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De minimis: How US shoppers will be hit as the tariff exemption ends

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De minimis: How US shoppers will be hit as the tariff exemption ends


Osmond Chia & Laura BlaseyBusiness reporters in Singapore & Washington DC

Getty Images A shopper inspects a a vibrant, patterned outfit she has picked out from a clothes rack. She is dressed in a striped yellow outfit.Getty Images

The US has pulled the plug on a long-running global tariff exemption that has been widely used by buyers of low-cost goods.

From Friday, imports valued at $800 (£592) or less will no longer be duty-free and will face tighter customs checks, in a move set to affect millions of shipments a day.

Last year, almost 1.4 billion packages – worth a total of more than $64bn – entered America without being charged duties under a rule called the de minimis exemption, according to US Customs.

Experts say US President Donald Trump’s policy change will hit small businesses hardest and shoppers should brace for higher prices and fewer options – at least until the dust settles.

“I’ve reached the point of acceptance, but when I first heard the news about two and half, three weeks ago, I felt like it might be the end for my business,” said Katherine Theobalds, founder and creative director of Buenos Aires-based shoe brand Zou Xou. “It still might – that remains to be seen.”

What’s the de minimis rule?

De minimis is a Latin term that broadly translates to “about the smallest things”, often used in legal contexts to describe matters too trivial to merit concern.

The de minimis exemption was introduced in 1938 to avoid the expense of collecting only small amounts of import duties in the US.

The rule’s threshold rose over the years, allowing e-commerce firms and global retailers that ship small packages to the US to thrive.

The exemption was often associated with companies like Chinese e-commerce giants Shein and Temu, which delivered Americans cheap goods that could be quickly shipped from the manufacturing source – with no warehouse stock or associated overhead costs.

But while Shein and Temu helped pioneer this way of working, many other businesses – foreign and domestic, large and small – came to incorporate the “loophole” into their supply chains and sales models.

Executives at Tapestry – the parent company of US fashion brand Coach, which is known for leather bags that sell from roughly $200 to $1,000 – told analysts this month that it expects to take a $160m hit to its profits due to changing tariff policies, with about a third of that attributed to the elimination of the de minimis rule.

Coach has rapidly expanded in recent years in a comeback campaign fuelled by Gen Z shoppers and Tapestry remains confident the momentum will offset some of the impact of tariffs. Still, the elimination of de minimis represents a logistical challenge.

Shipments under the exemption made up more than 90% of all the cargo entering the country, according to US customs.

The president and his predecessor, Joe Biden, criticised the policy as harmful to US businesses and said it has been abused to smuggle illegal goods, including drugs like fentanyl.

In a phone call with reporters on Thursday, Trump’s trade adviser, Peter Navarro, said the move will “save thousands of American lives by restricting the flow of narcotics” through the mail, as well as add $10bn a year to US coffers.

AFP via Getty Images Boxes covered in tape and shipping labels are piled up in a DHL shipping facility.AFP via Getty Images

Trump fast-tracked the rule’s repeal with an executive order this year, well ahead of a planned 2027 expiry date.

With the necessary documentation, shippers will pay duties based on the country of origin’s tariff rate. Otherwise, they can choose to pay a fixed fee between $80 and $200 per package, according to the White House.

The second option, which is aimed to give postal services more time to adjust to the change, will only be available for six months.

Mainland China and Hong Kong were the first to be cut from the de minimis rule in May, prompting e-commerce giant Temu to halt direct sales to the US.

Letters and personal gifts worth less than $100 will still be duty-free.

Smaller variety, longer waits

US consumers may see less variety of goods in shops and on e-commerce platforms as businesses get to grips with customs documentation, trade experts have told the BBC.

Smaller firms need time to adjust as they have mostly been spared from such paperwork until now, said Tam Nguyen from logistics administration firm GOL Solution. The company handles exports from South East Asia to the US.

“You need to indicate the source of all the materials in a product, which can come from many countries with different tax rates. This would absolutely make shipments slower.”

The complexity could deter sellers from offering a broader range of products for export, she added.

That could have a particular impact on more niche markets.

Christopher Lundell, is a 53-year-old psychologist based in Portland, Oregon who also DJs and mixes music as a hobby. He is an avid vinyl record collector who recently became aware of the de minimis exemption suspension when he tried to – unsuccessfully – buy a $5 rare record from a seller in the UK.

“He cancelled my order and said, ‘I’m sorry but the UK is not shipping to the United States anymore.'”

Mr Lundell says he tries his best to find US-based record sellers before searching online for overseas sellers based in countries like the UK, Japan and China. He adds that he understands the need to protect US businesses, but says that he believes a blanket suspension of the de minimis exemption is “political theatre”.

Some orders may also be frozen for the next few weeks. Ms Nguyen said clients, including some in the healthcare sector, have halted orders.

Major postal services in the UK, Europe and and the Asia-Pacific region paused deliveries to the US this week.

The operators blamed uncertainty about how the tariffs would work and a lack of time to prepare.

Prices to rise

Without the exemption, businesses will have to factor in tariffs the US has imposed on the country of origin, which came into effect for most nations in August.

Those levies can be as low as 10% for countries like the UK and Australia, while goods from Brazil and India face the highest tariffs at 50%.

Following the change, specific duties will be imposed of $80 per item for countries with tariffs of 16% or less, $160 for shipments from countries with between 16% and 25% tariffs or $200 for items from countries with higher tariffs.

A senior administration official downplayed consumer concerns, saying that the move will “benefit” Americans by making them “safer” and “prosperous”.

Some American businesses welcomed the news, arguing the elimination would level the playing field.

“Gap Inc. welcomes the Administration’s decision to suspend duty-free de minimis treatment worldwide. The de minimis loophole has long provided an opportunity for some importers & retailers to avoid paying their fair share of US duties,” the company said in a statement.

Small firms, in particular, will feel the strain from the costly audits needed to clear US customs, making it tough for sellers to keep prices stable, said trade expert Deborah Elms.

With many postal services holding off on US shipments, sellers may have to pay for more expensive express couriers to reach American buyers for now, said Ms Elms from research firm Hinrich Foundation.

British retailer Wool Warehouse is among firms that have paused orders from the US.

“There is a lot of uncertainty at the moment” due to the short time firms have had to figure out shipment process and fees involved, said managing director Andrew Smith.

His firm hopes to resume orders to the US – its largest export market – within two weeks, he said, adding that time is needed to wait to see how other companies have responded to the changes.

Prices of its goods – mostly wool and crafting materials sourced globally – are likely to rise by up to 15%, said Mr Smith.

The company also plans to revamp its website to indicate the tariff rate chargeable for each product, he said.

“We’re aiming for full transparency so people know what it will cost with certainty and then they can decide whether they want to make the purchase or not.”

At Zou Xou, Ms Theobalds specialises in artisan-made women’s shoes, crafted by small workshops in Argentina, that sell for between $200-$300. She began her career in New York, and has focussed her business on American customers.

She has long operated a two-tier system – customers either receive shoes from a US warehouse where she keeps some stock, or shipped direct from Argentina through DHL.

Larger shipments of shoes into the US were already subject to customs fees, she says, but sending one or two pairs from Buenos Aires to a customer was achieved cheaply and efficiently because of the de minimis exemption.

Now, she’s not sure how to factor in the added costs and is exploring several options and hoping to get more clarity on how to shift her business model.

Equally important, she said, is how businesses like hers explain the changes to consumers.

She worries that even if pricing doesn’t change much, a duty process that seems too complicated could turn off even those who want a higher-end product.

“The reason our customers come to us is because they appreciate the artisanal quality. They could have always gone to a mass retailer,” she says. “But what people will have to think about is ‘does that matter to me all that much, or do I just want a pair of shoes?'”

A boost for China?

US-based retailers stand to gain if prices of goods ordered from overseas rise, Ms Elms said.

“If it’s too expensive, they’ll probably go to Walmart or Target to buy it there,” she said.

But with so many goods being sent from around world now being subject to customs duties, US consumers may once again turn to China for cheaper options.

Chinese companies like Shein and Temu have set up distribution centres in the US that will help ease some of the cost of tariffs, said Ms Nguyen.

And China is “months ahead” in figuring out the paperwork as compared to firms in other countries that are now scrambling to get up to speed, she added.

There may be fewer competitors in the overall market, as the end of the de minimis exemption makes it harder for small businesses to launch e-commerce sites, said Ms Nguyen.

“It used to be: Set up a site, list products and start shipping. But now that low-cost entry point is gone.”

Additional reporting by Nadine Yousif and Bernd Debusmann Jr



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High-Skilled Immigration: US tightens screws on high-skilled immigration: Denial rates surge across key visa categories – The Times of India

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High-Skilled Immigration: US tightens screws on high-skilled immigration: Denial rates surge across key visa categories – The Times of India


For Indian tech and medical professionals, researchers and even global achievers eyeing to work in the US, the path is becoming increasingly uncertain. New data shows that even the most elite immigration routes, once seen as relatively stable, are now facing sharply higher rejection rates, signalling a broader tightening of legal migration pathways.The US has significantly increased denial rates for high-skilled immigration categories in fiscal 2025 (year ending Sept 30, 2025), reflecting a policy-driven shift to restrict legal migration even for highly qualified professionals according to a new analysis by the National Foundation for American Policy (NFAP).“The latest data show that Trump administration officials intend to make it difficult for even the most highly skilled individuals from around the world to work in the US,” said Stuart Anderson, executive director of NFAP.A change of this magnitude indicates a crackdown on approvals, the analysis noted, pointing to a sharp rise in rejection rates despite no formal regulatory changes.

Green card routes for top talent see sharpest rise

The steepest increases are in employment-based green card categories used by highly accomplished professionals. The increase in denials occurred within a single year, despite no new regulations indicating a shift in adjudication standards.

  • EB-1 (extraordinary ability): Denial rates nearly doubled from 25.6% in Q4 FY2024 to 46.6% in Q4 FY2025
  • EB-2 National Interest Waiver (NIW): Denials rose from 38.8% in Q4 FY2024 to 64.3% in Q4 FY2025

Over a longer period, the trend is even sharper: NIW denial rates rose from 4.3% in FY2022 to 44.8% in FY2025, states the report.

Temporary work visas also tightening

Denial rates have also increased across key temporary work visa categories, particularly toward the end of FY2025:

  • O-1 visas: Denial rates rose from 5.0% in Q4 FY2024 to 7.3% in Q4 FY2025 . These visas are meant for individuals with extraordinary ability in fields such as science, technology, arts, education, business or sports. It is typically used by top researchers, startup founders, artists and senior professionals with a strong record of achievement.
  • L-1A visas: Denial rates increased from 8.0% in Q4 FY2024 to 9.6% in Q4 FY2025. These visas are used by multinational companies to transfer senior executives or managers from an overseas office to a US office. It is a key route for leadership mobility within global firms.
  • L-1B visas: Denial rates rose from 8.1% in Q4 FY2024 to 9.2% in Q4 FY2025. These visas are also for intracompany transfers, but specifically for employees with specialised knowledge and are often used for technical experts and niche-skilled staff.

H-1B remains stable—but pressure persists

The H-1B visa, widely used by Indian IT professionals, has not seen a comparable increase in denial rates, the denial rates remained stable at around 2.0%–2.1% in FY2025. This is attributed to a 2020 legal settlement, which limits changes to adjudication standards without formal rulemaking.However, policy pressure continues through other measures. President Trump has signed an executive order mandating a $100,000 fee to petition for an H‑1B worker outside the US. Further, selection in the lottery for H-1B cap visas is linked to wages and there is a proposal to increase wages across all levels.

Backlogs and delays worsen the squeeze

For the Indian diaspora, these statistics are worrying. Between Q4 FY2024 and Q4 FY2025, backlogs rose across key immigration filings. Pending I-129 petitions—used by employers to sponsor non-immigrant workers such as H-1B, L-1 and O-1 visa holders — increased by more than 54,000. The backlog for I-140 petitions, which are employer-sponsored applications for employment-based green cards, rose by 58,400.At the final stage, delays also deepened: the backlog for I-485 applications—filed by individuals to adjust status to permanent residence (green card) within the US—continued to grow.

Bottom line

The data signals a clear shift: legal immigration pathways are narrowing over FY2025, particularly in the latter half of the fiscal year, driven by stricter adjudication rather than new laws.



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UK inflation accelerates after Iran war drives sharp rise in fuel prices

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UK inflation accelerates after Iran war drives sharp rise in fuel prices



UK inflation lifted to its highest since December after a sharp jump in diesel and petrol prices caused by the conflict in the Middle East, according to official figures.

Chancellor Rachel Reeves said the Iran crisis was “not our war, but it is pushing up bills for families and businesses” as a result.

The rate of Consumer Prices Index (CPI) inflation increased to 3.3% in March from 3% in February, the Office for National Statistics said.

The increase was in line with predictions from economists.

Higher motor fuel was the main driver of the acceleration in inflation, increasing by 8.7% month-on-month – the largest increase since June 2022, shortly after the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

The ONS found that the average price of petrol rose by 8.6p per litre between February and March to 140.2p per litre. This marked the highest price since August 2024.

Diesel prices meanwhile increased by 17.6p per litre in March to an average of 158.7p per litre, the highest price since November 2023.

Office for National Statistics chief economist Grant Fitzner said: “Inflation climbed in March, largely due to increased fuel prices, which saw their largest increase for over three years.

“Air fares were another upward driver this month, alongside rising food prices.

“The only significant offset came from clothing costs, where prices rose by less than this time last year.”

The data revealed that the cost of air travel also increased significantly, with inflation of 14.5% compared with the same month last year.

The rise in air fares, which analysts have partly linked to the early timing of the Easter holidays, was the highest since July last year.

Meanwhile, food and non-alcoholic drink prices were up 3.7% year-on-year in March, accelerating from 3.3% inflation in the previous month.

This included another acceleration in the price of sweets and chocolates, which were up 10.6% year-on-year.

Elsewhere, clothing and footwear had a downward pressure on inflation, as prices dipped 0.8% for the month.

Sales and discounting activity pulled inflation in the category to its lowest level since March 2021.

The rise in the overall rate of inflation drives the UK further away from the 2% inflation target set by the Government and the Bank of England.

Ms Reeves said: “We’re acting to protect people from unfair price rises if they occur to bring down food prices at the till, and are boosting long-term energy security — building a stronger, more secure economy.”

James Smith, developed markets economist at ING, said: “The latest rise in UK headline CPI tells us virtually nothing about the scale and duration of the inflation wave to come.

“The Bank of England is still flying blind, with the conflict unresolved, but the limited amount of survey data available so far suggests little cause for alarm on inflation.”

Anna Leach, chief economist at the Institute of Directors, said: “As inflation has come in in line with revised expectations, and given yesterday’s labour market data which showed a fall in vacancies and further downward progress in wage growth, interest rates should hold at next week’s MPC (Monetary Policy Committee) meeting.

“But there remains tremendous uncertainty over the outlook for energy supply and prices.”



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Isle of Man price rise contingency plans ‘ready if needed’

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Isle of Man price rise contingency plans ‘ready if needed’



The Manx treasury says plans are in place to protect essential services in the wake of the Iran war.



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