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Chancellor to face more questions after Budget overshadowed by major leak

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Chancellor to face more questions after Budget overshadowed by major leak



Rachel Reeves will face further questions after delivering a Budget that raised tax by £26 billion but was overshadowed by an unprecedented leak.

The Chancellor’s decisions put Britain on course for a record tax burden as she hiked levies after weaker economic forecasts left holes in her previous spending plans.

The increases are also needed to pay for increased welfare spending, with Ms Reeves announcing the abolition of the two-child benefit cap, expected to lift 450,000 children out of poverty.

Having abandoned plans for a manifesto-busting income tax rise, the Chancellor opted for a range of smaller tax increases to pay for Government spending and build a larger buffer against her borrowing rules.

These include a new pay-per-mile tax for electric vehicles, increased taxes on online betting and a so-called “mansion tax” on homes worth more than £2 million.

But she continued to face accusations of breaching Labour’s election promise not to raise taxes on “working people” after deciding to keep tax thresholds frozen until 2030/31 and levying national insurance on some pension contributions.

Ms Reeves sought to defend herself on Wednesday, telling a press conference the manifesto had been “very clear it was the rates of income tax, national insurance and VAT” that would not be raised.

But she added: “I’m not going to get into semantics. I recognise that we are asking people to contribute more by freezing those allowances.”

While the Chancellor faces questions from the media on Thursday, economists at the influential Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) and Resolution Foundation think tanks will give their full verdicts on her Budget.

In its initial response, the Resolution Foundation warned of a hit to living standards after the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) said threshold freezes had contributed to a downgrade in forecasts for real household disposable income.

And experts said taxing pension contributions would both reduce workers’ take-home pay and see many people saving even less for their retirement.

Ruth Curtice, chief executive of the Resolution Foundation, called the Chancellor’s Budget “front-footed – and front-loaded” on cost of living support, but argued that Ms Reeves’s decision to stick to her “manifesto tax pledge has cost millions of low-to-middle earners”.

“Over half a million larger families will get a major income boost next spring, while typical energy bills will be cut by around £130 annually for the next three years, though support then fades away,” she said.

“Sensible tax reforms will also help to level up the tax treatment of income. But, ironically, sticking to her manifesto tax pledge has cost millions of low-to-middle earners, who would have been better off with their tax rates rising than their thresholds being frozen.”

She said the Chancellor “has taken steps to repair the public finances” by “more than doubling the headroom against her fiscal rules” but warned debt remained up and “the fiscal repair job has been put on hold for three years”.

Meanwhile, the IFS described the Budget as a “spend now, pay later” announcement, saying Ms Reeves was relying “heavily” on tax rises just before the next election and expressing “scepticism” about whether these would be implemented.

Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch said the Budget was a “total humiliation” for Rachel Reeves and “if she had any decency she would resign”.

But the Budget announcement was overshadowed by an unprecedented blunder that saw the OBR publish its assessment of the economy and the Chancellor’s plans before Ms Reeves had even begun her speech.

The OBR apologised, blaming a “technical error”, and its chairman Richard Hughes said an internal investigation had been launched to “get to the fundamental causes and make sure it doesn’t happen again”.

The investigation will report to the OBR’s oversight board, the Treasury and the Commons Treasury Committee and Mr Hughes said he would “abide by the recommendations” – including if they suggest he should quit.



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US stocks today: Wall Street inches higher as markets eye ceasefire deadline; Dow jumps 300 points, S&P 500 remains flat – The Times of India

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US stocks today: Wall Street inches higher as markets eye ceasefire deadline; Dow jumps 300 points, S&P 500 remains flat – The Times of India


US stocks moved higher on Tuesday, as investors remained optimistic over a possible extension of the US-Iran ceasefire. Markets showed early strength, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 0.56% or 279 points to 49,721.56 around 8 pm IST. The S&P 500 inched up 0.2% to 7,129, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 96 points or 0.4% to reach 24,500. As trading progressed, the upward momentum strengthened, with the Dow climbing 397 points, or 0.8%, and the S&P 500 adding 0.2%, putting it within reach of another record high. The Nasdaq remained modestly higher. Investor sentiment was shaped in part by developments in the Middle East. Oil prices, which had surged a day earlier amid renewed disruption to the Strait of Hormuz, eased on Tuesday. Brent crude slipped 0.7%% to $94.78 per barrel ahead of the expected expiry of a two-week ceasefire between the United States and Iran. The conflict has driven sharp swings in oil markets, with prices ranging from about $70 before the war to peaks of $119 as concerns over a prolonged closure of the key shipping route intensified. Economic data released during the session pointed to continued resilience in consumer activity. US retail sales rose 1.7% from the previous month to $752.1 billion, beating expectations, largely due to higher petrol prices. Spending remained relatively steady even when excluding gasoline sales, indicating broader stability in consumption during the first full month of the conflict. Global markets presented a mixed picture, with European indices trading unevenly after a stronger performance in Asia, where South Korea’s Kospi index jumped 2.7%. In the bond market, US Treasury yields edged higher, with the 10-year yield ticking up to 4.27% from 4.26% the previous day. Attention is also turning to Washington, where Kevin Warsh, nominated by US President Donald Trump to lead the Federal Reserve, is scheduled to testify before Congress later in the day. Investors are expected to closely watch his remarks for indications on interest rate policy and the central bank’s independence.(Disclaimer: Recommendations and views on the stock market, other asset classes or personal finance management tips given by experts are their own. These opinions do not represent the views of The Times of India.)



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Leave, holidays and encashment: What India’s changing labour laws mean for employees – The Times of India

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Leave, holidays and encashment: What India’s changing labour laws mean for employees – The Times of India


National and festival holidays are largely decided at the State level. Employers are expected to follow notified holiday lists. (AI image)

Leave is often seen as a simple workplace benefit – an approved absence from work. In reality, it is one of the more structured and regulated aspects of employment in India. With the implementation of new labour codes, questions around leave entitlement, holidays and leave encashment have drawn renewed attention. This matters because these rules affect not just everyday working life, but also what happens when an employee leaves an organisation.For employers and employees, understanding how leave works today is not always straightforward. This is because two legal systems operate side by side: the new central labour codes and the older State-level Shops and Establishments (S&E) laws. While the intent is to move towards a simpler and more uniform system, the actual position still depends on job role, location and which law applies.Different types of statutory leaveIndian labour laws recognise several types of statutory leave. The most important is earned leave (also called privilege leave). This leave builds up over time based on how many days an employee works. In addition, there are provisions for sick leave, casual leave, and national and festival holidays.Earned leave is different from other types of leave because it has both time-off value and financial value. If it is not used, it can build up and may be paid out in cash – either during employment or when the employee leaves, subject to carry forward limits – depending on the applicable law and company policy.Sick leave and casual leave, on the other hand, are meant for short-term or urgent needs and are usually not designed to be encashed.National and festival holidays form a separate category. These ensure paid holidays on important national or regional days, based on State notifications and local rules.Labour codes vs Shops and Establishments lawsA frequent point of confusion is the interface between the labour codes and State Shops and Establishments Acts.The Occupational Safety, Health and Working Conditions Code introduces a common framework for leave, but for people classified as “workers” under that law. At the same time, State S&E laws continue to apply to many salaried employees working in offices, shops and service-sector businesses.Because of this, uniformity has not fully arrived yet. Different State laws and leave rules may still apply for employees depending on where they are employed and work. Those who fall under the labour code framework move towards a more standard national system. Where both laws could apply, guidance from authorities suggests that the more beneficial provision would generally continue to apply.

Two legal frameworks, one employee situation

Employers are expected to apply these frameworks together and ensure consistency as the new system takes shape.How earned leave builds upEarned leave generally depends on how long an employee has worked.Under the labour codes, earned leave accrues at a standard rate of one day for every twenty days of work, subject to certain eligibility conditions. This is meant to create a common reference point across the country.State Shops and Establishments laws, however, follow different approaches. Some States grant a fixed number of leave days each year, while others link leave closely to days worked. States also differ on how much unused leave can be carried forward.Sick leave, casual leave and holidaysSick leave and casual leave are mainly meant for short-term protection rather than long-term accumulation. Sick leave helps employees during illness, while casual leave allows flexibility for sudden personal needs.These types of leave are mostly governed by State law and internal company policy, with limited direct impact from the labour codes. Usually, unused sick or casual leave does not carry forward.National and festival holidays are largely decided at the State level. Employers are expected to follow notified holiday lists or compensate employees who work on those days, as per State rules.Carrying forward unused earned leaveHow unused earned leave is treated is one area where the labour codes bring more structure.Earlier, State laws allowed different levels of leave accumulation. Under the labour code approach, carry-forward is subject to clear limits, after which settlement mechanisms may apply. This is intended to avoid unlimited build-up of leave while still protecting employee interests.If leave could not be taken because of work requirements, safeguards exist to ensure such leave is not lost automatically.Annual leave encashment under labour codesAnother change under the labour codes is clearer recognition of leave encashment during ongoing employment.Earlier, in many States, leave was typically encashed only when an employee resigned, retired or was terminated. Under the new labour codes framework, employees may be entitled to encash leave exceeding permissible carry forward limits even while they remain in service. As per provisions under labour codes, a worker shall be entitled on his / her demand for encashment of leave at the end of calendar year. Worker shall be entitled, where the total number of leave exceeds 30 days, to encash such exceeded leave.Leave encashment when employment endsAcross Indian labour laws, one position has remained largely consistent. Unused earned leave is expected to be settled when employment comes to an end, whether the employee resigns, retires, is retrenched or is terminated.How this amount is calculated depends on the applicable law. State S&E laws refer to specific wage definitions, while the labour codes require calculation using the definition of “wages” under the Code. This may differ from earlier practice.

Comparison - Labour  codes and select States

What employees and employers should keep in mindFor employees, the key point is that leave is not only a company benefit but part of a legal framework. How it applies depends on role, location and legal coverage.For employers, the focus remains on aligning internal policies with both Central and State laws, while ensuring smooth implementation. Clear communication and regular policy reviews will continue to be important during this transition.Leave rules may not attract the same attention as pay or job security, but they play a quiet role in work-life balance and financial certainty. As India’s labour framework evolves, earned leave is increasingly seen not just as time away from work, but as a regulated employment benefit with defined outcomes.(The author, Puneet Gupta is Partner, People Advisory Services Tax at EY India)



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Electricity bills targeted in planned shakeup to energy pricing

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Electricity bills targeted in planned shakeup to energy pricing



The war in the Middle East has brought renewed attention to Britain’s vulnerability to energy price shocks.



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