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SBP raises monetary policy rate by 100bps to 11.5% | The Express Tribune

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SBP raises monetary policy rate by 100bps to 11.5% | The Express Tribune


State Bank of Pakistan. Photo: File

In a move that defied market expectations, the State Bank of Pakistan’s (SBP) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) announced a sharp 100 basis point increase in the policy rate, raising it to 11.5%, effective April 28, 2026. The decision, revealed after the MPC meeting held earlier today, caught analysts off guard. 

Arif Habib Limited (AHL) had published a detailed preview arguing forcefully for maintaining the status quo at 10.5%. “Given the supply-driven nature of current inflationary pressures, responding with tightening risks a policy error,” AHL had noted, pointing to transient base effects and contained core inflation.

Arif Habib Limited acknowledged that “calls for tightening have gained some traction, particularly around IMF considerations,” but maintained that at 10.5%, policy was already in restrictive territory. Their survey showed only 17% had predicted a 100 bps hike, with 61% expecting no change.

The SBP’s move signals a decisive pivot, prioritising inflation anchoring over near-term growth support, even as the economy posts a 3.89% GDP expansion in Q2 and a $1.07 billion current account surplus in March.

The next MPC meeting in June, alongside the federal budget, will now be watched closely for any signs of reversal—or further tightening.

Earlier in March, the SBP maintained its policy rate unchanged at 10.5% following its meeting on March 9.

The cautious pause in March was seen as support for ongoing macroeconomic stability efforts, building on prior rate reductions (including the 50 bps cut to 10.5% in December 2025), while allowing time to monitor energy price dynamics, domestic inflation trends, and external account resilience.

The SBP emphasised in its previous many PMC statements a balanced approach to safeguarding price stability while nurturing sustainable growth recovery.





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Gross GST collections hit record high of Rs 2.43 lakh crore in April 2026 despite US-Iran war concerns – The Times of India

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Gross GST collections hit record high of Rs 2.43 lakh crore in April 2026 despite US-Iran war concerns – The Times of India


GST collections (AI image)

GST collections: The gross Goods and Services Tax (GST) collections touched a new high in April, reflecting continued strength in economic activity even in the midst of the ongoing Middle East conflict.According to government data released on Friday, gross GST revenue for the month reached a record Rs 2.43 lakh crore, registering an 8.7% increase over Rs 2.23 lakh crore collected in April last year.After accounting for refunds, net GST collections stood at Rs 2.11 lakh crore, up 7.3% from the corresponding period a year earlier.Refund disbursements during the month rose sharply, climbing 19.3% year-on-year to Rs 31,793 crore.As a result, net GST revenue for April 2026 came in at Rs 2,10,909 crore.Robust revenues from imports played a major role in driving GST collections during the month. Gross receipts from imports climbed sharply by 25.8% to Rs 57,580 crore, while gross domestic GST collections recorded a comparatively moderate increase of 4.3%, reaching Rs 1.85 lakh crore.The net GST revenue from imports surged 42.9%, significantly outpacing the marginal 0.3% rise in net domestic collections.The April performance follows a strong showing in March, when net GST collections stood at Rs 1.78 lakh crore, up 8.2% from a year earlier. Gross collections in that month had also crossed the Rs 2 lakh crore mark.For the full financial year 2025-26, gross GST revenue increased 8.3% year-on-year to Rs 22.27 lakh crore. Net GST collections for the year rose 7.1% to Rs 19.34 lakh crore.Major contributors such as Maharashtra, Karnataka and Gujarat continued to account for a substantial share of total collections.



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Government hikes jet fuel prices by 5% for international airlines – The Times of India

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Government hikes jet fuel prices by 5% for international airlines – The Times of India


NEW DELHI: Government on Friday increased the price Aviation Turbine Fuel for international airlines by 5 per cent.This is the second straight monthly rise amid the global energy crisis.However, there is no change in the ATF price for domestic airlines.ATF prices have been increased by USD 76.55 per kilolitre, or 5.33 per cent, to USD 1511.86 per kl in Delhi, home, according to state-owned oil firms.Under this mechanism, foreign airlines and other carriers will pay market-linked rates, while prices for domestic airlines have been moderated, new agency PTI reported, citing sources.Earlier on April 1, rates for domestic airlines were hiked by 25 per cent to Rs 104,927.18 per kl.Jet fuel prices were deregulated more than two decades ago and have since been linked to international benchmark rates under a written understanding with airlines.However, a surge in global energy prices triggered by the West Asia crisis led to what sources described as the steepest-ever hike in ATF rates, prompting the government and state-run oil companies to take a calibrated approach.Jet fuel prices were deregulated more than two decades ago and have since been linked to international benchmark rates under a written understanding with airlines.



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Windfall gains tax cut: Excise duty on diesel exports down to Rs 23/litre, ATF exports to Rs 33/litre – The Times of India

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Windfall gains tax cut: Excise duty on diesel exports down to Rs 23/litre, ATF exports to Rs 33/litre – The Times of India


The windfall tax was introduced to ensure that adequate domestic supplies of petroleum products remain available. (AI image)

The windfall tax on exports of diesel and aviation turbine fuel (ATF) has been lowered effective May 1, 2026. The excise duty on petrol and diesel sold in the domestic market will remain unchanged. The levy on diesel exports has been reduced to Rs 23 per litre from Rs 55.5 per litre, while the duty on ATF exports has been cut to Rs 33 per litre from the earlier Rs 42 per litre.In a statement, the Finance Ministry also announced that the road and infrastructure cess on diesel exports will be waived for the next fortnight starting May 1. Meanwhile, the export duty on petrol will continue to remain at zero.Earlier, on March 26, the government had imposed export duties of Rs 21.50 per litre on diesel and Rs 29.5 per litre on ATF. These rates were subsequently increased during a review on April 11 to Rs 55.5 per litre for diesel and Rs 42 per litre for ATF.The windfall tax was introduced to ensure that adequate domestic supplies of petroleum products remain available amid supply disruptions arising from the conflict involving the United States, Israel and Iran. It was also intended to prevent exporters from profiting excessively from the widening gap between domestic and international fuel prices as global crude markets rallied sharply.According to the ministry, the export duty framework is aimed at discouraging excessive overseas shipments during the ongoing West Asia crisis, thereby safeguarding domestic fuel availability.Following military strikes by the United States and Israel on Iran on February 28, Tehran responded with extensive retaliation, escalating tensions across the Middle East. India’s oil supply through the Strait of Hormuz remains affected, but its diversified procurement basket and the availability of millions of barrels of Russian crude on water have helped ease the supply bottlenecks for now.Since the outbreak of the conflict, crude oil prices have climbed steeply, rising from around $73 a barrel to a four-year high of $126 a barrel.



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