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How the fall of Evergrande spells doom for China’s property market

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How the fall of Evergrande spells doom for China’s property market


The shares of China’s most indebted property giant Evergrande have been taken off the Hong Kong stock market, marking the end of its life as a publicly traded company that symbolised the rise and fall of China’s real estate industry.

Valued at more than $50 billion (£37.1bn) at its peak, Evergrande was China’s biggest property firm. But it became the poster-child for the problems facing Chinese developers after it collapsed under the weight of massive debts in 2021.

“Evergrande’s demise highlights that no private company in China is too big to fail,” Julian Evans-Pritchard, Head of China Economics at Capital Economics told The Independent.

“But the fact that it has taken this long for the company to be delisted underscores the slow-motion nature of China’s property adjustment, with state intervention preventing a more abrupt resolution.”

Evergrande’s 2021 default on offshore bonds led to its shares being suspended in January 2024, after a Hong Kong court ordered liquidation when years of restructuring talks failed.

Last week, the stock exchange confirmed it would cancel the listing because the firm failed to meet the requirement to resume trading within 18 months.

It comes as China’s economy is grappling with a series of challenges, including Trump’s tariffs, weak consumer spending, unemployment, high local government debt and an ageing population.

Experts say the collapse of the property sector has hit the country hardest, as it accounted for roughly a third of China’s economy and provided crucial revenue for local governments.

“It is a symbolic moment given that Evergrande was the first major casualty of China’s property downturn,” Mr Evans-Pritchard said. “The delisting itself won’t have a big impact given that the company’s market capitalisation had already collapsed and trading in the stock was suspended last year.”

“Although the company is being wound down, work on its projects is generally still ongoing, with local governments stepping in to make sure buyers eventually get the homes they bought.”

Evergrande’s growth reflected the debt-fuelled nature of China’s property sector, which expanded rapidly following urbanisation and economic reforms in the 1990s (REUTERS)

The company’s fall was as dramatic as its rise. Its founder, Hui Ka Yan, went from living a humble rural life to becoming one of Asia’s richest men.

Evergrande’s growth reflected the debt-fuelled nature of China’s property sector, which expanded rapidly following urbanisation and economic reforms in the 1990s.

Its 2009 listing marked a pivotal moment in that surge, with the company borrowing an unprecedented $20bn on international bond markets.

But the $45bn fortune that put Mr Hui at the top of the Forbes list of wealthiest men in Asia plummeted to less than $1bn.

By March 2024, Mr Hui was banned from China’s capital market for life over Evergrande’s overstating of its revenue by $78bn and he was fined $6.5m.

At the time of its collapse, Evergrande had an empire of 1,300 projects under development across 280 cities, an electric car business and Guangzhou FC. Earlier this year, China’s most successful team was itself kicked out of the football league due to debt.

Built on more than $300bn (£222bn) of borrowed money, Evergrande struggled to meet interest payments after Beijing introduced borrowing limits for developers in 2020

Built on more than $300bn (£222bn) of borrowed money, Evergrande struggled to meet interest payments after Beijing introduced borrowing limits for developers in 2020 (AFP via Getty Images)

Built on more than $300bn of borrowed money, Evergrande struggled to meet interest payments after Beijing introduced borrowing limits for developers in 2020.

Deep discounts on properties failed to prevent defaults on overseas debt, ultimately triggering liquidation.

The crisis wiped more than 99 percent from it stock market valuation.

Earlier this month, liquidators Alvarez & Marsal said they have so far recovered just $255m of assets, including a Claude Monet painting, out of the $45bn debt.

They also launched action against the firm’s auditors PwC China after authorities last March said it approved accounts despite inflated revenues in 2019 and 2020.

The housing crisis in China is far from over, with property firms like Country Garden still battling massive debt. Earlier this month China South City Holdings became the largest developer to be forced into liquidation since Evergrande.

“We think the property downturn is likely to continue for at least a couple more years, given that it will take time for the market to fully absorb excess supply as the backlog of unfinished projects are completed,” added Mr Evans-Pritchard.

Beijing launched a range of measures to revive the housing market and consumer spending, including incentives for new homeowners, stock market support, and purchases of electric cars and household goods.

Despite these efforts, China’s growth has slowed to around 5 percent, about half the rates seen in 2010.



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Gen Zs quitting banking jobs for ‘entrepreneurial experiences’, bosses say

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Gen Zs quitting banking jobs for ‘entrepreneurial experiences’, bosses say



Gen Z workers are increasingly walking away from banking jobs in pursuit of entrepreneurial opportunities or more flexible working, a new survey of senior bosses has found.

Most financial firms are taking action in a bid to hold onto their younger members of staff.

Nearly half of financial services leaders report an increase in Gen Z employees leaving their organisation over the past year, according to polling by KPMG.

This rises to 54% of those within the banking sector who noticed an upsurge.

Gen Z – typically referring to people born between 1997 and 2012 – are often seeking out more entrepreneurial-style work in their decision to leave finance jobs, the survey found.

The biggest reason cited by the finance bosses was a preference for working in start-ups, at 42%.

While 35% said they were leaving because of a desire for self-employment or freelance careers.

Some 34% said Gen Z workers were choosing to leave because they want more flexibility or remote working, while the same proportion cited cost-of-living concerns as the driver.

The poll, which was to around 150 people at director level or above in financial services companies, found that around a quarter of younger employees are estimated to have left finance businesses in the past year.

Almost all of the business leaders surveyed, at 96%, said they were taking active steps to try and improve Gen Z retention at their firm.

More than half said they were working on introducing flexible working policies such as term-time contracts or flexible hours in a bid to appeal to younger workers.

Others said they were revising their office attendance policies as a result.

Karim Haji, global and UK head of financial services at KPMG, said: “Gen Z employees are clearly signalling a desire for more autonomy, variety and entrepreneurial experiences.

“The challenge for financial services firms now is how to create an entrepreneurial experience for a social media generation in a heavily regulated environment.

“Office presenteeism gets a lot of airtime, but the reality is that most financial services firms have made strides in offering flexibility that goes far beyond remote working, whether that’s staggered hours, flexible contracts or better wellbeing support.

“That’s to be applauded, but alongside that, firms must keep pace with the changing values and expectations of young talent.”



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Dhanteras Engine Fires Up Auto Market: Over 1 lakh Cars Delivered In 24 Hours

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Dhanteras Engine Fires Up Auto Market: Over 1 lakh Cars Delivered In 24 Hours


New Delhi: The festive spirit roared through India’s automobile market this Dhanteras, as automakers clocked record-breaking deliveries, crossing the 100,000 mark within just 24 hours, according to industry sources. Driven by robust festive demand and the positive impact of GST 2.0 reforms, the auto sector saw one of its strongest single-day performances in years.

According to industry estimates, these deliveries translated into sales worth Rs 8,500–10,000 crore in a single day, based on an average vehicle price of Rs 8.5–10 lakh. Leading carmakers including Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL), Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles, and Hyundai Motor India (HMIL) reported record sales this festive season, as consumer confidence hit a high gear.

Amit Kamat, Chief Commercial Officer at Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles Ltd, said that this year’s Dhanteras and Diwali deliveries were spread over two to three days, aligning with auspicious muhurat timings.

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“Overall demand has been robust, and the GST 2.0 reform has further provided positive momentum. We expect to deliver over 25,000 vehicles during this period,” he noted. Echoing the sentiment, Tarun Garg, Whole-time Director and COO of Hyundai Motor India Ltd, said the company witnessed strong customer demand, with deliveries expected to touch around 14,000 units — nearly 20 per cent higher than last year.

The broader festive season has also fuelled consumer spending across other sectors. Gold and silver sales surged over 25 per cent in value, while overall Dhanteras trade was estimated to have crossed Rs 1 lakh crore, according to the Confederation of All India Traders (CAIT).

The All India Gem and Jewellery Domestic Council (GJC) reported strong buying activity following a sharp correction in gold prices. “We expect festive sales to cross Rs 50,000 crore this season. Despite high gold and silver prices, consumer sentiment is upbeat, driven by early wedding purchases and strategic festive buying,” said GJC Chairman Rajesh Rokde.

From automobiles to jewellery, the Diwali season has brought a wave of optimism to India’s retail landscape. Experts say the combination of festive spirit, economic recovery, and tax reforms under GST 2.0 has reignited consumer sentiment — making this one of the most buoyant festive seasons in recent memory.



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RBI Likely To Go In For Another Policy Rate Cut By Year-End: Report

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RBI Likely To Go In For Another Policy Rate Cut By Year-End: Report


Mumbai: The RBI is likely to go in for another policy rate cut before the end of the year, which, along with fiscal consolidation and domestic regulatory easing, would lead to a gradual recovery in credit demand, according to a Goldman Sachs report.

“We expect an additional policy rate cut before year-end, and the recent GST simplification signals that peak fiscal consolidation is behind us. We expect this, along with domestic regulatory easing, to foster a gradual recovery in credit demand,” the report said.

The report observes that the recent measures announced by the RBI should ease supply-side credit conditions; however, the extent of incremental lending will depend on the demand situation in the broader economy.

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External headwinds continue to weigh on India’s outlook, including tighter US immigration costs for H-1B visas that affect Indian IT services, in addition to elevated US tariffs on Indian goods and “these factors could temper credit demand alongside broader macro uncertainty”, the report states.

India’s inflation rate based on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) declined to an over 8-year low of 1.54 per cent in September this year. This gives the RBI more space to focus on reducing the policy rate and injecting more liquidity into the economy to promote growth.

The RBI has raised its projection of India’s GDP growth rate to 6.8 per cent for 2025-26 from 6.5 per cent earlier, as the implementation of several growth-inducing structural reforms, including streamlining of GST, is expected to offset some of the adverse effects of the external headwinds, Reserve Bank Governor Sanjay Malhotra said earlier this month.

He pointed out that India’s GDP recorded a robust growth of 7.8 per cent in Q1:2025-26, driven by strong private consumption and fixed investment. On the supply side, growth in gross value added (GVA) at 7.6 per cent was led by a revival in manufacturing and steady expansion in services. Available high-frequency indicators suggest that economic activity continues to remain resilient.

Rural demand remains strong, riding on a good monsoon and robust agricultural activity, while urban demand is showing a gradual revival, the RBI Governor further stated.



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