Business
Current account posts $254 million deficit in July | The Express Tribune

KARACHI:
Pakistan’s current account (CA) posted a deficit of $254 million in July 2025, according to the latest figures released by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) on Tuesday.
Last month, the country recorded a CA surplus of $335 million, while in July 2024, the deficit had stood at $348 million.
The SBP data shows a CA deficit of $254 million in July 2025, reflecting a notable improvement compared to the $348 million deficit recorded in July 2024. This marks a year-on-year reduction of $94 million, indicating a positive shift in the country’s external sector dynamics as the new fiscal year begins. However, the monthly CA data from July 2024 to July 2025 highlights a period of mixed performance, with several months showing strong surpluses that helped offset periods of modest deficits.
The fiscal year began with three consecutive months of deficits; July ($0.35 billion), August ($0.08 billion), and September 2024 ($0.04 billion). However, this was followed by a shift in October 2024, which recorded a surplus of $310 million. The external position continued to improve in November and December 2024, with surpluses of $720 million and $470 million, respectively.
In early 2025, the trend briefly reversed. January 2025 posted the highest monthly deficit of the year at $380 million, followed by a smaller deficit of $80 million in February. March 2025 marked a strong recovery, as Pakistan recorded its highest monthly surplus during the period at $1.28 billion, reflecting either a surge in exports, remittances, or possibly one-off inflows.
The CA remained relatively stable in the closing months of the fiscal year, with April 2025 posting a marginal surplus of $20 million, May returning to a small deficit of $80 million, and June rebounding with a surplus of $340 million.
Speaking to The Express Tribune, JS Global Head of Research Waqas Ghani said, “The shortfall of $254 million in July 2025 as opposed to a surplus of $335 million last month was driven primarily by a widening trade deficit, as a strengthening domestic economy spurred a rebound in imports.”
He expected the CA to end the fiscal year in deficit, driven by the pickup in imports. Even so, stable global commodity prices should help limit import pressures, while resilient workers’ remittances are likely to anchor external stability.
He anticipated a further buildup in foreign exchange reserves going forward, with workers’ remittances expected to exceed $40 billion in FY26. Ghani believed that the sustained inflow of remittances are driven by a shift towards official channels which are a key support to the CA. He projected the external financing requirements for FY26 to remain broadly in line with last year’s levels.
REER
The Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) index appreciated to 98.6 in July 2025, up from 96.6 in June 2025, according to data released by the SBP. This two-point increase reflects a slight strengthening of the rupee in real terms against a basket of trading partner currencies.
While the REER remains below the benchmark level of 100, the recent appreciation suggests a marginal rise in the relative value of the Pakistani rupee, which could impact export competitiveness if the trend continues. Nonetheless, the REER is still broadly aligned with historical averages, indicating relative external stability.
Meanwhile, the local currency extended its winning streak on Tuesday, August 19, 2025, appreciating 0.02% against the US dollar in the interbank market. The local currency closed at 281.96, strengthening slightly from the previous day’s rate of 282.02.
This marks the eighth consecutive session of gains for the rupee, reflecting continued stability in the foreign exchange market and improved sentiment around the economy.
Business
EY and Microsoft launch AI skills passport: Free program to train youth in AI; focus on career growth – The Times of India

EY and Microsoft on Saturday launched the AI Skills Passport, a free online learning initiative aimed at equipping Indian students and early-career professionals with essential artificial intelligence (AI) skills. The program targets individuals aged 16 and above and is designed to bridge the country’s growing AI skills gap, according to an EY statement, ANI reported.Part of a global effort that has already engaged over 40,000 participants worldwide, the AI Skills Passport offers self-paced learning modules spanning around 10 hours, available in both English and Hindi. The curriculum covers AI fundamentals, responsible AI, and practical applications across sectors including healthcare, finance, and technology. Participants also receive guidance on job readiness, including resume tips, interview support, and networking insights.Learners who complete the program are awarded a verifiable digital badge, enhancing their professional profiles. The initiative is part of EY Ripples, EY’s global corporate responsibility programme, and will partner with not-for-profit organisations to ensure students from economically weaker backgrounds have access to mentorship, learning, and career guidance.Monesh Dange, Partner and Leader, Alliances and Ecosystems, EY India, said, “In an era where AI is revolutionising work, the AI Skills Passport addresses India’s urgent need for skilled talent. Together with Microsoft, we aim to ensure the program is accessible and impactful at scale.”Bhaskar Basu, Enterprise Partnerships Leader, Microsoft India & South Asia, added, “AI is transforming India’s digital economy, and youth are at its core. The AI Skills Passport brings high-quality AI learning to everyone, accelerating Microsoft’s goal to equip 10 million Indians with AI skills by 2030.”
Business
Environment minister Bhupender Yadav heads to Brazil: India engages in pre-talks ahead of COP30; climate finance and adaptation on agenda – The Times of India

Union Environment Minister Bhupender Yadav is set to travel to Brasília on October 13-14 for a pre-COP meeting as India steps up preparations for the UN climate summit COP30, scheduled in Belém, Brazil, in November. The meeting aims to streamline negotiations on key issues and build consensus among ministers before the main conference. He confirmed his visit on his X account. The two-day pre-COP will bring together environment and climate ministers, senior negotiators, and observers to narrow differences on politically sensitive issues and build ministerial consensus ahead of the COP30 negotiations, PTI reported. The COP30 presidency expects 30-50 delegations and around 800 participants at the event.Pre-COPs, while not formal UNFCCC events, have become a routine instrument for host countries to focus ministerial attention on a limited set of political questions that otherwise take negotiators weeks to resolve. Ministers use these meetings to test negotiating texts, identify common ground, and prepare positions to expedite negotiations at the main COP.COP30 is unfolding against a complex geopolitical backdrop, with some developed countries reassessing climate strategies amid economic and energy security pressures. The United States’ withdrawal from the Paris Agreement has further heightened tensions. Disagreements over climate finance, the pace and responsibility of the energy transition, and burdens on developing countries remain sharp.Trust between developed and developing countries is fragile following COP29 in Baku, Azerbaijan, where many Global South delegates said finance outcomes fell short of expectations. Central issues include the scale and nature of climate finance, grant versus loan structures, and predictability of funds for adaptation and loss and damage. These topics are expected to dominate discussions in Brasília and later in Belém.Logistical concerns are adding further pressure. Reports indicate shortages of hotel rooms and high costs in Belém, potentially limiting participation of smaller delegations and vulnerable countries. Observers warn that unequal attendance could affect negotiating dynamics and the legitimacy of outcomes.Key discussion points include climate finance, the post-2025 collective finance goal, rules and integrity for international carbon trading under Article 6, adaptation and national adaptation plans, and translating the Global Stocktake into actionable timelines. Loss and damage finance will also be a priority, with ministers aiming to make it predictable and accessible.India has emphasised equity and differentiated responsibilities in climate action, urging developed countries to meet Article 9 obligations on finance. It has pressed for predictable and concessional support for adaptation and loss and damage, while highlighting the need for technology transfer and capacity building aligned with national circumstances. India has also underscored a just energy transition that allows space for development.Ahead of COP30, India plans to submit two key documents: an updated Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC), extending commitments to 2035, and the country’s first national adaptation plan (NAP). The updated NDC is expected to raise ambition on emissions intensity of GDP, non-fossil electricity capacity, and carbon sinks through forest and tree cover, without introducing new pledges. India has already exceeded its target for non-fossil installed capacity ahead of the 2030 deadline.Officials told PTI that India will closely monitor outcomes on carbon markets and accounting, ensuring that poorly designed rules do not shift burdens or create perverse incentives.
Business
Foreign Investors Turn Buyers In Indian Markets This Month Amid Positive Cues

New Delhi: The intensity of foreign portfolio investor (FPI) selling in the Indian markets slowed down significantly in October, analysts said on Sunday.
The shift in the FPI trading strategy is significant and it stems from two factors.
One, the valuation differentials between India and other markets, which were high earlier, had come down significantly in recent weeks following the rally in other markets and consolidation in the Indian market.
“Two, the growth and earnings prospects for India have been revised upward by market experts. The GST cuts and the low interest regime are expected to boost India Inc’s earnings in FY27, which the market will soon start discounting,” said Dr VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist, Geojit Investments Ltd.
Foreign investors turned buyers in the cash market on the last four trading sessions of the week ended on October 10.
The cash market buy figure during the last four trading sessions stands at Rs 3,289 crore.
The global market sentiment has again turned negative with the reignite of the US-China trade war, following US President Donald Trump’s threat to impose 100 per cent tariff on imports from China and restricting many critical US exports to China.
The FPI flows, going forward, will depend on how this renewed trade war pans out in the coming days, said analysts.
Siddhartha Khemka, Head of Research, Wealth Management, Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd, said Nifty50 edged higher by 104 points to close at 25,285 last Friday, amid improving global sentiment, supported by easing geopolitical tensions as Israel and Hamas agreed on the first stage of a ceasefire plan, along with signs of progress in a potential India–US trade deal.
“Renewed FPI buying also boosted sentiment. Additionally, India and the UK announced multiple collaborations across sectors including education, critical minerals, climate change, and defence,” he mentioned.
With the valuation differential coming down and Indian earnings likely to improve in FY27, foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) are likely to slow down selling going forward.
Sustained FPI selling continued in September with the sell figure through exchanges touching Rs 27,163 crore. However, in keeping with the long-term trend of buying through the primary market, they bought equity for Rs 3,278 crore in September.
On the macro front, investors will closely track India’s retail inflation print for September, to be released on Monday.
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