Business
College students and teens could be fueling the prediction markets boom
A version of this article first appeared in the CNBC Sport newsletter with Alex Sherman, which brings you the biggest news and exclusive interviews from the worlds of sports business and media. Sign up to receive future editions, straight to your inbox.
As prediction market trading volume booms, Truist analysts say there could be an unlikely source behind the surge.
Analyst Barry Jonas wrote this week that 18- to 20-year-olds, who are too young to gamble legally in most states, could be contributing significantly to the growth of prediction markets.
Specifically, data from HoldCrunch, founded by a former FanDuel executive, shows prediction platform Kalshi is taking more trades on college football than on NFL and NBA. While non-college students could still wager on college results, of course, the trend could offer a clue into the demographics of prediction platform users.
HoldCrunch analyzes the data on an “OSB-equivalent handle” rather than on volumes alone.
During the week ended Jan. 4, Kalshi’s college football handle hit its highest percentage of total at 32%, the prediction platform said. The NFL accounted for 24% of total wagers, and the NBA represented 22%. The tide has been shifting in that direction since October, according to Kalshi.
Prediction markets — in which users can bet on the outcomes of events in everything from politics and world news to pop culture and sports — have skyrocketed in popularity with the help of platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket.
They’re quickly filling a gap in the market in states where online sports betting is not legal. And in states where it is legal, online sporting betting is often limited to those 21 years or older. Kalshi and Polymarket are open to anyone 18 or older, with some state-by-state exceptions for sports and other certain trades.
“It’s clear that these new offerings are having an impact on sports bettor behavior,” Jonas wrote.
NCAA President Charlie Baker wrote this week to the Commodities and Futures Trading Commission, which regulates prediction markets, asking the agency to remove college sports from options to trade until more safeguards are in place.
Juice Reel, an app that allows sports gamblers to track wagers and provides analysis of wagering and trading activity, found higher uptake of prediction markets in states where sports betting isn’t legal.
According to Juice Reel, 9% of its California customers have connected prediction accounts, the most of any other state. Just over 6% of Juice Reel’s Texas customers have linked prediction market accounts. Neither California nor Texas offers legal, licensed sports betting.
Curiously, New York, which has legal online sports betting, ranks second on Juice Reel in customers who have connected prediction accounts (6.8%), perhaps because of the concentration of financial traders accustomed to trading futures, options and other volatile financial derivatives. Truist’s analysts hypothesize 18- to 20-year-olds could be fueling the predictions action in the state, too.
Residents of both New York and California demonstrate a notable propensity for gambling outside the bounds of regulated sportsbooks. New York charges a tax of 51% on sportsbooks, but not on sweeps, daily fantasy, bookie accounts and offshore sportsbooks. And those alternate platforms get 40% of the overall handle, or money wagered, from the Juice Reel customers.
In part, that’s because gamblers who really know what they’re doing can’t bet big on platforms like DraftKings or FanDuel.
“Some of the biggest and best bettors are going to prediction markets because they’re limited to smaller bets by the sportsbooks,” Juice Reel’s founder Ricky Gold told CNBC.
Fully 70% of the bets tracked by Juice Reel are in regulated sportsbooks, but they account for only 38% of the handle. By contrast, predictions account for only 1% of the number of bets, but 13% of the handle.
“Prediction markets amplify bettor skill and variance,” Truist’s Jonas concluded, adding they “show substantially larger downside for low-wallet users and substantially higher upside for high-wallet users.”
Disclosure: CNBC and Kalshi have a commercial relationship.
Business
Comcast beats revenue, earnings expectations as broadband losses improve
Comcast topped Wall Street’s revenue and earnings estimates for the first quarter on Thursday, lifted by NBC’s sports slate in February and improving broadband customer losses.
The company said it lost 65,000 broadband customers compared with 183,000 losses in the same period last year. Heightened competition from wireless providers like Verizon and T-Mobile has led to quarterly customer losses for Comcast and its cable peers in recent years – which has weighed on these companies’ stocks in particular.
In response, Comcast in the last year has shifted its strategy and introduced more competitive pricing packages in a bid to reduce the broadband losses. The company has also leaned on its mobile business for growth, which added 435,000 new lines during the quarter. In total, Comcast now has 9.7 million mobile customers.
The company also reported 322,000 cable TV customer losses – fewer than the 427,000 in the same period last year.
Revenue for Comcast’s connectivity and platforms unit, which includes its Xfinity-branded broadband, cable TV, and mobile businesses, decreased 2% to $17.32 billion.
The company’s stock climbed as much as 8% in premarket trading.
Here’s how Comcast performed for the period compared with average analyst estimates, according to LSEG:
- Earnings per share: 79 cents adjusted vs. 73 cents expected
- Revenue: $31.46 billion vs. $30.43 billion expected
Comcast’s net income fell nearly 36% to $2.17 billion, or 60 cents per share, compared to $3.38 billion, or 89 cents a share, during the same period last year. Adjusting for one-time items including amortization and investments, Comcast reported earnings per share of $0.79.
Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization were down roughly 17% to $7.93 billion.
Comcast’s overall revenue increased roughly 5% to $31.46 billion for the quarter.
Revenue got a boost from Comcast’s NBCUniversal, which aired a slate of sports – including the Super Bowl, Winter Olympics and NBA All-Star Weekend, during the quarter – that the company coined as “Legendary February.”
The media business, which is made up of NBCUniversal, recorded a nearly 61% increase in revenue to $7.28 billion during the quarter. Excluding the Olympics and Super Bowl – which provided significant boosts to advertising sales – revenue for the unit was up about 13%.
Live sports remains the highest rated programming on traditional TV and streaming, and beckon the most advertising dollars. The Super Bowl, in particular, breaks records annually when it comes to its pricey commercial spots. NBC received an average $8 million per 30-second ad, CNBC reported.
Domestic advertising for the media unit was up 135% to $3.45 billion for the quarter. Excluding the Super Bowl and Winter Olympics, it was up 4.7% to $1.54 billion.
NBC’s sports roster also helped lift streaming service Peacock during the quarter. Peacock subscribers increased 12% year over year to 46 million. Peacock nearly doubled revenue to $2.1 billion compared to the same period last year. The streamer recorded a quarterly loss of $432 million compared to a loss of $215 million in the prior year period.
Adjusted EBITDA for the media segment decreased to a loss of $426 billion due to higher operating expenses related to the costs associated with the Winter Olympics and Super Bowl, as well as the cost of the NBA rights.
NBCUniversal is part of the overall content and experiences segment, which also includes the film studio and theme parks – each of which saw sales climb year-over-year.
Revenue for the film studio was up 21% to $3.43 billion, while Universal theme parks revenue increased 24% to $2.33 billion. The theme parks were boosted by the opening of Epic Universe last May.
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ADB increases Pakistan engagement to $3.67b in 2025 | The Express Tribune
Expands focus beyond infrastructure financing to fiscal reforms, women’s economic inclusion, critical minerals
The Asian Development Bank (ADB) increased its financial commitments to Pakistan in 2025, approving $3.672 billion, which is 22 per cent higher than the $2.995 billion recorded in the previous year. The expansion reflects the bank’s growing engagement in new sectors, including Pakistan’s mineral resources industry.
According to ADB’s Annual Report 2025, the institution also provided $1.485 billion in new support to Pakistan’s public sector during the year, marking a rise of around one-third compared to $1.113 billion in 2024. A large share of these funds was extended under ordinary capital resources on commercial terms.
The bank highlighted a policy-backed guarantee mechanism in Pakistan designed to reduce lending risk for commercial banks and encourage financing for small and medium-sized enterprises. Through this mechanism, around $1 billion in private sector financing was mobilised.
ADB also supported Pakistan’s mineral development strategy by approving financing for a copper-gold mining project, aimed at strengthening global supply chains for critical minerals. The bank said it is also assisting in developing links between mineral extraction and manufacturing industries.
In addition, ADB is providing advisory assistance to Pakistan for preparing frameworks related to digital skills development, while also supporting investments aimed at improving girls’ participation in science, technology, engineering and mathematics (STEM) education.
Also Read: Construction of M6: NHA, ADB sign agreement
The report noted that Pakistan continues to face significant fiscal constraints that limit public investment in essential services. In response, ADB approved an $800 million programme consisting of a $300 million policy-based loan and up to $500 million in guarantees. This package is expected to help Pakistan raise an additional $1 billion in financing.
In education, ADB approved funding for at least 1,700 STEM laboratories across schools, with half of them planned for girls’ institutions, alongside a $100 million loan and a $7 million grant.
Globally, ADB’s total commitments from its own resources reached $29.3 billion in 2025, reflecting a 20 per cent increase from the previous year. The bank also reported strong private sector engagement, with $5.5 billion directed towards private sector development.
Across the region, South Asia received $9.7 billion, making it the largest recipient, followed by Southeast Asia, Central and West Asia, East Asia, and the Pacific.
ADB said it undertook major institutional reforms during the year, including changes to its charter to expand lending capacity by 50 per cent without requiring additional capital from shareholders. It also revised its energy policy, improved procurement systems, and introduced a new framework to support critical minerals value chains linked to clean energy and digital industries.
The bank said these reforms are intended to make its financing more flexible, faster, and better aligned with development needs across Asia and the Pacific.
Read More: ADB says budget gaps delayed loan
The bank also stressed gender disparities in Pakistan’s economy, estimating a financing gap of around 37 per cent for women-led enterprises. To address this, it committed $350 million to expand access to credit and support women entrepreneurs, with an estimated two million women expected to benefit.
In education, ADB approved funding for at least 1,700 STEM laboratories across schools, half of which will be established in girls’ institutions to promote participation in science and technology fields.
Regionally, South Asia remained the largest recipient of ADB funding with $9.7 billion in commitments, ahead of Southeast Asia and Central and West Asia.
The bank also reported $5.5 billion in private sector development commitments, reflecting its increasing focus on blended finance and risk-sharing instruments to mobilise commercial capital.
ADB implemented several institutional reforms during 2025, including amendments to its charter to expand lending capacity by 50 per cent without a general capital increase. It also revised its energy policy, streamlined procurement processes, and introduced a new framework for critical minerals development.
For Pakistan, the report suggests growing access not only to concessional financing but also to private capital mobilisation tools and risk-sharing mechanisms as the country continues to address fiscal and structural challenges.
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