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Auto financing hits 25-month high | The Express Tribune

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Auto financing hits 25-month high | The Express Tribune



KARACHI:

Auto financing continued its upward trajectory, hitting a 25-month high of Rs286 billion in July 2025, according to the latest data released by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) and compiled by Topline Research.

The July 2025 figures mark a 25% year-on-year (YoY) increase and a 3% month-on-month (MoM) rise, highlighting improving consumer appetite for car purchases amid an easing interest rate environment. This is the highest level since June 2023, when financing stood at Rs285 billion.

Despite the rebound, auto financing remains 22% lower than the all-time peak of Rs368 billion recorded in June 2022, when aggressive consumer borrowing coincided with strong vehicle demand. The subsequent decline was triggered by soaring borrowing costs, import restrictions on raw materials and automotive parts, and a broader economic slowdown that severely dented car sales and leasing activity.

Analysts believe the recent turnaround reflects recovering consumer confidence, driven by declining interest rates following the SBP’s monetary easing cycle, as well as stabilisation in the exchange rate and gradual improvement in supply chains. Auto financing is finally showing signs of recovery after two years of contraction. The consistent monthly growth suggests that demand is returning, and this momentum is likely to continue if monetary easing persists.

“The recovery reflects improving consumer demand amid falling interest rates and is expected to further lift auto sector sentiment, with stronger sales and earnings outlook for listed companies,” said market experts at Topline Research. The revival in auto financing is expected to boost sentiment in the automobile sector, which has faced one of its toughest downturns in recent history. Listed auto assemblers and allied sectors, such as parts manufacturers, may benefit through improved sales volumes and a stronger earnings outlook in the coming quarters.

Industry observers caution, however, that sustained growth will depend on further cuts in financing rates, stable macroeconomic conditions, and consumer purchasing power. With auto financing back on the rise, the sector may be entering a new growth cycle, giving much-needed support to Pakistan’s struggling economy.

Commenting on the recent rise in auto financing, auto industry expert Mashood Ali Khan said that while the sector is seeing renewed momentum, several economic challenges remain.

He noted that car financing had touched Rs360 billion in 2022, and to return to that level, Pakistan would require single-digit interest rates, compared with the current 11%. “If interest rates fall further, automobile sales will definitely get a boost. However, the industry faces very difficult challenges,” he said. Khan highlighted that despite some improvement, Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves have not grown significantly, while budgetary measures tied to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) programme are gradually increasing import pressures. He warned that although inflation has been contained, a rapid cut in interest rates could reignite price pressures in the auto sector.

“The rupee has remained stable around 280, which is positive, but sustaining this stability will be difficult if inflation rises again,” he added. Another key obstacle, according to him, is that purchasing power has not improved sufficiently, leaving a gap between demand potential and actual consumer affordability.

He also stressed the need for policy stability to restore the confidence of industrialists and investors. “Sometimes imports of used cars are opened, sometimes restricted. This inconsistency shakes business trust. Over the past two and a half years, many industrialists and skilled youth have left the country,” he remarked.

Khan emphasised that to counter the challenges from lower interest rates, Pakistan must strengthen exports, an area that requires long-term planning, incentives, and facilitation in special economic zones. He also pointed to the concerns raised by chambers of commerce in recent months over unfriendly regulations, underlining the importance of supportive policies for SMEs and industrial protection.

“The direction is right, but stability and continuity in policies are crucial,” Khan concluded.



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SBP receives final $1bn from Saudi Arabia, bringing total deposit reaches $3bn – SUCH TV

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SBP receives final bn from Saudi Arabia, bringing total deposit reaches bn – SUCH TV



The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) has received $1 billion from the Ministry of Finance of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, marking the second tranche of a $3 billion deposit agreed recently, the central bank said on Tuesday.

According to the statement issued by the central bank, the second tranche was received with a value date of April 20, 2026.

The first tranche of $2 billion had already been received on April 15, 2026, bringing the total inflows under the arrangement to $3 billion.

The development comes days after Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s visit to Saudi Arabia, where he engaged in diplomatic efforts aimed at promoting regional peace.

During his visit, the premier met Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in Jeddah and expressed appreciation for the Kingdom’s continued support for Pakistan’s economic stability. He also conveyed solidarity with Saudi Arabia in light of recent regional developments.

Earlier on April 16, Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb had announced that Saudi Arabia would provide $3 billion in additional financial support, with disbursement expected shortly.

He also noted that Riyadh had extended the tenure of its existing $5 billion deposit, removing the earlier annual rollover requirement.

The Saudi funding has strengthened Pakistan’s external position as it repaid $2 billion in debt to the United Arab Emirates (UAE).

The amount was kept with the central banks as a safe deposit.

Saudi Arabia has been a key financial partner for Pakistan, having provided support packages during previous economic challenges, including a $6 billion assistance programme in 2018 comprising deposits and oil facility arrangements.



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How Trump’s psychedelics executive order could unlock stalled cannabis reform

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How Trump’s psychedelics executive order could unlock stalled cannabis reform


Advocates attend a news conference about the “impact of incarcerating those charged with marijuana-related offenses,” and policy reform ideas, outside the U.S. Capitol on April 20, 2026.

Tom Williams | CQ-Roll Call, Inc. | Getty Images

A White House executive order on psychedelics, signed by President Donald Trump on Saturday, aims to speed up research on drugs like psilocybin, MDMA and ibogaine, helping to legitimize an industry that’s long lived largely underground.

But it also raises a broader question: Will psychedelics fall victim, like cannabis has, to a slow-moving federal process?

The latest executive order comes roughly four months after an effort by President Trump to reschedule cannabis, opening the door to greater research and investment opportunities. But since that directive, progress to reclassify cannabis has largely stalled, with the Drug Enforcement Administration review still ongoing and no final decision on moving marijuana from Schedule I to the lesser Schedule III.

The delay reflects how drug policy often slows once it enters interagency review, where scientific evaluation, legal standards and politics meet.

“The process has certainly been slow and frustrating for stakeholders when you consider they have spent decades fighting marijuana’s outrageous 1970s-era misclassification,” said Shawn Hauser, partner at cannabis law firm Vicente LLP.

Vicente LLP also serves as legal counsel for the National Compassionate Care Council, or NCCC, a coalition of health-care stakeholders focused on evidence-based cannabis policy.

The psychedelics order, however, focuses on research acceleration rather than legalization. It directs agencies like the U.S. Food and Drug Administration to expand clinical trials and “Right to Try” access for patients with serious mental health conditions, while leaving drug scheduling unchanged.

AtaiBeckley is among a number of psychedelics-focused drug developers whose stock is rallying since the order was signed over the weekend, up roughly 25% Monday. Several smaller-market cap stocks also jumped, including Compass Pathways, Definium Therapeutics and U.S.-listed shares of Cybin.

Hauser said the recent psychedelics order reflects a broader shift in Washington toward a medical-first framework and could mark a path forward for cannabis rescheduling.

“The science-, patient-, health-care-first approach is winning in Washington right now,” she said.

“The psychedelic pathway — built on physician-led protocols, clinical research and compassionate use frameworks — is actually a model cannabis advocates should be studying and adopting more aggressively,” Hauser said.

Safety first

Trump’s psychedelics measure has drawn particular attention for its inclusion of ibogaine, a powerful, naturally occurring psychoactive compound with long-standing safety concerns.

The drug is being studied for its applications with post-traumatic stress disorder, depression and addiction, but cardiac risks flagged by Nora Volkow of the National Institute on Drug Abuse remain a major barrier.

That tension is heightened by the expansion of “Right to Try” access, a federal law allowing patients diagnosed with life-threatening diseases or conditions to try experimental drugs when no other treatments work. This distinction typically applies only after Phase I trials are successful.

Ibogaine has struggled to meet that criteria, since most of the research into the drug has been conducted outside the U.S.

Psychedelic industry leaders say the order is meaningful, but the full impacts are still unknown until implementation catches up to prove scientific value.

“The opportunity now is not hype, it’s execution: rigorous science, disciplined safety standards, physician-led protocols and real-world outcome data,” said Tom Feegel, CEO of clinical neurohealth center Beond.

Beond, based in Cancun, Mexico, specializes in ibogaine therapy.

Feegel added that while the executive order signals legitimacy at the highest level of government, the next phase is critical.

Psychedelics still lack a commercial market, though clinical-stage developers, like AtaiBeckley, Compass and GH Research, are emerging. Many prioritize research around less controversial psychedelics like psilocybin and MDMA derivatives for mental health treatment.

U.S. states have been weighing the space, too. Colorado advanced regulated psychedelic access for its residents in 2022, while a Massachusetts ballot measure failed in 2024 with 56% of voters rejecting the access.

Cannabis, by contract, already has a multibillion-dollar adult-use industry across dozens of states, giving it a significant head start even as federal rescheduling remains unresolved.

Hauser argued the two industries are ultimately reinforcing one another.

“The two regulatory tracks aren’t in conflict,” she said. “Both are advancing the broader legitimacy of plant-based alternative medicines, and the infrastructure being built for one will inevitably support the other.”

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Hormuz disruptions hit China’s Christmas capital — and holiday spending

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Hormuz disruptions hit China’s Christmas capital — and holiday spending


Christmas is still eight months away, but artificial tree maker Lou Liping is already worried about a bad holiday season due to the Iran war.

Lou’s company, Kitty Christmas Factory, has been making artificial trees for the U.S. and European markets for nearly three decades. Her facility is based in the city of Yiwu, known as China’s Christmas capital.

“Many customers … are holding off on orders,” she told CNBC last Friday at her showroom in the city’s international expo center. The center houses hundreds of manufacturers that contribute to the country’s vast production of the world’s artificial trees, tinsel, ornaments and other decorations.

An estimated 87% of Christmas decor sold in the U.S. is sourced from China, according to the American Christmas Tree Association, with much of it from Yiwu.

Lou said the disrupted shipping in the Strait of Hormuz and high oil prices due to the Iran conflict have raised her costs per tree by 10%. The base material of her trees is PET plastic derived from oil. The price of the PET in her artificial pine needles is up 5%, and the cost of the plastic used as packaging for shipments is up 15%, she said.

Lou said her revenue is down roughly 12% because of the lost orders.

Yiwu’s factories normally gear up in the spring to make sure that their products are on store shelves for the Christmas shopping season.

“The war happened at a bad time — right when we need to get our shipments out,” tinsel maker Yun Zhuomei told CNBC from her booth at the expo center. “It’s very painful for us manufacturers.”

Yun said plastic prices for her tinsel are up as much as 40%. 

Chen Lian, who makes Christmas lights, said she fears further price increases, with suppliers all moving up delivery schedules to accommodate customers worried about transport delays.

“Everyone needs to deliver between May and August so demand is concentrated,” Chen said. “Material prices are bound to go up.”

To adjust, artificial tree maker Lou said she has accelerated shipments. And when her contracts with customers allow, she passes on some cost. For next year, she said she aims to design a wider variety of lower-end trees so more people can afford her products.

But for this season, Lou said American shoppers will likely be stuck paying at least 15% more.

“The price of Christmas trees in the U.S. will definitely go up,” she said. “It is unavoidable.”

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