p at 3,070.00p, Admiral Group, down 128.00p at 2,948.00p, London Stock Exchange, down 198.00p at 8,782.00p, Rolls Royce, down 26.00p at 1,255.00p and Sage Group, down 16.50p at 1,025.00p.

Thursday’s global economic calendar has public sector net borrowing figures, plus GDP data, initial jobless claims and personal consumption expenditures data.

Thursday’s UK corporate calendar has trading statements from discount retail chain B&M European Value Retail and trading platform AJ Bell.

Contributed by Alliance News



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Local audit push: CAG flags capacity gaps, calls for stronger PAIs and tech-led audits – The Times of India

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Local audit push: CAG flags capacity gaps, calls for stronger PAIs and tech-led audits – The Times of India


The Comptroller and Auditor General of India has called for strengthening the institutional framework, professional capacity building and audit practices of primary auditing institutions (PAIs) responsible for local governments, highlighting the need to improve audit quality and transparency at the grassroots level, PTI reported.The call came at the conclusion of a three-day national workshop for Directorates of Local Fund Audit (DLFAs) and state audit departments, organised by CIARD–NIRDPR in collaboration with iCAL, the CAG office said in a statement on Wednesday.Speaking at the valediction function, CAG Sanjay Murthy said the challenges and best practices highlighted by different states during the workshop would be taken up at the forthcoming All-State Secretaries’ Workshop for “appropriate follow-up and improvement of the system”.The workshop focused on strengthening PAIs, which play a key role in auditing local governments. Workshop Director U Hemantha Kumar said deliberations covered issues such as challenges in local fund audits, assessment of PAI maturity, the CAG’s Technical Guidance and Support (TGS) framework, and experience-sharing on audit planning, reporting and engagement with local bodies.Directors of Local Fund Audit from various states participated in five thematic group discussions, which examined PAI maturity levels, virtual audit systems, remote audits of gram panchayats, standardisation of inspection reports and audit planning, and ways to strengthen the TGS framework.According to the CAG statement, group presentations stressed the need for simplified and standardised audit frameworks, wider adoption of technology-enabled and remote audit systems, and stronger follow-up and enforcement mechanisms. Participants also underlined the importance of focused capacity building of DLFAs to enhance audit coverage, improve audit quality and increase transparency in local governance.The workshop concluded with a consensus that upgrading institutional capacity and modernising audit practices are essential to ensure effective oversight of local bodies and better utilisation of public funds.



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Morrisons reveals £381m annual loss but hails solid festive trading

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Morrisons reveals £381m annual loss but hails solid festive trading



Supermarket Morrisons has revealed annual losses of £381 million after hefty borrowing costs but enjoyed a resurgent sales performance over Christmas.

The UK’s fifth largest grocery chain reported a £381 million pre-tax loss for the year to October 26 after it faced a £281 million interest bill on its debt mountain, although it said this was narrowed from losses of £414 million in 2023-24.

The group – owned by US private equity firm Clayton, Dubilier & Rice – said it cut debts by 10% over the year, but still ended 2024-25 with a £3.1 billion debt pile.

Morrisons added that on an underlying basis and stripping out costs such as debt interest, its earnings remained flat at £835 million, with progress held back by rising costs and a cyber incident that caused an IT systems outage just before Christmas 2024, impacting product availability.

The group said measures in the 2024 budget, such as last April’s national insurance contributions tax hike and minimum wage rise, sent costs surging by £200 million in the past financial year.

It said it cut costs by £233 million in the year to October 26 and is making further savings over the current financial year to meet its £1 billion target.

This is not set to include job losses among its 95,000-strong workforce, although bosses said the group would not replace some workers as they left in an effort to make savings and as it rolls out initiatives such as electronic shelf price tags.

Over Christmas, the firm said like-for-like sales growth picked up to 3.4% in the crucial six weeks to January 4, helped by strong demand for its own-brand premium range, which saw sales jump 17.4%.

It cheered a “good performance in a competitive market”, with non-food sales also up 10% and its clothing range seeing a 4.7% increase over the Christmas period.

The festive sales jump marked an improvement on trading in the full year to October, when like-for-like sales lifted 2.8%, with growth slowing to 2.4% in the final quarter.

Rami Baitieh, chief executive of Morrisons, said: “In a year when consumers were feeling the squeeze, we grew like-for-like sales for a 12th consecutive quarter, maintained Ebitda (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation) and our market share.”

He said the results “demonstrated our resilience in the face of some tough external headwinds, from the cyber incident, rising inflation and Government cost increases, which we worked hard to offset”.

Mr Baitieh added: “We had a good Christmas in 2025, providing a solid foundation for the first quarter.

“As we enter 2026, the grocery market remains competitive and we are committed to our focus on delivering good value and keeping prices low for customers.”

He said consumers were under pressure at the end of last year, with “the impact of the Government cost increases, with inflation and budget uncertainty all weighing on customer sentiment” and added consumer confidence was still “not at its best” in 2026.

Recent industry data from Worldpanel suggested Morrisons’s market share slipped over Christmas, to 8.5% in the 12 weeks to December 28, down from 8.6% a year earlier despite the sales rise.

The gap with rival Lidl is closing and experts have said the German discounter could overtake Morrisons in the coming months if its current momentum continues.

Morrisons said it cut costs and borrowings in the year to October 26, with its debt now down by 46% from a peak seen in 2022.

Jo Goff, chief financial officer of Morrisons, said: “We worked hard during the year to offset the significant and unexpected cost headwinds arising from the Government’s 2024 budget and other inflationary pressures, with our cost reduction programme delivering savings of £233 million, to take the total to date to £845 million.

“We expect to exceed our £1 billion savings target by the end of 2025-26.”



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