Connect with us

Business

UK borrowing costs hit 27-year high adding to pressure on Reeves

Published

on

UK borrowing costs hit 27-year high adding to pressure on Reeves


Tom Espiner & Nick EdserBusiness reporters, BBC News

Reuters Chancellor Rachel Reeves wearing a dark blue jacket emerges from the doorway of 11 Downing Street Reuters

UK government borrowing costs have reached their highest level since 1998, adding to the pressure on the chancellor ahead of the Budget.

The interest rate on 30-year government bonds, known as the yield, jumped to 5.698%, making it more expensive for the government to borrow money.

There are rising expectations that Chancellor Rachel Reeves will increase taxes in the Budget later this year in order to meet her borrowing and spending rules, as worries grow about the state of the government’s finances.

On the currency markets, the pound also fell more than 1% against the dollar on Tuesday.

Sterling dropped to $1.3379, which is the lowest level against the US currency since 7 August.

The UK was not alone in seeing borrowing costs rise, with yields on 30-year German, French and Dutch bonds climbing to their highest 2011.

A number of factors have led to borrowing costs for governments around the globe to go up, such as geopolitical tensions, US President Donald Trump’s trade policies and the upcoming confidence vote in the French government.

‘Difficult choices’

But Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets at Hargreaves Lansdown, said the chancellor faced “highly difficult choices” in the Budget and that she had been “dealt a warning” by investors.

“They are selling off UK government debt, clearly concerned that the government may be losing its grip on the public finances,” she said.

In its manifesto, Labour promised not to raise taxes such as income tax, VAT or national insurance on “working people”. This has led to much speculation over what taxes Reeves could raise in the autumn Budget.

One option suggested is that the freeze on income tax thresholds, which is due to end in 2028, could be extended.

Often referred to as a “stealth tax”, freezing income tax thresholds means that, over time as salaries rise, more people are dragged into paying higher rates.

There have also been reports that Reeves is considering reforming property taxes.

“With so many options for raising taxes being bandied about during the summer, there appears to be concern that the decisions made might not be sufficiently thought through,” said Ms Streeter.

“The worry isn’t just that government coffers won’t be replenished, but that they will be filled at the expense of growth, leading to a vicious circle emerging.”

On Monday, the government announced a partial reshuffle, with Darren Jones, formerly Reeves’s deputy, being given a key No 10 role by the prime minister.

The changes are focused on beefing up the economic know-how in Downing Street. Baroness Shafik, a former deputy governor of the Bank of England, has been named at Keir Starmer’s new chief economic adviser.

The moves are a recognition that the upcoming autumn’s Budget will be a defining moment in this Labour government.

Governments borrow money from investors by selling bonds – which is a loan the government promises to pay back at the end of an agreed time.

The yield on 30-year UK government bonds – known as gilts – has been rising for some months, and this makes it more expensive for the government to borrow money due to higher interest payments.

The government’s official forecaster, the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), takes borrowing costs into account when looking at whether the chancellor is meeting her self-imposed fiscal rules.

When she became chancellor, Reeves set out two rules on government borrowing, which she has repeatedly said are “non-negotiable”. These were:

  • day-to-day government costs will be paid for by tax income, rather than borrowing by 2029-30
  • to get debt falling as a share of national income by the end of this parliament in 2029-30

Part of the reason Reeves is under pressure is that her financial buffer to stick to these rules is a relatively slim £10bn. The chancellor recently refused to rule out tax rises after disappointing data on economic growth.

On Tuesday, a spokesperson for Starmer said the government’s “iron-clad commitment to our robust fiscal rules remains”, adding it had made the necessary decisions to “stabilise the public finances”.

But shadow chancellor Mel Stride said the latest market movements were “another economic disaster from Rachel Reeves – and a clear vote of no confidence in Labour from the markets”.

“With more tax rises on the horizon, the economy is now in a precarious position,” he added.

There has been a wide range of forecasts for how much money Reeves might need to raise in the Budget to meet her rules.

One factor that will influence this is the borrowing costs facing the government.

When the OBR makes makes its forecasts for government debt it looks at yields on all bonds.

Paul Dales, chief UK economist at Capital Economics, said concerns about the path of UK inflation and interest rates, combined with global issues, were pushing UK government borrowing costs up.

In addition, he added that pension funds were also not buying as much long-term government debt due to the change in recent years from defined-benefit to defined-contribution schemes.

Mr Dales said Reeves would have to raise between £18bn and £28bn in the Budget to avoid breaking her fiscal rules, and to maintain her £10bn buffer.

Households and banks “will probably feel the brunt of the higher taxes”, he said.



Source link

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Business

Interest rate cuts not on the horizon, Bank of England governor says

Published

on

Interest rate cuts not on the horizon, Bank of England governor says



Reopening the Strait of Hormuz is “the best thing to do” to prevent interest rates rising, Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey has said.

In an interview on Thursday evening after the Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted unanimously to leave the rate unchanged at 3.75%, Mr Bailey said any further cuts are “not on the horizon” as he hinted at possible hikes.

It is the first time that all members have voted the same way since September 2021.

Iran effectively closed the vital oil and gas shipping route after the US and Israel attacked the country, which has pushed up global prices.

Mr Bailey said the war in the Middle East is hitting petrol pumps now, will likely increase household energy costs in summer, and put pressure on food prices.

He told LBC’s Andrew Marr: “The duration of this problem is crucial.

“I would also say very clearly that the best way to solve this situation is not through monetary policy. It is through sorting out at the source of what’s going on.

“Frankly, reopening the Strait of Hormuz is the best thing to do. Get the energy market back on its normal footing, as it were.”

Asked if he has a message for US President Donald Trump, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, and “whoever’s in charge in Tehran”, Mr Bailey said: “The best thing we can do actually for the world economy… is to sort out the problem in terms of reopening the energy supply lines, because that is in the best interest of people in the world.”

UK military planners have joined the US Central Command to help formulate proposals for opening the Strait.

The MPC now expects Consumer Prices Index inflation to be around 3% in the second quarter of 2026, up from the 2.1% that had been forecast in February, with a potential rise in inflation up to 3.5% in the third quarter.

Mr Bailey was asked if he foresees, in the final two years of his term, the ambition to reduce inflation to at or below 2% being fulfilled.

He told the programme: “If you’d asked me this question three weeks ago, I was very optimistic on this.”

The governor added: “We are fully committed to the inflation target, and our job, frankly, is to deal with the shocks as they come along.

“I have to do that. I don’t wish them. I wish they were not happening, but they are and we will have to deal with them.”

He said the impact of the war will likely feed through into a higher Ofgem energy price cap from July.

It was put to Mr Bailey that the Middle East crisis comes at a time when the UK economy has already “not been growing strongly”.

He responded: “It is a very difficult time to have this happen, but frankly, any time would be pretty difficult to have this happen.

“This is a major shock to energy prices, and we have to deal with it.”

He said the “sustainable rate of growth” in the UK needs to be raised which could come from investment from pensions and artificial intelligence.

“I’m not starry-eyed about it, but it is probably the most likely area that we’re going to raise the growth rate of the economy and that’s important”, he said of AI.

The MPC signalled that if the conflict persists and has a bigger impact on UK prices, it would need to take a “more restrictive policy stance”, which indicates higher interest rates to control inflation.

The governor added: “The longer it goes on… I’m afraid to say, but it is rather an obvious point, the effect will be larger.”

He said that is why it is “imperative” that “everything is done that can be done to alleviate this effect”, adding: “That is the critical thing.”



Source link

Continue Reading

Business

Video: The Effects of High Oil Prices

Published

on

Video: The Effects of High Oil Prices


new video loaded: The Effects of High Oil Prices

Our chief economics correspondent, Ben Casselman, breaks down how gasoline prices have responded to the oil crisis in the Persian Gulf, and what is in store for inflation if the price of oil remains above $100 per barrel.

By Ben Casselman, Sutton Raphael, James Surdam, Joey Sendaydiego, Estelle Caswell and June Kim

March 19, 2026



Source link

Continue Reading

Business

FDA approves higher dose version of weight loss drug Wegovy as Novo Nordisk tries to win back market share

Published

on

FDA approves higher dose version of weight loss drug Wegovy as Novo Nordisk tries to win back market share


The logo of pharmaceutical company Novo Nordisk is displayed in front of its offices in Bagsvaerd, Copenhagen, Denmark, Feb. 4, 2026.

Tom Little | Reuters

The Food and Drug Administration on Thursday approved a higher-dose version of Novo Nordisk‘s blockbuster weight loss injection Wegovy, as the company pushes to win back market share from chief rival Eli Lilly.

Novo expects to launch the higher, 7.2-milligram dose of Wegovy in April. The Danish drugmaker is positioning that version to better compete with Lilly’s obesity drug Zepbound, which has proven to be more effective at promoting weight loss than the standard, 2.4-milligram dose of Wegovy.

That higher efficacy has helped Zepbound become the preferred obesity medication among prescribers and patients, even though it entered the U.S. market later than Wegovy, and has solidified Lilly’s position as the dominant player in the space.

The high-dose Wegovy helped patients with obesity lose an average 20.7% of their weight after 72 weeks in a phase three trial. The standard dose of Wegovy has shown around 15% weight loss on average in clinical trials.

More CNBC health coverage

“I think it really makes it more competitive, and it really reduces the delta there,” Dr. Jason Brett, principal U.S. medical head at Novo Nordisk, said in an interview Thursday ahead of the approval.

“But even more importantly, I think it just gives patients another option if they’re not reaching their targets, and achieving some of these higher weight losses for certain patients,” he added.

In a separate phase three trial on patients with obesity and Type 2 diabetes, high-dose Wegovy demonstrated an average weight loss of 14.1%. People with diabetes typically have a harder time losing weight than people without the condition.

It marks the first approval of a GLP-1 treatment under the FDA’s new national priority voucher plan that aims to cut drug review times to one to two months for companies the agency says are supporting U.S. national health priorities. The FDA launched the pilot plan in June.

Choose CNBC as your preferred source on Google and never miss a moment from the most trusted name in business news.



Source link

Continue Reading

Trending