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Global cotton production, stocks to fall; consumption to rise: WASDE

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Global cotton production, stocks to fall; consumption to rise: WASDE



The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) has projected lower global cotton production and ending stocks, along with higher consumption, for the 2026–27 marketing year. The latest World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report presents a bullish outlook, largely driven by tightening global cotton supplies.

As the May report marks the official debut of the 2026/27 forecast, all figures are being compared year-on-year (YoY) with the 2025/26 season. Such YoY comparison is standard for the May release, as it establishes the initial baseline for the new crop cycle before month-on-month tracking begins from June onwards.

United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) has forecast lower global cotton production and ending stocks, alongside higher consumption for 2026/27, indicating tighter global supplies.
The WASDE report projects world output at 116 million bales and consumption at a six-year high of 121.7 million bales, supported by higher synthetic fibre costs and stronger cotton demand.

According to the first report for next marketing year 2026-27, world cotton production is forecasted to decline by 5 per cent to 116.0 million bales of 480 pounds or 220 kg each. This production drop is attributed to lower output in major exporting countries, including Australia, Brazil, China, Pakistan, and the US, which is more than offset gains in India and Argentina. Conversely, the global consumption forecast is raised to a six-year high of 121.7 million bales. This demand surge is driven by an oil supply shock that has increased the cost of synthetic fibres, making cotton more price-competitive for global textile manufacturers.

The tightening market is further reflected in global ending stocks, which are projected to fall by 5.4 million bales to 71.8 million bales due to production shortfalls in key regions. In the export market, Brazil is expected to lead with 15 million bales, followed by the US at 12.3 million bales.

Meanwhile US cotton production for 2026-27 is projected at 13.3 million bales, down 600,000 bales from the 2025-26 season, while US ending stocks are also expected to move lower to 3.9 million bales. Reflecting these tighter supplies, the season-average farm price is forecast to rise significantly to 73 cents per pound, up from the 61 cents per pound recorded in the previous marketing year.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (KUL)



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India’s FY26 GDP growth estimated at 7.5%: SBI

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India’s FY26 GDP growth estimated at 7.5%: SBI



Despite global headwinds, the Indian economy has maintained strong growth momentum, according to a newsletter released by State Bank of India (SBI), which said high-frequency activity data indicates resilient economic activity, with minor decline in the fourth quarter (Q4) of fiscal 2025-26 (FY26).

Rural consumption remains strong, driven by positive signals from farm and non-farm activity. Supported by fiscal stimulus, urban consumption shows a consistent uptick since the last festive season, the newsletter noted.

Overall, it expects Q4 FY26 real gross domestic product (GDP) growth of closer to 7.2 per cent and nowcasts full year FY27 GDP growth rate of 6.6 per cent. FY26 GDP growth is likely to be at 7.5 per cent.

Despite global headwinds, India has maintained strong growth momentum, an SBI newsletter said.
Rural consumption remains strong and urban consumption shows a consistent uptick since the last festive season.
It expects Q4 FY26 real GDP growth of closer to 7.2 per cent and nowcasts FY27 GDP growth rate of 6.6 per cent.
FY26 GDP growth is likely to be at 7.5 per cent.

It is high time for the country to rededicate towards artificial intelligence-led productivity gains, competitiveness and global value chain integration, the newsletter mentioned.

With a consumption boost by the government through goods and services tax, credit continued to grow in the second half (H2) of FY26. The same trend is continuing now, and credit grew by 16 per cent as of April 30, 2026.

However, the credit growth is expected to remain robust during the H1 FY27 and will decline in H2 with high base effect. The full year, credit growth is expected at 13-14 per cent, as per the newsletter.

Domestic consumption is expected to hold GDP growth upwards, despite external crisis, especially the Middle East crisis.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DS)



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Bangladesh RMG sector to adopt blockchain-based transparency & DPP

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Bangladesh RMG sector to adopt blockchain-based transparency & DPP



Bangladesh’s readymade garment (RMG) sector is set to adopt blockchain-based transparency and Digital Product Passport (DPP) capabilities after the Bangladesh Garment Manufacturers and Exporters Association (BGMEA) signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with Dutch supply chain traceability platform AWARE.

The initiative aims to help Bangladesh’s garment exporters comply with the European Union’s mandatory DPP regulation, which will come into force in 2027. The agreement was signed in Dhaka by BGMEA Vice President Vidiya Amrit Khan and AWARE Founder and Managing Director Feico van der Veen.

Bangladesh’s readymade garment (RMG) sector is set to adopt blockchain-based transparency and Digital Product Passport (DPP) systems ahead of the European Union’s 2027 regulations.
BGMEA and Dutch traceability platform AWARE signed an MoU to enable end-to-end traceability of fibres, yarns, and garments through blockchain-backed digital records, helping exporters strengthen compliance.

Under the partnership, BGMEA member factories will be able to generate blockchain-anchored digital records tracing garments from fibre origin to finished products. The system will provide verified information on raw material sourcing, production processes, and environmental footprint through QR-code-enabled Digital Product Passports.

The move is significant for Bangladesh’s garment industry, which depends heavily on imported fibres and yarns from countries such as China and India. Through blockchain-backed data tokens created at the fibre and yarn production stage, traceable information will move across borders along with physical shipments, enabling end-to-end supply chain visibility.

According to BGMEA, the adoption of blockchain-based traceability will help garment manufacturers improve transparency, strengthen compliance, and position Bangladesh as a reliable sourcing destination for European brands facing stricter sustainability and traceability requirements under the EU’s Ecodesign for Sustainable Products Regulation (ESPR).

The agreement also ensures that factories retain ownership and control over all production data generated through the platform. Pilot projects involving selected spinners and garment manufacturers are expected to begin immediately to develop cross-border fibre-to-garment DPP supply chains connecting Bangladesh with European buyers.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (CG)



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Australian wool prices slip as fine merino demand weakens

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Australian wool prices slip as fine merino demand weakens



Australia wool prices eased in Week 46 of May 2026 as weaker demand for fine and medium Merino fleece weighed on the market, while stronger interest in crossbred wool and carding types limited broader declines, according to AWI (Australian Wool Innovation) Commentary for week 46 (May 2026).

The Eastern Market Indicator (EMI) fell by 10 Australian cents to 1,876 ac/kg clean during the week. The US dollar-denominated EMI also declined by 10 US cents to 1,358 USc/kg clean. The Western Market Indicator (WMI) recorded the sharpest regional correction, dropping 22 ac/kg and 19 USc/kg.

Across the offering, Merino fleece wool softened, particularly in the medium Merino segment where buyer resistance became more evident. Fine Merino wool in the 16.5–19.0-micron range generally declined by 15–20 cents, while broader medium Merino categories between 19.5 and 21.0 microns fell by 25–30 cents across most selling centres. Despite the softer tone, trading remained selective rather than broadly weak.

Australia’s wool market eased in Week 46 of May 2026, with the Eastern Market Indicator falling 10 cents to 1,876 ac/kg clean as fine and medium Merino fleece prices weakened.
However, gains in crossbred wool and carding indicators helped limit overall losses.
Buyers remained selective, favouring lower-cost fibre blends amid manufacturing margin pressure and a stronger Australian dollar.

In contrast, crossbred wool ranging from 25–32 microns extended recent gains, rising by 20–25 cents in several categories. Southern 25-micron wool increased by as much as 50 cents during the week. Carding indicators also strengthened between 5 and 18 cents depending on the region, reflecting continued demand for lower-cost processing and blending wool.

Market analysts noted that buyers were not retreating from wool overall but were becoming increasingly selective at current fine wool price levels. Mills were seen shifting towards cheaper fibre blend categories such as crossbreds and cardings while resisting expensive fine Merino purchases, amid ongoing manufacturing margin pressure and efforts to manage input costs.

The stronger Australian dollar also added pressure on exporters and offshore buyers, contributing to cautious purchasing activity during the week.

Next week’s auction roster is expected to offer 31,334 bales, with Fremantle scheduled to sell on Tuesday only, while Sydney and Melbourne will conduct sales across Tuesday and Wednesday.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (CG)



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