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ADB investment puts Pakistan Railways back on track | The Express Tribune

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ADB investment puts Pakistan Railways back on track | The Express Tribune



KARACHI:

Pakistan’s railway sector, long described as the backbone of national connectivity, is again moving to the forefront of policy debates as the government turns to the Asian Development Bank (ADB) for support.

Years of underinvestment, safety lapses, and the stalling of promised Chinese funds have left Pakistan Railways in a precarious state, forcing policymakers to look elsewhere. Officials confirm that Islamabad is seeking a $2 billion package from the ADB to begin long-awaited modernisation works, most notably on the Karachi-to-Peshawar Main Line-1 (ML-1) route.

The development comes at a time when fiscal pressures, declining freight revenues, and growing competition from road transport have left the railways struggling to perform their role as a cost-effective logistics provider.

Once considered a symbol of national pride, Pakistan Railways now carries around 70 million passengers annually but operates on outdated tracks and antiquated signaling systems. The freight side of operations, which used to generate the bulk of revenue in the 1960s, has collapsed to less than a tenth of overall business, pushing industry and traders onto highways.

This shift has come at a steep cost: logistics expenses in Pakistan are estimated to be about 35% higher than the South Asian regional average, eroding export competitiveness and putting pressure on sectors such as textiles and agriculture. The decaying system has also reduced safety, with derailments and breakdowns becoming more common, further weakening public trust in rail travel.

The ML-1 project has been on the table for years under the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), initially tagged at $6.8 billion but now estimated to exceed $9 billion due to repeated delays and cost escalations. China had long been expected to bankroll the project as part of its Belt and Road Initiative, but its disbursements have slowed dramatically amid Pakistan’s worsening fiscal situation and Beijing’s own economic recalibrations.

The ADB’s decision to intervene, therefore, represents more than just a financial transaction. It reflects Islamabad’s growing reliance on multilateral lenders at a time when bilateral commitments have become uncertain. Analysts suggest the shift also diversifies Pakistan’s options and reduces overdependence on a single source of funding.

The proposed ADB package would target three areas: rehabilitation of ML-1 to allow faster and safer travel, development of a dedicated freight corridor to take pressure off highways, and the introduction of digital systems to monitor and secure railway operations. If executed properly, these changes could enable passenger trains to run at up to 160 kilometres per hour, cut travel time on key routes nearly by half, and encourage a revival of rail-based logistics.

Exporters, especially in the textile sector that accounts for nearly 60% of Pakistan’s exports, see in this a chance to reduce delays and cut costs associated with moving goods to Karachi Port. Improved connectivity between port cities and inland hubs such as Faisalabad and Multan could also enhance Pakistan’s role as a trade corridor linking South Asia with Central Asia.

Economists argue that the benefits go far beyond efficiency. Infrastructure investment of this scale has a multiplier effect, which generates tens of thousands of construction jobs and stimulates industries such as steel, cement, and services. A stronger railway backbone would also reduce the environmental toll of excessive trucking, lowering fuel consumption and emissions.

In a country where energy imports weigh heavily on the balance of payments, the savings could be significant. For passengers, meanwhile, modernised trains and safer systems would restore confidence in a service many have abandoned in favour of buses or private transport.

Pakistan’s external debt now exceeds $130 billion, much of it owed to multilateral lenders, and the repayment capacity remains a concern. While ADB loans are typically concessional, offering softer terms than commercial borrowing, they still require discipline in implementation.

Critics note that past railway projects have often been marred by inefficiency, corruption, and bureaucratic inertia. Without proper oversight and reform, there is a risk that even low-cost financing could add to the country’s debt burden without delivering transformative results. Transparency advocates are calling for the independent monitoring of funds to ensure they are not wasted.

China’s sidelined role also adds a geopolitical dimension. Over the past decade, Beijing has invested more than $25 billion in Pakistan, largely in energy and infrastructure, but its pace of financing has slowed markedly. Analysts attribute this partly to Pakistan’s fragile fiscal position, which increases repayment risks, and partly to China’s shifting global priorities as its own economy faces headwinds.

Some experts argue that China has not abandoned CPEC altogether but is recalibrating its involvement, focusing on selective projects while encouraging Pakistan to diversify its financing sources. In this context, the ADB’s re-emergence as a key financier could be seen less as a replacement and more as a complement to future Chinese investments.

There are lessons to draw. Bangladesh and India have both secured ADB support for rail and metro upgrades, with visible success in enhancing efficiency and safety. Pakistan has lagged behind, partly because of political instability and partly due to a centralised management structure that has resisted reform.

The ADB’s involvement might serve as leverage for Islamabad to introduce governance changes, open space for private sector participation, and embrace technology-driven solutions. Without such reforms, financial injections alone may not lead to the desired turnaround.

The writer is a member of PEC and holds a Master’s in Engineering



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Asian stocks today: Markets inch higher on US-Iran peace hopes; Nikkei jumps 2%, HSI adds 360 points – The Times of India

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Asian stocks today: Markets inch higher on US-Iran peace hopes; Nikkei jumps 2%, HSI adds 360 points – The Times of India


Asian stocks edged higher on Thursday, as investor sentiments were lifted by hopes of United States and Iran extending their ceasefire and moving a step closer to reopening the crucial Strait of Hormuz. The gains were led by Japan’s Nikkei, which was up 1,214 points or 2% to 59,348. In South Korea, Kospi jumped 1.7% to 6,195. Hang Seng Index of Hong Kong, followed the rally, adding, 360 points. Shanghai and Shenzhen were also trading in green, up 0.5% and 1%. Meanwhile, Singapore’s benchmark STI recorded a marginal dip, down 1 point as of 10:30 am IST.The broader rally across the region came after a strong session on Wall Street, where benchmark indices touched all-time highs. While S&P 500 closed above the 7,000 mark, Nasdaq ended higher than 24,000.Attention is pinned on diplomatic efforts to end the Middle East conflict, which is now nearing its seventh week. Officials from Washington and Tehran are expected to convene in Islamabad for a second round of talks, with both sides exploring a pathway to de-escalation.White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said that further negotiations “would very likely” take place in the Pakistani capital. “Those discussions are being had,” she noted, adding that “we feel good about the prospects of a deal”.US Vice President JD Vance, who led the earlier round of negotiations, described the proposal on the table as a “grand bargain” aimed at ending the conflict.A Pakistani delegation has arrived in Tehran carrying a fresh communication from Washington, after US President Donald Trump indicated talks could restart this week. An Iranian foreign ministry spokesman said “several messages” had been exchanged through Islamabad since discussions concluded on Sunday.However, tensions have not eased entirely as Iran warned it could extend disruptions beyond the Gulf by shutting down the Red Sea and the Sea of Oman unless the United States removes a naval blockade imposed on its ports after last weekend’s failed negotiations.On the economic front, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva cautioned that “tough times ahead” could follow if the conflict continues and energy prices remain high, adding that inflation risks may begin to affect food costs.In commodities, oil prices remained largely unchanged and stayed below $100 per barrel, as traders continued to watch developments around the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial route for around a fifth of global oil and gas supplies that has effectively been closed by Iran.



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Pine Labs, Groww & more: Top stocks to watch on April 16 – The Times of India

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Pine Labs, Groww & more: Top stocks to watch on April 16 – The Times of India


Citigroup initiated its coverage of Pine Labs with a buy rating and a target price of Rs 235. Analysts said that India’s payments fintech is on a monetization improvement trajectory, with leading players increasingly entrenched in respective core areas of leadership. While product, services and distribution build-outs into comprehensive plays will continue across the fintech ecosystem, large players don’t face significant disruption risks owing to: Across-the-board profitability push; rising regulatory costs and compliance requirements; and stickiness borne out of integration into enterprise business workflows. Further, while consumer payments have seen flux in competitive positioning in the past decade, there have been relatively fewer changes in positioning and leadership within segments in merchant payments.BoFA Securities has initiated its coverage of Groww (Billionbrains Garage Ventures) with a buy rating and a target price of Rs 235. Analysts said Groww is well positioned to capitalize on India’s retail investing tailwinds and they expect compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) for revenue at 30% over FY26-FY28. The company produces best-in-class profitability with further upside from operating leverage. Analysts have valued Groww at 39x FY28E price-to-earnings. They, however, said that the near-term risks for the stock are a weak capital market performance and the expiry of the six-month lock-in of shares post-IPO.Elara Capital initiated its coverage of Jindal Saw with a buy rating and a target price of Rs 280. Analysts said earnings recovery is expected over FY27–FY28, driven by water, and oil & gas demand. The company’s order book is at an all-time high, indicating strong visibility. They also feel Jal Jeevan Mission spending revival to drive domestic pipe demand, while the global pipeline capex is supported by energy security concerns. Analysts also pointed out that exports are rising, with diversification reducing dependence on domestic capex. The company’s capacity expansion to support margins and operating leverage. They feel the stock’s valuations are attractive, with rerating potential driven by execution and growth.Jefferies has downgraded Indus Towers to underperform from buy with a target price cut to Rs 375 from Rs 530. Analysts downgrade the stock due to site-renewal risks bunched up over second half of 2026 (H2CY26) and first half of 2027 (H1CY27) which could impact revenues and growth. Elevated capex levels due to higher growth and maintenance capex which will impact earnings growth as well free cash flow and payouts. They cut Indus Towers’ revenue and profit after tax (PAT) estimates by 2-6% to factor renewal risks post which stock offers 3% EPS growth and a 4% yield. They said risks on growth outlook should weigh on re-rating potential too.Kotak Institutional Equities has a buy on Ujjivan SFB with a target price of Rs 72. Analysts said that the RBI has returned Ujjivan SFB’s application for a universal bank license, citing need for further loan portfolio diversification. While the outcome is clearly not favourable, the regulator has flagged no concerns relating to governance, compliance or operational soundness. Analysts said their investment thesis did not factor in any benefit from a potential transition to a universal bank. Hence, they maintained a buy but remained watchful of any sharp changes in asset mix strategy in response to RBI’s feedback.(Disclaimer: Recommendations and views on the stock market, other asset classes or personal finance management tips given by experts are their own. These opinions do not represent the views of The Times of India)



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China’s hits economic growth target despite Iran war disruption

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China’s hits economic growth target despite Iran war disruption



The better-than-expected GDP data comes as Asian countries have been hit hard by the impact of the conflict.



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