Business
Gold down, rupee edges up amid global cues | The Express Tribune
Gold and rupee trade.
KARACHI:
Gold prices fell in Pakistan on Tuesday, tracking the decline in international markets, where the metal slipped more than 1% as investors took profits after a six-week high in the previous session.
In global trade, spot gold dropped 1.4% to $4,173.91 per ounce by 11:09 am ET (1609 GMT), with markets awaiting key US economic data ahead of Federal Reserve’s policy meeting next week, according to Reuters.
Reflecting the global trend, domestic prices also retreated. Gold rate per tola fell by Rs2,700 to Rs444,162. The price of 10-gram gold decreased by Rs2,315 to Rs380,797, reported the All-Pakistan Gems and Jewellers Sarafa Association.
On Monday, the per-tola price had risen to Rs446,862 after gaining Rs2,700 during the day. Silver prices also weakened, shedding Rs41 to reach Rs6,004 per tola.
Adnan Agar, Director at Interactive Commodities, said the market was undergoing a moderate correction. He noted that gold hit a high of $4,230 and a low of $4,163 during the session, and was later trading around $4,191. According to him, upcoming US data releases, including several key economic statistics due this week and next, will guide price direction.
Agar added that gold has “strong downside support around $4,140 and $4,100, and unless these levels are breached, the market is likely to remain biased to the upside.”
Analysts say US labour and inflation readings will be critical for shaping expectations about the Fed’s next policy move, and in turn, gold’s near-term trajectory.
Meanwhile, the Pakistani rupee edged higher against the US dollar, gaining 0.01% in the inter-bank market. The local currency closed at 280.47, up by Rs0.04 from Monday’s rate of 280.51.
Globally, the US dollar remained under pressure after weaker-than-expected manufacturing data intensified speculation that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates later this month. The US dollar index, which tracks the greenback against six major currencies, fell to 99.408 at the start of Asian trading, extending a seven-session decline that hit a two-week low during Monday’s US session.
Data released on Monday showed US manufacturing contracted for the ninth consecutive month, with the Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) manufacturing PMI dropping to 48.2 in November from 48.7 in October. Measures of new orders and employment also weakened, while input costs rose, reflecting continued pressure from import tariffs.
Fed fund futures now indicate an 88% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the Fed’s December 10 meeting, up from a 63% chance a month ago, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool.
Oil prices, another factor for the dollar’s valuation, remained steady on Tuesday as traders assessed potential risks from Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian energy infrastructure and escalating tensions between the US and Venezuela.
Business
Global markets rattled as Trump issues Greenland threats
Global stock markets experienced significant declines as tensions escalated following Donald Trump’s renewed threats to acquire Greenland.
The FTSE 100 Index plunged over 120 points, shedding 1.3 per cent to reach 10068.4 shortly after opening on Tuesday, compounding a 0.4 per cent decline from Monday.
Across Europe, major indices also registered substantial losses, with Germany’s Dax down 1 per cent and France’s Cac 40 off 0.9 per cent in early trading, mirroring sharp overnight declines in Asia.
The controversy began on Saturday when Mr Trump threatened to impose tariffs of up to 25 per cent on nations, including the UK, that do not back his Greenland acquisition plans.
Mr Trump, who is en route to Davos, Switzerland, for the World Economic Forum, intensified his rhetoric concerning the acquisition of the Arctic territory.
Through a series of posts on his Truth Social platform overnight on Tuesday, he further articulated his desire to take over Greenland, a territory belonging to America’s Nato ally, Denmark.
US financial markets were closed on Monday for Martin Luther King Jr Day, but futures trading pointed to steep falls when equity trading reopens on Tuesday.
Gold prices soared to another new record as investors sought out the safe haven asset, hitting $4,728 (£3,507) per ounce during morning trading on Tuesday.
Kathleen Brooks, a research director at XTB, said: “What happens next for financial markets will ultimately depend on President Trump’s actions in the coming days.
“The president posted a picture of himself holding a US flag on Greenland, suggesting that the territory will be owned by the US this year.
“However, he also said that he will hold a Greenland meeting at Davos, after a good conversation with the Nato secretary general and former Dutch PM Mark Rutte.
“For now, Trump is sticking to his guns and said that there is ‘no going back’ on his Greenland pledge.
“Thus, the meeting in Davos later this week will be critical.”
Yields on UK Government bonds, also known as gilts, edged higher amid a wider sell-off as Japan’s government bonds plunged, triggered by news of a snap election to be held on 8 February.
The pound continued to rise against a weak US dollar, up 0.4 per cent at $1.348, but was 0.3 per cent lower at €1.15.
Business
Budget 2026: Why standard deduction should be hiked under the new income tax regime – explained – The Times of India
Budget 2026 income tax expectations: Standard deduction is seen as a much needed relief for taxpayers – it’s a simple, straightforward deduction from your gross income – a fixed amount that allows salaried taxpayers and pensioners to reduce their tax outgo.With the Union Budget 2026 set to be presented by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman on February 1, taxpayers are wondering if this relief will see a hike, especially in the new income tax regime.The standard deduction limit varies depending on the tax regime that salaried taxpayers opt for: under the old income tax regime it has stayed at Rs 50,000 for several years, and under the new income tax regime it was hiked to Rs 75,000 in 2024. As the government pushes for the adoption of the new income tax regime, any major changes including those in standard deduction limits, are expected only in that regime.Over the last few years, several income tax slab and rate changes have been introduced in the new regime to make it more attractive for salaried individuals. Last year, FM Sitharaman made income up to Rs 12 lakh tax free (Rs 12.75 lakh for salaried taxpayers who get the benefit of Rs 75,000 standard deduction). As per government data, for FY 2023-24, 72% of taxpayers had opted for the new regime – a figure that will likely go up after last year’s tax relief under the new regime.
Latest Income Tax Slabs FY 2025–26 (Under New Income Tax Regime)
So, should the standard deduction limit be raised from Rs 75,000? Most tax experts surveyed by Times of India Online are of the view that a hike in standard deduction under the new income tax regime should be considered by the government.
Why Standard Deduction Should Be Hiked
The case for a hike in standard deduction limits is simple: the new income tax regime does not offer benefits of most deductions and exemptions that are available under the old income tax regime. Hiking this limit will push more people to opt to the clutter-free new income tax regime. Some experts also advocate linking standard deduction limits to inflation, hence ensuring that the limit is in line with the rising cost of living.Preeti Sharma, Partner – Tax and Regulatory Services at BDO India tells TOI, “Under the new tax regime, salaried taxpayers currently enjoy a standard deduction of Rs 75,000, raised from Rs 50,000 in Budget 2025. This increase has provided some relief, especially since most exemptions and deductions are not available under the new tax regime. However, rising inflation and higher day-to-day expenses have reduced the disposable income of salaried households. A further increase in the standard deduction would help employees manage these rising costs.”Radhika Viswanathan, Executive Director at Deloitte India sees a case for standard deduction to be hiked to as much as Rs 1.25 lakh!“There is a strong case for further enhancing the standard deduction under the new tax regime since no other major deductions or exemptions are available to the salaried class. While the current limit stands at Rs 75,000, the government could consider increasing it to Rs 1 lakh to 1.25 lakh. An increase would provide meaningful relief, support middle-class taxpayers, and preserve the simplicity of the regime without reintroducing multiple deduction-linked compliances,” she tells TOI.
What is Standard Deduction?
Chander Talreja, Partner, Vialto Partners makes an important point: introduction of new labour codes may reduce take home pay, and an increase in standard deduction may help offset that.“This Budget will focus on how to further accelerate adoption of the new personal tax regime by the taxpayers. On the one hand, the scope for further rationalization of tax slabs or the introduction of reduced tax rates and additional rebates is limited, as these were revised last year only. On the other hand, introducing new deductions or exemptions under the new personal tax regime may not be feasible, given that the regime is designed to operate without such provisions, and any deviation could dilute its core objective,” he says.According to Talreja, this effectively leaves the government with one viable option – enhancement of the standard deduction. The existing limit is Rs 75,000 under the new personal tax regime which may be increased by at least Rs 15,000 to address rising cost-of-living pressures.“Moreover, the said increase in standard deduction may also be crucial with the introduction of the new Labour Codes. With the definition of “Wages” the contribution towards provident fund may go up which may consequently reduce the take-home pay for individuals. Some relief in the form of increased standard deduction may help to offset this impact,” he says.Tanu Gupta, Partner at Mainstay Tax Advisors LLP also finds merit in increasing the standard deduction limit. “In last year’s Budget, the government revised the income tax slabs under the new tax regime and enhanced the rebate under Section 87A, effectively providing tax relief for income up to Rs 12 lakh (Rs 12.75 lakh for salaried taxpayers). The objective was to increase disposable income, thereby boosting consumption. This was further supplemented during the year by reductions in GST on several items,” she tells TOI.However, the standard deduction, which was increased from Rs 50,000 to Rs 75,000 in Union Budget 2024 under the new tax regime, has since remained unchanged, she says. “There is merit in automatically adjusting this limit each year for inflation, in a manner similar to the government’s periodic revision of Dearness Allowance for its employees.Given the limited number of exemptions and deductions available under the new tax regime, such simplicity – combined with automatic inflation adjustment – would make the regime even more straightforward and taxpayer-friendly,” she adds.Parizad Sirwalla, Partner and Head, Global Mobility Services, Tax at KPMG in India is also of the view that since salaried taxpayers do not have any avenue to claim deduction for increased cost of living / other expenses (unlike a person earning business income) there is an ongoing expectation that the standard deduction is enhanced periodically keeping in mind the rate of inflation prevailing in the economy.
Why the government may not hike standard deduction limit
However, some experts note that the government will have limited fiscal room to hike standard deduction after last year’s tax slab changes under the new income tax regime and sweeping GST rate cuts. There is also the rationale that the government may await data on how many taxpayers opt for the new tax regime as per FY 2025-26 slabs before looking to incentivise it further.Richa Sawhney, Partner, Tax at Grant Thornton Bharat explains that salaried taxpayers often feel that they end up paying more taxes than taxpayers with business income, due to limited avenues of deductions available from salary income.
Why Standard Deduction Should Be Hiked & Why It May Not Be
Standard deduction is one of the limited deductions available to salaried taxpayers, which aims to compensate them for employment‑related expenses, without requiring proof of claim. “Salaried taxpayers do feel that the current limit of Rs 75,000 is inadequate and a hike is surely on their budget wishlist . However, considering that the standard deduction was enhanced last year, increasing it further this year may not be feasible for the government. More-so, when the softening of gross non corporate tax collections is evident post the slab rate reforms carried out last year,” she says.Surabhi Marwah, Tax Partner, EY India also says that a further hike in the standard deduction appears unlikely in the near term. “In Budget 2024, the government increased the standard deduction under the new tax regime to Rs 75,000 for salaried taxpayers, while the old regime continues to offer Rs 50,000. This differential already provides a clear incentive for taxpayers to shift to the new regime,” she tells TOI.“With the Income-tax Act 2025 focusing on structural simplification, the priority now seems to be on wider adoption of the revised framework rather than introducing additional reliefs,” she adds.
Business
Gold steadies near record high as trade war risks sour global sentiment – SUCH TV
Gold and silver traded near record highs on Tuesday, as US President Donald Trump’s threats to acquire Greenland soured global sentiment and sparked a rush into safe-haven assets.
Spot gold was up 0.1% at $4,675.32 per ounce, as of 0336 GMT, after scaling an all-time high of $4,689.39 in the previous session.
US gold futures for February delivery climbed 1.9% to $4,680.30 per ounce.
Spot silver fell 1.4% to $93.33 an ounce, after hitting a record high of $94.72 earlier in the session.
“Gold is biding its time today and consolidating recent gains, with traders waiting to see what happens next regarding Trump’s latest spat with the EU over Greenland,” said Tim Waterer, KCM Trade’s chief market analyst.
“If Trump continues to turn the heat up regarding tariff threats, gold could feasibly be eying off a run north of $4,700 in the near term,” Waterer said, adding that if European Union leaders managed to patch things up with Trump at Davos this week, gold’s risk premium might fade.
Trump has intensified his push to wrest sovereignty over Greenland from fellow NATO member Denmark, prompting the European Union to weigh hitting back with its own measures.
The dollar retreated to its lowest in a week after tariff threats triggered a broad selloff across US stocks and government bonds.
Gold also found support as concerns lingered around the Federal Reserve’s independence with the US Supreme Court this week expected to hear a case around Trump’s attempt to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook over alleged mortgage fraud.
The Fed is broadly expected to maintain interest rates at its January 27-28 meeting despite Trump’s calls for cuts.
Gold, which does not yield interest, typically performs well during periods of low interest rates.
Kelvin Wong, a senior market analyst at OANDA, expects the Fed to continue its rate-cut cycle into 2026, citing a sluggish labour market and lacklustre consumer sentiment, with the next reduction now being priced further down the calendar in either June or July.
Among other precious metals, spot platinum slid 1.8% to $2,331.20 an ounce, while palladium dropped 2% to $1,804.15.
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